2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election
Flag of South Dakota.svg
  2018
November 8, 2022
2026  
Turnout59.40% Decrease2.svg
  Kristi Noem Portrait 2 (cropped).jpg Editedsmith (cropped).jpg
Nominee Kristi Noem Jamie Smith
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Larry Rhoden Jennifer Healy Keintz
Popular vote217,035123,148
Percentage61.98%35.17%

2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Noem:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Smith:     50–60%     70–80%     80–90%

Governor before election

Kristi Noem
Republican

Elected Governor

Kristi Noem
Republican

The 2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, electing the governor of South Dakota. Incumbent Republican governor Kristi Noem defeated Democratic nominee Jamie Smith to win a second term. [1]

Contents

Despite speculation about this race potentially being competitive, Noem improved on her 2018 performance by 11 percentage points and flipped 17 counties that had been won by Billie Sutton. She also received over 44,000 more raw votes than she did in the previous election, setting a record for the most votes received by a candidate for governor in South Dakota.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Former state house speaker Steven Haugaard challenged Noem in the primary but lost. Steven Haugaard.jpg
Former state house speaker Steven Haugaard challenged Noem in the primary but lost.

Declined

Endorsements

Kristi Noem

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Steven
Haugaard
Kristi
Noem
Undecided
South Dakota State University [10] May 2–15, 2022– (LV)± 3.0%17%61%22%

Results

Results by county
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Noem
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90% 2022 South Dakota gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Noem
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kristi Noem (incumbent) 91,661 76.4
Republican Steven Haugaard 28,31523.6
Total votes119,976 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Tracey Quint, coordinator [21]
    • Running mate: Ashley Strand [22]

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [23] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [24] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [25] Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [26] Likely ROctober 3, 2022
RCP [27] Likely RSeptember 25, 2022
Fox News [28] Solid RMay 12, 2022
538 [29] Solid ROctober 5, 2022
Elections Daily [30] Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Kristi
Noem (R)
Jamie
Smith (D)
OtherUndecided
Emerson College [31] October 19–21, 20221,500 (LV)± 2.4%56%37%3% [b] 4%
57%39%4% [c]
South Dakota State University [32] September 28 – October 10, 2022565 (RV)± 4.0%45%41%14%

Post-primary endorsements

Kristi Noem (R)

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

Organizations

Results

2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election [37]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
217,035 61.98% +11.01%
Democratic 123,14835.17%−12.43%
Libertarian
  • Tracey Quint
  • Ashley Strand
9,9832.85%+1.42%
Total votes350,166 100.00% N/A
Turnout 350,16659.40%
Registered electors 597,073
Republican hold

By county

County [37] Kristi Noem
Republican
Jamie Smith
Democratic
Tracey Quint
Libertarian
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Aurora 89473.64%28423.39%362.97%61050.25%1,214
Beadle 3,90166.84%1,71629.40%2193.75%2,18537.44%5,836
Bennett 61960.39%36835.90%383.71%25124.49%1,025
Bon Homme 1,85872.52%65025.37%542.11%1,20847.15%2,562
Brookings 6,97456.12%5,09641.01%3572.87%1,87815.11%12,427
Brown 8,45660.56%5,16737.00%3412.44%3,28923.55%13,964
Brule 1,46369.37%58927.93%572.70%87441.44%2,109
Buffalo 14436.27%23458.94%194.79%-90-22.67%397
Butte 3,21176.71%82319.66%1523.63%2,38857.05%4,186
Campbell 56184.11%9313.94%131.95%46870.16%667
Charles Mix 2,18770.75%84927.47%551.78%1,33843.29%3,091
Clark 1,22376.44%34121.31%362.25%88255.13%1,600
Clay 2,05443.29%2,58154.39%1102.32%-527-11.11%4,745
Codington 7,52067.87%3,25329.36%3072.77%4,26738.51%11,080
Corson 52256.25%37940.84%272.91%14315.41%928
Custer 3,63371.56%1,29325.47%1512.97%2,34046.09%5,077
Davison 4,88767.51%2,17930.10%1732.39%2,70837.41%7,239
Day 1,59963.43%87634.75%461.82%72328.68%2,521
Deuel 1,47974.28%45823.00%542.71%1,02151.28%1,991
Dewey 66242.06%86254.76%503.18%-200-12.71%1,574
Douglas 1,27285.71%18812.67%241.62%1,08473.05%1,484
Edmunds 1,32177.66%34620.34%342.00%97557.32%1,701
Fall River 2,67973.04%85923.42%1303.54%1,82049.62%3,668
Faulk 77180.73%16717.49%171.78%60463.25%955
Grant 2,32872.41%83025.82%571.77%1,49846.59%3,215
Gregory 1,61878.77%39319.13%432.09%1,22559.64%2,054
Haakon 89290.37%828.31%131.32%81082.07%987
Hamlin 2,11877.58%54820.07%642.34%1,57057.51%2,730
Hand 1,17778.36%29019.31%352.33%88759.05%1,502
Hanson 1,26777.63%33620.59%291.78%93157.05%1,632
Harding 63293.35%334.87%121.77%59988.48%677
Hughes 4,57161.38%2,65235.61%2243.01%1,91925.77%7,447
Hutchinson 2,50778.99%60419.03%631.98%1,90359.96%3,174
Hyde 46080.00%10618.43%91.57%35461.57%575
Jackson 62367.79%28030.47%161.74%34337.32%919
Jerauld 60469.75%23827.48%242.77%36642.26%866
Jones 39583.69%6413.56%132.75%33170.13%472
Kingsbury 1,79270.25%69227.13%672.63%1,10043.12%2,551
Lake 3,13163.05%1,72034.64%1152.32%1,41128.41%4,966
Lawrence 7,74963.28%4,04133.00%4563.72%3,70830.28%12,246
Lincoln 16,82859.76%10,72738.09%6062.15%6,10121.66%28,161
Lyman 87966.69%40530.73%342.58%47435.96%1,318
Marshall 1,12359.42%73738.99%301.59%38620.42%1,890
McCook 1,85172.67%62524.54%712.79%1,22648.14%2,547
McPherson 91182.82%16715.18%222.00%74467.64%1,100
Meade 8,48271.46%2,88724.32%5014.22%5,59547.14%11,870
Mellette 38661.27%21433.97%304.76%17227.30%630
Miner 73272.69%24824.63%272.68%48448.06%1,007
Minnehaha 39,23452.53%33,37644.69%2,0722.77%5,8587.84%74,682
Moody 1,66862.97%91034.35%712.68%75828.61%2,649
Oglala Lakota 2218.91%2,17287.58%873.51%-1,951-78.67%2,480
Pennington 27,58660.78%16,21535.73%1,5873.50%11,37125.05%45,388
Perkins 1,14283.24%17712.90%533.86%96570.34%1,372
Potter 89281.16%18717.02%201.82%70564.15%1,099
Roberts 2,16460.70%1,31536.89%862.41%84923.81%3,565
Sanborn 75775.40%22622.51%212.09%53152.89%1,004
Spink 1,83268.61%76528.65%732.73%1,06739.96%2,670
Stanley 99969.04%40728.13%412.83%59240.91%1,447
Sully 59775.76%16921.45%222.79%42854.31%788
Todd 40220.87%1,44474.97%804.15%-1,042-54.10%1,926
Tripp 1,87382.58%36416.05%311.37%1,50966.53%2,268
Turner 2,83473.32%91923.78%1122.90%1,91549.55%3,865
Union 4,72370.07%1,84827.42%1692.51%2,87542.66%6,740
Walworth 1,57376.62%43020.94%502.44%1,14355.67%2,053
Yankton 5,24758.89%3,35037.60%3133.51%1,89721.29%8,910
Ziebach 34550.51%30444.51%344.98%416.00%683
Totals217,03561.98%123,14835.17%9,9832.85%93,88726.81%350,166

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Quint (L) with 3%
  3. Quint (L) with 4%

References

  1. Mueller, Julia (November 8, 2022). "Noem wins reelection in South Dakota governor's race". The Hill . Retrieved November 8, 2022.
  2. Todd, Annie (November 12, 2021). "South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem announces re-election campaign for 2022 election". Argus Leader . Retrieved November 12, 2021.
  3. Ellis, Jonathan (May 24, 2022) [May 23, 2022]. "Gov. Kristi Noem's reelection campaign says it has raised $15 million". Argus Leader . Retrieved August 5, 2022.
  4. King, Ryan (November 17, 2021). "Gov. Kristi Noem gets primary challenge from the Right in former state speaker". Washington Examiner . Retrieved November 18, 2021.
  5. 1 2 "Former state Rep. Lora Hubbel running for governor again".
  6. Lawrence, Tom (February 15, 2021). "Can Noem be defeated in 2022? History says not a chance ... but her actions as governor could change things". The South Dakota Standard. Retrieved February 15, 2021.
  7. Sneve, Joe. "South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem gets endorsement from Donald Trump". www.argusleader.com. Argus Leader . Retrieved February 9, 2022.
  8. "Governor Kristi Noem and Congressman Dusty Johnson hitting door-to-door this weekend". dakotawarcollege.com. June 4, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  9. "Former political rivals Noem & Jackley endorse each other for upcoming elections". www.dakotanewsnow.com. February 17, 2022. Retrieved February 24, 2022.
  10. South Dakota State University [ dead link ]
  11. "2022 Primary Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota . June 14, 2022. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  12. Sneve, Joe. "Democrat Jamie Smith to run for governor in 2022 election". www.argusleader.com. Argus Leader . Retrieved February 2, 2022.
  13. Sneve, Joe (July 7, 2022). "Jamie Smith taps Aberdeen-area lawmaker as running mate on Democratic ticket for governor". Argus Leader . Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  14. 1 2 3 4 Sneve, Joe (June 9, 2021). "Analysis: Who will challenge Gov. Kristi Noem in South Dakota's 2022 election? Here are potential candidates". Argus Leader . Retrieved June 20, 2021.
  15. 1 2 Vondracek, Christopher (June 9, 2021). "A party waits for Billie Sutton: South Dakota Democrats mull if former legislator will force a '22 rematch with Gov. Noem". www.thedickinsonpress.com. The Dickinson Press . Retrieved November 26, 2021.
  16. Mercer, Bob (June 18, 2018). "Democrats favor Seiler over Means". Capitol Journal. Retrieved January 11, 2021.
  17. "South Dakota Minority Leader Heinert passes on run for Governor, joining private sector after term". December 16, 2021.
  18. 1 2 Lawrence, Tom (November 29, 2020). "Is it just a South Dakota political legend or eerie fate: Will Sen. John Thune end the 'Curse of Karl' in 2022?". The South Dakota Standard . Archived from the original on January 8, 2022. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  19. Lawrence, Tom (January 29, 2022). "Democrats set to announce gubernatorial candidate". Black Hills Pioneer . Retrieved January 29, 2022.
  20. Woster, Kevin (February 23, 2022). "Sutton's political time will come again, but not just yet". South Dakota Public Broadcasting. Retrieved March 5, 2022.
  21. "Libertarian House candidate, Sturgis rancher Collin Duprel: I am running to give South Dakota voters a choice". Archived from the original on July 23, 2022. Retrieved July 23, 2022.
  22. 1 2 "2022 General Election". South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
  23. "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  24. "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  25. "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  26. "South Dakota Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  27. "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  28. "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  29. "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived from the original on June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  30. Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  31. Emerson College
  32. South Dakota State University
  33. "Glenn Youngkin, Tulsi Gabbard to campaign for South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem". October 28, 2022.
  34. "Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin to stump for Gov. Kristi Noem's reelection campaign in Sioux Falls".
  35. "South Dakota Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
  36. 1 2 "Kristi Noem's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  37. 1 2 Barnett, Steve (November 15, 2022). "2022 General Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota . Archived (PDF) from the original on September 16, 2025. Retrieved January 4, 2026.

Official campaign websites