2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election
Flag of South Dakota.svg
  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  
Turnout59.40% Decrease2.svg
  Noem Portrait 2 (cropped).jpg Editedsmith (cropped).jpg
Nominee Kristi Noem Jamie Smith
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Larry Rhoden Jennifer Healy Keintz
Popular vote217,035123,148
Percentage61.98%35.17%

2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Noem:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Smith:     50–60%     70–80%     80–90%

Governor before election

Kristi Noem
Republican

Elected Governor

Kristi Noem
Republican

The 2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, electing the governor of South Dakota. Incumbent Republican governor Kristi Noem defeated Democratic nominee Jamie Smith to win a second term. [1]

Contents

Despite speculation about this race potentially being competitive, Noem improved on her 2018 performance by 11 percentage points and flipped 17 counties that had been won by Billie Sutton. She also received over 44,000 more raw votes than she did in the previous election, setting a record for the most votes received by a candidate for governor in South Dakota.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Former state house speaker Steven Haugaard challenged Noem in the primary but lost. Steven Haugaard.jpg
Former state house speaker Steven Haugaard challenged Noem in the primary but lost.

Declined

Endorsements

Kristi Noem
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. representatives
State officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Steven
Haugaard
Kristi
Noem
Undecided
South Dakota State University May 2–15, 2022– (LV)± 3.0%17%61%22%

Results

Results by county
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Noem
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90% 2022 South Dakota gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Noem
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kristi Noem (incumbent) 91,661 76.4
Republican Steven Haugaard 28,31523.6
Total votes119,976 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Tracey Quint, coordinator [20]
    • Running mate: Ashley Strand [21]

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [22] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [23] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [24] Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [25] Likely ROctober 3, 2022
RCP [26] Likely RSeptember 25, 2022
Fox News [27] Solid RMay 12, 2022
538 [28] Solid ROctober 5, 2022
Elections Daily [29] Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Kristi
Noem (R)
Jamie
Smith (D)
OtherUndecided
Emerson College October 19–21, 20221,500 (LV)± 2.4%56%37%3% [lower-alpha 2] 4%
57%39%4% [lower-alpha 3]
South Dakota State University September 28 – October 10, 2022565 (RV)± 4.0%45%41%14%

Endorsements

Kristi Noem (R)

Results

2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election [34]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
217,035 61.98% +11.01%
Democratic 123,14835.17%−12.43%
Libertarian
  • Tracey Quint
  • Ashley Strand
9,9832.85%+1.42%
Total votes350,166 100.00% N/A
Turnout 350,16659.40%
Registered electors 597,073
Republican hold

By county

By county
CountyKristi Noem

Republican

Jamie Smith

Democratic

Tracey Quint

Libertarian

Total

votes

 %# %# %#
Aurora 73.64%89423.39%2842.97%361,214
Beadle 66.84%3,90129.40%1,7163.75%2195,836
Bennett 60.39%61935.90%3683.71%381,025
Bon Homme 72.52%1,85825.37%6502.11%542,562
Brookings 56.12%6,97441.01%5,0962.87%35712,427
Brown 60.56%8,45637.00%5,1672.44%34113,964
Brule 69.37%1,46327.93%5892.70%572,109
Buffalo 36.27%14458.94%2344.79%19397
Butte 76.71%3,21119.66%8233.63%1524,186
Campbell 84.11%56113.94%931.95%13667
Charles Mix 70.75%2,18727.47%8491.78%553,091
Clark 76.44%1,22321.31%3412.25%361,600
Clay 43.29%2,05454.39%2,5812.32%1104,745
Codington 67.87%7,52029.36%3,2532.77%30711,080
Corson 56.25%52240.84%3792.91%27928
Custer 71.56%3,63325.47%1,2932.97%1515,077
Davison 67.51%4,88730.10%2,1792.39%1737,239
Day 63.43%1,59934.75%8761.82%462,521
Deuel 74.28%1,47923.00%4582.71%541,991
Dewey 42.06%66254.76%8623.18%501,574
Douglas 85.71%1,27212.67%1881.62%241,484
Edmunds 77.66%1,32120.34%3462.00%341,701
Fall River 73.04%2,67923.42%8593.54%1303,668
Faulk 80.73%77117.49%1671.78%17955
Grant 72.41%2,32825.82%8301.77%573,215
Gregory 78.77%1,61819.13%3932.09%432,054
Haakon 90.37%8928.31%821.32%13987
Hamlin 77.58%2,11820.07%5482.34%642,730
Hand 78.36%1,17719.31%2902.33%351,502
Hanson 77.63%1,26720.59%3361.78%291,632
Harding 93.35%6324.87%331.77%12677
Hughes 61.38%4,57135.61%2,6523.01%2247,447
Hutchinson 78.99%2,50719.03%6041.98%633,174
Hyde 80.00%46018.43%1061.57%9575
Jackson 67.79%62330.47%2801.74%16919
Jerauld 69.75%60427.48%2382.77%24866
Jones 83.69%39513.56%642.75%13472
Kingsbury 70.25%1,79227.13%6922.63%672,551
Lake 63.05%3,13134.64%1,7202.31%1154,966
Lawrence 63.27%7,74933.00%4,0413.72%45612,247
Lincoln 59.76%16,82838.09%10,7272.15%60628,161
Lyman 66.69%87930.73%4052.58341,318
Marshall 59.42%1,12338.99%7371.59%301,890
McCook 72.67%1,85124.54%6252.79%712,547
McPherson 82.82%91115.18%1672.00%221,100
Meade 71.46%8,48224.32%2,8874.22%50111,870
Mellette 61.27%38633.97%2144.76%30630
Miner 72.69%73224.63%2482.68%271,007
Minnehaha 52.53%39,23444.69%33,3762.77%2,07274,682
Moody 62.97%1,66834.35%9102.68%712,649
Oglala Lakota 8.91%22187.58%2,1723.51%872,480
Pennington 60.78%27,58635.73%16,2153.49%1,58745,388
Perkins 83.24%1,14212.90%1773.86%531,372
Potter 81.16%89217.02%1871.82%201,099
Roberts 60.70%2,16436.89%1,3152.41%863,565
Sanborn 75.40%75722.51%2262.09%211,004
Spink 68.61%1,83228.65%7652.73%732,670
Stanley 69.04%99928.13%4072.83%411,447
Sully 75.76%59721.45%1692.79%22788
Todd 20.87%40274.97%1,4444.15%801,926
Tripp 82.58%1,87316.05%3641.37%312,268
Turner 73.32%2,83423.78%9192.90%1123,865
Union 70.07%4,72327.42%1,8482.51%1696,740
Walworth 76.62%1,57320.94%4302.44%502,053
Yankton 58.89%5,24737.60%3,3503.51%3138,910
Ziebach 50.51%34544.51%3044.98%34683
Total61.98%217,03535.17%123,1482.85%9,983350,166
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Quint (L) with 3%
  3. Quint (L) with 4%

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References

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Official campaign websites