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Cortez Masto: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Laxalt: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Nevada |
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Nevadaportal |
The 2022 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada. Incumbent Democratic senator Catherine Cortez Masto won re-election to a second term, narrowly defeating Republican challenger Adam Laxalt. [1] Nevada's election results were slowed due to state law that allowed voters to submit mail-in ballots until November 12, and allowed voters to fix clerical problems in their mail-in ballots until November 14, 2022. [2] No Republican has won this specific U.S. Senate seat since Adam Laxalt's grandfather Paul Laxalt won a second full term in 1980.
According to exit polls, Cortez Masto won 62% of Latinos, 64% of young voters, and 52% of women. [3]
Cortez Masto made protecting abortion rights a central issue of her campaign. [4] Many experts and forecasters saw Nevada as Republicans' best chance to pickup a seat in the Senate. Despite Laxalt leading in most polls, Cortez Masto narrowly won re-election by a little less than 8,000 votes.
Cortez Masto flipped Washoe County, improving her 2016 voteshare by 1.7%, although Laxalt improved on Joe Heck's margin in rural counties, and performed slightly better in Clark County. The incumbent Democrat's improvements in Washoe compared to 2016 proved to be decisive, as her victory margin there was slightly larger than in Nevada as a whole. With a narrow margin of 0.77%, this was the closest Senate race of the 2022 election cycle and the closest Senate election in Nevada since 1998.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Catherine Cortez Masto (incumbent) | 159,694 | 90.87% | |
Democratic | Corey Reid | 4,491 | 2.56% | |
None of These Candidates | 4,216 | 2.40% | ||
Democratic | Allen Rheinhart | 3,852 | 2.19% | |
Democratic | Stephanie Kasheta | 3,487 | 1.98% | |
Total votes | 175,740 | 100.0% |
2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Nevada debates [lower-roman 1] | |||||||||||
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No. | Date | Organizer | Location | Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | Source | ||||||
Sam Brown | Bill Conrad | Bill Hockstedler | Adam Laxalt | Sharellen Mendenhall | |||||||
1 | April 7, 2022 | Redmove Nevada | Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, Reno | A | P | P | A | P | [39] [40] | ||
2 | May 9, 2022 | Nevada Newsmakers | Nevada Newsmakers Studio, Reno | P | N | N | P | N | [41] [42] |
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Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Sam Brown | Bill Hockstedler | Adam Laxalt | Sharelle Mendenhall | Other [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [63] | April 25 – June 7, 2022 | June 10, 2022 | 30.3% | 1.0% | 51.3% | 3.0% | 24.4% | Laxalt +21.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Sam Brown | Bill Hockstedler | Adam Laxalt | Sharelle Mendenhall | None of These Candidates | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OH Predictive Insights [64] | June 6–7, 2022 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 1% | 48% | 3% | 2% | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | 9% |
University of Nevada Reno [65] | May 17–27, 2022 | 368 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 31% | 5% | 57% | 7% | – | – | – |
OH Predictive Insights [66] | May 10–12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 30% | 0% | 45% | 3% | 8% | 2% [lower-alpha 4] | 11% |
Emerson College [67] | April 30 – May 2, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 27% | 1% | 50% | 4% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 5] | 15% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) [68] | April 25–28, 2022 | 1,071 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 1% | 50% | 3% | – | 5% | 15% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [69] [upper-alpha 1] | April 24–26, 2022 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 20% | 1% | 57% | 1% | 9% | – | 12% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [70] [upper-alpha 2] | March 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 19% | 1% | 57% | 1% | – | 3% | 15% |
OH Predictive Insights [71] | January 19–26, 2022 | 230 (RV) | ± 6.5% | 14% | – | 37% | – | – | – | 49% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Dean Heller | Adam Laxalt | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Intelligence (R) [72] [upper-alpha 2] | December 9–11, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 25% | 44% | 6% | 25% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Adam Laxalt | 127,757 | 55.91% | |
Republican | Sam Brown | 78,206 | 34.23% | |
Republican | Sharelle Mendenhall | 6,946 | 3.04% | |
None of These Candidates | 6,277 | 2.75% | ||
Republican | William "Bill" Conrad | 3,440 | 1.51% | |
Republican | William "Bill" Hockstedler | 2,836 | 1.24% | |
Republican | Paul Rodriguez | 1,844 | 0.81% | |
Republican | Tyler Perkins | 850 | 0.37% | |
Republican | Carlo Poliak | 332 | 0.15% | |
Total votes | 228,488 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [75] | Tossup | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections [76] | Tossup | February 24, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [77] | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |
Politico [78] | Tossup | April 1, 2022 |
RCP [79] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
Fox News [80] | Tossup | May 12, 2022 |
DDHQ [81] | Tossup | August 22, 2022 |
538 [82] | Tossup | September 22, 2022 |
The Economist [83] | Lean R (flip) | November 6, 2022 |
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Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Catherine Cortez Masto (D) | Adam Laxalt (R) | Undecided [lower-alpha 6] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [132] | October 24 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 45.4% | 48.8% | 5.8% | Laxalt +3.4 |
FiveThirtyEight [133] | October 5 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 45.9% | 47.3% | 6.8% | Laxalt +1.4 |
270towin [134] | October 27 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 45.0% | 48.8% | 6.2% | Laxalt +3.8 |
Average | 45.4% | 48.3% | 6.3% | Laxalt +2.9 |
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Catherine Cortez Masto (D) | Adam Laxalt (R) | None of These Candidates | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) [135] | November 5–7, 2022 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 50% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 7] | 2% |
Research Co. [136] | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 47% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 8] | 5% |
Data for Progress (D) [137] | November 2–6, 2022 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 1% | 3% [lower-alpha 9] | – |
InsiderAdvantage (R) [138] [upper-alpha 3] | November 4, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 50% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 10] | 5% |
KAConsulting (R) [139] [upper-alpha 4] | November 2–3, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | – | 1% | 9% |
Cygnal (R) [140] [upper-alpha 3] | November 1–2, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 43% | 46% | – | 5% [lower-alpha 11] | 6% |
Emerson College [141] | October 26–29, 2022 | 2,000 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | 3% |
46% | 51% | 1% | 3% [lower-alpha 13] | – | ||||
Suffolk University [142] | October 24–28, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 3% | 4% [lower-alpha 14] | 5% |
OH Predictive Insights [143] | October 24–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 41% | 1% | 5% [lower-alpha 15] | 10% |
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) [144] [upper-alpha 5] | October 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 48% | <1% | 4% [lower-alpha 16] | 5% |
Echelon Insights [145] | October 24–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 17] | 8% |
46% | 48% | – | – | 6% | ||||
The Trafalgar Group (R) [146] | October 21–24, 2022 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 50% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 18] | 2% |
Siena Research/NYT [147] | October 19–24, 2022 | 885 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 47% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 19] | 4% |
Phillips Academy [148] | October 22–23, 2022 | 1,052 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | – | – | 4% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) [149] [upper-alpha 3] | October 20, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 48% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 20] | 4% |
CBS News/YouGov [150] | October 14–19, 2022 | 1,057 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 49% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 21] | – |
Data for Progress (D) [151] | October 13–19, 2022 | 819 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 22] | 1% |
BSP Research/Shaw & Co. [152] [upper-alpha 6] | October 12–19, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 42% | – | 5% [lower-alpha 23] | 10% |
University of Nevada, Reno [153] | October 5–19, 2022 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 39% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 24] | 5% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [154] [upper-alpha 2] | October 16–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45% | – | 6% [lower-alpha 25] | – |
Rasmussen Reports (R) [155] | October 13–17, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 48% | – | 4% [lower-alpha 26] | 5% |
Suffolk University [156] | October 4–7, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 44% | 3% | 3% [lower-alpha 27] | 5% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [154] [upper-alpha 2] | October 2–4, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 42% | – | 4% [lower-alpha 28] | 10% |
CNN/SSRS [157] | September 26 – October 2, 2022 | 926 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 44% | 2% | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | 1% |
828 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 48% | 2% | 3% [lower-alpha 30] | – | ||
OH Predictive Insights [158] | September 20–29, 2022 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 45% | 3% | 2% [lower-alpha 31] | 7% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) [159] [upper-alpha 3] | September 20, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 46% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 32] | 9% |
Big Data Poll (R) [160] | September 18–20, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 46% | – | – | – |
The Trafalgar Group (R) [161] | September 17–20, 2022 | 1,086 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 47% | – | 5% [lower-alpha 33] | 5% |
Data for Progress (D) [162] | September 14–19, 2022 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | – | 6% [lower-alpha 34] | 2% |
Emerson College [163] | September 8–10, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 42% | – | 4% | 11% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [164] | August 16–24, 2022 | 1,332 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 40% | 3% | 4% [lower-alpha 35] | 9% |
48% | 47% | – | – | 6% | ||||
The Trafalgar Group (R) [165] | August 15–18, 2022 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 47% | – | 4% [lower-alpha 36] | 6% |
Suffolk University [166] | August 14–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 38% | 3% | 3% [lower-alpha 37] | 12% |
Beacon Research (D) [167] [upper-alpha 7] | July 5–20, 2022 | 479 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 39% | – | 1% | 7% |
301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 51% | 45% | – | 1% | 2% | ||
Emerson College [168] | July 7–10, 2022 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 44% | 41% | – | 6% | 9% |
Change Research (D) [169] [upper-alpha 8] | June 24–27, 2022 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | – | – | 12% |
University of Nevada, Reno [170] | May 17–27, 2022 | 1,098 (A) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 27% | – | 11% | 14% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [171] [upper-alpha 9] | April 18–20, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 7% |
OH Predictive Insights [172] | April 1–9, 2022 | 748 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 35% | – | – | 22% |
Suffolk University [173] | April 2–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 43% | 3% | – | 14% |
Blueprint Polling (D) [174] | March 21–24, 2022 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 47% | – | – | 13% |
Change Research (D) [169] [upper-alpha 8] | March 2022 | – (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | – | – | 10% |
OH Predictive Insights [71] | January 19–26, 2022 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 35% | – | – | 21% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) [175] | November 24–29, 2021 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | – | – | 15% |
NRSC (R) [176] [upper-alpha 10] | November 14–17, 2021 | 571 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 46% | – | – | 12% |
The Mellman Group (D) [177] | September 15–22, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 41% | 3% | – | 10% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [178] [upper-alpha 1] | September 11–15, 2021 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 39% | 12% | – | 12% |
VCreek/AMG (R) [179] [upper-alpha 11] | August 9–14, 2021 | 567 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 32% | 42% | – | – | 26% |
Catherine Cortez Masto vs. Sam Brown
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Catherine Cortez Masto (D) | Sam Brown (R) | None of These Candidates | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Nevada, Reno [170] | May 17–27, 2022 | 1,098 (A) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 24% | – | 13% | 16% |
OH Predictive Insights [180] | April 1–9, 2022 | 748 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 34% | – | – | 24% |
Suffolk University [173] | April 2–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | 40% | 5% | – | 17% |
Cortez Masto won urban Clark County and Washoe County, home to Las Vegas and Reno respectively. Combined, these two counties contain more than 80% of the state's total population. While her margin in Clark County fell from 11% in 2016 to 8% in this election, she flipped Washoe County, which she lost by less than 1% in 2016, with a 4% margin of victory. Laxalt won by landslide margins in Nevada's rural counties, but they are lightly populated and cast less than 16% of the total vote. In the end, Cortez Masto's victories in the state's two largest counties gave her too large a lead for Laxalt to overcome in rural Nevada. As of 2023, no Republican has won any U.S. Senate race in Nevada since 2012.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
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Democratic | Catherine Cortez Masto (incumbent) | 498,316 | 48.81% | +1.71% | |
Republican | Adam Laxalt | 490,388 | 48.04% | +3.37% | |
None of These Candidates | 12,441 | 1.22% | -2.59% | ||
Independent | Barry Lindemann | 8,075 | 0.79% | N/A | |
Libertarian | Neil Scott | 6,422 | 0.63% | N/A | |
Independent American | Barry Rubinson | 5,208 | 0.51% | −1.04% | |
Total votes | 1,020,850 | 100.0% | |||
Democratic hold |
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic |
Cortez Masto won 3 of 4 congressional districts. [182]
District | Cortez Masto | Laxalt | Representative |
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1st | 52% | 44.8% | Dina Titus |
2nd | 42.7% | 53.9% | Mark Amodei |
3rd | 51.7% | 45.7% | Susie Lee |
4th | 50.8% | 45.7% | Steven Horsford |
Partisan clients
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) is the Democratic Hill committee for the United States Senate. Its purpose is to elect Democrats to the United States Senate. The DSCC's current Chair is Senator Gary Peters of Michigan, who succeeded Nevada's Catherine Cortez Masto after the 2020 Senate elections. DSCC's current executive director is Christie Roberts.
Paul Dominique Laxalt was an American attorney and politician who served as the 22nd governor of Nevada from 1967 to 1971 and a United States senator representing Nevada from 1974 until 1987. A member of the Republican Party, he was one of Ronald Reagan's closest friends in politics. After Reagan was elected president in 1980, many in the national press referred to Laxalt as "the first friend". He was the older brother of writer Robert Laxalt and maternal grandfather of Adam Laxalt, who served as the 33rd attorney general of Nevada from 2015 to 2019.
Catherine Marie Cortez Masto is an American lawyer and politician serving as the senior United States senator from Nevada, a seat she has held since 2017. A member of the Democratic Party, Cortez Masto served as the 32nd attorney general of Nevada from 2007 to 2015.
The 2010 United States Senate election in Nevada took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator and Majority Leader Harry Reid won re-election to a fifth and final term.
The 1980 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on November 4, 1980. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Paul Laxalt won re-election to a second term. As of 2024, this is the last time that the Republicans have won the Class 3 Senate seat from Nevada. 42 years later Laxalt's grandson and former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt would run to take this senate seat in 2022, but narrowly lost to incumbent Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto.
The 2016 United States Senate election in Nevada was held November 8, 2016 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The state primary election was held June 14, 2016.
The Nevada general election, 2014 was held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, throughout Nevada.
Adam Paul Laxalt is an American attorney and politician who served as the 33rd Nevada Attorney General from 2015 to 2019. A member of the Republican Party, he was the party's unsuccessful nominee for governor of Nevada in 2018 and for the U.S. Senate in 2022.
The 2018 Nevada gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Nevada. Incumbent Republican governor Brian Sandoval was ineligible to run for re-election, due to the absolute two-term limit established by the Nevada Constitution. Nevada is one of eight U.S. states that prohibits its governors or any other state and territorial executive branch officials from serving more than two terms, even if they are nonconsecutive.
The 2018 United States Senate election in Nevada took place November 6, 2018, to elect one of two U.S. senators from Nevada. Incumbent Republican senator Dean Heller lost re-election to a second full term, being defeated by Democratic nominee Jacky Rosen.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Nevada were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the State of Nevada, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the Nevada gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the United States House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on June 12, 2018.
The Nevada general election, 2018 was held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, throughout Nevada.
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nevada was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Nevada, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the Nevada Senate and various state and local elections.
The 2022 Nevada gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Nevada. Incumbent Democratic governor Steve Sisolak lost re-election to a second term, being defeated by Republican nominee, Clark County Sheriff, Joe Lombardo.
The 2024 United States Senate election in Nevada will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada. Democratic incumbent Jacky Rosen is seeking a second term. She is being challenged by Republican businessman Sam Brown. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nevada were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Nevada, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the Nevada gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.
The 2022 Nevada state elections took place on November 8, 2022. On that date, the State of Nevada held elections for the following offices: Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Attorney General, Secretary of State, Treasurer, Controller, U.S. Senate, U.S. House of Representatives, Nevada Senate, Nevada Assembly, and various others. In addition, several measures were on the ballot.
The 2022 Nevada Secretary of State election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the next secretary of state of Nevada.
Samuel Boaz Brown is an American political candidate and military officer. He served in the United States Army during the War in Afghanistan, and sustained burns to thirty percent of his body due to an improvised explosive device injury in 2008.
The 2014 Nevada Attorney General election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Attorney General of Nevada. Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto was ineligible to run for re-election for a third term due to term limits from the Constitution of Nevada. Republican attorney Adam Laxalt defeated Democratic secretary of state Ross Miller with 46.2% of the vote. Until the 2022 Nevada gubernatorial election, this was the most recent time a Republican won a Nevada statewide election while carrying neither Clark nor Washoe Counties.
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