2022 California gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

2022 California gubernatorial election

←  2021 (recall) November 8, 2022 2026  →
Turnout	50.80% (12.48 pp)
Nominee Gavin Newsom Brian Dahle Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 6,470,104 4,462,914 Percentage 59.18% 40.82%
County results Congressional district results State Assembly district results State Senate district results Newsom:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90% Dahle:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Governor before election Gavin Newsom Democratic Elected Governor Gavin Newsom Democratic

The 2022 California gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of California, with the statewide top-two primary election taking place on June 7, 2022. ^[1] Incumbent Democratic Party Governor Gavin Newsom was re-elected to a second term after surviving a recall election in 2021, during his first term.

The elections featured universal mail-in ballots; in-person voting was also available. ^[2] All statewide elected offices are currently held by Democrats. Newsom won 61.9% of the vote in both the 2018 gubernatorial election and the 2021 recall election. He received 55.9% of the top-two primary vote and faced Republican Party state senator Brian Dahle, who received 17.7% of the primary vote, in the general election. ^[3]

Newsom received 59.2% of the vote to Dahle's 40.8%, a smaller margin of victory than in 2018 and the smallest since 2010. Dahle flipped five counties that Newsom carried in 2018, namely Lake, Merced (although Merced voted to recall Newsom), Orange, San Bernardino, and San Joaquin. Dahle received 32% of the vote in Los Angeles County, the highest percentage received by a Republican in the state's most populous county since 2014. ^[4] Dahle also managed to carry two congressional districts represented by Democrats (CA-09 and CA-47). This election marks the fourth consecutive California gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

• Gavin Newsom, incumbent governor ^[5]

Eliminated in primary

• Anthony Fanara, restaurant owner ^[6]
• Armando Perez-Serrato, businessman and candidate in the 2021 recall election ^[6]
• Joel Ventresca, former Service Employees International Union committee member, retired airport analyst and perennial candidate ^{[a] [6]}

Republican Party

Advanced to general

• Brian Dahle, state senator from the 1st district and former Minority Leader of the California State Assembly ^[7]

Eliminated in primary

• Ronald A. Anderson, contractor and businessman ^[6]
• Gurinder Bhangoo (write-in) ^[8]
• Shawn Collins, U.S. Navy veteran and attorney ^[9]
• Ron Jones, former police officer ^[6]
• Jenny Rae Le Roux, entrepreneur and candidate in the 2021 recall election ^[6]
• David Lozano, attorney and candidate in the 2021 recall election ^[6]
• Daniel R. Mercuri, businessman, candidate in the 2021 recall election and for California's 25th congressional district in 2020 ^[6]
• Cristian Raul Morales, manufacturing executive ^[6]
• Robert C. Newman, psychologist and candidate in the 2021 recall election ^[6]
• Lonnie Sortor, business owner ^[6]
• Anthony Trimino, entrepreneur and candidate in the 2021 recall election ^[10]
• Major Williams, entrepreneur and write-in candidate in the 2021 recall election ^[11]
• Leo S. Zacky, businessman, broadcaster, and candidate in the 2021 recall election ^[6]

Declined

• Larry Elder, conservative talk show host, author, and candidate in the 2021 recall election ^[12]
• Kevin Faulconer, former mayor of San Diego (2014–2020) and candidate in the 2021 recall election ^[13]
• Kimberly Guilfoyle, television personality, former advisor to Donald Trump and ex-wife of Gavin Newsom ^[14]
• Kevin Kiley, state assemblyman from the 6th district (2016–present) and candidate in the 2021 recall election (running for CA-03) ^[15]

Green Party

Eliminated in primary

• Heather Collins, small business owner and candidate in the 2021 recall election ^[6]
• Luis J. Rodriguez, poet, novelist, and candidate for governor in 2014 ^{[16] [6]}

American Independent Party

Eliminated in primary

• Jeff Scott (write-in) ^[8]

No party preference

Eliminated in primary

• Serge Fiankan, small business owner ^[6]
• James G. Hanink, former Loyola Marymount University philosophy professor and candidate in the 2021 recall election ^{[note 1] [6]}
• Woodrow Sanders III, entrepreneur and engineer ^[6]
• Frederic C. Schultz, attorney ^[6]
• Reinette Senum, former mayor of Nevada City ^[21]
• Michael Shellenberger, environmental policy writer and Democratic candidate for governor in 2018 ^[22]
• Bradley Zink, children's book author ^[6]

Withdrew

• Adriel Hampton, digital media businessman and candidate for California's 10th congressional district in 2009 ^{[23] [24]}

Endorsements

Brian Dahle (R)

Organizations

• California Republican Party ^[25]

James G. Hanink (NPP)

Political Parties

• American Solidarity Party ^[26]

Individuals

• Brian T. Carroll, teacher, candidate for California's 22nd congressional district in 2018 and president in 2020 ^[27]
• Mike Maturen, candidate for president in 2016 ^[28]

Gavin Newsom (D)

Newspapers and other media

• Los Angeles Times ^[29]

Organizations

• AFSCME California (American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees) ^[30]
• California Democratic Party ^[31]
• California Faculty Association ^[32]
• California Federation of Teachers ^[33]
• California Teachers Association ^[34]
• Equality California ^[35]
• March On ^[36]
• NARAL Pro-Choice California ^[37]
• National Education Association ^[38]
• Stonewall Democrats ^[39]

Luis J. Rodriguez (G)

Political parties

• Green Party of California ^[40]
• Peace and Freedom Party ^[41]

Michael Shellenberger (NPP)

Organizations

• Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association ^[42]

Individuals

• Douglas Murray, author, journalist and public commentator ^[43]
• Steven Pinker, author and public intellectual ^[44]

Primary election

The list of candidates was announced on Mar 31, 2022 by the secretary of state. ^[45]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	(R) Ronald Anderson	(G) Heather Collins	(R) Shawn Collins	(R) Brian Dahle	(D) Anthony Fanara	(I) Serge Fiankan	(I) James Hanink	(R) Ron Jones	(R) Jenny Rae Le Roux	(R) David Lozano	(R) Daniel Mercuri	(R) Cristian Raul Morales	(R) Robert Newman II	(D) Gavin Newsom	(D) Armando Perez-Serrato	(G) Luis Javier Rodriguez	(I) Woodrow Sanders III	(I) Frederic Schultz	(I) Reinette Senum	(I) Michael Shellenberger	(R) Lonnie Sortor	(R) Anthony Trimino	(D) Joel Ventresca	(R) Major Williams	(R) Leo Zacky	(I) Bradley Zink	Undecided
Berkeley IGS [46]	May 24–31, 2022	3,438 (LV)	± 2.2%	1%	0%	3%	10%	1%	0%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	50%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	5%	0%	3%	1%	2%	1%	0%	16%
SurveyUSA [47]	May 13–15, 2022	709 (LV)	± 4.5%	7%	2%	5%	7%	5%	0%	0%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	40%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	18%

Results

Results by county

  Newsom

•   20–30%
•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%

  Dahle

•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%
•   60–70%

Primary results ^[48]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Gavin Newsom (incumbent)	3,945,728	55.9
	Republican	Brian Dahle	1,252,800	17.7
	No party preference	Michael Shellenberger	290,286	4.1
	Republican	Jenny Rae Le Roux	246,665	3.5
	Republican	Anthony Trimino	246,322	3.5
	Republican	Shawn Collins	173,083	2.5
	Green	Luis J. Rodriguez	124,672	1.8
	Republican	Leo S. Zacky	94,521	1.3
	Republican	Major Williams	92,580	1.3
	Republican	Robert C. Newman II	82,849	1.2
	Democratic	Joel Ventresca	66,885	0.9
	Republican	David Lozano	66,542	0.9
	Republican	Ronald A. Anderson	53,554	0.8
	No party preference	Reinette Senum	53,015	0.8
	Democratic	Armando Perez-Serrato	45,474	0.6
	Republican	Ron Jones	38,337	0.5
	Republican	Daniel R. Mercuri	36,396	0.5
	Green	Heather Collins	29,690	0.4
	Democratic	Anthony Fanara	25,086	0.4
	Republican	Cristian Raul Morales	22,304	0.3
	Republican	Lonnie Sortor	21,044	0.3
	No party preference	Frederic C. Schultz	17,502	0.2
	No party preference	Woodrow Sanders III	16,204	0.2
	No party preference	James G. Hanink	10,110	0.1
	No party preference	Serge Fiankan	6,201	0.1
	No party preference	Bradley Zink	5,997	0.1
	American Independent	Jeff Scott (write-in)	13	0.0
	Republican	Gurinder Bhangoo (write-in)	8	0.0
Total votes			7,063,868	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [49]	Solid D	October 26, 2022
Inside Elections [50]	Solid D	November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [51]	Safe D	November 7, 2022
Politico [52]	Solid D	April 1, 2022
RCP [53]	Safe D	January 10, 2022
Fox News [54]	Solid D	May 12, 2022
538 [55]	Solid D	November 8, 2022
Elections Daily [56]	Safe D	November 7, 2022

Debates

Governor Gavin Newsom and State Senator Brian Dahle met on October 23 for their only debate. ^[57]

2022 California gubernatorial debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderators	Link	Participants
P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee   W Withdrawn
					Gavin Newsom	Brian Dahle
1	October 23, 2022	KQED	Scott Shafer Marisa Lagos	YouTube [58]	P	P

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Gavin Newsom (D)	Brian Dahle (R)	Other [c]	Margin
Real Clear Politics [59]	September 22 – October 23, 2022	November 3, 2022	55.0%	34.3%	10.7%	Newsom +20.7
FiveThirtyEight [60]	September 2 – November 8, 2022	November 8, 2022	59.6%	38.7%	1.7%	Newsom +20.9
270ToWin [61]	October 27 – November 7, 2022	November 8, 2022	57.4%	37.0%	5.6%	Newsom +20.4
Average			57.3%	36.7%	6.0%	Newsom +20.6

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom (D)	Brian Dahle (R)	Other	Undecided
Research Co. [62]	November 4–6, 2022	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	56%	37%	7%
USC [63]	October 30 – November 2, 2022	802 (RV)	± 3.5%	62%	38%	–	–
UC Berkeley [64]	October 25–31, 2022	5,972 (LV)	± 2.0%	58%	37%	–	4%
ActiVote [65]	July 29 – October 27, 2022	200 (LV)	± 7.0%	61%	39%	–	–
Public Policy Institute of California [66]	October 14–23, 2022	1,060 (LV)	± 5.4%	55%	36%	4% [d]	5%
SurveyUSA [67]	October 7–10, 2022	1,013 (LV)	± 4.4%	57%	35%	–	8%
UC Berkeley [68]	September 22–27, 2022	6,939 (LV)	± 2.5%	53%	32%	2% [e]	13%
Public Policy Institute of California [69]	September 2–11, 2022	1,060 (LV)	± 5.4%	58%	31%	5% [f]	7%
UC Berkeley [70]	August 9–15, 2022	9,254 (RV)	± 2.0%	52%	25%	4%	19%
		6,321 (LV)	± 2.4%	55%	31%	3%	11%

Hypothetical polling

Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Faulconer

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom (D)	Kevin Faulconer (R)	Undecided
Berkeley IGS [71]	August 30 – September 6, 2021	9,809 (RV)	± 2.3%	49%	27%	24%

Gavin Newsom vs. John Cox

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom (D)	John Cox (R)	Undecided
Berkeley IGS [71]	August 30 – September 6, 2021	9,809 (RV)	± 2.3%	51%	26%	23%

Gavin Newsom vs. Larry Elder

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom (D)	Larry Elder (R)	Undecided
Berkeley IGS [71]	August 30 – September 6, 2021	9,809 (RV)	± 2.3%	52%	30%	18%

Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Kiley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom (D)	Kevin Kiley (R)	Undecided
Berkeley IGS [71]	August 30 – September 6, 2021	9,809 (RV)	± 2.3%	50%	25%	25%

Results

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +12.5-15%

Trend by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +12.5-15%

2022 California gubernatorial election ^{[72] [73]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Gavin Newsom (incumbent)	6,470,104	59.18%	−2.77
	Republican	Brian Dahle	4,462,914	40.82%	+2.77
Total votes			10,933,018	100.00%	N/A
Turnout			10,933,018	50.80%	−12.48
Registered electors			21,940,274
	Democratic hold

By county

^[74]

By county

County Gavin Newsom Democratic Brian Dahle Republican Margin Total votes # % # % # % Alameda 387,046 79.32 100,923 20.68 286,123 58.64 487,969 Alpine 363 58.64 256 41.36 107 17.29 619 Amador 6,027 32.31 12,628 67.69 -6,601 -35.38 18,655 Butte 31,502 43.49 40,939 56.51 -9,437 -13.03 72,441 Calaveras 7,103 33.44 14,137 66.56 -7,034 -33.12 21,240 Colusa 1,553 27.92 4,009 72.08 -2,456 -44.16 5,562 Contra Costa 265,371 68.31 123,132 31.69 142,239 36.61 388,503 Del Norte 3,264 38.97 5,111 61.03 -1,847 -22.05 8,375 El Dorado 34,534 38.95 54,137 61.05 -19,603 -22.11 88,671 Fresno 98,417 44.92 120,668 55.08 -22,251 -10.16 219,085 Glenn 1,930 24.34 6,000 75.66 -4,070 -51.32 7,930 Humboldt 29,541 61.80 18,257 38.20 11,284 23.61 47,798 Imperial 16,711 55.95 13,158 44.05 3,553 11.90 29,869 Inyo 3,382 45.23 4,095 54.77 -713 -9.54 7,477 Kern 69,706 36.94 119,006 63.06 -49,300 -26.13 188,712 Kings 9,389 34.89 17,523 65.11 -8,134 -30.22 26,912 Lake 9,771 48.54 10,360 51.46 -589 -2.93 20,131 Lassen 1,444 15.75 7,726 84.25 -6,282 -68.51 9,170 Los Angeles 1,620,053 67.81 769,174 32.19 850,879 35.61 2,389,227 Madera 13,283 35.94 23,678 64.06 -10,395 -28.12 36,961 Marin 95,289 80.03 23,775 19.97 71,514 60.06 119,064 Mariposa 2,944 37.55 4,896 62.45 -1,952 -24.90 7,840 Mendocino 19,031 62.61 11,363 37.39 7,668 25.23 30,394 Merced 25,200 45.59 30,073 54.41 -4,873 -8.82 55,273 Modoc 687 20.13 2,725 79.87 -2,038 -59.73 3,412 Mono 2,493 54.56 2,076 45.44 417 9.13 4,569 Monterey 65,262 63.90 36,867 36.10 28,395 27.80 102,129 Napa 32,437 64.73 17,671 35.27 14,766 29.47 50,108 Nevada 26,655 52.54 24,082 47.46 2,573 5.07 50,737 Orange 464,206 48.51 492,734 51.49 -28,528 -2.98 956,940 Placer 73,619 40.43 108,450 59.57 -34,831 -19.13 182,069 Plumas 3,083 35.71 5,550 64.29 -2,467 -28.58 8,633 Riverside 285,000 47.83 310,901 52.17 -25,901 -4.35 595,901 Sacramento 274,680 57.51 202,933 42.49 71,747 15.02 477,613 San Benito 10,428 53.26 9,150 46.74 1,278 6.53 19,578 San Bernardino 215,391 47.39 239,109 52.61 -23,718 -5.22 454,500 San Diego 574,121 55.78 455,107 44.22 119,014 11.56 1,029,228 San Francisco 257,402 85.38 44,064 14.62 213,338 70.77 301,466 San Joaquin 85,498 48.22 91,827 51.78 -6,329 -3.57 177,325 San Luis Obispo 61,166 51.13 58,464 48.87 2,702 2.26 119,630 San Mateo 185,599 74.98 61,918 25.02 123,681 49.97 247,517 Santa Barbara 80,648 59.57 54,726 40.43 25,922 19.15 135,374 Santa Clara 379,377 70.01 162,518 29.99 216,859 40.02 541,895 Santa Cruz 79,117 75.95 25,052 24.05 54,065 51.90 104,169 Shasta 18,607 27.16 49,913 72.84 -31,306 -45.69 68,520 Sierra 529 34.28 1,014 65.72 -485 -31.43 1,543 Siskiyou 6,326 35.69 11,397 64.31 -5,071 -28.61 17,723 Solano 77,769 59.54 52,850 40.46 24,919 19.08 130,619 Sonoma 140,041 70.92 57,413 29.08 82,628 41.85 197,454 Stanislaus 55,311 42.23 75,656 57.77 -20,345 -15.53 130,967 Sutter 9,082 32.31 19,024 67.69 -9,942 -35.37 28,106 Tehama 5,024 24.35 15,607 75.65 -10,583 -51.30 20,631 Trinity 1,860 41.09 2,667 58.91 -807 -17.83 4,527 Tulare 33,273 36.43 58,053 63.57 -24,780 -27.13 91,326 Tuolumne 8,471 36.47 14,759 63.53 -6,288 -27.07 23,230 Ventura 153,226 54.54 127,709 45.46 25,517 9.08 280,935 Yolo 44,328 66.03 22,807 33.97 21,521 32.06 67,135 Yuba 6,534 33.28 13,097 66.72 -6,563 -33.43 19,631 Totals 6,470,104 59.18 4,462,914 40.82 2,007,190 18.36 10,933,018 Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Lake (largest municipality: Clearlake) Merced (largest municipality: Merced) Orange (largest municipality: Anaheim) San Bernardino (largest municipality: San Bernardino) San Joaquin (largest municipality: Stockton)

By congressional district

Newsom won 38 of 52 congressional districts, with the remaining 14 going to Dahle, including two that elected Democrats. ^[75]

District	Newsom	Dahle	Representative
1st	33%	67%	Doug LaMalfa
2nd	71%	29%	Jared Huffman
3rd	43%	57%	Kevin Kiley
4th	63%	37%	Mike Thompson
5th	37%	63%	Tom McClintock
6th	54%	46%	Ami Bera
7th	64%	36%	Doris Matsui
8th	74%	26%	John Garamendi
9th	48%	52%	Josh Harder
10th	65%	35%	Mark DeSaulnier
11th	86%	14%	Nancy Pelosi
12th	90%	10%	Barbara Lee
13th	46%	54%	John Duarte
14th	68%	32%	Eric Swalwell
15th	76%	24%	Jackie Speier (117th Congress)
			Kevin Mullin (118th Congress)
16th	73%	27%	Anna Eshoo
17th	71%	29%	Ro Khanna
18th	68%	32%	Zoe Lofgren
19th	65%	35%	Jimmy Panetta
20th	30%	70%	Kevin McCarthy
21st	51%	49%	Jim Costa
22nd	48%	52%	David Valadao
23rd	39%	61%	Jay Obernolte
24th	59%	41%	Salud Carbajal
25th	53%	47%	Raul Ruiz
26th	54%	46%	Julia Brownley
27th	49%	51%	Mike Garcia
28th	63%	37%	Judy Chu
29th	73%	27%	Tony Cárdenas
30th	75%	25%	Adam Schiff
31st	58%	42%	Grace Napolitano
32nd	66%	34%	Brad Sherman
33rd	55%	45%	Pete Aguilar
34th	82%	18%	Jimmy Gomez
35th	55%	45%	Norma Torres
36th	67%	33%	Ted Lieu
37th	85%	15%	Karen Bass (117th Congress)
			Sydney Kamlager-Dove (118th Congress)
38th	58%	42%	Linda Sánchez
39th	55%	45%	Mark Takano
40th	45%	55%	Young Kim
41st	45%	55%	Ken Calvert
42nd	67%	33%	Lucille Roybal-Allard (117th Congress)
			Robert Garcia (118th Congress)
43rd	78%	22%	Maxine Waters
44th	69%	31%	Nanette Barragán
45th	49%	51%	Michelle Steel
46th	60%	40%	Lou Correa
47th	49.7%	50.3%	Katie Porter
48th	38%	62%	Darrell Issa
49th	50.4%	49.6%	Mike Levin
50th	61%	39%	Scott Peters
51st	60%	40%	Sara Jacobs
52nd	63%	37%	Juan Vargas

Notes

1. Candidate for San Francisco Board of Supervisors in 1977, 1979, and 2002, candidate for Mayor of San Francisco in 1995, 1999, and 2019, and candidate in the 2021 recall election
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
4. "Neither/Would not vote" with 4%
5. "Other (write-in)" with 2%
6. "Would not vote" with 5%

1. Hanink was listed on the ballot as "no party preference" and listed in the official Voter Information Guide as "no qualified party preference" because the party with which Hanink was registered, the American Solidarity Party, did not have ballot access at the time the ballot was printed. ^{[17] [18] [19] [20]}

See also

• 2022 United States gubernatorial elections
• 2022 California elections

References

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External links

Official campaign websites

• Brian Dahle (R) for Governor
• Gavin Newsom (D) for Governor