2008 United States House of Representatives elections in California

Last updated

2008 United States House of Representatives elections in California
Flag of California.svg
  2006 November 4, 2008 (2008-11-04) 2010  

All 53 California seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election3419
Seats won3419
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote7,380,8254,515,925
Percentage59.90%36.65%
SwingIncrease2.svg3.00%Decrease2.svg3.48%

CA2008House.svg
2008 House of Representatives Election Results in California by County.svg

The 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 4, 2008, to determine who would represent California various congressional districts in the United States House of Representatives. In the 111th Congress, California has 53 seats in the House, apportioned accordingly after the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected to two-year terms; those elected will serve in the 111th Congress from January 3, 2009, to January 3, 2011. The election coincides with the United States presidential election as well as other elections in California.

Contents

According to CQ Politics , the districts considered the most competitive were the 4th and 11th, with the 3rd, 8th, 26th, 46th and 50th as less than safe as well. [1] However, the partisan balance of the state's congressional delegation did not change, despite the strong Democratic dominance during the broader elections.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2008 [2]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Democratic 7,380,82559.90%340
Republican 4,515,92536.65%190
Libertarian 220,1181.79%00
Independent 90,3400.73%00
Green 60,9260.49%00
Peace and Freedom 47,6590.39%00
American Independent 6,2860.05%00
Valid votes12,322,07989.66%
Invalid or blank votes1,421,09810.34%
Totals13,743,177100.00%53
Voter turnout79.42%

Below are the final official results as reported by the Secretary of State. [2] [3]

District 1

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 1st congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mike Thompson (incumbent) 197,812 68.10
Republican Zane Starkewolf67,85323.36
Green Carol Wolman24,7938.54
Green Pamela Elizondo (write-in)140.00
Total votes290,472 100.00
Turnout  75.99
Democratic hold

District 2

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
California's 2nd congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Wally Herger (incumbent) 163,459 57.89
Democratic Jeffrey Morris118,87842.11
Total votes282,337 100.00
Turnout  76.98
Republican hold

District 3

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Likely RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Likely RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Likely RNovember 6, 2008
California's 3rd congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Dan Lungren (incumbent) 155,424 49.49
Democratic Bill Durston137,97143.93
Peace and Freedom Dina Padilla13,3784.26
Libertarian Douglas Tuma7,2732.32
Total votes314,046 100.00
Turnout  76.21
Republican hold

District 4

(map)

On December 2, 2008, Republican Tom McClintock declared victory over Democrat Charlie Brown in the race in the 4th congressional district. Brown conceded his defeat the next day. The race had been so close that it took four weeks of counting all mailed and provisional ballots before McClintock could be assured of victory.

PollsterDatesRespondentsMcClintockBrownOtherUndecided
Val Smith (R-McClintock)10/21-22/08400 likely voters49%40%--
Val Smith (R-McClintock)9/22-24/08400 likely voters47%39%--
Benenson Strategy (D-Brown)8/21-24/08500 likely voters41%43%-15%
Benenson Strategy (D-Brown)5/14-15/08400 likely voters40%42%-18%

Charlie Brown is a retired Air Force officer who first ran for this seat in 2006, losing to incumbent John Doolittle by three percent of the vote. Brown announced in February 2007 that he would run again in 2008. Doolittle's prospects for reelection suffered because of a federal investigation into his alleged ties to Jack Abramoff. In April 2007, the FBI raided Doolittle's Virginia home. Doolittle denies all wrongdoing, and has not been charged with any crime. On January 10, 2008, Doolittle announced that he would finish his term but not run for re-election. [9]

On March 4, 2008, State Senator Tom McClintock of Thousand Oaks officially launched his campaign for this district at the Placer County Courthouse in Auburn. McClintock received immediate endorsements from local and state Republicans, including State Senator Sam Aanasted, State Assemblyman Ted Gaines, State Assemblyman Rick Keene, Auburn City Councilman Kevin Hanley, Yuba County Supervisor Dan Logue, and Nevada County Supervisor Sue Horne. [10]

Brown was endorsed by Senator Max Cleland, former General Wesley Clark, former Republican Congressman Pete McCloskey, Senator Jim Webb of Virginia, and many veterans' groups including the Veterans' Alliance for Security and Democracy and VoteVets.org. [11]

In the primary election on June 3, 2008, Tom McClintock won the Republican primary with 54% of the vote ahead of Doug Ose, Suzanne Jones, and Theodore Terbolizard, in that order. [12] Other Republican candidates had withdrawn from the race and thus did not appear on the ballot, including Rico Oller, Eric Egland, and Auburn City Councilman Mike Holmes. [13] Charlie Brown won the Democratic primary with 88% of the vote, ahead of John "Wolf" Wolfgram, [12] who had little financial support. [14]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] TossupNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] TossupNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Lean D (flip)November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] TossupNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] TossupNovember 6, 2008
California's 4th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tom McClintock 185,790 50.24
Democratic Charles Brown 183,99049.76
Total votes369,780 100.00
Turnout  82.07
Republican hold

District 5

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 5th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Doris Matsui (incumbent) 164,242 74.27
Republican Paul Smith46,00220.80
Peace and Freedom Linda Roberts10,7314.85
Independent David Lynch (write-in)1800.08
Total votes221,155 100.00
Turnout  70.93
Democratic hold

District 6

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 6th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Lynn Woolsey (incumbent) 229,672 71.69
Republican Mike Halliwell77,07324.06
Libertarian Joel Smolen13,6174.25
Total votes320,362 100.00
Turnout  87.80
Democratic hold

District 7

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 7th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic George Miller (incumbent) 170,962 72.82
Republican Roger Petersen51,16621.79
Peace and Freedom William Callison6,6952.85
Libertarian Camden McConnell5,9502.53
Total votes234,773 100.00
Turnout  79.02
Democratic hold

District 8

(map)

The eighth congressional district has been represented by Democrat Nancy Pelosi since 1993, when the area was redistricted from the 5th congressional district. Pelosi, who is Speaker of the House, is considered safe for re-election, but Iraq War activist Cindy Sheehan announced that she would consider running against Pelosi if Pelosi did not put in an article of impeachment against President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney. [15] She qualified for the ballot as an independent candidate and was endorsed by the Peace and Freedom Party. [16]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 8th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) 204,996 71.87
Independent Cindy Sheehan 46,11816.17
Republican Dana Walsh27,6149.68
Libertarian Philip Berg6,5042.28
Independent Lea Sherman (write-in)110.00
Independent Michelle Clay (write-in)40.00
Total votes285,247 100.00
Turnout  73.15
Democratic hold

District 9

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 9th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Barbara Lee (incumbent) 238,915 86.06
Republican Charles Hargrave26,9179.70
Libertarian James Eyer11,7044.22
Green David Heller (write-in)370.01
Republican Christopher Kula (write-in)270.01
Total votes277,600 100.00
Turnout  72.10
Democratic hold

District 10

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 10th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ellen Tauscher (incumbent) 192,226 65.12
Republican Nicholas Gerber91,87731.13
Peace and Freedom Eugene Ruyle11,0623.75
Total votes295,165 100.00
Turnout  79.75
Democratic hold

District 11

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Lean DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Lean DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Lean DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Likely DNovember 6, 2008
California's 11th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jerry McNerney (incumbent) 164,500 55.27
Republican Dean Andal 133,10444.72
American Independent David Christensen (write-in)120.00
Total votes297,616 100.00
Turnout  78.53
Democratic hold

District 12

(map)

California's 12th congressional district is represented by Democrat Jackie Speier. She won a special election months before the general election to replace Tom Lantos, who represented the district from 1981 until his death due to esophageal cancer at the age of 80 in 2008. Lantos had announced that he would not seek re-election due to his declining health. This overwhelmingly Democratic district comprises mainly northern San Mateo County and the Sunset area of San Francisco.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 12th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jackie Speier (incumbent) 200,442 75.11
Republican Greg Conlon49,25818.46
Peace and Freedom Nathalie Hrizi5,7932.17
Green Barry Hermanson5,7762.16
Libertarian Kevin Peterson5,5842.09
Total votes266,853 100.00
Turnout  72.73
Democratic hold

District 13

(map)

California's 13th congressional district has been represented by Democrat Pete Stark since 1973. Often regarded as the most liberal member of Congress (and its only atheist), Stark ran for re-election and was unopposed for the Democratic nomination. [17] His overwhelmingly Democratic district is centered in the East Bay and includes Hayward.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 13th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Pete Stark (incumbent) 166,829 76.43
Republican Raymond Chui51,44723.57
Total votes218,276 100.00
Turnout  70.72
Democratic hold

District 14

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 14th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Anna Eshoo (incumbent) 190,301 69.77
Republican Ronny Santana60,61022.22
Libertarian Brian Holtz11,9294.37
Green Carol Brouillet9,9263.64
Total votes272,766 100.00
Turnout  78.46
Democratic hold

District 15

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 15th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mike Honda (incumbent) 170,977 71.66
Republican Joyce Cordi55,48923.26
Green Peter Myers12,1235.08
Total votes238,589 100.00
Turnout  78.78
Democratic hold

District 16

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 16th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) 146,481 71.34
Republican Charel Winston49,39924.06
Libertarian Steven Wells9,4474.60
Total votes205,327 100.00
Turnout  75.75
Democratic hold

District 17

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 17th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Sam Farr (incumbent) 168,907 73.88
Republican Jeff Taylor59,03725.82
Independent Peter Andresen (write-in)6820.30
Total votes228,626 100.00
Turnout  79.72
Democratic hold

District 18

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 18th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dennis Cardoza (incumbent) 130,192 100.00
Total votes130,192 100.00
Turnout  48.61
Democratic hold

District 19

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
California's 19th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican George Radanovich (incumbent) 179,245 98.43
Democratic Peter Leinau (write-in)2,4901.37
Independent Phil Rockey (write-in)3660.20
Total votes182,101 100.00
Turnout  51.19
Republican hold

District 20

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 20th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jim Costa (incumbent) 93,023 74.33
Republican Jim Lopez32,11825.67
Total votes125,141 100.00
Turnout  60.55
Democratic hold

District 21

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
California's 21st congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Devin Nunes (incumbent) 143,498 68.39
Democratic Larry Johnson66,31731.61
Total votes209,815 100.00
Turnout  69.40
Republican hold

District 22

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
California's 22nd congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kevin McCarthy (incumbent) 224,549 100.00
Total votes224,549 100.00
Turnout  61.56
Republican hold

District 23

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 23rd congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Lois Capps (incumbent) 171,403 68.07
Republican Matt Kokkonen80,38531.93
Total votes251,788 100.00
Turnout  77.41
Democratic hold

District 24

(map)

California's 24th congressional district has been represented by Republican Elton Gallegly since 1987. Although he had claimed that his 2006 campaign would be his last, Gallegly has announced that he intends to seek another term in 2008. Republican State Senator Tom McClintock, who has name statewide recognition from his several statewide campaigns, would have considered the likely frontrunner were there an open seat but moved to an open seat in Northern California's 4th District in 2008. McClintock had been an intra-party rival to Gallegly, who had hoped to have a political ally nominated to succeed him. Bush won 55% here in 2004.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
California's 24th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Elton Gallegly (incumbent) 174,492 58.15
Democratic Marta Jorgensen125,56041.85
Total votes300,052 100.00
Turnout  77.30
Republican hold

District 25

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
California's 25th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Howard McKeon (incumbent) 144,660 57.73
Democratic Jackie Conaway105,92942.27
Total votes250,589 100.00
Turnout  72.24
Republican hold

District 26

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Likely RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Likely RNovember 6, 2008
California's 26th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican David Dreier (incumbent) 140,615 52.64
Democratic Russ Warner108,03940.44
Libertarian Ted Brown18,4766.92
Total votes267,130 100.00
Turnout  72.22
Republican hold

District 27

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 27th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Brad Sherman (incumbent) 145,812 68.51
Republican Navraj Singh52,85224.83
Libertarian Tim Denton14,1716.66
Total votes212,835 100.00
Turnout  70.78
Democratic hold

District 28

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 28th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Howard Berman (incumbent) 137,471 99.89
Independent Michael Koch (write-in)1500.11
Total votes137,621 100.00
Turnout  55.68
Democratic hold

District 29

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 29th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Adam Schiff (incumbent) 146,198 68.91
Republican Charles Hahn56,72726.74
Libertarian Alan Pyeatt9,2194.35
Total votes212,144 100.00
Turnout  68.57
Democratic hold

District 30

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 30th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Henry Waxman (incumbent) 242,792 100.00
Total votes242,792 100.00
Turnout  58.37
Democratic hold

District 31

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 31st congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Xavier Becerra (incumbent) 110,955 100.00
Total votes110,955 100.00
Turnout  57.69
Democratic hold

District 32

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 32nd congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Hilda Solis (incumbent) 130,142 99.99
Independent Innocent Osunwa (write-in)80.01
Total votes130,150 100.00
Turnout  53.65
Democratic hold

District 33

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 33rd congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Diane Watson (incumbent) 186,924 87.57
Republican David Crowley26,53612.43
Total votes213,460 100.00
Turnout  70.19
Democratic hold

District 34

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 34th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Lucille Roybal-Allard (incumbent) 98,503 77.09
Republican Christopher Balding29,26622.91
Total votes127,769 100.00
Turnout  63.68
Democratic hold

District 35

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 35th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Maxine Waters (incumbent) 150,778 82.58
Republican Ted Hayes24,16913.24
Libertarian Herb Peters7,6324.18
Total votes182,579 100.00
Turnout  69.73
Democratic hold

District 36

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 36th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jane Harman (incumbent) 171,948 68.64
Republican Brian Gibson78,54331.36
Total votes250,491 100.00
Turnout  74.36
Democratic hold

District 37

(map)

This district has been represented by Democrat Laura Richardson since winning a special election on August 21, 2007, that was called after Democrat Juanita Millender-McDonald died of cancer. The staunchly Democratic district includes Compton, some of south-central Los Angeles and much of Long Beach.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 37th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Laura Richardson (incumbent) 131,342 74.94
Independent Nicholas Dibs42,77424.41
Democratic Peter Mathews (write-in)6000.34
Republican June Pouesi (write-in)5260.30
Democratic Lee Davis (write-in)100.01
Total votes175,252 100.00
Turnout  63.24
Democratic hold

District 38

(map)

California's 38th congressional district has been represented by Democrat Grace Napolitano since 1999. Napolitano's heavily Democratic east Los Angeles-based district is a largely Hispanic one that includes Montebello, Pico Rivera, La Puente, and part of Norwalk.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 38th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Grace Napolitano (incumbent) 130,211 81.73
Libertarian Christopher Agrella29,11318.27
Total votes159,324 100.00
Turnout  63.74
Democratic hold

District 39

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 39th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Linda Sánchez (incumbent) 125,289 69.67
Republican Diane Lenning54,53330.33
Total votes179,822 100.00
Turnout  68.28
Democratic hold

District 40

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
California's 40th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ed Royce (incumbent) 144,923 62.55
Democratic Christina Avalos86,77237.45
Total votes231,695 100.00
Turnout  67.40
Republican hold

District 41

(map)

California's 41st congressional district has been represented by Republican Jerry Lewis since 1979. Lewis served as the chair of the House Appropriations Committee when Republicans controlled the House. Lewis, who will be 74 in 2008, has come under investigation for connections to the Copeland Lowery lobbying firm. In spite of speculation that he would retire, Lewis announced he would seek reelection on August 31. [18] Bush won 62% here in 2004.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
California's 41st congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jerry Lewis (incumbent) 159,486 61.65
Democratic Tim Prince99,21438.35
Total votes258,700 100.00
Turnout  71.43
Republican hold

District 42

(map)

California's 42nd congressional district is one of the most conservative districts in the state, and has been represented by Republican Gary Miller since 1999. Before the election, Miller suffered bad press, with four ex-aides accusing him of conflict-of-interest and using his position to profit from the sale of personal land holdings. [19]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
California's 42nd congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Gary Miller (incumbent) 158,404 60.16
Democratic Ed Chau 104,90939.84
Total votes263,313 100.00
Turnout  70.77
Republican hold

District 43

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 43rd congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Joe Baca (incumbent) 108,259 69.14
Republican John Roberts48,31230.86
Total votes156,571 100.00
Turnout  63.37
Democratic hold

District 44

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
California's 44th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ken Calvert (incumbent) 129,937 51.19
Democratic Bill Hedrick123,89048.81
Total votes253,827 100.00
Turnout  72.61
Republican hold

District 45

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Likely RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
California's 45th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mary Bono Mack (incumbent) 155,166 58.29
Democratic Julie Bornstein111,02641.71
Total votes266,192 100.00
Turnout  74.36
Republican hold

District 46

(map)

Republican Dana Rohrabacher's district (which includes the Southern Channel Islands, Palos Verdes Peninsula, and parts of Orange County) has been a Republican stronghold in recent years. Huntington Beach mayor Debbie Cook was the (Democratic) challenger.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Likely RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Likely RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Likely RNovember 6, 2008
California's 46th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Dana Rohrabacher (incumbent) 149,818 52.52
Democratic Debbie Cook 122,89143.08
Green Thomas Lash8,2572.89
Libertarian Ernst Gasteiger4,3111.51
Total votes285,277 100.00
Turnout  70.10
Republican hold

District 47

(map)

California's 47th congressional district was represented by Democrat Loretta Sanchez since 1997. Sanchez won 62% of the vote in a district that barely went to George W. Bush with around 50% to 49% in 2004, which could have resulted in an opening for Republicans, who had not recruited a strong candidate in years. This year, Republican Rosie Avila hoped to oust Sanchez. However, Sanchez's district is located in one of the more Democratic areas of Orange County, including Anaheim and Santa Ana, and Al Gore won this district in 2000 by a comfortable margin.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 47th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Loretta Sanchez (incumbent) 85,878 69.49
Republican Rosemarie Avila31,43225.43
American Independent Robert Lauten6,2745.08
Total votes123,584 100.00
Turnout  57.01
Democratic hold

District 48

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
California's 48th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Campbell (incumbent) 171,658 55.61
Democratic Steve Young125,53740.67
Libertarian Don Patterson11,5073.73
Total votes308,702 100.00
Turnout  70.17
Republican hold

District 49

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
California's 49th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Darrell Issa (incumbent) 140,300 58.30
Democratic Robert Hamilton90,13837.45
Libertarian Lars Grossmith10,2324.25
Total votes240,670 100.00
Turnout  76.19
Republican hold

District 50

(map)

California's 50th congressional district has been represented by Republican Brian Bilbray since 2006. Bilbray won 53% of the vote in a Republican-leaning district north of San Diego that was previously represented by the scandal-plagued Duke Cunningham (R). George W. Bush won 54% here in 2004. Nick Leibham won against Cheryl Ede in the Democratic primary. CQ Politics forecasts the race as 'Safe Republican'.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Lean RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Lean RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Likely RNovember 6, 2008
California's 50th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brian Bilbray (incumbent) 157,502 50.24
Democratic Nick Leibham141,63545.18
Libertarian Wayne Dunlap14,3654.58
Total votes313,502 100.00
Turnout  80.15
Republican hold

District 51

(map)

The congressional district has been held by Bob Filner, who formerly represented the 50th, since its inception following the 1992 redistricting. The district was redrawn following the 2000 census, creating a gerrymandered district boundary. Democratic incumbent Bob Filner of San Diego is seeking reelection and is being challenged by Republican businessman David Lee Joy of Spring Valley. The Libertarian candidate is musician and software systems engineer Dan "Frodo" Litwin of San Diego.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 51st congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bob Filner (incumbent) 148,281 72.75
Republican David Joy49,34524.21
Libertarian Dan Litwin6,1993.04
Total votes203,825 100.00
Turnout  69.06
Democratic hold

District 52

(map)

This race is for an open seat, being vacated by former Republican presidential candidate Duncan Hunter. Both Democratic and Republican candidates are OIF veterans. The Libertarian candidate is 2002 congressional candidate Mike Benoit. [20]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
California's 52nd congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Duncan D. Hunter 160,724 56.37
Democratic Mike Lumpkin111,05138.95
Libertarian Michael Benoit13,3164.67
Independent Joseph Ryan (write-in)470.02
Total votes285,138 100.00
Turnout  79.48
Republican hold

District 53

(map)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
California's 53rd congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Susan Davis (incumbent) 161,315 68.49
Republican Michael Crimmins64,65827.45
Libertarian Edward Teyssier9,5694.06
Total votes235,542 100.00
Turnout  72.72
Democratic hold

References

  1. "2008 House Ratings Chart". Congressional Quarterly. October 28, 2008. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010.
  2. 1 2 "Statement of Vote: November 4, 2008, General Election" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. December 15, 2008. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 2, 2012. Retrieved December 25, 2008.
  3. "October 20, 2008 Report of Registration: Registration by Congressional District" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. October 31, 2008. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 24, 2009. Retrieved January 7, 2009.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 "2008 Competitive House Race Chart". House: Race Ratings. The Cook Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived from the original on November 6, 2008. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 "2008 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. November 2, 2006. Archived from the original on November 6, 2008. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 "2008 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2008. Archived from the original on November 6, 2008. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 "Battle for the House of Representatives". realclearpolitics.com. Real Clear Politics. November 7, 2008. Archived from the original on December 17, 2008. Retrieved December 9, 2023.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 "Race Ratings Chart: House". cqpolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly Inc. Archived from the original on November 6, 2008. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  9. Blake, Aaron; Kucinich, Jackie (January 10, 2008). "Doolittle says he will not seek reelection". The Hill . Archived from the original on January 13, 2008. Retrieved October 18, 2008.
  10. "McClintock Launches Campaign for Congress". Tom McClintock's congressional Campaign. March 4, 2008. Archived from the original on March 9, 2008. Retrieved October 18, 2008.
  11. "New McClintock Attack Site Plagiarizes Charlie Brown's Website". YubaNet.com. September 26, 2008. Archived from the original on July 18, 2011. Retrieved October 18, 2008.
  12. 1 2 "Statement of Vote: June 3, 2008, Statewide Direct Primary Election" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. September 2, 2008. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 16, 2008. Retrieved October 18, 2008.
  13. Whitney, David (August 15, 2007). "Second Republican takes on Doolittle". The Sacramento Bee . Archived from the original on June 2, 2008. Retrieved February 9, 2016.
  14. Moller, Dave. "Congressional Showdown". The Union. Retrieved October 18, 2008.
  15. "Cindy Sheehan considering run against Pelosi". CNN. July 8, 2007. Archived from the original on July 11, 2007. Retrieved October 18, 2008.
  16. "Cindy Sheehan for Congress!". Peace and Freedom Party . Retrieved October 18, 2008.
  17. "County finalizes primary ballots". Inside Bay Area. March 11, 2008.
  18. "Rep. Jerry Lewis to Run for Re-election Despite Lobbying Probe". Fox News. Associated Press. August 31, 2008. Retrieved January 7, 2009.
  19. Heisel, William (December 12, 2006). "Ex-aides allege abuse of power". Los Angeles Times . Archived from the original on January 10, 2007. Retrieved February 15, 2007.
  20. "Direct Primary Election, Candidate List" (PDF). County of San Diego - Registrar of Voters. March 26, 2008. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 14, 2008. Retrieved March 26, 2008.