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Elections in New Hampshire |
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The 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 4, 2008, to determine who would represent the state of New Hampshire in the United States House of Representatives during the 111th Congress from January 3, 2009, until January 3, 2011. Both seats were held by Democratic incumbents before the election, which coincided with the 2008 presidential election, as well as the state's senatorial and gubernatorial elections.
The primary election was held on September 9, 2008. Republicans selected Former Representative Jeb Bradley and newspaper columnist and radio show host Jennifer Horn to challenge incumbent Representatives Carol Shea-Porter and Paul Hodes. Although CQ Politics had forecast the First Congressional District to be at risk for a change of party control, both incumbents were re-elected.
District | Incumbent | 2010 Status | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Carol Shea-Porter | Re-election | Carol Shea-Porter | Jeb Bradley | Robert Kingsbury |
2 | Paul Hodes | Re-election | Paul Hodes | Jennifer Horn | Chester L. Lapointe, II |
United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire, 2008 [1] | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
Democratic | 364,767 | 54.08% | 2 | - | |
Republican | 294,560 | 43.67% | 0 | - | |
Libertarian | 15,221 | 2.26% | 0 | - | |
Totals | 674,548 | 100.00% | 2 | - | |
This district covers the southeastern and eastern portions of New Hampshire, consisting of three general areas: Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. It includes all of Carroll and Strafford counties, almost all of Rockingham county, a small portion of Hillsborough County, and one town in Merrimack County.
Democratic incumbent Carol Shea-Porter defeated Republican nominee Jeb Bradley and Libertarian Robert Kingsbury. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'No Clear Favorite'; The Rothenberg Political Report ranked the race as 'Pure Toss-Up'; and The Cook Political Report listed the race as a 'Democratic Toss-Up'.
Shea-Porter squeaked into Congress by a 51% to 49% margin against incumbent Republican Bradley in one of the greatest upsets of the 2006 election cycle. In January 2007, Bradley announced his intent to seek a rematch in 2008. He faced and defeated Former Assistant Attorney General and Department of Health and Human Services commissioner John Stephen in a close Republican primary. Shea-Porter did not face a primary challenge. George W. Bush narrowly won this district with 51% to 49% for John Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=R+0).
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeb Bradley | 18,559 | 51.04% | ||
Republican | John Stephen | 16,766 | 46.11% | ||
Republican | Geoff Michael | 534 | 1.47% | ||
Republican | Dave Jarvis | 414 | 1.14% | ||
Independent | Other | 89* | 0.24% | ||
Turnout | 36,362 | 100% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Carol Shea-Porter (Incumbent) | 176,435 | 51.73% | +0.4% | |
Republican | Jeb Bradley | 156,338 | 45.84% | −2.76% | |
Libertarian | Robert Kingsbury | 8,100 | 2.37% | +2.37% | |
Turnout | 341,071 | 100.00% | |||
Democratic hold | Swing |
Source | Date | Democrat: Carol Shea-Porter | Republican: Jeb Bradley | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|
Concord Monitor/Research 2000 [2] | September 22–24, 2008 | 44% | 43% | |
WMUR Granite State Poll [3] | September 14–21, 2008 | 42% | 45% | 12% |
Granite State Poll [4] | July 11–20, 2008 | 40% | 46% | 14% |
Granite State Poll [5] | April 25–30, 2008 | 39% | 45% | 13% |
The University of New Hampshire's Granite State Poll conducted in July found that incumbent Representative Carol Shea-Porter had a +3% net favorability rating in the district (35% favorable, 32% unfavorable, 9% neutral, and 24% did not know enough about her) while Former Representative Jeb Bradley had a net favorability rating of +21% (48% favorable, 27% unfavorable, 8% neutral, and 17% did not know enough about him). The majority of Republicans supported Bradley, Democrats supported Shea-Porter, and Independents were leaning toward Bradley (40% to 26%). Shea-Porter led among women (46% to 36%) and Bradley led among men (56% to 34%).
In September, the fall Granite State Poll found that Shea-Porter's net favorability had increased to +13% (44% favorable, 31% unfavorable, 5% neutral, and 20% did not know enough about her), while Bradley's favorability has fallen to +7% (36% favorable, 29% unfavorable, 14% neutral, and 21% did not know enough about him). The majority of Republicans supported Bradley, Democrats supported Shea-Porter, and Independents were leaning toward Bradley (44% to 38%). Shea-Porter continued to lead among women (50% to 39%) and Bradley maintained his lead among men (52% to 32%).
Current Candidate Websites
Former Candidate Websites
This district consists of the western and northern portions of the state, including all of Cheshire, Coos, Grafton, and Sullivan counties as well as almost all of Merrimack and Hillsborough counties plus three towns in Rockingham county and two towns in Belknap County.
Democratic incumbent Paul Hodes defeated Republican nominee Jennifer Horn and Libertarian Chester L. Lapointe, II. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Democrat Favored'.
In 2006, Democrat Hodes upended Republican incumbent Charlie Bass with a 53% to 45% victory. In 2008 Jennifer Horn, a radio talk show host, [6] won the Republican primary against former Congressional Aide Grant Bosse, State Senator Bob Clegg, businessman Jim Steiner and Alfred L'Eplattenier. [7] John Kerry narrowly won the district with 52% of the vote in 2004 (CPVI=D+3).
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jennifer Horn | 12,667 | 40.29% | ||
Republican | Bob Clegg | 10,731 | 34.13% | ||
Republican | Jim Steiner | 4,561 | 14.51% | ||
Republican | Grant Bosse | 2,944 | 9.36% | ||
Republican | Alfred L'Eplattenier | 540 | 1.72% | ||
Turnout | 31,443 | 100% |
{{Election box candidate with party link|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Paul Hodes (Incumbent) | 188,332 | 56.4% | +3.4% | |
Republican | Jennifer Horn | 138,222 | 41.4% | −3.6% | |
Libertarian | Chester L. Lapointe, II | 7,121 | 2.1% | +0.1% | |
Turnout | 333,675 | 100.00% | |||
Democratic hold | Swing |
Current candidates
Former candidates
Charles Foster Bass is an American politician and member of the Republican Party who served as a member of the United States House of Representatives for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district from 1995 to 2007 and 2011 to 2013. He is the son of Perkins Bass, who also represented the same New Hampshire district from 1955 to 1963.
Joseph Edmund "Jeb" Bradley III is an American politician and member of the Republican Party who serves in the New Hampshire Senate. He represents his hometown of Wolfeboro, New Hampshire and 16 other towns in east-central New Hampshire for District 3. He was a member of the New Hampshire House of Representatives from 1990 to 2000, and then served as the U.S. representative for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district from 2003 to 2007. He was Majority Leader of the New Hampshire Senate from 2010 to 2018 and again from 2020 to 2022.
Frank Christopher Guinta is an American businessman and politician who represented New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in the United States House of Representatives from 2011 to 2013 and 2015 to 2017. A member of the Republican Party, he previously served as the mayor of Manchester, New Hampshire, from 2006 to 2010. He is identified by National Journal as a moderate.
Carol Shea-Porter is an American politician and member of the Democratic Party who is the former member of the United States House of Representatives for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district. She held the seat from 2007 to 2011, 2013 to 2015, and 2017 to 2019.
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