2008 United States presidential election in Maine

Main article: 2008 United States presidential election

2008 United States presidential election in Maine

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Nominee Barack Obama John McCain Party Democratic Republican Home state Illinois Arizona Running mate Joe Biden Sarah Palin Electoral vote 4 0 Popular vote 421,923 295,273 Percentage 57.71% 40.38%

County Results Congressional District Results Municipality Results Obama   40-50%   50-60%   60-70%   70–80%   80–90% McCain   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90% Tie

President before election George W. Bush Republican Elected President Barack Obama Democratic

The 2008 United States presidential election in Maine took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Maine is one of two states in the U.S. that instead of all of the state's four electors of the Electoral College to vote based upon the statewide results of the voters, two of the individual electors vote based on their congressional district because Maine has two congressional districts. The other two electors vote based upon the statewide results. See below in the section of Electors for more information.

Maine once again displayed its status as a blue state, with Democrat Barack Obama taking the state with 57.71% of the vote and a difference of 126,650 votes. Maine is one of only two states, along with Nebraska, to not allocate its electoral votes via a winner-take-all system; rather, two electoral votes are allocated to the statewide winner and one for the winner in each individual congressional district. Maine at-large and its 1st district has voted Democratic since 1992, and the 2nd district did the same until Donald Trump won it in 2016 and 2020. It is also the only state in New England where a county voted for Republican John McCain, with Piscataquis County giving McCain roughly 50.7% of the vote.

Caucuses

• 2008 Maine Democratic presidential caucuses
• 2008 Maine Republican presidential caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

Source	Ranking
D.C. Political Report [1]	Likely D
Cook Political Report [2]	Solid D
The Takeaway [3]	Solid D
Electoral-vote.com [4]	Solid D
Washington Post [5]	Solid D
Politico [6]	Solid D
RealClearPolitics [7]	Solid D
FiveThirtyEight [5]	Solid D
CQ Politics [8]	Solid D
The New York Times [9]	Solid D
CNN [10]	Lean D
NPR [5]	Solid D
MSNBC [5]	Solid D
Fox News [11]	Likely D
Associated Press [12]	Likely D
Rasmussen Reports [13]	Safe D

Polling

Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Maine

Obama won every single pre-election poll. The final 3 polls averaged Obama leading 55% to 39%. ^[14]

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $465,676 in the state, while Barack Obama raised $2,205,059. ^[15]

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $1,216,060 while McCain and the RNC spent $444,529. ^[16] The Obama ticket didn't visit the state, but both McCain and Palin visited Maine once. ^[17]

Analysis

Maine is located in New England, an area that has become a Democratic Party stronghold. It was once a classic Yankee Republican state. It identified with the newly formed GOP in 1856 and stayed in the GOP fold for most of the next 132 years. The GOP carried the state in all but three elections (1912, 1964 and 1968) from 1856 to 1988. Additionally, Maine and Vermont were the only two states that voted against Franklin D. Roosevelt in all four of his campaigns. However, no Republican presidential nominee has carried Maine since George H. W. Bush in 1988, leading many analysts to reckon the state as part of the solid bloc of blue states in the Northeast. While George W. Bush seriously contested the state in 2000 and 2004, polls in 2008 never showed anything but a significant Obama lead.

Ultimately, Obama won the state by a comfortable margin, taking 57.71% of the vote—the highest percentage by a Democrat in Maine since Lyndon B. Johnson carried it as part of his 44-state landslide in 1964, although Bill Clinton in 1996 won with a wider margin when third parties were a factor. As evidence of how Democratic Maine has become, George W. Bush at the time was only the second Republican ever to win the White House without carrying Maine, the first being Richard Nixon in 1968 when Maine Senator Edmund Muskie was the Democratic vice-presidential nominee. At the same time, however, incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Susan Collins defeated former Democratic U.S. Representative Tom Allen and won reelection to a third term with 61.33% of the vote. Maine was the only state carried by Obama to elect a Republican to the U.S. Senate in 2008.

The seat in Maine's 1st Congressional District that was vacated by Tom Allen in his unsuccessful bid for the U.S. Senate was retained by Democrat Chellie Pingree. At the state level, Democrats made gains in the Maine Legislature, picking up six seats in the Maine House of Representatives and one seat in the Maine Senate.

Results

Statewide

2008 United States presidential election in Maine
Party		Candidate	Running mate	Votes	Percentage	Electoral votes
	Democratic	Barack Obama	Joe Biden	421,923	57.71%	4
	Republican	John McCain	Sarah Palin	295,273	40.38%	0
	Independent	Ralph Nader	Matt Gonzalez	10,636	1.45%	0
	Green	Cynthia McKinney	Rosa Clemente	2,900	0.40%	0
	Libertarian	Bob Barr (write-in)	Wayne Allyn Root (write-in)	251	0.03%	0
	Constitution	Chuck Baldwin (write-in)	Darrell Castle (write-in)	177	0.02%	0
Totals				731,163	100.00%	4
Voter turnout				%		—

Congressional District

Barack Obama won both of Maine’s two congressional districts.

District	McCain	Obama	Representative
1st	37.69%	60.51%	Tom Allen (110th Congress)
			Chellie Pingree (111th Congress)
2nd	43.35%	54.61%	Mike Michaud

By county

County	Barack Obama Democratic		John McCain Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Androscoggin	31,017	56.55%	22,671	41.33%	1,162	2.12%	8,346	15.22%	54,850
Aroostook	19,345	53.75%	15,898	44.17%	751	2.09%	3,447	9.58%	35,994
Cumberland	105,218	64.10%	56,186	34.23%	2,747	1.67%	49,032	29.87%	164,151
Franklin	10,113	58.87%	6,627	38.58%	438	2.55%	3,486	20.29%	17,178
Hancock	18,895	58.74%	12,686	39.44%	584	1.82%	6,209	19.30%	32,165
Kennebec	37,238	56.43%	27,482	41.65%	1,266	1.92%	9,756	14.78%	65,986
Knox	13,728	59.74%	8,816	38.36%	436	1.90%	4,912	21.38%	22,980
Lincoln	11,886	55.07%	9,287	43.03%	411	1.90%	2,599	12.04%	21,584
Oxford	17,940	56.68%	12,863	40.64%	847	2.68%	5,077	16.04%	31,650
Penobscot	41,614	51.72%	37,495	46.60%	1,358	1.69%	4,119	5.12%	80,467
Piscataquis	4,430	46.96%	4,785	50.72%	219	2.32%	-355	-3.76%	9,434
Sagadahoc	12,152	57.05%	8,721	40.94%	428	2.01%	3,431	16.11%	21,301
Somerset	13,335	51.77%	11,867	46.07%	556	2.16%	1,468	5.70%	25,758
Waldo	11,967	54.77%	9,423	43.13%	460	2.10%	2,544	11.64%	21,850
Washington	8,246	49.51%	8,077	48.50%	331	1.99%	169	1.01%	16,654
York	64,799	59.36%	42,389	38.83%	1,973	1.81%	22,410	20.53%	109,161
Total	421,923	57.71%	295,273	40.38%	13,967	1.91%	126,650	17.33%	731,163

County Flips:

Democratic   Hold   Gain from Republican

Republican   Hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Washington (largest borough: Calais)

Electors

Main article: List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Maine cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Maine is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded just 2 of the electoral votes. The other 2 electoral votes are based upon the congressional district results. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. ^[18] An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. Since Obama won both congressional districts, all 4 were pledged to Barack Obama and Joe Biden: ^[19]

• Robert O'Brien of Portland, ME. He works in a hardware store and has been active with the Democratic Party since 1984. ^[20]
• Jill Duson, of Portland, ME. She's a third term city councilor and a former mayor. ^[21]
• Samuel Shapiro of Waterville, ME. He's been a party activist since 1953 and is a former state treasurer. ^[22]
• Tracie Reed of Portland, ME. She's a master's candidate in the University of Massachusetts Amherst's architecture program and a political organizer. ^[23]

See also

• United States presidential elections in Maine

References

1. "D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries". January 1, 2009. Archived from the original on January 1, 2009. Retrieved October 23, 2022.
2. "Presidential". May 5, 2015. Archived from the original on May 5, 2015. Retrieved August 23, 2021.
3. "Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions". April 22, 2009. Archived from the original on April 22, 2009. Retrieved August 23, 2021.
4. "Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily". electoral-vote.com. Retrieved August 23, 2021.
5. Based on Takeaway
6. "POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com". www.politico.com. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
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8. "CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on June 14, 2009. Retrieved December 20, 2009.
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10. "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN. October 31, 2008. Archived from the original on June 19, 2010. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
11. "Winning The Electoral College". Fox News. April 27, 2010.
12. "roadto270". hosted.ap.org. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
13. "Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports". www.rasmussenreports.com. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
14. Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
15. "Presidential Campaign Finance". Archived from the original on March 24, 2009. Retrieved August 20, 2009.
16. "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
17. "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
18. "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on October 30, 2008. Retrieved November 1, 2008.
19. Central Maine news, sports & weather & breaking news around Waterville | The Morning Sentinel, Waterville, ME ^{[ permanent dead link ]}
20. http://pressherald.mainetoday.com/story.php?id=219859&ac=%5B%5D
21. "Jill Duson — The League of Young Voters". Archived from the original on September 5, 2008. Retrieved July 5, 2009.
22. "Maine Office of the State Treasurer: About Us: Former Treasurers". Archived from the original on December 5, 2007. Retrieved July 5, 2009.
23. "Blogger: User Profile: Tracie Reed". Archived from the original on August 6, 2008. Retrieved July 5, 2009.