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Statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2008 United States presidential election are as follows.
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [29] | June 11–30 | 36% | 47% | 4% | <1% | 11 | 481 LV | ±4.6% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
American Research Group [30] | November 1– 3 | 43% | 55% | 12 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Hays Research Group [31] | November 2 | 44.6% | 49.3% | 4.7 | 400 A | ±4.9% |
Polimetrix/YouGov [32] | October 18–November 1 | 38% | 55% | 17 | 358 LV | Not reported |
Dittman Research [33] | October 27–29 | 37% | 56% | 19 | 489 LV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [34] | October 28 | 41% | 57% | 16 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
The Anchorage Press/The Frontiersman/KENI 650 AM/KTUU Channel 2/Ivan Moore Research [35] | October 17–19 | 42% | 53% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [36] | October 6 | 40% | 55% | 15 | 500 LV | Not reported |
The Anchorage Press/The Frontiersman/KENI 650 AM/KTUU Channel 2/Ivan Moore Research [37] | October 3–6 | 38% | 55% | 17 | 500 LV | Not reported |
Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) [38] | September 17–21 | 37% | 55% | 18 | 601 LV | ±4% |
American Research Group [39] | September 9–11 | 36% | 60% | 24 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [40] | September 9 | 33% | 64% | 31 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
The Anchorage Press/The Frontiersman/KENI 650AM/KTUU Channel 2/Ivan Moore Research [41] | August 30–September 2 | 34.9% | 53.5% | 18.6 | 500 LV | Not reported |
American Viewpoint (R) [42] | August 30–September 2 | 33% | 57% | 24 | 400 RV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [43] | July 30 | 42% | 48% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Ivan Moore Research [44] | July 18–22, 2008 | 44.3% | 46.7% | 2.4 | 504 LV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [45] | July 17 | 44% | 49% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [46] | June 16 | 41% | 45% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [47] | May 14 | 41% | 50% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4% |
April 7 | 43% | 48% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% | |
SurveyUSA [48] | February 26–29 | 43% | 48% | 5 | 617 RV | ±4% |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 1457/Hays Research Group (D) [49] | August 6–7 | 45% | 40% | N/A | 2% | 5 | 400 A | ±4.9% |
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee/Global Strategy Group (D) [50] | June 5–10 | 42% | 44% | 3% | N/A | 2 | 600 LV | Not reported |
10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [51] | October 18–November 1 | 46% | 50% | 4 | 682 RV | Not reported |
American Research Group [52] | October 28–30 | 46% | 50% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [53] | October 27–28 | 44% | 48% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [54] | October 23–28 | 46% | 53% | 7 | 897 LV | ±3.5% |
Project New West/Myers Research/Myers Research/Grove Research (D) [55] | October 23–25 | 44% | 48% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
University of Washington/Northern Arizona University [56] | October 18–27 | 41% | 49% | 8 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
Channel Eight/KAET-TV/Arizona State University [57] | October 23–26 | 44% | 46% | 2 | 1,019 RV | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [58] | October 26 | 46% | 51% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Zimmerman & Associates [59] | October 16–19 | 41.5% | 43.5% | 2 | 408 LV | ±4.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [60] | September 29 | 38% | 59% | 21 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Channel Eight/KAET-TV/Arizona State University [61] | September 26–28 | 38% | 45% | 7 | 975 RV | ±3.1% |
Project New West/Myers Research/Myers Research/Grove Research (D) [62] | September 14–16 | 40% | 54% | 14 | 600 LV | ±4% |
American Research Group [63] | September 11–14 | 39% | 57% | 18 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [64] | August 13–15 | 41% | 47% | 6 | 400 LV | ±5% |
Public Policy Polling [65] | July 30–31 | 40% | 52% | 12 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [66] | July 30 | 38% | 57% | 19 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [67] | June 25 | 40% | 49% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Channel Eight/KAET-TV/Arizona State University [68] | June 20–21 | 28% | 38% | 10 | 350 RV | ±5.2% |
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) [69] | May 12–20 | 39% | 50% | 11 | 630 RV | ±4% |
Channel Eight/KAET-TV/Arizona State University [70] | April 24–27 | 38% | 47% | 9 | 577 RV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [71] | April 15 | 37% | 57% | 20 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Northern Arizona University [72] | March 30–April 8 | 33% | 55% | 22 | 369 LV | ±5% |
SurveyUSA [73] | February 26–28 | 39% | 51% | 12 | 613 RV | ±4% |
Channel Eight/KAET-TV/Arizona State University [74] | February 21–24 | 38% | 49% | 11 | 552 RV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [75] | November 28, 2007 | 33% | 55% | 22 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [76] | October 3, 2007 | 36% | 50% | 14 | 500 LV | Not reported |
Channel Eight/KAET-TV/Arizona State University [77] | August 23–26, 2007 | 34% | 48% | 14 | 738 RV | ±3.6% |
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) [78] | May 24–29, 2007 | 37% | 51% | 14 | 628 RV | ±3.9% |
Northern Arizona University [79] | April 13–19, 2007 | 39% | 54% | 15 | 493 RV | Not reported |
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) [80] | March 10–21, 2007 | 32% | 57% | 25 | 600 RV | ±3.9% |
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) [81] | February 12–22, 2007 | 33% | 56% | 23 | 629 RV | ±3.9% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Channel Eight/KAET-TV/Arizona State University [82] | August 14–16 | 30% | 40% | <1% | 2 | 10 | 402 RV | ±4.9% |
Zogby Interactive [83] | June 11–30 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 2% | 3 | 1,142 LV | ±3.0% |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [84] | October 18–November 1 | 41% | 53% | 12 | 491 RV | Not reported |
American Research Group [85] | October 28–31 | 44% | 51% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [86] | October 27 | 44% | 54% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
University of Arkansas [87] | October 1–22 | 36% | 51% | 15 | 1,441 RV | ±2.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [88] | September 22 | 42% | 51% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [89] | September 19–22 | 41% | 53% | 12 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [90] | | July 17 | 39% | 52% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
June 12 | 39% | 48% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% | |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [91] | May 12 | 33% | 57% | 24 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [92] | March 18 | 30% | 59% | 29 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
University of Central Arkansas/Opinion Research Associates [93] | March 6–11 | 27% | 43% | 16 | 500 RV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [94] | February 26–28 | 33% | 53% | 20 | 586 RV | ±4.1% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [95] | June 11–30 | 41% | 39% | 4% | 1% | 2 | 461 LV | ±4.7% |
55 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) [135] | September 5–14 | 52% | 36% | 1% | 1% | 16 | 830 LV | ±3.5% |
Zogby Interactive [136] | June 11–30 | 52% | 32% | 5% | 1% | 20 | 4,557 LV | ±1.5% |
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [195] | August 15–19 | 44% | 38% | 8% | 2% | 6 | 717 LV | ±3.7% |
Rocky Mountain News/CBS4 News/Public Opinion Strategies/RBI Strategies [196] | August 11–13 | 41% | 44% | 3% | 2% | 3 | 500 RV | ±4.38% |
Zogby Interactive [197] | June 11–30 | 40% | 38% | 8% | 2% | 2 | 780 LV | ±3.6% |
Five-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group [198] | October 22–26 | 50% | 41% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 9 | 626 LV | ±3.9% |
Suffolk University [199] | October 10–13 | 47% | 43% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Suffolk University [200] | August 21–24 | 44% | 39% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 5 | 450 LV | ±4.6% |
7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [201] | October 18–November 1 | 58% | 37% | 21 | 704 RV | Not reported |
Hartford Courant/University of Connecticut [202] | October 18–22 | 56% | 31% | 25 | 502 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [203] | October 16 | 56% | 39% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
WABC-TV New York/SurveyUSA [204] | September 24–25 | 54% | 38% | 16 | 686 LV | ±3.8% |
Pulsar Research [205] | September 19–23 | 49% | 35% | 14 | 500 LV | ±4% |
American Research Group [206] | September 17–19 | 54% | 39% | 15 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [207] | September 16 | 53% | 41% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [208] | July 31 | 53% | 40% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [209] | July 1 | 52% | 35% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University [210] | June 26–29 | 56% | 35% | 21 | 2,437 LV | ±2% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [211] | May 29 | 47% | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University [212] | March 19–24 | 52% | 35% | 17 | 1,697 RV | ±2.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [213] | March 11 | 50% | 38% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [214] | February 26–28 | 55% | 34% | 21 | 640 RV | ±3.9% |
Quinnipiac University [215] | May 2–7, 2007 | 46% | 38% | 8 | 1,427 RV | ±2.6% |
Quinnipiac University [216] | February 9–12, 2007 | 43% | 38% | 5 | 1,087 RV | ±3% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [217] | June 11–30 | 48% | 32% | 5% | 2% | 16 | 595 LV | ±4.1% |
3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [218] | October 18–November 1 | 59% | 37% | 22 | 346 RV | Not reported |
WCAU-TV Philadelphia/SurveyUSA [219] | October 27–28 | 63% | 33% | 30 | 657 LV | ±3.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [220] | October 10 | 56% | 41% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
West Chester University [221] | October 6–8 | 55.5% | 38.4% | 17.1 | 429 LV | ±4.8% |
WCAU-TV Philadelphia/SurveyUSA [222] | September 22–23 | 57% | 37% | 20 | 703 LV | ±3.7% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) [223] | September 17–21 | 56% | 36% | 20 | 601 LV | ±4% |
American Research Group [224] | September 13–15 | 51% | 40% | 11 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [225] | September 13 | 55% | 43% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [226] | February 26–28 | 50% | 41% | 9 | 608 RV | ±4.1% |
3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [227] | October 18–November 1 | 81% | 15% | 66 | 228 RV | Not reported |
American Research Group [228] | September 11–13 | 82% | 13% | 69 | 600 LV | ±4% |
27 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WFLA-TV Tampa/WFOR-TV Miami/WFTX-TV Ft. Myers/WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola/SurveyUSA [229] | October 31–November 3 | 50% | 47% | 3 | 691 LV | ±3.8% |
Reuters/Zogby International [230] | October 31–November 3 | 49.2% | 48% | 1.2 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
Datamar [231] | November 1–2 | 47% | 48.2% | 1.2 | 657 RV | ±3.8% |
Public Policy Polling [232] | October 31–November 2 | 50% | 48% | 2 | 1,717 LV | ±2.4% |
Quinnipiac University [233] | October 27–November 2 | 47% | 45% | 2 | 1,773 LV | ±2.3% |
Polimetrix/YouGov [234] | October 18–November 1 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,001 RV | Not reported |
American Research Group [235] | October 29–31 | 50% | 46% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Datamar [236] | October 29–30 | 46.7% | 46.7% | Tied | 995 RV | ±3.1% |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [237] | October 28–29 | 47% | 45% | 2 | 625 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [238] | October 23–28 | 51% | 47% | 4 | 747 LV | ±3.5% |
Florida Chamber of Commerce [239] | October 26–27 | 45% | 41% | 4 | 601 RV | ±3.9% |
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg [240] | October 24–27 | 50% | 43% | 7 | 639 LV | ±3% |
Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics [241] | October 23–27 | 48% | 44% | 4 | 402 RV | ±4.9% |
Datamar [242] | October 25–26 | 49.2% | 44.4% | 4.8 | 630 RV | ±3.9% |
Reuters/Zogby International [243] | October 23–26 | 47.2% | 46.9% | 0.3 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group [244] | October 22–26 | 45% | 43% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Quinnipiac University [245] | October 22–26 | 47% | 45% | 2 | 1,435 LV | ±2.6% |
Politico/InsiderAdvantage [246] | October 22 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 562 LV | ±4% |
St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/The Polling Company Inc./Schroth, Eldon & Associates Research [247] | October 20–22 | 49% | 42% | 7 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [248] | October 20–21 | 45% | 46% | 1 | 625 LV | ±4% |
Quinnipiac University [249] | October 16–21 | 49% | 44% | 5 | 1,433 LV | ±2.6% |
Zogby Interactive [250] | October 17–20 | 48.8% | 45.2% | 3.6 | 1,252 LV | ±2.8% |
Public Policy Polling [251] | October 16–19 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,158 LV | ±2.9% |
WFLA-TV Tampa/WFOR-TV Miami/WFTX-TV Ft. Myers/WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola/SurveyUSA [252] | October 16 | 45% | 47% | 2 | 553 LV | ±4.3% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [253] | October 11–14 | 51% | 46% | 5 | 765 LV | ±3.5% |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [254] | October 13 | 48% | 44% | 4 | 612 LV | ±3.8% |
Datamar [255] | October 12–13 | 47.1% | 42.1% | 5 | 1,328 RV | ±2.7% |
Zogby Interactive [256] | October 9–13 | 48.2% | 47.1% | 1.1 | 1,231 LV | ±2.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [257] | October 8 | 50% | 47% | 3 | 700 LV | ±4% |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [258] | October 4–6 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 625 LV | ±4% |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [259] | September 30 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 532 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [260] | September 27–30 | 51% | 47% | 4 | 770 LV | ±3.5% |
Quinnipiac University [261] | September 27–29 | 51% | 43% | 8 | 836 LV | ±3.4% |
WFLA-TV Tampa/WFOR-TV Miami/WFTX-TV Ft. Myers/WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola/SurveyUSA [262] | September 27–28 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 599 LV | ±4.1% |
Public Policy Polling [263] | September 27–28 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 941 LV | ±3.2% |
Quinnipiac University [264] | September 22–26 | 49% | 43% | 6 | 1,161 LV | ±2.9% |
American Research Group [265] | September 23–25 | 47% | 46% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [266] | September 24 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 700 LV | ±4% |
NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [267] | September 16–18 | 47% | 45% | 2 | 625 LV | ±4% |
WFLA-TV Tampa/WFOR-TV Miami/WFTX-TV Ft. Myers/WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola/SurveyUSA [268] | September 16–17 | 45% | 51% | 6 | 707 LV | ±3.8% |
American Research Group [269] | September 14–17 | 46% | 46% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4% |
St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/The Polling Company Inc./Schroth, Eldon & Associates Research [270] | September 14–17 | 45% | 47% | 2 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [271] | September 12–16 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 907 RV | ±3.5% |
Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics [272] | September 11–15 | 44% | 44% | Tied | 402 RV | ±4.9% |
Zogby Interactive [273] | September 9–12 | 41.8% | 52.1% | 10.3 | 995 LV | ±3.2% |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [274] | September 10 | 42% | 50% | 8 | 511 LV | ±4.3% |
Quinnipiac University [275] | September 5–9 | 43% | 50% | 7 | 1,032 LV | ±3.1% |
Public Policy Polling [276] | September 6–7 | 45% | 50% | 5 | 986 LV | ±3.1% |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [277] | August 25–26 | 45% | 44% | 1 | 625 LV | ±4% |
Quinnipiac University [278] | August 17–24 | 43% | 47% | 4 | 1,069 LV | ±3% |
Florida Chamber of Commerce/The Kitchens Group [279] | August 18–21 | 39% | 42% | 3 | 605 RV | ±4.0% |
American Research Group [280] | August 18–20 | 46% | 47% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [281] | August 15–19 | 40% | 45% | 5 | 894 LV | ±3.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [282] | August 18 | 46% | 48% | 2 | 700 LV | ±4.5% |
WFLA-TV Tampa/WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola/SurveyUSA [283] | August 1–3 | 44% | 50% | 6 | 679 LV | ±3.8% |
Public Policy Polling [284] | July 30–August 2 | 44% | 47% | 3 | 807 LV | ±3.5% |
Quinnipiac University [285] | July 23–29 | 46% | 44% | 2 | 1,248 LV | ±2.8% |
Florida Chamber of Commerce/Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates [286] | July 20–28 | 40% | 45% | 5 | 1,600 RV | ±2.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [287] | July 22 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [288] | July 19–21 | 45% | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
War Room Logistics [289] | July 7–8 | 47.2% | 44.5% | 2.7 | 629 RV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling [290] | June 26–29 | 46% | 44% | 2 | 723 LV | ±3.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [291] | June 26 | 41% | 48% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [292] | June 18 | 39% | 47% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [293] | June 13–17 | 49% | 44% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Quinnipiac University [294] | June 9–16 | 47% | 43% | 4 | 1,453 LV | ±2.6% |
War Room Logistics [295] | May 21–22 | 35.5% | 58.4% | 22.9 | 645 RV | Not reported |
Quinnipiac University [296] | May 13–20 | 41% | 45% | 4 | 1,419 RV | ±2.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [297] | May 19 | 40% | 50% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University [298] | April 23–29 | 43% | 44% | 1 | 1,411 RV | ±2.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [299] | April 10 | 38% | 53% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University [300] | March 24–31 | 37% | 46% | 9 | 1,136 RV | ±2.9% |
Public Policy Polling [301] | March 15–16 | 39% | 50% | 11 | 618 LV | ±3.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [302] | March 12 | 43% | 47% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [303] | February 26–28 | 45% | 47% | 2 | 632 RV | ±4% |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [304] | February 21–24 | 37% | 47% | 10 | 625 RV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [305] | February 16 | 37% | 53% | 16 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University [306] | February 6–12 | 39% | 41% | 2 | 1,009 RV | ±3.1% |
Public Policy Polling [307] | January 4 | 40% | 46% | 6 | 543 LV | ±4.2% |
St. Petersburg Times/The Polling Company Inc./Schroth, Eldon & Associates Research [308] | November 4, 2007 | 45% | 47% | 2 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
Quinnipiac University [309] | October 17–22, 2007 | 42% | 42% | Tied | 1,025 RV | ±3.1% |
Quinnipiac University [310] | October 1–8, 2007 | 39% | 41% | 2 | 869 RV | ±3.3% |
Quinnipiac University [311] | September 3–9, 2007 | 39% | 42% | 3 | 1,141 RV | ±2.9% |
Quinnipiac University [312] | July 12–16, 2007 | 42% | 38% | 4 | 1,106 RV | ±3% |
Quinnipiac University [313] | June 18–25, 2007 | 42% | 42% | Tied | 949 RV | ±3.2% |
Quinnipiac University [314] | May 24–June 4, 2007 | 40% | 41% | 1 | 1,174 RV | ±2.9% |
Quinnipiac University [315] | April 17–24, 2007 | 41% | 41% | Tied | 987 RV | ±3.1% |
Quinnipiac University [316] | March 21–27, 2007 | 39% | 45% | 6 | 1,061 RV | ±3% |
Quinnipiac University [317] | February 25–March 4, 2007 | 39% | 43% | 4 | 1,125 RV | ±2.9% |
Quinnipiac University [318] | January 29–February 4, 2007 | 40% | 42% | 2 | 1,003 RV | ±3.1% |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group [319] | October 22–26 | 45% | 43% | 1 | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [320] | August 11 | 44.2% | 47.8% | 2.4% | 4 | 418 LV | ±5% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida Chamber of Commerce (R) [321] | September 30–October 1 | 42% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 3 | 619 RV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [322] | August 15–19 | 40% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 3 | 894 LV | ±3.3% |
Zogby Interactive [323] | June 11–30 | 39% | 43% | 6% | 2% | 4 | 3,731 LV | ±1.6% |
Five-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [324] | November 2 | 49% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [325] | October 26 | 51% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Suffolk University [326] | October 23–26 | 49% | 44% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [327] | October 19 | 48% | 49% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Hamilton Campaigns [328] | October 10–15 | 47% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4 | 700 RV | ±3.7% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [329] | October 12 | 51% | 46% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 5 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [330] | October 5 | 52% | 45% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 7 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
WSVN/Suffolk University [331] | September 27–30 | 46% | 42% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [332] | September 28 | 47% | 47% | 0% | 1% | 0% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [333] | September 21 | 46% | 51% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [334] | September 14 | 44% | 49% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [335] | September 7 | 48% | 48% | 0% | 2% | 0% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [336] | November 2 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 512 LV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling [337] | October 31–November 2 | 48% | 50% | 2 | 1,253 LV | ±2.8% |
WMAZ-TV Macon/WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA [338] | October 30–November 2 | 45% | 52% | 7 | 683 LV | ±3.8% |
Polimetrix/YouGov [339] | October 18–November 1 | 47% | 50% | 3 | 910 RV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [340] | October 30 | 47% | 52% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [341] | October 23–28 | 47% | 52% | 5 | 690 LV | ±3.5% |
Poll Position/Insider Advantage [342] | October 23 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 615 LV | ±3.8% |
NBC News/Mason-Dixon Research & Polling [343] | October 22–23 | 43% | 49% | 6 | 625 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [344] | October 22 | 46% | 51% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [345] | October 11–14 | 45% | 53% | 8 | 718 LV | ±3.5% |
WMAZ-TV Macon/WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA [346] | October 11–12 | 43% | 51% | 8 | 547 LV | ±4.3% |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [347] | October 9 | 46% | 49% | 3 | 531 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [348] | October 7 | 45% | 54% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [349] | September 30 | 44% | 50% | 6 | 561 LV | ±4% |
WMAZ-TV Macon/WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA [350] | September 28–29 | 44% | 52% | 8 | 677 LV | ±3.8% |
American Research Group [351] | September 18–21 | 39% | 57% | 18 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [352] | September 17 | 43% | 51% | 8 | 503 LV | ±4.3% |
Roll Call Newspaper/Capitol Hill/WMAZ-TV Macon/WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA [353] | September 14–16 | 41% | 57% | 16 | 684 LV | ±3.8% |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [354] | September 10 | 38% | 56% | 18 | 506 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [355] | June 4 | 41% | 51% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [356] | May 6 | 39% | 53% | 14 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [357] | March 20 | 40% | 53% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [358] | February 26–28 | 41% | 54% | 13 | 592 RV | ±4.1% |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [359] | October 27 | 47% | 48% | 1% | 1 | 637 LV | ±3.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [360] | September 16 | 43% | 54% | 0% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [361] | September 9–11 | 35% | 56% | 1% | 21 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [362] | August 14 | 44% | 53% | 1% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [363] | July 17 | 42% | 53% | 1% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Poll Position/Majority Opinion/InsiderAdvantage [364] | July 2 | 44% | 46% | 4% | 2 | 502 LV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [365] | June 26 | 43% | 53% | 1% | 10 | 800 LV | ±4% |
Poll Position/Majority Opinion/InsiderAdvantage [366] | June 18 | 42.7% | 44.3% | 5.6% | 1.6 | 408 LV | ±5% |
Majority Opinion/InsiderAdvantage [367] | May 20 | 34.8% | 45.2% | 7.6% | 10.4 | 652 LV | ±3.6% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) [368] | October 16–19 | 44% | 46% | 2% | 2% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [369] | June 11–30 | 38% | 44% | 8% | <1% | 6 | 1,472 LV | ±2.6% |
4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [370] | October 18–November 1 | 56% | 34% | 22 | 337 RV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [371] | September 23 | 68% | 27% | 41 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [372] | September 7–12 | 63% | 32% | 31 | 600 LV | ±4% |
SurveyUSA [373] | February 26–29 | 61% | 31% | 30 | 592 RV | ±4% |
4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [374] | October 18–November 1 | 36% | 59% | 23 | 372 RV | Not reported |
American Research Group [375] | September 8–10 | 25% | 68% | 43 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [376] | September 9 | 29% | 68% | 39 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Greg Smith & Associates [377] | August 18–22 | 29% | 52% | 23 | 600 LV | ±4% |
SurveyUSA [378] | February 26–28 | 39% | 52% | 13 | 608 RV | ±4.1% |
Five-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harstad Strategic Research, Inc. [379] | October 19–22 | 32% | 55% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 23 | 503 LV | ±4.4% |
21 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [380] | November 1 | 60% | 38% | 22 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Polimetrix/YouGov [381] | October 18–November 1 | 58% | 39% | 19 | 783 RV | Not reported |
Big Ten [382] | October 19–22 | 61.2% | 31.6% | 29.6 | 572 RV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [383] | October 13 | 56% | 39% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [384] | September 17 | 56% | 40% | 16 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Big Ten [385] | September 14–17 | 52.9% | 37% | 15.9 | 628 RV | ±4% |
American Research Group [386] | September 13–16 | 51% | 45% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [387] | August 12 | 55% | 40% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
July 8 | 52% | 41% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% | |
SurveyUSA [388] | February 26–28 | 60% | 31% | 29 | 600 RV | ±4% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chicago Tribune/Market Shares Corporation [389] | October 16–18 | 56% | 32% | 0% | 2% | 24 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Zogby Interactive [390] | June 11–30 | 52% | 32% | 5% | 1% | 20 | 1,514 LV | ±2.6% |
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reuters/Zogby International [391] | October 31–November 3 | 43.9% | 49.1% | 5.2 | 585 LV | ±4.1% |
Public Policy Polling [392] | October 31–November 2 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 2,634 LV | ±1.9% |
Polimetrix/YouGov [393] | October 18–November 1 | 45% | 53% | 8 | 789 RV | Not reported |
American Research Group [394] | October 28–31 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [395] | October 28–29 | 46% | 49% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
WTHR-TV/Indianapolis Star/Selzer & Co. [396] | October 26–28 | 45.9% | 45.3% | 0.6 | 606 LV | ±4% |
Reuters/Zogby International [397] | October 23–26 | 44% | 50.2% | 6.2 | 601 LV | ±4.1% |
Howey Politics/Gauge Market Research [398] | October 23–24 | 45% | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
WHAS-TV Louisville/SurveyUSA [399] | October 21–22 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 631 LV | 4% |
Big Ten [400] | October 19–22 | 51% | 41.5% | 9.5 | 586 RV | ±4.2% |
Zogby Interactive [401] | October 17–20 | 42.3% | 52.8% | 10.5 | 473 LV | ±4.6% |
Public Policy Polling [402] | October 18–19 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 1,411 LV | ±2.6% |
Zogby Interactive [403] | October 9–13 | 44.3% | 48.5% | 4.2 | 450 LV | ±4.7% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [404] | October 7 | 43% | 50% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [405] | October 3–6 | 46% | 51% | 5 | 677 LV | ±4% |
WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WHAS-TV Louisville/SurveyUSA [406] | September 28–29 | 45% | 48% | 3 | 687 LV | ±3.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [407] | September 17–18 | 47% | 49% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [408] | September 14–18 | 44% | 47% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Big Ten [409] | September 14–17 | 43.2% | 46.7% | 3.5 | 612 RV | ±4% |
WTHR-TV/Indianapolis Star/Selzer & Co. [410] | September 14–16 | 47% | 44% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [411] | September 13–14 | 45% | 51% | 6 | 890 RV | ±3.5% |
Howey Politics/Gauge Market Research [412] | August 29–30 | 43% | 45% | 2 | 600 RV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [413] | August 19–21 | 43% | 49% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WHAS-TV Louisville/SurveyUSA [414] | August 16–18 | 44% | 50% | 6 | 645 LV | ±3.9% |
WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WHAS-TV Louisville/SurveyUSA [415] | June 21–23 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 627 LV | ±4% |
Indiana Legislative Insight [416] | May 27–June 1 | 39% | 47% | 8 | 601 RV | ±4% |
Mike Downs Center/SurveyUSA [417] | April 28–30 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,274 LV | ±2.8% |
WTHR-TV/Indianapolis Star/Selzer & Co. [418] | April 20–23 | 49% | 41% | 8 | 384 LV | Not reported |
Mike Downs Center/SurveyUSA [419] | April 14–16 | 44% | 51% | 7 | 1,254 LV | ±2.8% |
SurveyUSA [420] | February 26–28 | 41% | 50% | 9 | 575 RV | ±4.2% |
WHAS-TV Louisville/SurveyUSA [421] | February 3–4 | 40% | 50% | 10 | 499 RV | ±4.5% |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Downs Center/SurveyUSA [422] | October 27–30 | 47% | 47% | 2% | Tied | 900 LV | ±3.3% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [423] | June 11–30 | 39% | 40% | 7% | <1% | 1 | 758 LV | ±3.6% |
7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. [457] | September 8–10 | 52% | 40% | 2% | 1% | 12 | 616 LV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [458] | June 11–30 | 42% | 38% | 8% | 1% | 4 | 641 LV | ±3.9% |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [459] | October 18–November 1 | 41% | 52% | 11 | 499 RV | Not reported |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/KWCH-TV Wichita/SurveyUSA [460] | October 27–28 | 37% | 58% | 21 | 626 LV | ±3.9% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/KWCH-TV Wichita/SurveyUSA [461] | October 21–22 | 41% | 53% | 12 | 613 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [462] | October 13 | 41% | 54% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/KWCH-TV Wichita/SurveyUSA [463] | September 21–22 | 41% | 53% | 12 | 666 LV | ±3.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [464] | September 18 | 38% | 58% | 20 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/KWCH-TV Wichita/SurveyUSA [465] | August 18–20 | 35% | 58% | 23 | 641 LV | ±3.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [466] | August 11 | 41% | 55% | 14 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
July 14 | 35% | 58% | 23 | 500 LV | ±4.5% | |
TargetPoint (R) [467] | June 27–July 1 | 36% | 49% | 13 | 3004 RV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [468] | June 11 | 37% | 47% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Cooper & Secrest Associates (D) [469] | June 5–8 | 41% | 45% | 4 | 808 LV | ±3.5% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/KWCH-TV Wichita/SurveyUSA [470] | May 16–18 | 39% | 49% | 10 | 600 RV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [471] | May 13 | 34% | 55% | 21 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/KWCH-TV Wichita/SurveyUSA [472] | April 11–13 | 37% | 54% | 17 | 516 RV | ±4.4% |
SurveyUSA [473] | February 26–28 | 41% | 50% | 9 | 598 RV | ±4.1% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/KWCH-TV Wichita/SurveyUSA [474] | February 15–17 | 44% | 50% | 6 | 514 RV | ±4.4% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/KWCH-TV Wichita/SurveyUSA [475] | December 13–15, 2007 | 36% | 56% | 20 | 529 RV | ±4.3% |
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [496] | June 11–30 | 39% | 44% | 3% | 1% | 529 LV | ±4.3% |
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [497] | October 18–November 1 | 45% | 52% | 7 | 436 RV | Not reported |
WAFB 9News/Loyola University [498] | October 24–26 | 40% | 43% | 3 | 475 RV | ±4.5% |
Southeastern Louisiana University [499] | October 20–23 | 38.3% | 50.6% | 12.3 | 503 RV | ±4.46% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [500] | October 21 | 41% | 57% | 16 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [501] | September 25 | 40% | 55% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [502] | September 9–12 | 43% | 50% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [503] | August 17 | 39% | 57% | 18 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [504] | July 9 | 37% | 56% | 19 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Southern Media & Opinion Research [505] | June 26–28 | 35.5% | 52.2% | 16.7 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [506] | May 28 | 41% | 50% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Southern Media & Opinion Research [507] | March 26–April 9 | 35% | 51% | 16 | 600 LV | ±4% |
SurveyUSA [508] | February 26–28 | 39% | 54% | 15 | 599 RV | ±4.1% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [509] | June 11–30 | 40% | 47% | 4% | 1% | 7 | 431 LV | ±4.8% |
4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [510] | November 1 | 56% | 43% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Polimetrix/YouGov [511] | October 18–November 1 | 51% | 42% | 9 | 486 RV | Not reported |
WCSH-TV Portland/WLBZ-TV Bangor/SurveyUSA [512] | October 29–31 | 58% | 38% | 20 | 674 LV | ±3.8% |
Market Decisions [513] | October 13–26 | 52% | 33% | 19 | 425 A | ±4.8% |
WCSH-TV Portland/WLBZ-TV Bangor/SurveyUSA [514] | October 19–20 | 54% | 39% | 15 | 642 LV | ±3.9% |
Critical Insights [515] | October 16–19 | 56% | 35% | 21 | 443 LV | ±4.7% |
Pan Atlantic SMS Group [516] | October 13–16 | 51.3% | 38.5% | 12.8 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [517] | October 2 | 51% | 46% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
WCSH-TV Portland/WLBZ-TV Bangor/SurveyUSA [518] | September 22–23 | 49% | 44% | 5 | 675 LV | ±3.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [519] | September 17 | 50% | 46% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [520] | September 8–10 | 51% | 41% | 10 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [521] | August 12 | 53% | 39% | 14 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
July 17 | 49% | 41% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% | |
Critical Insights [522] | June 1–27 | 51% | 31% | 20 | 498 LV | ±4.5% |
Pan Atlantic SMS Group [523] | June 10–18 | 46.1% | 32.1% | 14 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [524] | June 16 | 55% | 33% | 22 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [525] | May 14 | 51% | 38% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [526] | April 1 | 49% | 39% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [527] | February 26–28 | 53% | 39% | 14 | 639 RV | ±3.9% |
First congressional district
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [528] | October 29–31 | 60% | 37% | 23 | Not reported | Not reported |
Critical Insights [529] | October 16–19 | 56% | 33% | 23 | 228 LV | Not reported |
Pan Atlantic SMS Group [530] | October 13–16 | 49.8% | 37.2% | 12.6 | 207 LV | ±6.81% |
Second congressional district
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [531] | October 29–31 | 55% | 39% | 16 | Not reported | Not reported |
Critical Insights [532] | October 16–19 | 56% | 36% | 20 | 215 LV | Not reported |
Pan Atlantic SMS Group [533] | October 13–16 | 52.8% | 39.9% | 12.9 | 193 LV | ±7.05% |
10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [534] | October 18–November 1 | 60% | 35% | 25 | 475 RV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [535] | September 20 | 60% | 37% | 23 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [536] | September 17–19 | 54% | 39% | 15 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. [537] | August 29–September 5 | 52% | 38% | 14 | 833 LV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [538] | August 18 | 53% | 43% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. [539] | February 23–March 1 | 51% | 37% | 14 | 807 RV | ±3.5% |
SurveyUSA [540] | February 26–28 | 53% | 40% | 13 | 620 RV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [541] | January 2 | 48% | 42% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [542] | June 11–30 | 54% | 30% | 6% | 1% | 24 | 924 LV | ±3.3% |
12 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [543] | October 18–November 1 | 57% | 39% | 18 | 705 RV | Not reported |
WBZ-TV Boston/SurveyUSA [544] | October 27–28 | 56% | 39% | 17 | 658 LV | ±3.9% |
WBZ-TV Boston/SurveyUSA [545] | October 13–14 | 59% | 35% | 24 | 624 LV | ±3.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [546] | October 13 | 62% | 34% | 28 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
WBZ-TV Boston/SurveyUSA [547] | September 22–23 | 55% | 39% | 16 | 679 LV | ±3.8% |
American Research Group [548] | September 20–22 | 55% | 39% | 16 | 500 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [549] | August 5 | 54% | 38% | 16 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
June 30 | 53% | 33% | 20 | 500 LV | ±4.5% | |
WBZ-TV Boston/SurveyUSA [550] | June 25–27 | 53% | 40% | 13 | 607 LV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [551] | May 29 | 51% | 38% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
WBZ-TV Boston/SurveyUSA [552] | May 16–18 | 46% | 41% | 5 | 600 RV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [553] | April 23 | 51% | 39% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
WBZ-TV Boston/SurveyUSA [554] | April 11–13 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 546 RV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [555] | March 18 | 49% | 42% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
WBZ-TV Boston/SurveyUSA [556] | March 14–16 | 47% | 47% | Tied | 510 RV | ±4.4% |
SurveyUSA [557] | February 26–28 | 49% | 42% | 7 | 636 RV | ±4% |
WBZ-TV Boston/SurveyUSA [558] | January 20–21 | 45% | 50% | 5 | 562 RV | ±4.2% |
WBZ-TV Boston/SurveyUSA [559] | December 13–15, 2007 | 47% | 45% | 2 | 542 RV | ±4.3% |
WBZ-TV Boston/SurveyUSA [560] | November 9–11, 2007 | 44% | 47% | 3 | 540 RV | ±4.3% |
WBZ-TV Boston/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA [561] | January 12–14, 2007 | 43% | 46% | 3 | 525 RV | ±4.4% |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7News/Suffolk University [562] | June 8–10 | 53% | 30% | 3% | 23 | 500 LV | ±4.40% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7News/Suffolk University [563] | July 31–August 3 | 47% | 38% | 1% | N/A | 1% | 9 | 400 LV | ±4.90% |
Zogby Interactive [564] | June 11–30 | 54% | 29% | 5% | 3% | N/A | 25 | 861 LV | ±3.4% |
Six-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Chuck Baldwin | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7News/Suffolk University [565] | October 20–22 | 53% | 34% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 19 | 400 LV | ±4.90% |
17 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research & Communications Inc. [566] | November 3 | 54% | 38% | 16 | 400 LV | ±5% |
Polimetrix/YouGov [567] | October 18–November 1 | 55% | 42% | 13 | 973 RV | Not reported |
Detroit Free Press-Local 4/Selzer & Co. [568] | October 28–31 | 53% | 37% | 16 | 616 LV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling [569] | October 28–30 | 55% | 42% | 13 | 1,532 LV | ±2.5% |
Mitchell Research & Communications Inc. [570] | October 26–30 | 54% | 40% | 14 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [571] | October 28 | 53% | 43% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Detroit News/EPIC-MRA [572] | October 26–28 | 50% | 38% | 12 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
Big Ten [573] | October 19–22 | 58.1% | 35.8% | 22.3 | 562 LV | ±4.2% |
Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University [574] | October 8–12 | 54% | 38% | 16 | 1,043 LV | ±3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [575] | October 8 | 56% | 40% | 16 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
MIRS/Denno-Noor Research/The Rossman Group [576] | October 1–4 | 44% | 39% | 5 | 600 RV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling [577] | September 29–October 1 | 51% | 41% | 10 | 731 LV | ±3.6% |
Detroit Free Press-Local 4/Selzer & Co. [578] | September 22–24 | 51% | 38% | 13 | 602 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [579] | September 21–23 | 51% | 46% | 5 | 755 LV | ±3.5% |
NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [580] | September 18–23 | 46% | 46% | Tied | 625 LV | ±4% |
Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics [581] | September 18–22 | 47% | 39% | 8 | 406 RV | ±4.9% |
Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University [582] | September 14–21 | 48% | 44% | 4 | 1,346 LV | ±2.7% |
Inside Michigan Politics/Marketing Resource Group [583] | September 15–20 | 43% | 46% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
American Research Group [584] | September 16–19 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Marist College [585] | September 16–17 | 52% | 43% | 9 | 599 LV | ±4% |
Big Ten [586] | September 14–17 | 47.8% | 43.8% | 4 | 600 RV | ±4% |
Michigan State University [587] | July 20–September 14 | 45% | 33.3% | 11.7 | 1,010 A | ±3.1% |
Zogby Interactive [588] | September 9–12 | 49% | 43.3% | 5.7 | 742 LV | ±3.7% |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [589] | September 10 | 44% | 45% | 1 | 503 LV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [590] | September 10 | 51% | 46% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [591] | September 7–9 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 966 RV | ±3% |
Public Policy Polling [592] | September 6–7 | 47% | 46% | 1 | 1,147 LV | ±2.9% |
Detroit Free Press-Local 4/WDIV/Selzer & Co. [593] | August 17–20 | 46% | 39% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [594] | August 7 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling [595] | July 23–27 | 46% | 43% | 3 | 883 LV | ±3.3% |
Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University [596] | July 14–22 | 46% | 42% | 4 | 1,684 LV | ±2.4% |
Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) [597] | July 14–21 | 48% | 43% | 5 | 764 LV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [598] | July 10 | 50% | 42% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University [599] | June 17–24 | 48% | 42% | 6 | 1,411 LV | ±2.6% |
Public Policy Polling [600] | June 21–22 | 48% | 39% | 9 | 573 LV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [601] | June 9 | 45% | 42% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [602] | May 27 | 37% | 41% | 4 | 529 RV | ±4.3% |
Detroit News/EPIC-MRA [603] | May 19–22 | 40% | 44% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [604] | May 7 | 44% | 45% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [605] | March 25 | 42% | 43% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [606] | March 10 | 41% | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [607] | February 26–28 | 46% | 45% | 1 | 643 RV | ±3.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [608] | February 17 | 47% | 39% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Detroit Free Press-Local 4/Selzer & Co. [609] | December 10–12, 2007 | 49% | 41% | 8 | Not reported | Not reported |
EPIC-MRA [610] | January 31–February 4, 2007 | 43% | 53% | 10 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Detroit Free Press-Local 4/Selzer & Co. [611] | January 28–31, 2007 | 44% | 39% | 5 | Not reported | ±3.8% |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPIC-MRA [612] | April 3–8 | 43% | 41% | 8% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Detroit News/EPIC-MRA [613] | October 19–20 | 51% | 37% | 1% | 1% | 14 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
Detroit News/EPIC-MRA [614] | September 20–22 | 48% | 38% | 1% | 2% | 10 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
Detroit News/EPIC-MRA [615] | September 14–17 | 43% | 42% | 2% | 2% | 1 | 602 LV | ±4% |
Detroit News/EPIC-MRA [616] | August 18–21 | 43% | 41% | 1% | 3% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [617] | August 15–19 | 46% | 37% | 5% | 1% | 9 | 609 LV | ±4.0% |
Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) [618] | July 14–21 | 46% | 39% | 3% | 6% | 7 | 764 LV | Not reported |
Detroit News/EPIC-MRA [619] | July 13–16 | 43% | 41% | 2% | 3% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [620] | June 11–30 | 47% | 33% | 6% | 2% | 14 | 1,349 LV | ±2.9% |
Five-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [621] | September 21 | 51% | 44% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota Public Radio/Humphrey Institute [672] | August 7–17 | 48% | 38% | 1% | 3% | 10 | 763 LV | ±3.6% |
Zogby Interactive [673] | June 11–30 | 48% | 32% | 8% | <1% | 16 | 830 LV | ±3.5% |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [674] | October 18–November 1 | 42% | 55% | 13 | 417 RV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [675] | October 27 | 45% | 53% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Press-Register/USA Polling Group/University of South Alabama [676] | October 13–23 | 33% | 46% | 13 | 405 LV | ±5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [677] | September 30 | 44% | 52% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [678] | September 13–16 | 39% | 55% | 16 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [679] | August 21 | 43% | 56% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [680] | July 28 | 42% | 54% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [681] | June 24 | 44% | 50% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4% |
May 27 | 44% | 50% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4% | |
SurveyUSA [682] | February 26–28 | 41% | 54% | 13 | 622 RV | ±4% |
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reuters/Zogby International [683] | October 31–November 3 | 48.8% | 48.8% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
Public Policy Polling [684] | October 31–November 2 | 49.4% | 48.6% | 0.8 | 1,343 LV | ±2.7% |
KCTV-TV Saint Louis/KMOX 1120 Radio St. Louis/SurveyUSA [685] | October 30–November 2 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 674 LV | ±3.9% |
Polimetrix/YouGov [686] | October 18–November 1 | 47% | 49% | 2 | 684 RV | Not reported |
NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [687] | October 29–30 | 46% | 47% | 1 | 625 LV | ±4% |
American Research Group [688] | October 28–30 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4% |
Politico/InsiderAdvantage [689] | October 29 | 47% | 50% | 3 | 814 LV | ±3.4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [690] | October 23–28 | 48% | 50% | 2 | 774 LV | ±3.5% |
KCTV-TV Saint Louis/KMOX 1120 Radio St. Louis/SurveyUSA [691] | October 25–26 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 672 LV | ±3.9% |
Reuters/Zogby International [692] | October 23–26 | 48.2% | 45.7% | 2.5 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [693] | October 22–23 | 45% | 46% | 1 | 625 LV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [694] | October 17–20 | 48% | 48.3% | 0.3 | 717 LV | ±3.7% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [695] | October 15 | 52% | 46% | 6 | 700 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [696] | October 11–14 | 48% | 49% | 1 | 763 LV | ±3.5% |
KCTV-TV Saint Louis/KMOX 1120 Radio St. Louis/SurveyUSA [697] | October 11–12 | 51% | 43% | 8 | 546 LV | ±4.3% |
Public Policy Polling [698] | October 11–12 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 1,009 LV | ±3.1% |
American Research Group [699] | October 4–6 | 46% | 49% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [700] | September 28–30 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 744 LV | ±3.5% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/SurveyUSA [701] | September 23–24 | 46% | 48% | 2 | 705 LV | ±3.8% |
American Research Group [702] | September 11–15 | 45% | 50% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [703] | September 9–12 | 42.4% | 48.5% | 6.1 | 604 LV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [704] | September 11 | 46% | 51% | 5 | 700 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [705] | September 7–9 | 45% | 50% | 5 | 940 RV | ±3% |
Public Policy Polling [706] | August 13–17 | 40% | 50% | 10 | 750 LV | ±3.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [707] | August 7 | 44% | 50% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/KSDK-TV Saint Louis/SurveyUSA [708] | July 29–31 | 44% | 49% | 5 | 1,459 LV | ±2.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [709] | July 7 | 45% | 50% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling [710] | July 2–5 | 44% | 47% | 3 | 723 LV | ±3.6% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/KSDK-TV Saint Louis/SurveyUSA [711] | June 20–22 | 43% | 50% | 7 | 543 LV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [712] | June 3 | 43% | 42% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/KSDK-TV Saint Louis/SurveyUSA [713] | May 16–18 | 45% | 48% | 3 | 1,523 LV | ±2.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [714] | May 6 | 41% | 47% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/SurveyUSA [715] | April 11–13 | 42% | 50% | 8 | 542 RV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [716] | March 24 | 38% | 53% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/SurveyUSA [717] | March 14–16 | 39% | 53% | 14 | 536 RV | ±4.3% |
SurveyUSA [718] | February 26–28 | 42% | 48% | 6 | 632 RV | ±4% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/SurveyUSA [719] | February 15–17 | 49% | 43% | 6 | 544 RV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [720] | February 12 | 40% | 42% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/SurveyUSA [721] | January 11–13 | 40% | 51% | 11 | 562 RV | ±4.2% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/SurveyUSA [722] | December 13–15, 2007 | 47% | 44% | 3 | 547 RV | ±4.3% |
KCTV-TV Kansas City/SurveyUSA [723] | November 9–11, 2007 | 46% | 45% | 1 | 543 RV | ±4.3% |
SurveyUSA [724] | March 9–11, 2007 | 46% | 43% | 3 | Not reported | Not reported |
SurveyUSA [725] | February 9–11, 2007 | 45% | 48% | 3 | Not reported | Not reported |
SurveyUSA [726] | January 12–14, 2007 | 45% | 47% | 2 | 515 RV | ±4.4% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [727] | June 11–30 | 42% | 40% | 6% | 1% | 2 | 1,121 LV | ±3.0% |
Five-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [728] | November 2 | 49% | 49% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Tied | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [729] | October 26 | 48% | 47% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [730] | October 19 | 49% | 44% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [731] | October 12 | 50% | 47% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [732] | October 5 | 50% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Six-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Chuck Baldwin | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University [733] | October 17–19 | 44% | 45% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [734] | October 18–November 1 | 44% | 54% | 10 | 368 RV | Not reported |
American Research Group [735] | October 28–30 | 46% | 49% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [736] | October 29 | 46% | 50% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [737] | October 23–25 | 44% | 48% | 4 | 625 LV | ±4% |
American Research Group [738] | October 6–8 | 45% | 50% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [739] | October 1 | 44% | 52% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [740] | September 21–23 | 43% | 54% | 11 | 737 LV | ±3.5% |
American Research Group [741] | September 7–9 | 47% | 49% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [742] | September 8 | 42% | 53% | 11 | 700 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [743] | July 29 | 47% | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
July 1 | 48% | 43% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% | |
Lee Newspapers/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [744] | May 19–21 | 39% | 47% | 8 | 625 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [745] | April 6 | 43% | 48% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [746] | February 26–28 | 39% | 47% | 8 | 640 RV | ±4% |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Ron Paul‡ | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [747] | October 31–November 2 | 48% | 47% | 4% | 1 | 2,734 LV | ±1.9% |
Five-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Ron Paul | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Montana State University Billings [748] | October 16–20 | 44.4% | 40.2% | 4.2% | 1% | 0.7% | 4.2% | 403 LV | ±5% |
‡ Ron Paul replaced Chuck Baldwin on the ballot in Montana.
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [749] | October 18–November 1 | 38% | 57% | 19 | 407 RV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [750] | September 30 | 37% | 56% | 19 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [751] | September 12–17 | 34% | 60% | 26 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [752] | July 28 | 36% | 55% | 19 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [753] | June 23 | 36% | 52% | 16 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [754] | May 16–18 | 40% | 49% | 9 | 600 RV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [755] | May 15 | 39% | 50% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [756] | February 26–28 | 42% | 45% | 3 | 623 RV | ±4% |
Second congressional district
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anzalone Liszt Research [757] | October 13–15 | 44% | 48% | 4 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
Anzalone Liszt Research [758] | July 27–August 2 | 42% | 46% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [796] | August 15–19 | 39% | 38% | 10% | 3% | 1 | 506 LV | ±4.4% |
Zogby Interactive [797] | June 11–30 | 38% | 38% | 9% | 2% | Tied | 584 LV | ±4.1% |
Five-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University [798] | October 26 | 50% | 40% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 10 | 450 LV | ±4.6% |
Suffolk University [799] | September 17–21 | 45% | 46% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [800] | August 24–26 | 41% | 41% | 5% | 6% | 3% | Tied | 625 RV | ±4% |
Six-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Chuck Baldwin | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group [801] | October 22–26 | 52% | 40% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 12 | 628 LV | ±3.9% |
4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WMUR/University of New Hampshire (Daily Tracking) [802] | October 31–November 2 | 53% | 42% | 11 | 831 LV | ±3.4% |
Polimetrix/YouGov [803] | October 18–November 1 | 54% | 40% | 14 | 516 RV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [804] | October 30 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 700 LV | ±4% |
WBZ-TV Boston/SurveyUSA [805] | October 29–30 | 53% | 42% | 11 | 682 LV | ±3.8% |
American Research Group [806] | October 28–30 | 56% | 41% | 15 | 600 LV | ±4% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire (Daily Tracking) [807] | October 25–27 | 58% | 33% | 25 | 652 LV | ±3.8% |
Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group [808] | October 22–26 | 55% | 37% | 18 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [809] | October 23–25 | 50% | 39% | 11 | 625 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [810] | October 23 | 50% | 46% | 4 | 700 LV | ±4% |
Marist College [811] | October 22–23 | 50% | 45% | 5 | 655 LV | ±4% |
Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire [812] | October 18–22 | 54% | 39% | 15 | 725 LV | ±3.5% |
Zogby Interactive [813] | October 17–20 | 46.5% | 46.2% | 0.3 | 466 LV | ±4.6% |
Zogby Interactive [814] | October 9–13 | 47.7% | 42.6% | 5.1 | 455 LV | ±4.7% |
American Research Group [815] | October 6–8 | 52% | 43% | 9 | 600 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [816] | October 3–6 | 53% | 45% | 8 | 813 LV | ±3.5% |
WBZ-TV Boston/SurveyUSA [817] | October 4–5 | 53% | 40% | 13 | 647 LV | ±3.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [818] | October 1 | 52% | 43% | 10 | 700 LV | ±4% |
Saint Anselm College/Schulman, Ronca, & Bucuvalas Inc. (SRBI) [819] | September 25–30 | 49% | 37% | 12 | 835 LV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [820] | September 23 | 47% | 49% | 2 | 700 LV | ±4% |
Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics [821] | September 18–22 | 44% | 43% | 1 | 403 RV | ±4.9% |
Marist College [822] | September 17–21 | 51% | 45% | 6 | 604 LV | ±4% |
University of New Hampshire [823] | September 14–21 | 45% | 47% | 2 | 523 LV | ±4.3% |
American Research Group [824] | September 15–18 | 45% | 48% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [825] | September 9–12 | 42.8% | 49.1% | 6.3 | 433 LV | ±4.8% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [826] | September 7–9 | 51% | 45% | 6 | 899 RV | ±3% |
American Research Group [827] | August 18–20 | 46% | 45% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [828] | August 18 | 47% | 46% | 1 | 700 LV | ±4% |
July 23 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 700 LV | ±4% | |
American Research Group [829] | July 19–21 | 47% | 45% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
University of New Hampshire [830] | July 11–20 | 46% | 43% | 3 | 475 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [831] | June 18 | 50% | 39% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [832] | June 13–17 | 51% | 39% | 12 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [833] | May 21 | 48% | 43% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Dartmouth College [834] | April 30–May 2 | 39.3% | 41.8% | 2.5 | 401 RV | ±5.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [835] | April 30 | 41% | 51% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
University of New Hampshire [836] | April 25–30 | 43% | 49% | 6 | 456 LV | ±4.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [837] | March 16 | 43% | 46% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [838] | February 26–28 | 46% | 44% | 2 | 636 RV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [839] | February 11 | 49% | 36% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Suffolk University [840] | June 20–24, 2007 | 39% | 44% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Suffolk University [841] | February 24–28, 2007 | 42% | 42% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [842] | August 15–19 | 38% | 42% | 11% | 1% | 4 | 366 LV | ±5.1% |
Zogby Interactive [843] | June 11–30 | 40% | 37% | 10% | 2% | 3 | 436 LV | ±4.8% |
Five-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | George Phillies | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University [844] | October 27–29 | 53% | 40% | 1% | 1% | 0% | N/A | 13 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group [845] | October 22–26 | 55% | 37% | 0% | 1% | N/A | 0% | 18 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
7News/Suffolk University [846] | September 20–24 | 46% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 0% | N/A | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
15 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [847] | November 2 | 57% | 40% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Polimetrix/YouGov [848] | October 18–November 1 | 55% | 40% | 15 | 777 RV | Not reported |
Gannett/Monmouth University [849] | October 29–31 | 55% | 34% | 21 | 801 LV | ±3.5% |
WABC-TV New York/WCAU-TV Philadelphia/SurveyUSA [850] | October 29–30 | 52% | 42% | 10 | 632 LV | ±4% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) [851] | October 23–29 | 53% | 35% | 18 | 852 LV | ±3.5% |
Marist College [852] | October 20–21 | 56% | 39% | 17 | 628 LV | ±4% |
Quinnipiac University [853] | October 16–19 | 59% | 36% | 23 | 1,184 LV | ±2.9% |
Gannett/Monmouth University [854] | October 15–18 | 55% | 38% | 17 | 723 LV | ±3.7% |
WABC-TV New York/WCAU-TV Philadelphia/SurveyUSA [855] | October 11–12 | 55% | 40% | 15 | 551 LV | ±4.2% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [856] | October 7 | 50% | 42% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) [857] | September 29–October 5 | 50% | 37% | 13 | 790 LV | ±3.5% |
WABC-TV New York/WCAU-TV Philadelphia/SurveyUSA [858] | September 27–28 | 52% | 42% | 10 | 611 LV | ±4% |
American Research Group [859] | September 19–21 | 51% | 42% | 9 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [860] | September 16 | 55% | 42% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Gannett/Monmouth University [861] | September 11–14 | 49% | 41% | 8 | 589 LV | ±4.0% |
Quinnipiac University [862] | September 10–14 | 48% | 45% | 3 | 1,187 LV | ±2.8% |
Marist College [863] | September 5–8 | 48% | 45% | 3 | 584 LV | ±4% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) [864] | September 4–7 | 47% | 41% | 6 | 872 LV | ±3.5% |
Quinnipiac University [865] | August 4–10 | 51% | 41% | 10 | 1,468 LV | ±2.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [866] | August 4 | 52% | 42% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Gannett/Monmouth University [867] | July 17–21 | 50% | 36% | 14 | 698 LV | ±3.7% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [868] | July 7 | 47% | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) [869] | June 17–23 | 49% | 33% | 16 | 702 RV | ±4% |
Quinnipiac University [870] | June 5–8 | 45% | 39% | 6 | 1,473 LV | ±2.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [871] | June 4 | 48% | 39% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Gannett/Monmouth University [872] | April 24–28 | 56% | 32% | 24 | 720 RV | ±3.7% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) [873] | March 24–30 | 47% | 42% | 5 | 816 RV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [874] | March 27 | 45% | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4% |
SurveyUSA [875] | February 26–28 | 43% | 43% | Tied | 627 RV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [876] | February 27 | 43% | 45% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) [877] | February 18–24 | 43% | 38% | 5 | 795 RV | ±3.5% |
Quinnipiac University [878] | February 13–18 | 46% | 39% | 7 | 1,803 RV | ±2.3% |
Quinnipiac University [879] | September 18–23, 2007 | 44% | 41% | 3 | 1,230 RV | ±2.8% |
Quinnipiac University [880] | June 26–July 2 | 44% | 40% | 4 | 1,604 RV | ±2.5% |
Quinnipiac University [881] | April 10–16, 2007 | 43% | 41% | 2 | 1,424 RV | ±2.6% |
Quinnipiac University [882] | February 20–25, 2007 | 45% | 41% | 4 | 1,302 RV | ±2.7% |
Quinnipiac University [883] | January 16–22, 2007 | 39% | 42% | 3 | 1,310 RV | ±2.7% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [884] | June 11–30 | 49% | 36% | 3% | 2% | 13 | 1,220 LV | ±2.9% |
5 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [885] | October 18–November 1 | 53% | 43% | 10 | 457 RV | Not reported |
KOB-TV Albuquerque/SurveyUSA [886] | October 30–31 | 52% | 45% | 7 | 664 LV | ±3.9% |
Public Policy Polling [887] | October 28–30 | 58% | 41% | 17 | 1,537 LV | ±2.5% |
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. [888] | October 28–30 | 51% | 43% | 8 | 659 LV | ±3.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [889] | October 28 | 54% | 44% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Zogby Interactive [890] | October 17–20 | 46.1% | 45.5% | 0.6 | 534 LV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [891] | October 13 | 55% | 42% | 13 | 700 LV | ±4% |
KOB-TV Albuquerque/SurveyUSA [892] | October 12–13 | 52% | 45% | 7 | 568 LV | ±4.2% |
Zogby Interactive [893] | October 9–13 | 51.2% | 43.5% | 7.7 | 532 LV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [894] | October 1 | 49% | 44% | 5 | 700 LV | ±4% |
KOB-TV Albuquerque/SurveyUSA [895] | September 29–30 | 52% | 44% | 8 | 698 LV | ±3.8% |
Public Policy Polling [896] | September 17–19 | 53% | 42% | 11 | 1,037 LV | ±3.0% |
American Research Group [897] | September 14–16 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4% |
KOB-TV Albuquerque/SurveyUSA [898] | September 14–16 | 52% | 44% | 8 | 671 LV | ±3.9% |
Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics [899] | September 11–15 | 49% | 42% | 7 | 400 RV | ±4.9% |
Zogby Interactive [900] | September 9–12 | 45.6% | 44.1% | 1.5 | 477 LV | ±4.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [901] | September 8 | 47% | 49% | 2 | 700 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [902] | August 24–26 | 53% | 40% | 13 | 659 RV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [903] | August 20 | 48% | 44% | 4 | 700 LV | ±4% |
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [904] | August 13–15 | 41% | 45% | 4 | 400 LV | ±5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [905] | July 24 | 49% | 43% | 6 | 700 LV | ±4% |
June 19 | 47% | 39% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% | |
KOB-TV Albuquerque/SurveyUSA [906] | June 17–19 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 539 LV | ±4.3% |
KOB-TV Albuquerque/SurveyUSA [907] | May 16–18 | 44% | 44% | Tied | 600 RV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [908] | May 14 | 50% | 41% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4% |
KOB-TV Albuquerque/SurveyUSA [909] | April 11–13 | 44% | 50% | 6 | 490 RV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [910] | April 8 | 45% | 42% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KOB-TV Albuquerque/SurveyUSA [911] | March 14–16 | 51% | 45% | 6 | 520 RV | ±4.4% |
SurveyUSA [912] | February 26–28 | 50% | 43% | 7 | 601 RV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [913] | February 18 | 44% | 44% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KOB-TV Albuquerque/SurveyUSA [914] | February 15–17 | 55% | 40% | 15 | 506 RV | ±4.4% |
KOB-TV Albuquerque/SurveyUSA [915] | January 20–21 | 41% | 50% | 9 | 501 RV | ±4.5% |
KOB-TV Albuquerque/SurveyUSA [916] | December 13–15, 2007 | 40% | 51% | 11 | 523 RV | ±4.4% |
KOB-TV Albuquerque/SurveyUSA [917] | November 9–11, 2007 | 40% | 50% | 10 | 506 RV | ±4.4% |
SurveyUSA [918] | March 9–11, 2007 | 39% | 50% | 11 | Not reported | Not reported |
SurveyUSA [919] | February 9–11, 2007 | 47% | 44% | 3 | Not reported | Not reported |
KOB-TV Albuquerque/SurveyUSA [920] | January 12–14, 2007 | 39% | 52% | 13 | 496 RV | ±4.5% |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. [921] | September 29–October 2 | 45% | 40% | 1% | 5 | 659 LV | ±3.8% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [922] | August 15–19 | 46% | 37% | 5% | 1% | 9 | 495 LV | ±4.4% |
Zogby Interactive [923] | June 11–30 | 49% | 33% | 9% | 2% | 16 | 464 LV | ±4.6% |
Five-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [924] | August 24–26 | 50% | 36% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 14 | 659 RV | ±4% |
31 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [925] | October 18–November 1 | 58% | 38% | 20 | 988 RV | Not reported |
WABC-TV New York/WGRZ-TV Buffalo/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA [926] | October 27–28 | 62% | 33% | 29 | 633 LV | ±3.8% |
Marist College [927] | October 21–22 | 65% | 29% | 36 | 527 LV | ±4.5% |
Siena College [928] | October 19–21 | 62% | 31% | 31 | 721 LV | ±3.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [929] | October 14 | 57% | 37% | 20 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
WABC-TV New York/WGRZ-TV Buffalo/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA [930] | October 11–12 | 61% | 34% | 27 | 547 LV | ±4.1% |
Siena College [931] | September 28–30 | 58% | 36% | 22 | 631 RV | ±3.9% |
WABC-TV New York/WGRZ-TV Buffalo/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA [932] | September 23–24 | 57% | 38% | 19 | 668 LV | ±3.8% |
American Research Group [933] | September 14–16 | 55% | 38% | 17 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [934] | September 15 | 55% | 42% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Siena College [935] | September 8–10 | 46% | 41% | 5 | 626 RV | ±3.9% |
Siena College [936] | August 11–14 | 47% | 39% | 8 | 627 RV | ±3.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [937] | August 4 | 55% | 36% | 19 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University [938] | July 31–August 4 | 57% | 36% | 21 | 1,353 LV | ±2.7% |
Siena College [939] | July 7–10 | 50% | 37% | 13 | 626 RV | ±3.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [940] | June 30 | 60% | 29% | 31 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA [941] | June 25–27 | 57% | 37% | 20 | 531 LV | ±4.3% |
Siena College [942] | June 9–11 | 51% | 33% | 18 | 624 RV | ±3.9% |
New York Times [943] | June 6–11 | 51% | 32% | 19 | 931 RV | Not reported |
Quinnipiac University [944] | June 3–8 | 50% | 36% | 14 | 1,388 RV | ±2.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [945] | May 28 | 52% | 33% | 19 | 500 LV | ±4% |
WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA [946] | May 16–18 | 48% | 38% | 10 | 600 RV | ±4.1% |
Siena College [947] | May 12–15 | 49% | 38% | 11 | 622 RV | ±3.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [948] | April 29 | 52% | 35% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Siena College [949] | April 13–16 | 45% | 40% | 5 | 624 RV | ±3.9% |
WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA [950] | April 11–13 | 52% | 43% | 9 | 499 RV | ±4.5% |
WNBC News/Marist College [951] | April 3–4 | 46% | 48% | 2 | 576 RV | ±4% |
Quinnipiac University [952] | March 16–18 | 49% | 38% | 11 | 1,528 RV | ±2.5% |
WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA [953] | March 14–16 | 52% | 44% | 8 | 507 RV | ±4.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [954] | March 11 | 51% | 38% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [955] | February 26–28 | 52% | 38% | 14 | 592 RV | ±4.1% |
WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA [956] | February 15–17 | 57% | 36% | 21 | 519 RV | ±4.3% |
Siena College [957] | February 11–14 | 47% | 40% | 7 | 633 RV | ±3.9% |
WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA [958] | January 20–21 | 49% | 43% | 6 | 516 RV | ±4.4% |
Siena College [959] | January 14–17 | 44% | 42% | 2 | 625 RV | ±3.9% |
WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA [960] | December 13–15, 2007 | 47% | 43% | 4 | 503 RV | ±4.5% |
WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA [961] | November 9–11, 2007 | 49% | 43% | 6 | 516 RV | ±4.4% |
Quinnipiac University [962] | September 24–30, 2007 | 47% | 39% | 8 | 1,504 RV | ±2.5% |
Siena College [963] | June 18–21, 2007 | 49% | 35% | 14 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
Quinnipiac University [964] | June 12–17, 2007 | 48% | 33% | 15 | 1,369 RV | ±2.7% |
Siena College [965] | May 18–25, 2007 | 50% | 33% | 17 | 620 RV | ±3.9% |
Siena College [966] | April 16–20, 2007 | 50% | 37% | 13 | 980 RV | Not reported |
NY1 News/Blum & Weprin Associates [967] | April 4–7, 2007 | 50% | 35% | 15 | 1,013 RV | Not reported |
Quinnipiac University [968] | March 29–April 2, 2007 | 47% | 36% | 11 | 1,548 RV | ±2.5% |
Siena College [969] | March 19–22, 2007 | 47% | 39% | 8 | 622 RV | Not reported |
SurveyUSA [970] | March 9–11, 2007 | 48% | 43% | 5 | Not reported | Not reported |
SurveyUSA [971] | February 9–11, 2007 | 48% | 41% | 7 | Not reported | Not reported |
Quinnipiac University [972] | February 6–11, 2007 | 46% | 35% | 11 | 1,049 RV | ±3% |
WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA [973] | January 12–14, 2007 | 44% | 45% | 1 | 489 RV | ±4.5% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College [974] | July 17–29 | 44% | 26% | 2% | 3% | 18 | 671 RV | ±3.8% |
Zogby Interactive [975] | June 11–30 | 51% | 30% | 4% | 2% | 21 | 3,647 LV | ±1.7% |
15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
American Research Group [976] | October 31–November 3 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Reuters/Zogby International [977] | October 31–November 3 | 49.1% | 49.5% | 0.4 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
WTVD-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA [978] | October 31–November 2 | 48% | 49% | 1 | 682 LV | ±3.8% |
Polimetrix/YouGov [979] | October 18–November 1 | 51% | 47% | 4 | 955 RV | Not reported |
Elon University [980] | October 27–30 | 44.6% | 38.3% | 6.3 | 797 LV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [981] | October 29 | 50% | 48% | 2 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Politico/InsiderAdvantage [982] | October 29 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 641 LV | ±3.7% |
NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [983] | October 28–29 | 46% | 49% | 3 | 625 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [984] | October 23–28 | 52% | 46% | 6 | 667 LV | ±4% |
Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics [985] | October 23–27 | 47% | 43% | 4 | 402 RV | ±4.9% |
Reuters/Zogby International [986] | October 23–26 | 49.7% | 46.4% | 3.3 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group [987] | October 22–26 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 601 LV | ±4.0% |
NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [988] | October 23–25 | 47% | 47% | Tied | 625 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [989] | October 23 | 48% | 50% | 2 | 700 LV | ±4% |
WSOC-TV/Marshall Marketing & Communications [990] | October 20–21 | 48.4% | 46.4% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [991] | October 19–21 | 51% | 47% | 4 | 644 LV | ±4% |
WTVD-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA [992] | October 18–20 | 47% | 47% | Tied | 627 LV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [993] | October 17–20 | 49.6% | 46.5% | 3.1 | 921 LV | ±3.3% |
Politico/InsiderAdvantage [994] | October 19 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 698 LV | ±3.6% |
ETV/Winthrop University [995] | September 28–October 19 | 44.6% | 44.2% | 0.4 | 744 LV | ±3.6% |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [996] | October 13 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 474 LV | ±5% |
Zogby Interactive [997] | October 9–13 | 49.5% | 46.1% | 3.4 | 831 LV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [998] | October 8 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 700 LV | ±4% |
WSOC-TV/Marshall Marketing & Communications [999] | October 6–7 | 46% | 47.8% | 1.8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
WTVD-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA [1000] | October 5–6 | 46% | 49% | 3 | 617 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [1001] | October 3–6 | 49% | 49% | Tied | 666 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1002] | September 30 | 50% | 47% | 3 | 700 LV | ±4% |
American Research Group [1003] | September 27–29 | 46% | 49% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1004] | September 23 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1005] | September 18 | 47% | 50% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Elon University [1006] | September 15–16 | 35% | 41% | 6 | 411 A | ±4.9% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [1007] | September 14–16 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 910 RV | ±3.5% |
American Research Group [1008] | September 13–16 | 41% | 52% | 11 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [1009] | September 9–12 | 48.1% | 46.6% | 1.5 | 635 LV | ±4.0% |
WTVD-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA [1010] | September 6–8 | 38% | 58% | 20 | 671 LV | ±3.8% |
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) [1011] | September 5–7 | 46% | 49% | 3 | 605 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1012] | August 13 | 44% | 50% | 6 | 700 LV | ±4% |
WTVD-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA [1013] | August 9–11 | 45% | 49% | 4 | 655 LV | ±3.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1014] | July 15 | 45% | 48% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
WTVD-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA [1015] | July 12–14 | 45% | 50% | 5 | 676 LV | ±3.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1016] | June 10 | 43% | 45% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
WTVD-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA [1017] | May 17–19 | 43% | 51% | 8 | 713 LV | ±3.7% |
Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research [1018] | May 14–17 | 39% | 44% | 5 | 800 RV | ±3.7% |
Public Policy Polling [1019] | May 8–9 | 42% | 49% | 7 | 616 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1020] | May 8 | 45% | 48% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1021] | April 10 | 47% | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4% |
Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research [1022] | April 9–10 | 39% | 48% | 9 | 800 RV | ±3.7% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1023] | March 20 | 42% | 51% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [1024] | February 26–28 | 45% | 47% | 2 | 630 RV | ±4% |
Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research [1025] | February 19–22 | 36% | 46% | 10 | 800 RV | ±3.7% |
Public Policy Polling [1026] | February 18 | 42% | 47% | 5 | 686 LV | ±3.7% |
Public Policy Polling [1027] | January 21 | 38% | 52% | 14 | 762 LV | ±3.6% |
Public Policy Polling [1028] | June 19, 2007 | 44% | 45% | 1 | 545 LV | ±4.15% |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1029] | November 2 | 49% | 50% | 0% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Public Policy Polling [1030] | October 30–November 2 | 50% | 49% | 1% | 1 | 2,100 LV | ±2.1% |
Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research [1031] | October 27–29 | 47% | 46% | 3% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.2% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [1032] | October 23–28 | 52% | 46% | 2% | 6 | 667 LV | ±4% |
October 26 | 48% | 49% | 0% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3% | |
Public Policy Polling [1033] | October 25–26 | 49% | 48% | 1% | 1 | 1,038 LV | ±2.8% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [1034] | October 19–21 | 51% | 46% | 2% | 5 | 644 LV | ±4% |
Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research [1035] | October 18–20 | 48% | 45% | 1% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.2% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1036] | October 19 | 51% | 48% | 0% | 3% | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Public Policy Polling [1037] | October 18–19 | 51% | 44% | 2% | 7 | 1,200 LV | ±2.8% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1038] | October 12 | 48% | 48% | 1% | Tied | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Public Policy Polling [1039] | October 11–12 | 49% | 46% | 1% | 3 | 1,196 LV | ±2.8% |
Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research [1040] | October 6–8 | 48% | 43% | 2% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4.2% |
Public Policy Polling [1041] | October 4–5 | 50% | 44% | 2% | 6 | 1,202 LV | ±2.8% |
Public Policy Polling [1042] | September 28–29 | 47% | 45% | 3% | 2 | 1,041 LV | ±3.0% |
Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research [1043] | September 17–20 | 45% | 45% | 1% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4.2% |
Public Policy Polling [1044] | September 17–19 | 46% | 46% | 5% | Tied | 1,060 LV | ±3.0% |
Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research [1045] | September 6–10 | 44% | 48% | 0% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.2% |
Public Policy Polling [1046] | September 9 | 44% | 48% | 4% | 4 | 626 LV | ±3.9% |
Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) [1047] | August 20–26 | 44% | 47% | 4% | 3 | 852 LV | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Polling [1048] | August 20–23 | 42% | 45% | 4% | 3 | 904 LV | ±3.3% |
Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research [1049] | August 14–17 | 40% | 46% | 6% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4.2% |
Public Policy Polling [1050] | July 23–27 | 44% | 47% | 3% | 3 | 823 LV | ±3.4% |
Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research [1051] | July 14–16 | 40% | 43% | 2% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling [1052] | June 26–29 | 41% | 45% | 3% | 4 | 1,048 LV | ±3.0% |
Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research [1053] | June 11–13 | 41% | 45% | 2% | 4 | 596 RV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling [1054] | May 28–29 | 40% | 43% | 6% | 3 | 543 LV | ±4.2% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group [1055] | October 22–26 | 48% | 46% | 0% | 0% | 2 | 601 LV | ±4.0% |
Majority Opinion/InsiderAdvantage [1056] | August 19 | 42.8% | 44.5% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 1.7 | 614 LV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [1057] | August 15–19 | 47% | 39% | 3% | 2% | 8 | 604 LV | ±4.0% |
Zogby Interactive [1058] | June 11–30 | 47% | 38% | 4% | 1% | 9 | 1,340 LV | ±2.7% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [1059] | October 18–November 1 | 43% | 50% | 7 | 271 RV | Not reported |
North Dakota United Transportation Union/DFM Research (D) [1060] | October 13–14 | 44% | 41% | 3 | 504 RV | ±4.4% |
Fargo Forum/Minnesota State University Moorhead [1061] | October 6–8 | 45% | 43% | 2 | 606 LV | ±4% |
American Research Group [1062] | September 15–17 | 43% | 52% | 9 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1063] | September 8 | 41% | 55% | 14 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
North Dakota United Transportation Union/DFM Research (D) [1064] | August 23–27 | 43% | 40% | 3 | 400 RV | ±5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1065] | July 8 | 43% | 43% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Dakota Wesleyan University [1066] | March 24–April 3 | 38% | 44% | 6 | 260 RV | ±6% |
SurveyUSA [1067] | February 26–28 | 46% | 42% | 4 | 572 RV | ±4.2% |
20 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reuters/Zogby International [1068] | October 31–November 3 | 49.4% | 47.4% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
Public Policy Polling [1069] | October 31–November 2 | 50% | 48% | 2 | 1,208 LV | ±2.8% |
WCMH-TV Columbus/WHIO-TV Dayton/WKYC-TV Cleveland/SurveyUSA [1070] | October 30–November 2 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 660 LV | ±3.9% |
Quinnipiac University [1071] | October 27–November 2 | 50% | 43% | 7 | 1,574 LV | ±2.5% |
Polimetrix/YouGov [1072] | October 18–November 1 | 51% | 45% | 6 | 990 RV | Not reported |
Columbus Dispatch [1073] | October 22–31 | 52% | 46% | 6 | 2,164 LV | ±2% |
NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [1074] | October 28–29 | 45% | 47% | 2 | 625 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [1075] | October 23–28 | 51% | 47% | 4 | 779 LV | ±3.5% |
WCMH-TV Columbus/WHIO-TV Dayton/WKYC-TV Cleveland/SurveyUSA [1076] | October 26–27 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 648 LV | ±3.9% |
Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times [1077] | October 24–27 | 49% | 40% | 9 | 644 LV | ±4% |
Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics [1078] | October 23–27 | 48% | 41% | 7 | 404 RV | ±4.9% |
Marist College [1079] | October 24–26 | 48% | 45% | 3 | 661 LV | ±4% |
Reuters/Zogby International [1080] | October 23–26 | 49.7% | 45.1% | 4.6 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
Quinnipiac University [1081] | October 22–26 | 51% | 42% | 9 | 1,425 LV | ±2.6% |
Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group [1082] | October 22–26 | 48% | 42% | 6 | 607 LV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling [1083] | October 22–23 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 993 LV | ±3.1% |
Ohio University [1084] | October 12–23 | 57% | 41% | 16 | 611 A | ±4% |
Politico/InsiderAdvantage [1085] | October 22 | 52% | 42% | 10 | 408 LV | ±5% |
Big Ten [1086] | October 19–22 | 52.5% | 41% | 11.5 | 564 LV | ±4.2% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [1087] | October 19–21 | 50% | 46% | 4 | 737 LV | ±3.5% |
Quinnipiac University [1088] | October 16–21 | 52% | 38% | 14 | 1,360 LV | ±2.7% |
Zogby Interactive [1089] | October 17–20 | 46.5% | 49.3% | 2.8 | 991 LV | ±3.2% |
University of Akron [1090] | September 24–October 19 | 44.6% | 40.9% | 3.7 | 1,213 RV | ±2.8% |
NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [1091] | October 16–17 | 45% | 46% | 1 | 625 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1092] | October 14 | 49% | 49% | Tied | 700 LV | ±4% |
WCMH-TV Columbus/WHIO-TV Dayton/WKYC-TV Cleveland/SurveyUSA [1093] | October 12–13 | 50% | 45% | 5 | 575 LV | ±4.2% |
Zogby Interactive [1094] | October 9–13 | 44.8% | 49.5% | 4.7 | 1,018 LV | ±3.1% |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [1095] | October 9 | 49% | 44% | 5 | 509 LV | ±4% |
Marist College [1096] | October 5–8 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 771 LV | ±3.5% |
American Research Group [1097] | October 4–7 | 48% | 45% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [1098] | October 3–6 | 50% | 47% | 3 | 749 LV | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Polling [1099] | October 4–5 | 49% | 43% | 6 | 1,239 LV | ±2.8% |
ABC News/Washington Post [1100] | October 3–5 | 51% | 45% | 6 | 772 LV | ±3.5% |
Columbus Dispatch [1101] | September 24–October 3 | 49% | 42% | 7 | 2,262 LV | ±2% |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [1102] | September 29 | 47% | 45% | 2 | 512 LV | ±4% |
WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WHIO-TV Dayton/WKYC-TV Cleveland/SurveyUSA [1103] | September 28–29 | 48% | 49% | 1 | 693 LV | ±3.8% |
Quinnipiac University [1104] | September 27–29 | 50% | 42% | 8 | 825 LV | ±3.4% |
Quinnipiac University [1105] | September 22–26 | 49% | 42% | 7 | 1,203 LV | ±2.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1106] | September 23 | 46% | 47% | 1 | 700 LV | ±4% |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [1107] | September 22 | 46% | 46% | Tied | 545 LV | ±4.1% |
Big Ten [1108] | September 14–17 | 45.6% | 45.1% | 0.5 | 619 RV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [1109] | September 14–16 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 913 RV | ±3% |
Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics [1110] | September 11–15 | 41% | 42% | 1 | 400 RV | ±4.9% |
Marist College [1111] | September 11–15 | 47% | 45% | 2 | 565 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling [1112] | September 13–14 | 44% | 48% | 4 | 1,077 LV | ±3.0% |
WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WHIO-TV Dayton/WKYC-TV Cleveland/SurveyUSA [1113] | September 12–14 | 45% | 49% | 4 | 692 LV | ±3.8% |
American Research Group [1114] | September 10–13 | 44% | 50% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [1115] | September 9–12 | 43.9% | 49.8% | 5.9 | 847 LV | ±3.4% |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [1116] | September 10 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 503 LV | ±4.3% |
University of Cincinnati [1117] | September 5–10 | 44% | 48% | 4 | 775 LV | ±3.5% |
Quinnipiac University [1118] | September 5–9 | 49% | 44% | 5 | 1,367 LV | ±2.7% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [1119] | August 31–September 2 | 47% | 45% | 2 | 685 RV | ±3.5% |
Quinnipiac University [1120] | August 17–24 | 44% | 43% | 1 | 1,234 LV | ±2.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1121] | August 18 | 43% | 48% | 5 | 700 LV | ±4% |
University of Akron [1122] | July 17–August 17 | 39.6% | 39.9% | 0.3 | 753 RV | ±3.6% |
Public Policy Polling [1123] | August 12–14 | 45% | 45% | Tied | 950 LV | ±3.2% |
Quinnipiac University [1124] | July 23–29 | 46% | 44% | 2 | 1,229 LV | ±2.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1125] | July 21 | 42% | 52% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling [1126] | July 17–20 | 48% | 40% | 8 | 1,058 LV | ±3.0% |
WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/SurveyUSA [1127] | June 20–22 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 580 LV | ±4.2% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1128] | June 17 | 43% | 44% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University [1129] | June 9–16 | 48% | 42% | 6 | 1,396 LV | ±2.6% |
Public Policy Polling [1130] | June 14–15 | 50% | 39% | 11 | 733 LV | ±3.6% |
Quinnipiac University [1131] | May 13–20 | 40% | 44% | 4 | 1,244 RV | ±2.8% |
WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/SurveyUSA [1132] | May 16–18 | 48% | 39% | 9 | 600 RV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1133] | May 15 | 44% | 45% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University [1134] | April 23–29 | 42% | 43% | 1 | 1,127 RV | ±2.9% |
WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/SurveyUSA [1135] | April 11–13 | 45% | 47% | 2 | 527 RV | ±4.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1136] | April 8 | 40% | 47% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University [1137] | March 24–31 | 43% | 42% | 1 | 1,238 RV | ±2.8% |
Public Policy Polling [1138] | March 15–17 | 41% | 49% | 8 | 621 LV | ±3.9% |
WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/SurveyUSA [1139] | March 14–16 | 43% | 50% | 7 | 532 RV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1140] | March 13 | 40% | 46% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [1141] | February 26–28 | 50% | 40% | 10 | 629 RV | ±4% |
University of Cincinnati [1142] | February 21–24 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 970 RV | ±3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1143] | February 17 | 41% | 42% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WHIO-TV Dayton/WKYC-TV Cleveland/SurveyUSA [1144] | February 15–17 | 47% | 44% | 3 | 542 RV | ±4.3% |
Quinnipiac University [1145] | February 6–12 | 40% | 42% | 2 | 1,748 RV | ±2.3% |
WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/SurveyUSA [1146] | January 4–6 | 43% | 50% | 7 | 535 RV | ±4.3% |
Public Policy Polling [1147] | January 4 | 42% | 45% | 3 | 946 LV | ±3.1% |
WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WYTV-TV Youngstown/SurveyUSA [1148] | December 13–15, 2007 | 38% | 47% | 9 | 539 RV | ±4.3% |
WCPO-TV Cincinnati/SurveyUSA [1149] | December 3, 2007 | 40% | 51% | 11 | 643 RV | ±3.9% |
WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WYTV-TV Youngstown/SurveyUSA [1150] | November 9–11, 2007 | 37% | 52% | 15 | 533 RV | ±4.3% |
Quinnipiac University [1151] | October 1–8, 2007 | 43% | 39% | 4 | 946 RV | ±3.2% |
Quinnipiac University [1152] | August 28–September 3, 2007 | 41% | 42% | 1 | 1,430 RV | ±2.6% |
Quinnipiac University [1153] | July 3–9, 2007 | 43% | 38% | 5 | 1,447 RV | ±2.6% |
Quinnipiac University [1154] | June 18–25, 2007 | 43% | 38% | 5 | 1,013 RV | ±3.1% |
Quinnipiac University [1155] | May 8–13, 2007 | 44% | 41% | 3 | 939 RV | ±3.2% |
Quinnipiac University [1156] | April 17–24, 2007 | 36% | 42% | 6 | 1,083 RV | ±3% |
Quinnipiac University [1157] | March 13–19, 2007 | 45% | 37% | 8 | 1,122 RV | ±2.9% |
SurveyUSA [1158] | March 9–11, 2007 | 39% | 50% | 11 | Not reported | Not reported |
Quinnipiac University [1159] | February 25–March 4, 2007 | 42% | 39% | 3 | 1,281 RV | ±2.7% |
SurveyUSA [1160] | February 9–11, 2007 | 41% | 51% | 10 | Not reported | Not reported |
Quinnipiac University [1161] | January 23–28, 2007 | 38% | 41% | 3 | 1,305 RV | ±2.7% |
WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WYTV-TV Youngstown/SurveyUSA [1162] | January 12–14, 2007 | 40% | 54% | 14 | 510 RV | ±4.4% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio News Organization/University of Cincinnati [1163] | October 4–8 | 46% | 48% | 1% | 2% | 2 | 876 LV | ±3% |
Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) [1164] | September 29–October 1 | 49% | 43% | 2% | 2% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Ohio News Organization/University of Cincinnati [1165] | September 12–16 | 42% | 48% | 1% | 4% | 6 | 869 LV | ±3.3% |
Columbus Dispatch [1166] | August 12–21 | 41% | 42% | 1% | 1% | 1 | 2,102 LV | ±2.2% |
Zogby Interactive [1167] | August 15–19 | 41% | 36% | 8% | 1% | 5 | 683 LV | ±3.8% |
Zogby Interactive [1168] | June 11–30 | 43% | 38% | 7% | 2% | 5 | 2,172 LV | ±2.1% |
Five-way race
Seven-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Chuck Baldwin | Brian Moore | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University [1181] | October 16–19 | 51% | 42% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Suffolk University [1182] | September 10–13 | 42% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Eight-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Chuck Baldwin | Brian Moore | Richard Duncan | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group [1183] | October 22–26 | 48% | 41% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7 | 607 LV | ±4.0% |
7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [1184] | October 18–November 1 | 39% | 58% | 19 | 491 RV | Not reported |
KFOR-TV Oklahoma City/SurveyUSA [1185] | October 28–29 | 34% | 63% | 29 | 594 LV | ±4% |
Oklahoma City News9/SoonerPoll [1186] | October 24–26 | 34.8% | 61.6% | 26.8 | 720 LV | ±3.4% |
KFOR-TV Oklahoma City/SurveyUSA [1187] | October 18–19 | 35% | 59% | 24 | 561 LV | ±4.2% |
Oklahoma City News9/SoonerPoll [1188] | October 10–12 | 31.9% | 63% | 31.1 | 813 LV | ±3.44% |
Oklahoma City News9/SoonerPoll [1189] | October 4–5 | 29.1% | 65.5% | 36.4 | 801 LV | ±3.46% |
KFOR-TV Oklahoma City/SurveyUSA [1190] | September 28–29 | 34% | 64% | 30 | 656 LV | ±3.8% |
Oklahoma City News9/SoonerPoll [1191] | September 26–28 | 26.5% | 67.6% | 41.6 | 904 LV | ±3.25% |
Oklahoma City News9/SoonerPoll [1192] | September 20–22 | 26.2% | 65.8% | 39.6 | 667 LV | ±3.79% |
American Research Group [1193] | September 15–18 | 34% | 61% | 27 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Oklahoma City News9/SoonerPoll [1194] | September 14 | 26.9% | 69.1% | 42.2 | 859 LV | ±3.34% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1195] | September 11 | 32% | 63% | 31 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Oklahoma City News9/SoonerPoll [1196] | September 7 | 27.9% | 65.9% | 38 | 894 LV | ±3.27% |
KFOR-TV Oklahoma City/SurveyUSA [1197] | September 5–7 | 35% | 62% | 27 | 652 LV | ±3.7% |
Tulsa World/KOTV/SoonerPoll [1198] | July 19–23 | 24% | 56% | 32 | 750 LV | ±3.6% |
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates [1199] | April 1–10 | 21% | 62% | 41 | 500 RV | ±4.3% |
SurveyUSA [1200] | February 26–28 | 34% | 57% | 23 | 599 RV | ±4% |
Tulsa World/KOTV/SoonerPoll [1201] | January 27–30 | 30% | 58% | 28 | 757 RV | ±3.56% |
Tulsa World/KOTV/SoonerPoll [1202] | December 16–19, 2007 | 26% | 62% | 36 | 745 RV | ±3.59% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [1203] | June 11–30 | 37% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 5 | 406 LV | ±5.0% |
7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [1204] | October 18–November 1 | 54% | 43% | 11 | 698 RV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1205] | October 30 | 54% | 42% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling [1206] | October 28–30 | 57% | 42% | 15 | 1,424 LV | ±2.6% |
Moore Information [1207] | October 27–28 | 51% | 37% | 14 | 400 RV | ±5% |
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA [1208] | October 25–26 | 57% | 38% | 19 | 672 LV | ±3.8% |
Portland Tribune/Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. [1209] | October 23–25 | 53% | 34% | 19 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
Riley Research Associates [1210] | October 10–20 | 48% | 33% | 15 | 499 LV | ±4.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1211] | October 14 | 54% | 41% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA [1212] | October 11–12 | 57% | 40% | 17 | 584 LV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1213] | October 9 | 54% | 43% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KATU-TV Portland/Roll Call/SurveyUSA [1214] | September 22–23 | 52% | 41% | 11 | 708 LV | ±3.8% |
American Research Group [1215] | September 20–22 | 52% | 41% | 11 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1216] | September 15 | 51% | 47% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Moore Information [1217] | September 10–11 | 43% | 37% | 6 | 408 RV | ±5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1218] | August 7 | 52% | 42% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA [1219] | August 2–4 | 48% | 45% | 3 | 629 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1220] | July 15 | 49% | 40% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA [1221] | June 17–19 | 48% | 45% | 3 | 547 LV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1222] | June 11 | 46% | 38% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA [1223] | May 16–18 | 49% | 39% | 10 | 600 RV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1224] | May 7 | 52% | 38% | 14 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA [1225] | April 11–13 | 51% | 42% | 9 | 543 RV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1226] | March 26 | 48% | 42% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA [1227] | March 14–16 | 50% | 41% | 9 | 524 RV | ±4.4% |
SurveyUSA [1228] | February 26–28 | 49% | 41% | 8 | 628 RV | ±4% |
Riley Research Associates [1229] | February 7–18 | 46% | 38% | 8 | 401 LV | ±4.89% |
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA [1230] | February 15–17 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 530 RV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1231] | February 13 | 49% | 40% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA [1232] | January 11–13 | 47% | 47% | Tied | 544 RV | ±4.3% |
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA [1233] | December 13–15, 2007 | 46% | 44% | 2 | 537 RV | ±4.3% |
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA [1234] | November 9–11, 2007 | 45% | 45% | Tied | 523 RV | ±4.4% |
SurveyUSA [1235] | March 9–11, 2007 | 49% | 43% | 6 | Not reported | Not reported |
SurveyUSA [1236] | February 9–11, 2007 | 43% | 47% | 4 | Not reported | Not reported |
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA [1237] | January 12–14, 2007 | 40% | 51% | 11 | 500 RV | ±4.5 |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portland Tribune/Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. [1238] | September 11–14 | 50% | 40% | 2 | 10 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grove Insight (D) [1239] | October 7–9 | 52% | 39% | 1% | 1% | 13 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Hoffman Research Group [1240] | September 8–9 | 46% | 39% | 1% | 1% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [1241] | June 11–30 | 49% | 33% | 6% | 1% | 16 | 821 LV | ±3.5% |
21 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [1331] | October 23–28 | 53% | 41% | 2% | 3% | 12 | 768 LV | ±3.5% |
Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group [1332] | October 22–26 | 52% | 40% | 1% | 1% | 12 | 607 LV | ±4.0% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1333] | September 28 | 50% | 42% | 2% | 3% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1334] | September 21 | 48% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1335] | September 14 | 47% | 47% | 1% | 1% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1336] | September 7 | 47% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [1337] | August 24–26 | 47% | 38% | 1% | 7% | 9 | 669 RV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [1338] | August 15–19 | 46% | 37% | 5% | 3% | 9 | 557 LV | ±4.2% |
Zogby Interactive [1339] | June 11–30 | 46% | 36% | 5% | 2% | 10 | 1,935 LV | ±2.3% |
4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [1340] | October 18–November 1 | 58% | 37% | 21 | 365 RV | Not reported |
Rhode Island College [1341] | September 17–24 | 45% | 31% | 14 | 742 RV | ±3.6% |
Brown University [1342] | September 15–16 | 47.4% | 34% | 13.4 | 652 RV | ±3.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1343] | September 13 | 58% | 39% | 19 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [1344] | September 11–13 | 59% | 33% | 26 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Brown University [1345] | August 18–20 | 50.6% | 30% | 20.6 | 548 RV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1346] | June 30 | 55% | 31% | 24 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rhode Island College [1347] | June 18–27 | 53% | 25% | 28 | 500 RV | ±4.0% |
SurveyUSA [1348] | February 26–28 | 53% | 38% | 15 | 628 RV | ±4% |
Brown University [1349] | February 9–10 | 42% | 30% | 12 | 739 RV | ±4% |
Brown University [1350] | September 8–9, 2007 | 46% | 27% | 19 | 571 RV | ±4% |
Brown University [1351] | January 27, 2007 | 40% | 37% | 3 | 475 RV | ±5% |
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [1352] | October 18–November 1 | 44% | 52% | 8 | 728 RV | Not reported |
WCSC-TV Charleston/SurveyUSA [1353] | October 28–29 | 44% | 52% | 8 | 654 LV | ±3.9% |
NBC News/Princeton Survey Research Associates International [1354] | October 25–28 | 42% | 53% | 11 | 400 LV | ±5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1355] | October 20 | 43% | 54% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
ETV/Winthrop University [1356] | September 28–October 19 | 34.9% | 55.1% | 20.2 | 617 LV | ±3.9% |
WCSC-TV Charleston/SurveyUSA [1357] | October 12–13 | 41% | 55% | 14 | 561 LV | ±4.2% |
WCSC-TV Charleston/SurveyUSA [1358] | September 21–22 | 39% | 58% | 19 | 690 LV | ±3.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1359] | September 18 | 45% | 51% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [1360] | September 14–17 | 37% | 59% | 22 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1361] | June 5 | 39% | 48% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4% |
SurveyUSA [1362] | February 26–28 | 45% | 48% | 3 | 595 RV | ±4.1% |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [1363] | July 9–11 | 39% | 45% | 5% | 6 | 542 LV | ±4.2% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [1364] | June 18–30 | 42% | 41% | 6% | 1% | 1 | 630 LV | ±4.0% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [1365] | October 18–November 1 | 43% | 52% | 9 | 352 RV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1366] | October 30 | 44% | 53% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Argus Leader Media/KELO-TV/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [1367] | October 13–15 | 41% | 48% | 7 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
American Research Group [1368] | September 19–21 | 39% | 55% | 16 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1369] | September 9 | 37% | 54% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1370] | July 9 | 43% | 47% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Dakota Wesleyan University [1371] | March 24–April 3 | 34% | 51% | 17 | 267 RV | ±6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1372] | March 4 | 38% | 48% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [1373] | February 26–28 | 43% | 47% | 4 | 632 RV | ±4% |
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [1374] | October 18–November 1 | 44% | 53% | 9 | 653 RV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1375] | October 16 | 42% | 54% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R) [1376] | October 12–15 | 39% | 54% | 15 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1377] | September 29 | 39% | 58% | 19 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Middle Tennessee State University [1378] | September 15–27 | 35% | 55% | 20 | 357 LV | Not reported |
Chattanooga Times Free Press/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [1379] | September 22–24 | 39% | 55% | 16 | 625 LV | ±4% |
American Research Group [1380] | September 16–19 | 36% | 59% | 23 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1381] | August 20 | 35% | 60% | 25 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R) [1382] | August 10–12 | 36% | 51% | 15 | 500 RV | ±4.38% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1383] | June 24 | 36% | 51% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1384] | April 3 | 31% | 58% | 27 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R) [1385] | March 5–9 | 36% | 53% | 17 | 600 RV | ±4% |
SurveyUSA [1386] | February 26–28 | 38% | 54% | 16 | 618 RV | ±4% |
Middle Tennessee State University [1387] | February 11–23 | 36% | 50% | 14 | 577 A | ±4% |
Middle Tennessee State University [1388] | October 17–27, 2007 | 35% | 44% | 9 | 593 A | ±4% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [1389] | June 11–30 | 36% | 41% | 7% | 1% | 5 | 1,004 LV | ±3.2% |
34 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [1390] | October 18–November 1 | 43% | 54% | 11 | 972 RV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1391] | October 21 | 44% | 54% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [1392] | October 5–8 | 38% | 57% | 19 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1393] | September 29 | 43% | 52% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [1394] | September 16–19 | 36% | 57% | 21 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1395] | August 21 | 44% | 54% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1396] | July 30 | 44% | 52% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
June 25 | 39% | 48% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% | |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1397] | June 2 | 39% | 52% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Baselice & Associates [1398] | May 20–25 | 36% | 52% | 16 | 1,005 RV | ±3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1399] | May 1 | 43% | 48% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Baselice & Associates [1400] | April 25 | 35% | 52% | 17 | 801 RV | Not reported |
IVR Polls [1401] | February 28, March 1 | Not reported | Not reported | 22 | 2,922 LV | ±1.8% |
WFAA-TV Dallas/Belo/Public Strategies Inc. [1402] | February 28–March 1 | 42% | 49% | 7 | 778 LV | ±3.4% |
SurveyUSA [1403] | February 26–28 | 46% | 47% | 1 | 600 RV | ±4.1% |
KRLD-AM Dallas/KTRK-TV Houston/KTVT-TV Dallas/SurveyUSA [1404] | February 23–25 | 41% | 49% | 8 | 1,725 RV | ±2.4% |
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [1405] | February 14–17 | 44% | 52% | 8 | 1,247 RV | ±3% |
Texas Lyceum [1406] | April 26–May 7, 2007 | 25% | 32% | 7 | Not reported | Not reported |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Texas at Austin [1407] | October 15–22 | 38% | 49.3% | 1.3% | 11.3 | 550 RV | ±4.2% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Texas at Austin [1408] | July 18–30 | 33% | 43% | 5% | 2% | 10 | 668 RV | Not reported |
Zogby Interactive [1409] | June 11–30 | 39% | 42% | 6% | 2% | 3 | 3,289 LV | ±1.7% |
Texas Lyceum [1410] | June 12–20 | 38% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 5 | Not reported | Not reported |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [1411] | October 18–November 1 | 34% | 61% | 27 | 395 RV | Not reported |
Deseret News/KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates [1412] | October 24–30 | 32% | 57% | 25 | 1,205 RV | ±2.9% |
Salt Lake Tribune/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [1413] | October 23–25 | 32% | 55% | 23 | 625 LV | ±4% |
American Research Group [1414] | September 10–13 | 29% | 65% | 36 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Deseret News/KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates [1415] | September 8–11 | 24% | 62% | 38 | 601 RV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1416] | September 10 | 32% | 64% | 32 | 500 LV | ±4% |
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [1417] | August 13–15 | 23% | 62% | 39 | 400 LV | ±5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1418] | June 19 | 33% | 52% | 19 | 500 LV | ±4% |
KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates [1419] | June 1–3 | 31% | 54% | 23 | 252 LV | Not reported |
Deseret News/KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates [1420] | May 13–19 | 27% | 62% | 35 | 604 RV | ±4% |
SurveyUSA [1421] | February 26–28 | 39% | 50% | 11 | 608 RV | ±4.1% |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deseret News/KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates [1422] | June 16–19 | 29% | 57% | 1% | 28 | 405 RV | Not reported |
3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [1423] | October 18–November 1 | 62% | 32% | 30 | 275 RV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1424] | October 6 | 65% | 32% | 33 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group [1425] | September 18–22 | 56% | 38% | 18 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1426] | September 13 | 60% | 36% | 24 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [1427] | February 26–28 | 63% | 29% | 34 | 626 RV | ±3.9% |
13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [1496] | October 11–14 | 50% | 41% | 3% | 4% | 9 | 698 LV | ±3.5% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [1497] | September 28–30 | 52% | 42% | 2% | 2% | 10 | 684 LV | ±4% |
Zogby Interactive [1498] | August 15–19 | 43% | 41% | 5% | 1% | 2 | 632 LV | ±3.9% |
Zogby Interactive [1499] | June 11–30 | 44% | 39% | 5% | 1% | 5 | 1,261 LV | ±2.8% |
Five-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1500] | November 2 | 51% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1501] | October 26 | 51% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1502] | October 12 | 50% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1503] | October 5 | 50% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1504] | September 28 | 50% | 47% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1505] | September 21 | 48% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1506] | September 14 | 48% | 48% | 0% | 1% | 0% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1507] | September 7 | 47% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Six-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Chuck Baldwin | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group [1508] | October 22–26 | 49% | 42% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 7 | 601 LV | ±4.0% |
Suffolk University [1509] | October 3–5 | 51% | 39% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12 | 600 LV | ±4% |
11 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [1552] | June 11–30 | 48% | 35% | 5% | 2% | 13 | 1,373 LV | ±2.7% |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
American Research Group [1553] | October 31–November 3 | 42% | 53% | 11 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Polimetrix/YouGov [1554] | October 18–November 1 | 43% | 52% | 9 | 404 RV | Not reported |
Public Policy Polling [1555] | October 29–30 | 42% | 55% | 13 | 2,128 LV | ±2.1% |
Reuters/Zogby International [1556] | October 23–26 | 40.4% | 50.3% | 9.9 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
West Virginia Wesleyan College/The State Journal/Orion Strategies [1557] | October 20–21 | 43.5% | 49.2% | 5.7 | 600 LV | ±4% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [1558] | October 19–21 | 44% | 53% | 9 | 674 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1559] | October 20 | 43% | 52% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [1560] | October 16–17 | 41% | 47% | 6 | 625 LV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling [1561] | October 16–17 | 42% | 50% | 8 | 1,223 LV | ±2.8% |
Rainmaker Media Group [1562] | October 14–15 | 41.3% | 41.7% | 0.4 | 600 RV | Not reported |
Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage [1563] | October 13 | 47% | 49% | 2 | 522 LV | ±4% |
American Research Group [1564] | October 4–8 | 50% | 42% | 8 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1565] | September 24 | 42% | 50% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation [1566] | September 21–23 | 46% | 50% | 4 | 694 LV | ±3.5% |
West Virginia Wesleyan College/The State Journal/Orion Strategies [1567] | September 21–22 | 40.7% | 51.7% | 11 | 600 LV | ±4 |
American Research Group [1568] | September 14–16 | 45% | 49% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Mark Blankenship Enterprises [1569] | September 5–8 | 39% | 44% | 5 | 432 RV | ±4.7% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1570] | June 2 | 35% | 47% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA [1571] | February 26–28 | 35% | 53% | 18 | 617 RV | ±4% |
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Ralph Nader | Cynthia McKinney | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [1572] | October 19–21 | 41% | 53% | 2% | 1% | 12 | 674 LV | ±4% |
10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Four-way race
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Bob Barr | Ralph Nader | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Interactive [1617] | June 11–30 | 48% | 38% | 4% | 1% | 10 | 861 LV | ±3.4% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Poll Source | Date administered (2008) | Barack Obama | John McCain | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polimetrix/YouGov [1618] | October 18–November 1 | 29% | 67% | 38 | 246 RV | Not reported |
Roll Call/Capitol Hill/SurveyUSA [1619] | October 18–19 | 37% | 58% | 21 | 604 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [1620] | September 10 | 39% | 58% | 19 | 500 LV | ±4% |
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [1621] | August 13–15 | 25% | 62% | 37 | 400 LV | ±5% |
SurveyUSA [1622] | February 26–28 | 35% | 54% | 19 | 576 RV | ±4.2% |
FINAL UPDATE: 22:32, 4 November 2008 (UTC)