International opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election

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Barack Obama speaking in July 2008 in Berlin. Some polls showed that more than 70% of Germans supported his candidacy. Barack Obama in Berlin.jpg
Barack Obama speaking in July 2008 in Berlin. Some polls showed that more than 70% of Germans supported his candidacy.

This article lists international opinion polls taken in various countries around the world during 2008 relating to the 2008 United States presidential election . Most polls measured foreign preference for Democratic candidate Barack Obama and Republican candidate John McCain. For international reaction to the election, see International reaction to the United States presidential election, 2008.

Contents

Summary

Most polls during the 2008 election year showed greater global support for Senator Barack Obama over Senator John McCain. A poll for the BBC World Service conducted in 22 countries found Obama favored in each one by varying margins, with an overall average of 49% preference for Obama, 12% for McCain, and 40% with no preference. [3] Similarly, a 73 country Gallup poll found that 24% of those polled favored Obama compared with 7% who favored McCain; 69% of those surveyed had no opinion. [4] An international Reader's Digest survey also reported more support for Obama than McCain in all 16 foreign countries polled, though not in the U.S. itself. [5] However, certain countries did prefer McCain to Obama in some polls, including Israel, Georgia, Laos by a small margin, and the Philippines (which is in contrast to the capital Manila). [6]

A poll done by the Pew Global Attitudes Project investigated whether other countries believed American foreign policy "will change for the better" with a new president. Although majorities held this belief in several major European and African countries, 67% of Japanese respondents said it would not change very much and more Jordanians and Egyptians believed American foreign policy would get worse than better. In terms of confidence in the candidates, the Pew poll found most but not all countries had more confidence in Obama to do the right thing in global affairs. In several countries a majority of those polled said they were following the campaign closely, including Australia, Germany, Jordan, and the United Kingdom. [7]

A global non-scientific Internet vote conducted by The Economist , with 52,000 respondents, indicated that Obama was favored over McCain by a vast majority of poll respondents, with over 44,000 votes for Obama, or roughly 85% (there were no third party or abstain options). [8]

Multi-country polls

CountryCandidatesYouGov/
Daily Telegraph
May 27–29 [9]
Reader's Digest/
Synovate Omnibus
June 2-July 7 [10]
BBC/
GlobeScan
July 28-Aug 27 [3]
Gallup
May-Oct [11]
Harris/
France24/IHT
Oct 1-13 [1]
Various
Oct [12]
Flag of Argentina.svg  Argentina Obama
McCain
---31%
6%
--
Flag of Armenia.svg  Armenia Obama
McCain
---43%
10%
--
Flag of Australia (converted).svg  Australia Obama
McCain
-76%
10%
67%
13%
64%
14%
--
Flag of Austria.svg  Austria Obama
McCain
---58%
10%
--
Flag of Bangladesh.svg  Bangladesh Obama
McCain
---19%
8%
--
Flag of Belgium (civil).svg  Belgium Obama
McCain
---64%
6%
-62%
8%
Flag of Benin.svg  Benin Obama
McCain
---20%
2%
--
Bandera de Bolivia (Estado).svg  Bolivia Obama
McCain
---30%
8%
--
Flag of Botswana.svg  Botswana Obama
McCain
---62%
6%
--
Flag of Brazil.svg  Brazil Obama
McCain
-78%
11%
51%
8%
---
Flag of Burkina Faso.svg  Burkina Faso Obama
McCain
---50%
7%
--
Flag of Burundi.svg  Burundi Obama
McCain
---61%
8%
--
Flag of Cambodia.svg  Cambodia Obama
McCain
---4%
9%
--
Flag of Cameroon.svg  Cameroon Obama
McCain
---44%
7%
--
Flag of Canada (Pantone).svg  Canada Obama
McCain
-64%
14%
66%
14%
67%
22%
-70%
14%
Flag of Chile.svg  Chile Obama
McCain
---43%
9%
--
Flag of the People's Republic of China.svg  China Obama
McCain
--35%
15%
12%
5%
--
Flag of Colombia.svg  Colombia Obama
McCain
---38%
16%
--
Flag of Costa Rica.svg  Costa Rica Obama
McCain
---44%
9%
--
Flag of Denmark.svg  Denmark Obama
McCain
---69%
8%
--
Flag of Egypt.svg  Egypt Obama
McCain
--26%
13%
---
Flag of El Salvador.svg  El Salvador Obama
McCain
---24%
14%
--
Flag of Estonia.svg  Estonia Obama
McCain
---22%
17%
--
Flag of Ethiopia (1996-2009).svg  Ethiopia Obama
McCain
---76%
6%
--
Flag of Finland.svg  Finland Obama
McCain
-71%
13%
-54%
14%
--
Flag of France.svg  France Obama
McCain
65%
8%
75%
10%
69%
6%
64%
4%
78%
1%
68%
5%
Flag of Georgia.svg  Georgia Obama
McCain
---15%
23%
--
Flag of Germany.svg  Germany Obama
McCain
67%
6%
61%
26%
65%
7%
62%
10%
72%
5%
-
Flag of Ghana.svg  Ghana Obama
McCain
---31%
13%
--
Flag of Guatemala.svg  Guatemala Obama
McCain
---27%
11%
--
Flag of Honduras.svg  Honduras Obama
McCain
---27%
9%
--
Flag of India.svg  India Obama
McCain
-85%
7%
24%
15%
7%
2%
--
Flag of Indonesia.svg  Indonesia Obama
McCain
-67%
17%
46%
11%
---
Flag of Ireland.svg  Ireland Obama
McCain
---67%
19%
--
Flag of Italy.svg  Italy Obama
McCain
70%
15%
-76%
12%
56%
6%
66%
12%
-
Flag of Japan.svg  Japan Obama
McCain
---66%
15%
-61%
13%
Flag of Kenya.svg  Kenya Obama
McCain
--87%
5%
89%
3%
--
Flag of Kuwait.svg  Kuwait (nationals for Gallup)Obama
McCain
---32%
12%
--
Flag of Laos.svg  Laos Obama
McCain
---24%
25%
--
Flag of Latvia.svg  Latvia Obama
McCain
---23%
15%
--
Flag of Lebanon.svg  Lebanon Obama
McCain
--39%
27%
45%
18%
--
Flag of Liberia.svg  Liberia Obama
McCain
---45%
27%
--
Flag of Lithuania.svg  Lithuania Obama
McCain
---13%
13%
--
Flag of Madagascar.svg  Madagascar Obama
McCain
---47%
28%
--
Flag of Mali.svg  Mali Obama
McCain
---70%
16%
--
Flag of Mauritania.svg  Mauritania Obama
McCain
---68%
3%
--
Flag of Mexico.svg  Mexico Obama
McCain
-70%
25%
54%
16%
27%
9%
-46%
13%
Flag of the Netherlands.svg  Netherlands Obama
McCain
-92%
8%
-74%
10%
--
Flag of Nicaragua.svg  Nicaragua Obama
McCain
---23%
7%
--
Flag of Nigeria.svg  Nigeria Obama
McCain
--66%
11%
23%
11%
--
Flag of Norway.svg  Norway Obama
McCain
---71%
13%
--
Flag of Pakistan.svg  Pakistan Obama
McCain
---5%
5%
--
Flag of Palestine.svg  Palestine Obama
McCain
---33%
11%
--
Flag of Panama.svg  Panama Obama
McCain
--43%
15%
35%
10%
--
Flag of Paraguay.svg  Paraguay Obama
McCain
---26%
11%
--
Flag of Peru.svg  Peru Obama
McCain
---31%
11%
--
Flag of the Philippines.svg  Philippines Obama
McCain
--46%
22%
20%
28%
--
Flag of Poland.svg  Poland Obama
McCain
-65%
19%
38%
13%
43%
24%
-43%
26%
Flag of Russia.svg  Russia Obama
McCain
31%
24%
52%
17%
18%
7%
---
Flag of Rwanda.svg  Rwanda Obama
McCain
---57%
12%
--
Flag of Saudi Arabia.svg  Saudi Arabia Obama
McCain
---50%
19%
--
Flag of Senegal.svg  Senegal Obama
McCain
---54%
15%
--
Flag of Sierra Leone.svg  Sierra Leone Obama
McCain
---68%
18%
--
Flag of Singapore.svg  Singapore Obama
McCain
--29%
7%
21%
11%
--
Flag of South Africa.svg  South Africa Obama
McCain
-70%
26%
----
Flag of South Korea.svg  South Korea Obama
McCain
---50%
24%
--
Flag of Spain.svg  Spain Obama
McCain
-76%
13%
-49%
6%
68%
8%
-
Flag of Sweden.svg  Sweden Obama
McCain
---64%
6%
--
Flag of Switzerland.svg   Switzerland Obama
McCain
-----83%
7%
Flag of the Republic of China.svg  Taiwan Obama
McCain
-81%
6%
----
Flag of Tanzania.svg  Tanzania Obama
McCain
---76%
9%
--
Flag of Togo.svg  Togo Obama
McCain
---38%
6%
--
Flag of Turkey.svg  Turkey Obama
McCain
--26%
11%
22%
8%
--
Flag of the United Arab Emirates.svg  UAE Obama
McCain
--46%
13%
---
Flag of Uganda.svg  Uganda Obama
McCain
---85%
8%
--
Flag of the United Kingdom.svg  United Kingdom Obama
McCain
49%
14%
70%
14%
59%
9%
60%
15%
48%
11%
64%
15%
Flag of Uruguay.svg  Uruguay Obama
McCain
---39%
7%
--
Flag of Zambia.svg  Zambia Obama
McCain
---47%
12%
--
Flag of Zimbabwe.svg  Zimbabwe Obama
McCain
---41%
15%
--

Individual country polls

Argentina

A poll taken on August 26 by Ibarómetro reported that 53.2% of those polled preferred Obama against 8.8% for McCain; 38% were unsure. [13]

Canada

Polls taken in Canada showed widespread and overwhelming support for Obama, even in traditionally conservative parts of the country.

France

A poll conducted on September 2–3 by TNS Sofres/Logica for the French-American Foundation and Fondation Robert Schuman found that 80% of the French polled hoped for an Obama victory, 8% for a McCain victory, 7% for neither, and 5% without an opinion. [14] A later poll done on October 10–11 by BVA for La Tribune found an even higher 86% who preferred to see Obama elected, with 6% hoping the same for McCain and 8% not expressing an opinion. [15]

The day after the election, a poll conducted by CSA for Le Parisien found that 84% of those polled were satisfied with the election of Obama, while 6% were dissatisfied and 10% expressed no opinion. [16]

Germany

During the Democratic primary campaign, 43% of Germans supported Obama and 39% supported challenger Senator Hillary Clinton according to a poll by Forsa for Stern . [17] In terms of the general election, a Forsa poll carried out on August 20–21 found 74% of respondents would vote for Obama, 11% for McCain, and 15% other or not sure. [2]

Israel

The Rabin Center for Israel Studies commissioned a poll by TNS Teleseker in the months before the election, which found that 46.4% of those polled supported McCain, 34% supported Obama, and 18.6% were undecided. [6]

Palestinian territories

A poll by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion taken September 1–10 reported 33.5% of respondents favoring McCain, 27.7% Obama, 30.4% neither, and 8.3% unsure. [18]

See also

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References

  1. 1 2 "Harris Interactive/France 24/International Herald Tribune opinion poll" (PDF). France 24. Retrieved 2008-06-11. See also article "France 24 | Obama landslide in Europe | France 24". Archived from the original on 2008-11-01. Retrieved 2008-11-06..
  2. 1 2 "Germans Clearly Support Obama in U.S. Race". Angus Reid Global Monitor. 2008-09-03. Retrieved 2008-11-08.
  3. 1 2 "All Countries in BBC Poll Prefer Obama to McCain" (PDF). BBC World Service. 2008-09-10. Retrieved 2008-11-06.
  4. "World Citizens Prefer Obama to McCain by More Than 3-to-1". Gallup. 2008-10-28. Retrieved 2008-11-07.
  5. Cannon, Carl M. "Global Poll: How the World Sees the 2008 Election". Reader's Digest. Retrieved 2008-11-08.
  6. 1 2 "Poll: Israel votes McCain in US elections". Ynet. 2008-10-27. Retrieved 2008-11-07.
  7. "24-Nation Pew Global Attitudes Survey" (PDF). The Pew Global Attitudes Project. 2008-06-12. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-07-04. Retrieved 2008-11-10. See also an article on the poll .
  8. "Obama sweeps the board: Global Electoral College". The Economist. 2008-10-28. Retrieved 2008-11-06.
  9. Blair, David (2008-06-03). "Barack Obama beats John McCain in European vote: US election 20". Daily Telegraph. Archived from the original on 2008-07-30. Retrieved 2008-11-06. See also spreadsheet of results (xls).
  10. "The Global Presidential Poll". Reader's Digest. Retrieved 2008-11-06. See also methodology .
  11. "World Citizens Prefer Obama to McCain by More Than 3-to-1". Gallup. 2008-10-28. Retrieved 2008-11-06. See also methodology "Methodology". Archived from the original on 2008-11-03. Retrieved 2008-11-06..
  12. Glover, Julian (2008-10-17). "Foreign poll favours Democrat but shows hostility to US". The Guardian. Retrieved 2008-11-06.
  13. "Argentinean Majority Picks Obama for U.S." Angus Reid Global Monitor. 2008-09-08. Retrieved 2008-11-08.
  14. "L'Élection Présidentielle Américaine De 2008 Vue Par Les Français" (PDF) (in French). Le Figaro. 2008-09-03. Retrieved 2008-11-07.
  15. "Les Français préfèrent Barack Obama à 86%" (in French). Le Nouvel Observateur. 2008-11-03. Retrieved 2008-11-07.
  16. "84 % des Français satisfaits de la victoire d'Obama" (in French). Le Parisien. 2008-11-05. Retrieved 2008-11-07.
  17. "'Next President Will Demand More From Europe'". Der Spiegel. 2008-02-06. Retrieved 2008-11-08.
  18. "McCain Leads Obama in Palestinian Territories". Angus Reid Global Monitor. 2008-09-29. Retrieved 2008-11-08.