2008 United States presidential election in South Carolina

Main article: 2008 United States presidential election

2008 United States presidential election in South Carolina

←  2004 November 4, 2008 2012  →

Nominee John McCain Barack Obama Party Republican Democratic Home state Arizona Illinois Running mate Sarah Palin Joe Biden Electoral vote 8 0 Popular vote 1,034,896 862,449 Percentage 53.87% 44.90%

County Results Precinct Results McCain   40-50%   50-60%   60-70%   70-80%   80-90%   90-100% Obama   40-50%   50-60%   60-70%   70-80%   80-90%   90-100%

President before election George W. Bush Republican Elected President Barack Obama Democratic

The 2008 United States presidential election in South Carolina took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose eight representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

South Carolina was won by Republican nominee John McCain by an 8.97% margin. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise a red state. Despite the significant proportion of African Americans in the state, South Carolina still remains, like most other states throughout the South, a GOP stronghold at the state and federal levels. McCain kept South Carolina in the GOP column in 2008, clinching 53.87% of the vote. This is the first time a presidential candidate received more than 1,000,000 votes in the state. However, McCain's 9% margin was significantly less than Bush's 17% margin in 2004.

Primaries

For both parties in 2008, South Carolina's was the first primary in a Southern state and the first primary in a state in which African Americans make up a sizable percentage of the electorate. For Democrats, it was also the last primary before 22 states hosted their primaries or caucuses on February 5, 2008 (Super Tuesday).

Democratic primary

South Carolina Democratic primary, 2008

←  2004 January 26, 2008 (2008-01-26) 2016  →

Nominee Barack Obama Hillary Clinton John Edwards Home state Illinois New York North Carolina Popular vote 295,214 141,217 93,576 Percentage 55.4% 26.5% 17.6%

Election results by county. Purple denotes counties won by Obama, gold denotes those won by Clinton, and orange denotes those won by Edwards.

The 2008 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary took place on January 26, 2008. Senator Barack Obama of Illinois won the primary's popular vote by a 28.9% margin.

South Carolina's 45 delegates to the 2008 Democratic National Convention were awarded proportionally based on the results of the primary. The state also sent nine superdelegates. ^[1]

Candidates

Remaining

• New York Senator Hillary Clinton
• Former North Carolina Senator John Edwards
• Former Alaska Senator Mike Gravel
• Illinois Senator Barack Obama

Eliminated

• Delaware Senator Joe Biden Dropped out on January 4, 2008 ^[2]
• Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd Dropped out on January 4, 2008
• New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson Dropped out on January 10, 2008 ^[3]
• Ohio Representative Dennis Kucinich Dropped out on January 25, 2008 ^[4]
• New York Comedian Stephen Colbert Denied Ballot (13-3) on November 1, 2007 ^[5] and dropped out November 5, 2007 ^[6]

Campaign Finances

On the day of the South Carolina primary, Senator John Edwards led in fund raising from the state of South Carolina, followed by Barack Obama and Bill Richardson.

Obtained from CNN as of January 26, 2008 ^[7]

Candidate	Money raised (US$)
John Edwards	$316,319
Barack Obama	$257,118
Bill Richardson	$196,850
Hillary Clinton	$131,950
Joe Biden	$55,350
Chris Dodd	$22,750
Dennis Kucinich	$3,750

Polling leading up to primary

Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the January Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008 § South Carolina

All monthly averages were retrieved from RealClearPolitics. ^[8]

Candidate	November	December	January	Final 3 Polls Averages
Hillary Clinton	40%	34%	27%	28%
Barack Obama	27%	33%	41%	48%
John Edwards	11%	15%	17%	23%

  Denotes Leader during Poll Average

Despite maintaining a major early lead in the polls, Senator Clinton rapidly fell after the Iowa Caucuses, as Barack Obama skyrocketed and John Edwards began to receive a gradual increase in the polling.

However, in the last three polls taken before the South Carolina Primary, Barack Obama took a commanding lead over both Edwards and Clinton. Also, Former Senator John Edwards had come into the margin of error with Senator Clinton for second place in the South Carolina Primary.

Final Campaigning

Obama Campaign

Main article: Barack Obama 2008 presidential primary campaign

Presidential candidate Barack Obama addresses supporters the night before South Carolina's primary

Throughout the South Carolina campaign, most pundits had predicted Barack Obama the winner, primarily because of the state's large African-American population. For this reason, Obama was shown to be significantly ahead of his two rivals, John Edwards, who carried the state in 2004, and Hillary Clinton, whose husband was popular in the African-American community. In early polls taken in the weeks leading up to the primary, Clinton had a double-digit lead over both Edwards and Obama (see poll averages above).

During a majority of the final campaigning, the attacks between the Clinton campaign and the Obama campaign highly intensified by the candidates as well as the media coverage. Barack Obama began to attack former President Bill Clinton for his comments which were taken as racist. These comments are considered by analyst and historians alike as the turning point of the South Carolina primary and ultimately the cause of Clinton's loss of support from the black community. ^[9]

Despite the increasing tensions between the Clinton and Obama camps, Obama continued to widely lead in the polls (despite a surge by Edwards). Into the final days of the campaign in South Carolina, it became apparent that Obama would win by a rather wide margin. The final tally had Obama winning by 28.9% over his closest rival, Hillary Clinton.

Clinton Campaign

Main article: Hillary Clinton 2008 presidential campaign

In the early months of the campaign, Clinton enjoyed a steep lead over Senator Obama, and a 30-point lead over former Senator John Edwards. However, after Obama's win in Iowa, Clinton's campaign in South Carolina began to fall apart by the Obama political machine rolling into South Carolina with force.

For Clinton, despite winning the popular vote in Nevada, the fact that she had lost Nevada's National Delegates, receiving 12 compared to Obama's 13 still lingered in the media. This, combined with the fact of Bill Clinton's continuing negative publicity from "injecting race into the campaign" as several people called Bill Clinton's actions in his wife's campaign.

Between battling media scrutiny on Bill Clinton, constant attacks between the Obama and Clinton campaigns, and a surging John Edwards which threatened a Clinton second-place finish, poll number began to plunge, with a poll taken by Reuters-Cspan-Zogby showing Clinton in the margin of error for second place with Edwards, with Edwards at 21% and Clinton at 25%. This was also combined with the fact of Edwards's constant barrage of attacks claiming Clinton (and Obama's) big city politics were "too good for the people of South Carolina".

However, despite the attacks from opponents that Bill Clinton's attacks largely alienated African-Americans, Clinton was able to keep a 35% support amongst that key constituency, while losing the white vote to Edwards, In the end, Clinton's African-American support was able to place her in a clear second-place finish, finishing 9 points ahead of John Edwards despite losing to Obama by 29 points.

Edwards Campaign

Main article: John Edwards 2008 presidential campaign

After the terrible results for the Edwards Campaign during the Nevada caucuses, in which Edwards finished in third with 4% of the state delegation and received no national delegates, South Carolina began to look as a state where he needed a strong finish, after finishing in third in the last 3 primaries which took place, and trailing in the number of total national delegates.

South Carolina was the state in which Edwards was born and raised. In 2004, Edwards won the South Carolina Primary, with 45% of the vote to John Kerry's 30% and Al Sharpton's 10%. While entering South Carolina, it became apparent that he needed a first-place finish, which seemed impossible, or a second-place finish, which seemed more within grasp.

Before the CNN South Carolina Debate in Myrtle Beach on Monday, January 21, 2008, John Edwards was placing a distant third in a poll taken before the debates on January 19, in which he placed third with 15% compared to Hillary Clinton's second place with 27%. ^[10] However, after the South Carolina debates, the tone of the campaign severely shifted.

During the South Carolina Democratic Debate in Myrtle Beach, Edwards sought to distinguish himself from Senators Obama and Clinton, and criticized them for their attacks and "big city" politics. As soon as he began to question how the attacks helped, he was widely cheered by the audience for in what many people thought was what distinguished Edwards from negative campaigning. Saying "This kind of squabbling, how many children are going to get healthcare? How many people are going to get an education from this? How many kids are going to be able to go to college because of this? We have got to understand and I respect both of my fellow candidates, but we have got to understand that this is not about us personally, it is about what we are trying to do for this country and what we believe in", Edwards began to get applause from several members of the audience. ^[11]

After the debate, John Edwards began to see a major influx of money and in turn, poll numbers began to rise rapidly in Edwards's favor. Along with the debate performance, Bill Clinton's remarks began to alienate black supporters from Clinton, and white supporters from Obama. As a result, Edwards won amongst white voters ages 30 to 50, while receiving the same amount of support from white 60+ year olds as Hillary Clinton according to CNN Exit Polls ^[12]

However, Edwards was not able to get much support from non-whites, and according to Exit Polls, received only 2% of the non-white support, while receiving 40% of the white support.

Results

See also: Results of the 2008 Democratic Party presidential primaries

Barack Obama won the primary, taking 44 of the 46 counties; Edwards won in his native Oconee County, while Clinton won in Horry County, which contains Myrtle Beach. ^[13]

Key:	Withdrew prior to contest

South Carolina Democratic presidential primary, 2008 [14]
Candidate	Results [15]			Estimated national delegates [15] [16]
	Votes	Percentage	National delegates
Barack Obama	295,214	55.44%	25	33
Hillary Clinton	141,217	26.52%	12	12
John Edwards	93,576	17.57%	8	0
Bill Richardson	727	0.14%	0	0
Joe Biden	694	0.13%	0	0
Dennis Kucinich	552	0.1%	0	0
Christopher Dodd	247	0.05%	0	0
Mike Gravel	241	0.05%	0	0
Totals	532,468	100.00%	45	45

Republican primary

South Carolina Republican primary, 2008

←  2000 January 19, 2008 (2008-01-19) 2012  →

Nominee John McCain Mike Huckabee Fred Thompson Party Republican Republican Republican Home state Arizona Arkansas Tennessee Popular vote 147,733 132,990 69,681 Percentage 33.15% 29.84% 15.63%

Election results by county. Red denotes counties won by McCain, and Pink denotes those won by Huckabee.

The South Carolina Republican primary, 2008 was held on January 19, with 24 delegates at stake. ^[17] The Republican National Committee took half of South Carolina's 47 delegates away from them because the state committee moved its Republican primary before February 5. ^{[17] [18]} It was held on the same day as the Nevada Republican caucuses, 2008.

The primary has become one of several key early state nominating contests in the process of choosing the nominee of the Republican party for the November 2008 election for President of the United States. It has historically been more important for the Republican Party than for the Democratic Party; from its inception in 1980 through the election of 2000, the winner of the Republican presidential primary has gone on to win the nomination. ^[19] As of 2008, the primary has cemented its place as the "First in the South" primary for both parties. ^[20]

This states 24 delegates would be awarded on a "Winner-Takes-All" basis. 12 Delegates for the Statewide winner and 12 delegates awarded on a District-winner basis awarding 2 delegates for each of the states then 6 Congressional districts. ^[21]

Polling

Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 Republican Party presidential primaries

As of January 19, RealClearPolitics reported that the average support from polls placed McCain in the lead with 26.9%, followed by Huckabee with 25.9%, Romney with 14.7%, Thompson with 14.6%, Paul with 4.4%, and Giuliani with 3.4%. ^[22]

Results

Huckabee was for weeks leading in the state but lost by a 14,743 vote margin. He did manage to win Congressional districts 3, 4 and 5 in the North of the state earning him a total of 6 delegates. ^[21]

Mike Huckabee giving his concession speech after the 2008 South Carolina Presidential Primary in Columbia, SC.

John McCain won the statewide primary earning him 12 Delegates ^{[23] [24] [25]} as well as Congressional Districts 1, 2 and 6. earning him an additional 6 delegates for a total of 18. ^[21]

100% of precincts reporting ^[26]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Delegates
John McCain	147,733	33.15%	18
Mike Huckabee	132,990	29.84%	6
Fred Thompson	69,681	15.63%	0
Mitt Romney	68,177	15.3%	0
Ron Paul	16,155	3.62%	0
Rudy Giuliani	9,575	2.15%	0
Duncan Hunter*	1,051	0.24%	0
Tom Tancredo*	121	0.03%	0
Hugh Cort	88	0.02%	0
John H. Cox	83	0.02%	0
Cap Fendig	23	0.01%	0
Total	445,677	100%	24

* Candidate withdrew his bid for the nomination prior to the reporting of the primary. On January 22, 2008, after a poor showing Fred Thompson dropped out of the race. Duncan Hunter did so too.

Results of prior primaries

• 1980: Ronald Reagan won with 54%, defeating runner-up John Connally. ^[27]
• 1984: Uncontested (Reagan was the incumbent president and was re-nominated). ^[27]
• 1988: George H. W. Bush won with 49%, defeating runner-up Bob Dole. ^[27]
• 1992: George H. W. Bush won with 68%, defeating runner-up Pat Buchanan. ^[27]
• 1996: Bob Dole won with 45%, defeating runner-up Pat Buchanan. ^[27]
• 2000: George W. Bush won with 53%, defeating runner-up John McCain. ^[27]
• 2004: Uncontested (Bush was the incumbent president and was re-nominated).

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

Source	Ranking
D.C. Political Report [28]	Likely R
Cook Political Report [29]	Solid R
The Takeaway [30]	Solid R
Electoral-vote.com [31]	Solid R
Washington Post [32]	Solid R
Politico [33]	Solid R
RealClearPolitics [34]	Solid R
FiveThirtyEight [32]	Solid R
CQ Politics [35]	Solid R
The New York Times [36]	Solid R
CNN [37]	Safe R
NPR [32]	Solid R
MSNBC [32]	Solid R
Fox News [38]	Likely R
Associated Press [39]	Likely R
Rasmussen Reports [40]	Safe R

Polling

Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008: South Carolina

McCain won every single pre-election poll. The final 3 polls averaged McCain leading with 53% to 43%. ^[41]

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $2,574,332 in the state. Barack Obama raised $2,227,877. ^[42]

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $967,640. McCain and his interest groups spent $587,645. ^[43] Neither campaign visited the state. ^[44]

Analysis

South Carolina, historically part of the Solid South, has become a Republican stronghold. Since Barry Goldwater carried the state in 1964, the only Democratic presidential nominee to win it was Jimmy Carter of neighboring Georgia in 1976. Since then, South Carolina has reliably voted Republican. This trend continued in 2008, even though South Carolina has one of the highest African-American populations in the country. Neither Obama nor McCain seriously contested the state, as it was viewed by both campaigns as a safe GOP/McCain/red state.

On Election Day, McCain captured South Carolina with 53.87% of the vote. McCain dominated the populous northwest, while Obama did best in the cities of Columbia and Charleston, as well as the rural, heavily African American areas. In comparison to the past two elections where the margin was much larger, Obama's relative closeness can be attributed to the large turnout of African American voters in the state who cast their votes 96% for Obama. ^[45] McCain's margin of victory in South Carolina was much less than that of George W. Bush who carried South Carolina in 2004 with 57.98% of the vote to John Kerry's 40.90%, a 17.08% margin of victory compared to McCain's 8.97% in 2008, resulting in an 8.11% swing to the Democrats in 2008.

During the same election, incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham was reelected over Democrat Bob Conley. Graham received 57.52% of the vote while Conley took in 42.25%. At the state level, however, Democrats picked up two seats in the South Carolina House of Representatives. As of 2020, this is the last election in which the margin of victory in South Carolina was within single digits.

Results

United States presidential election in South Carolina, 2008
Party		Candidate	Running mate	Votes	Percentage	Electoral votes
	Republican	John McCain	Sarah Palin	1,034,896	53.87%	8
	Democratic	Barack Obama	Joe Biden	862,449	44.90%	0
	Libertarian	Bob Barr	Wayne Allyn Root	7,283	0.38%	0
	Constitution	Chuck Baldwin	Darrell Castle	6,287	0.36%	0
	Petition	Ralph Nader	Matt Gonzalez	5,053	0.26%	0
	Green	Cynthia McKinney	Rosa Clemente	4,461	0.23%	0
Totals				1,920,969	100.00%	8
Voter turnout (Voting age population)						58.0%

By county

County	John McCain Republican		Barack Obama Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Abbeville	6,264	56.94%	4,593	41.75%	144	1.31%	1,671	15.19%	11,001
Aiken	42,849	61.41%	26,101	37.41%	820	1.18%	16,748	24.00%	69,770
Allendale	947	23.53%	3,029	75.27%	48	1.20%	-2,082	-51.74%	4,024
Anderson	48,690	65.99%	24,132	32.70%	965	1.31%	24,558	33.29%	73,787
Bamberg	2,309	33.89%	4,426	64.95%	79	1.16%	-2,117	-31.06%	6,814
Barnwell	4,769	48.67%	4,931	50.33%	98	1.00%	-162	-1.66%	9,798
Beaufort	37,821	54.92%	30,396	44.14%	653	0.94%	7,425	10.78%	68,870
Berkeley	36,205	55.89%	27,755	42.84%	144	1.27%	8,450	13.05%	64,781
Calhoun	3,695	47.75%	3,970	51.31%	73	0.94%	-275	-3.56%	7,738
Charleston	69,822	45.21%	82,698	53.55%	1,914	1.24%	-12,876	-8.34%	154,434
Cherokee	13,305	64.07%	7,215	34.74%	246	1.19%	6,090	29.33%	20,766
Chester	6,318	45.19%	7,478	53.49%	185	1.32%	-1,160	-8.30%	13,981
Chesterfield	8,325	50.89%	7,842	47.94%	192	1.17%	483	2.95%	16,359
Clarendon	6,758	43.45%	8,673	55.77%	121	0.78%	-1,915	-12.32%	15,552
Colleton	8,525	49.22%	8,616	49.74%	180	1.04%	-91	-0.52%	17,321
Darlington	14,544	49.58%	14,505	49.45%	285	0.97%	39	0.13%	29,334
Dillon	5,874	43.78%	7,408	55.21%	135	1.01%	-1,534	-11.43%	13,417
Dorchester	29,929	57.11%	21,806	41.61%	670	1.28%	8,123	15.50%	52,405
Edgefield	6,334	54.98%	5,075	44.05%	111	0.97%	1,259	10.93%	11,520
Fairfield	3,912	33.67%	7,591	65.33%	116	1.00%	-3,679	-31.66%	11,619
Florence	29,861	51.16%	28,012	47.99%	500	0.85%	1,849	3.17%	58,373
Georgetown	15,790	52.13%	14,199	46.88%	301	0.99%	1,591	5.25%	30,290
Greenville	116,363	61.03%	70,886	37.18%	3,408	1.79%	45,477	23.85%	190,657
Greenwood	16,995	57.29%	12,348	41.62%	324	1.09%	4,647	15.67%	29,667
Hampton	3,439	36.78%	5,816	62.20%	95	1.02%	-2,377	-25.42%	9,350
Horry	64,609	61.65%	38,879	37.10%	1,310	1.25%	25,730	24.55%	104,798
Jasper	3,365	38.01%	5,389	60.87%	100	1.12%	-2,024	-22.86%	8,854
Kershaw	16,466	58.84%	11,226	40.11%	293	1.05%	5,240	18.73%	27,985
Lancaster	16,441	56.85%	12,139	41.97%	341	1.18%	4,302	14.88%	28,921
Laurens	15,334	58.34%	10,578	40.25%	370	1.41%	4,756	18.09%	26,282
Lee	3,074	33.58%	5,960	65.12%	119	1.30%	-2,886	-31.54%	9,153
Lexington	74,960	68.45%	33,303	30.41%	1,249	1.14%	41,657	38.04%	109,512
Marion	5,416	35.69%	9,608	63.32%	150	0.99%	-4,192	-27.63%	15,174
Marlboro	3,996	36.74%	6,794	62.47%	86	0.79%	-2,798	-25.73%	10,876
McCormick	2,437	46.58%	2,755	52.66%	40	0.76%	-318	-6.08%	5,232
Newberry	9,616	58.19%	6,708	40.60%	200	1.21%	2,908	17.59%	16,524
Oconee	21,164	67.98%	9,481	30.45%	487	1.57%	11,683	37.53%	31,132
Orangeburg	12,115	30.47%	27,263	68.58%	376	0.95%	-15,148	-38.11%	39,754
Pickens	32,552	72.13%	11,691	25.91%	885	1.96%	20,861	46.22%	45,128
Richland	57,941	35.11%	105,656	64.02%	1,440	0.87%	-47,715	-28.91%	165,037
Saluda	5,191	60.34%	3,323	38.63%	89	1.03%	1,868	21.71%	8,603
Spartanburg	65,042	60.04%	41,632	38.43%	1,654	1.53%	23,410	21.61%	108,328
Sumter	18,581	41.89%	25,431	57.33%	346	0.78%	-6,850	-15.44%	44,358
Union	7,449	54.97%	5,935	43.80%	167	1.23%	1,514	11.17%	13,551
Williamsburg	5,004	30.43%	11,279	68.59%	160	0.98%	-6,275	-38.16%	16,443
York	54,500	58.17%	37,918	40.47%	1,278	1.36%	16,582	17.70%	93,696
Totals	1,034,896	53.87%	862,449	44.90%	23,624	1.23%	172,447	8.97%	1,920,969

County Flips:

Democratic   Hold   Gain from Republican

Republican   Hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Barnwell (largest town: Barnwell)
• Calhoun (largest town: St. Matthews)
• Charleston (largest town: Charleston)
• Chester (largest town: Chester)
• Colleton (largest town: Walterboro)

By congressional district

John McCain carried 5 of the state's 6 congressional districts in South Carolina, including one held by a Democrat.

District	McCain	Obama	Representative
1st	56.50%	42.27%	Henry E. Brown Jr. (R)
2nd	53.87%	45.11%	Joe Wilson (R)
3rd	63.72%	33%	Gresham Barrett (R)
4th	60.43%	37.91%	Bob Inglis (R)
5th	53.04%	45.80%	John Spratt (D)
6th	34.89%	64.15%	Jim Clyburn (D)

Electors

Main article: List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of South Carolina cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. South Carolina is allocated 8 electors because it has 6 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 8 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 8 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. ^[46] An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 8 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin: ^[47]

1. Benny Kinlaw
2. Betty Sheppard Poe
3. Katon Dawson
4. Patrick Bonner Haddon
5. Rebecca Delleney
6. Shelby Phillips
7. Susan Aiken
8. Wayland Moody

See also

• South Carolina primary

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External links

• US Election Atlas
• South Carolina Democratic Party
• 2008 SC Primary