2008 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

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2008 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2004 November 4, 2008 2012  
  John McCain 2009 Official.jpg Obama portrait crop.jpg
Nominee John McCain Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Arizona Illinois
Running mate Sarah Palin Joe Biden
Electoral vote70
Popular vote960,165502,496
Percentage65.65%34.35%

Oklahoma Presidential Election Results 2008.svg
2008 United States presidential election in Oklahoma results map by precinct.svg

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2008 United States presidential election in Oklahoma took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose seven representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Contents

Oklahoma was won by Republican nominee John McCain with a 31.3% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. A strongly conservative state located in the Bible Belt where evangelical Christianity plays a large role, Oklahoma has trended heavily Republican in recent years. Having voted for the Republican presidential nominee in every election since 1968, Oklahoma once again showcased its status as a Republican stronghold in 2008 with Republican John McCain capturing 65.65% of the vote. [1] It was also the only state where McCain won every county and was even one of the 5 states along with Louisiana, Arkansas, Tennessee, and West Virginia in which McCain outperformed Bush's margin of victory from 4 years earlier, albeit slightly.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report [2] Likely R
Cook Political Report [3] Solid R
The Takeaway [4] Solid R
Electoral-vote.com [5] Solid R
Washington Post [6] Solid R
Politico [7] Solid R
RealClearPolitics [8] Solid R
FiveThirtyEight [6] Solid R
CQ Politics [9] Solid R
The New York Times [10] Solid R
CNN [11] Safe R
NPR [6] Solid R
MSNBC [6] Solid R
Fox News [12] Likely R
Associated Press [13] Likely R
Rasmussen Reports [14] Safe R

Polling

McCain won every single pre-election poll, and each with a double-digit margin of victory. The final 3 polls averaged McCain leading 62% to 34%. [15]

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $2,050,335 in the state. Barack Obama raised $1,711,069. [16]

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $613,515. McCain and his interest groups spent just $6,565. [17] Neither campaign visited the state. [18]

Analysis

Oklahoma gave John McCain his strongest showing in Election 2008 with a rounded percentage of 66% (65.65%) going to him. [19] Oklahoma was also the only state in the country where every single county voted for McCain. Although the results were similar to 2004 in which George W. Bush swept every county in the state with 65.57% of the vote, McCain's margin of victory was slightly better - 0.08% more - in 2008. [20] Oklahoma was one of five states where McCain outperformed George W. Bush, the other four being Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee, and West Virginia.

Oklahoma, despite the large concentration of Native Americans in the state, remains one of the most reliably Republican states in the country. Although Democrats still had a majority of registered voters (as well as the governorship) at the time, the state's Democrats are very conservative by national standards. Oklahoma is part of the Bible Belt, and voters in the state have a strong penchant for being values voters; that is, they are strongly and deeply conservative on social issues such as abortion and gay rights. McCain's selection of the socially conservative Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska proved to be an excellent fit for Oklahoma. Obama was at a disadvantage beforehand in Oklahoma during the primary season when voters in Oklahoma backed Hillary Rodham Clinton with 54.76% of the vote compared to Obama's 31.19% and a significant amount (10.24%) going to John Edwards. Clinton won every county in the Oklahoma Democratic Primary except for Oklahoma County, home of Oklahoma City which Obama just narrowly carried. Most of Oklahoma's Democratic establishment were early endorsers of Hillary Clinton as well. Another setback for Obama was that U.S. Representative Dan Boren, the only Democrat from Oklahoma's five-member delegation in the U.S. House of Representatives, refused to endorse Obama.

Another key to McCain's victory was the highly populated counties of Tulsa County, which he won with over 62%, and Oklahoma County, which he won with over 58%. He also dominated the heavily Republican Oklahoma Panhandle by an almost four-to-one margin. Despite the Republican landslide, Obama did improve upon John Kerry's performance in Oklahoma City and Tulsa. However, this was more than canceled out by his extremely weak showing in Southeast Oklahoma, historically the most Democratic region in the state. This socially conservative but fiscally liberal area, known as "Little Dixie," still votes Democratic at the local level and state levels. It also warmly supported Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas in 1992 and 1996; Clinton's populism struck a chord among the region's voters. Democratic nominees from John Kerry on, on the other hand, have proven spectacularly bad fits for the region and the state as a whole. Obama lost many counties in Southeast Oklahoma by more than two-to-one margins.

Also, Oklahoma was the only state in the country that didn't have a third-party candidate on the ballot, mostly because the state has the toughest ballot access laws in the country. Obama became the first Democrat to win without winning a single county in Oklahoma.

During the same election, incumbent Republican U.S. Senator James Inhofe was solidly reelected over Democratic State Senator Andrew Rice. Inhofe received 56.68% while Rice took in 39.18% and Independent Stephen P. Wallace received the remaining 4.14%. At the state level, Republicans made gains in the Oklahoma Legislature, picking up four seats in the Oklahoma House of Representatives and two seats in the Oklahoma Senate which gave the GOP control of the state legislature for the first time since statehood.

Results

2008 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 960,16565.65%7
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 502,49634.35%0
Totals1,462,661100.00%7
Voter turnout (Voting age population)54.8%

By county

CountyJohn McCain
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
MarginTotal
#%#%#%
Adair 4,63869.33%2,05230.67%2,58638.66%6,690
Alfalfa 2,02383.11%41116.89%1,61266.22%2,434
Atoka 3,51171.93%1,37028.07%2,14143.86%4,881
Beaver 2,19989.25%26510.75%1,93478.50%2,464
Beckham 5,77278.03%1,62521.97%4,14756.06%7,397
Blaine 3,10175.41%1,01124.59%2,09050.82%4,112
Bryan 9,30767.77%4,42632.23%4,88135.54%13,733
Caddo 6,41365.33%3,40434.67%3,00930.66%9,817
Canadian 36,42876.12%11,42623.88%25,00252.24%47,854
Carter 13,24170.27%5,60329.73%7,63840.54%18,844
Cherokee 9,18656.08%7,19443.92%1,99212.16%16,380
Choctaw 3,73066.73%1,86033.27%1,87033.46%5,590
Cimarron 1,11988.04%15211.96%96776.08%1,271
Cleveland 64,74962.00%39,68138.00%25,10824.00%104,430
Coal 1,67273.59%60026.41%1,07247.18%2,272
Comanche 20,12758.77%14,12041.23%6,00717.54%34,247
Cotton 1,79372.21%69027.79%1,10344.42%2,483
Craig 3,85865.05%2,07334.95%1,78530.10%5,931
Creek 20,18770.82%8,31829.18%11,86941.64%28,505
Custer 7,84274.67%2,66025.33%5,18249.34%10,502
Delaware 10,27766.90%5,08533.10%5,19233.80%15,362
Dewey 1,85784.29%34615.71%1,51168.58%2,203
Ellis 1,62785.23%28214.77%1,34570.46%1,909
Garfield 17,06775.48%5,54524.52%11,52250.96%22,612
Garvin 7,71071.80%3,02828.20%4,68243.60%10,738
Grady 15,19573.35%5,52026.65%9,67546.70%20,715
Grant 1,83678.13%51421.87%1,32256.26%2,350
Greer 1,54873.23%56626.77%98246.46%2,114
Harmon 75769.45%33330.55%42438.90%1,090
Harper 1,34285.86%22114.14%1,12171.72%1,563
Haskell 3,20768.51%1,47431.49%1,73337.02%4,681
Hughes 3,13464.71%1,70935.29%1,42529.42%4,843
Jackson 6,71974.80%2,26425.20%4,45549.60%8,983
Jefferson 1,65267.24%80532.76%84734.48%2,457
Johnston 2,70868.44%1,24931.56%1,45936.88%3,957
Kay 13,23070.78%5,46329.22%7,76741.56%18,693
Kingfisher 5,37284.19%1,00915.81%4,36368.38%6,381
Kiowa 2,53767.42%1,22632.58%1,31134.84%3,763
Latimer 2,86068.54%1,31331.46%1,54737.08%4,173
LeFlore 11,60569.32%5,13630.68%6,46938.64%16,741
Lincoln 10,47074.92%3,50425.08%6,96649.84%13,974
Logan 12,55668.71%5,71731.29%6,83937.42%18,273
Love 2,58967.32%1,25732.68%1,33234.64%3,846
Major 2,95685.16%51514.84%2,44170.32%3,471
Marshall 3,73069.42%1,64330.58%2,08738.84%5,373
Mayes 10,23464.03%5,74935.97%4,48528.06%15,983
McClain 11,19375.92%3,55124.08%7,64251.84%14,744
McCurtain 7,74573.49%2,79426.51%4,95146.98%10,539
McIntosh 4,90359.63%3,32040.37%1,58319.26%8,223
Murray 3,74670.18%1,59229.82%2,15440.36%5,338
Muskogee 15,28957.51%11,29442.49%3,99515.02%26,583
Noble 3,88176.78%1,17423.22%2,70753.56%5,055
Nowata 3,03168.24%1,41131.76%1,62036.48%4,442
Okfuskee 2,64364.10%1,48035.90%1,16328.20%4,123
Oklahoma 163,17258.41%116,18241.59%46,99016.82%279,354
Okmulgee 8,72758.50%6,19141.50%2,53617.00%14,918
Osage 12,16061.86%7,49838.14%4,66223.72%19,658
Ottawa 6,90561.80%4,26838.20%2,63723.60%11,173
Pawnee 4,53368.72%2,06331.28%2,47037.44%6,596
Payne 18,43563.49%10,60136.51%7,83426.98%29,036
Pittsburg 11,75268.29%5,45731.71%6,29536.58%17,209
Pontotoc 9,75068.36%4,51231.64%5,23836.72%14,262
Pottawatomie 17,75369.18%7,91030.82%9,84338.36%25,663
Pushmataha 3,20871.72%1,26528.28%1,94343.44%4,473
Roger Mills 1,50283.96%28716.04%1,21567.92%1,789
Rogers 27,74372.03%10,77227.97%16,97144.06%38,515
Seminole 5,60065.29%2,97734.71%2,62330.58%8,577
Sequoyah 9,46668.00%4,45432.00%5,01236.00%13,920
Stephens 14,39476.03%4,53823.97%9,85652.06%18,932
Texas 5,33685.25%92314.75%4,41370.50%6,259
Tillman 2,19567.81%1,04232.19%1,15335.62%3,237
Tulsa 158,36362.23%96,13337.77%62,23024.46%254,496
Wagoner 21,44170.88%8,81029.12%12,63141.76%30,251
Washington 16,45772.29%6,30827.71%10,14944.58%22,765
Washita 3,72477.97%1,05222.03%2,67255.94%4,776
Woods 3,04377.71%87322.29%2,17055.42%3,916
Woodward 6,40482.59%1,35017.41%5,05465.18%7,754
Totals960,16565.65%502,49634.35%457,66931.30%1,462,661

By congressional district

John McCain carried every congressional district in Oklahoma, including the one district held by a Democrat in the U.S. House of Representatives rather strongly.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
1st 64.21%35.79% John Sullivan
2nd 65.59%34.41% Dan Boren
3rd 72.82%27.18% Frank Lucas
4th 66.37%33.63% Tom Cole
5th 59.32%40.68% Mary Fallin

Electors

Technically the voters of Oklahoma cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Oklahoma is allocated 7 electors because it has 5 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 7 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 7 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. [21] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 7 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin: [22]

  1. Virginia Chrisco
  2. Gail Stice
  3. Pete Katzdorn
  4. Robert Cleveland
  5. Mary Phyllis Gorman
  6. Bunny Chambers
  7. Diane Murphy Gunther

The slate for the Democrats, which was not elected, consisted of Sally Freeman Frasier, Gene A. Wallace, Anita R. Norman, Tim Mauldin, Robert Lemon, David Walters, Walter W. Jenny Jr. [23]

See also

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