2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

←  2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Turnout	64.42% 9.62 pp [1]
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida California Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz Electoral vote 7 0 Popular vote 1,036,213 499,599 Percentage 66.16% 31.90%
County results Congressional district results Precinct results Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Harris   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100%
President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. ^[2]

Republican Donald Trump easily kept the state in the GOP column in the past two election cycles, with a 36.4% margin of victory in 2016 and 33.1% four years later. Oklahoma was expected to go for Trump a third time in 2024, ^[3] and Trump ultimately carried the state by 34.26%, including winning every county.

The Oklahoma State Election Board approved Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to officially appear on the ballot in the state on May 9. ^[4]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary

The Oklahoma Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Oklahoma Democratic primary, March 5, 2024 ^[5]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	66,882	72.98%	36		36
Marianne Williamson	8,356	9.12%	0		0
Dean Phillips	8,182	8.93%	0		0
Stephen Lyons	4,441	4.85%	0		0
Cenk Uygur	1,974	2.15%	0		0
Armando Perez-Serrato	1,809	1.97%	0		0
Total:	91,644	100.00%	40	4	40

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary

The Oklahoma Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Oklahoma Republican primary, March 5, 2024 ^{[6] [7]}

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	254,928	81.83%	43		43
Nikki Haley	49,406	15.86%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	3,946	1.27%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	1,095	0.35%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	1,022	0.33%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)	431	0.14%
David Stuckenberg	397	0.13%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)	303	0.10%
Total:	311,528	100.00%	43		43

Libertarian primary

2024 Libertarian primary results

The Oklahoma Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Jacob Hornberger and Chase Oliver were qualified by petition for placement on the ballot. This is the first presidential preference primary for any alternative party in the state. ^[8]

Oliver and Hornberger participated in a forum at Rose State College in Midwest City, Oklahoma, on February 7, 2024. ^{[9] [10]}

Candidate	Votes	Percentage
Chase Oliver	569	61.25%
Jacob Hornberger	360	38.75%
Total:	929	100%
Source: [11]

General election

Candidates

The following presidential candidates have received ballot access in Oklahoma: ^[12]

• Kamala Harris, Democratic Party
• Donald Trump, Republican Party
• Chase Oliver, Libertarian Party
• Chris Garrity, Independent
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Independent (withdrawn)

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report [13]	Solid R	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections [14]	Solid R	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15]	Safe R	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [16]	Safe R	December 14, 2023
CNalysis [17]	Solid R	December 30, 2023
CNN [18]	Solid R	January 14, 2024
The Economist [19]	Safe R	June 12, 2024
538 [20]	Solid R	June 11, 2024
RCP [21]	Solid R	June 26, 2024
NBC News [22]	Safe R	October 6, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote [23]	October 3–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	67%	33%	–
ActiVote [24]	September 13 – October 19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	66%	34%	–
SoonerPoll [25]	August 24–31, 2024	323 (LV)	± 5.5%	56%	40%	4%

Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [26] [A]	April 13–21, 2024	391 (LV)	–	53%	40%	7%
Cygnal (R) [27]	April 11–12, 2024	615 (LV)	± 3.9%	61%	30%	9%
Emerson College [28]	October 1–3, 2023	447 (RV)	± 4.6%	55%	27%	18%
Emerson College [29]	October 25–28, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	59%	30%	11%
SoonerPoll [30]	October 4–6, 2022	301 (LV)	± 5.7%	53%	41%	6%
Echelon Insights [31] [B]	August 31 – September 7, 2022	522 (LV)	± 6.3%	63%	30%	7%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R) [27]	April 11–12, 2024	615 (LV)	± 3.83%	56%	24%	7%	2%	1%	10%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [26] [A]	April 13–21, 2024	391 (LV)	–	46%	43%	11%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [26] [A]	April 13–21, 2024	391 (LV)	–	50%	36%	14%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights [31] [B]	August 31 – September 7, 2022	522 (LV)	± 6.3%	53%	28%	19%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma ^[32]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	1,036,213	66.16%	0.79%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	499,599	31.90%	0.39%
	Independent	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn) Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn)	16,020	1.02%	N/A
	Libertarian	Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat	9,198	0.59%	0.99%
	Independent	Chris Garrity Cody Ballard	5,143	0.33%	N/A
Total votes			1,566,173	100.00%	N/A

By county

Swing by county:

  Democratic — +2.5–5%

  Democratic — +0–2.5%

  Republican — +0–2.5%

  Republican — +2.5–5%

  Republican — +5–7.5%

County	Donald Trump Republican		Kamala Harris Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Adair	5,860	80.76%	1,289	17.76%	107	1.47%	4,571	63.00%	7,256
Alfalfa	1,891	87.55%	236	10.93%	33	1.53%	1,655	76.62%	2,160
Atoka	4,832	85.34%	779	13.76%	51	0.90%	4,053	71.58%	5,662
Beaver	1,938	91.24%	158	7.44%	28	1.32%	1,780	83.80%	2,124
Beckham	6,474	84.32%	1,093	14.24%	111	1.45%	5,381	70.08%	7,678
Blaine	3,054	80.67%	671	17.72%	61	1.61%	2,383	62.95%	3,786
Bryan	13,999	78.59%	3,569	20.04%	244	1.37%	10,430	58.55%	17,812
Caddo	6,886	72.51%	2,414	25.42%	196	2.06%	4,472	47.09%	9,496
Canadian	50,551	69.18%	21,038	28.79%	1,485	2.03%	29,513	40.39%	73,074
Carter	14,945	76.69%	4,277	21.95%	266	1.36%	10,668	54.74%	19,488
Cherokee	11,637	65.29%	5,826	32.69%	360	2.02%	5,811	32.60%	17,823
Choctaw	4,633	82.16%	944	16.74%	62	1.10%	3,689	65.42%	5,639
Cimarron	860	91.98%	66	7.06%	9	0.96%	794	84.92%	935
Cleveland	67,225	56.35%	49,432	41.44%	2,637	2.21%	17,793	14.91%	119,294
Coal	2,155	84.91%	345	13.59%	38	1.50%	1,810	71.32%	2,538
Comanche	20,823	60.74%	12,823	37.40%	638	1.86%	8,000	23.34%	34,284
Cotton	2,067	82.48%	392	15.64%	47	1.88%	1,675	66.84%	2,506
Craig	4,740	78.27%	1,212	20.01%	104	1.72%	3,528	58.26%	6,056
Creek	24,098	76.96%	6,643	21.22%	571	1.82%	17,455	55.74%	31,312
Custer	7,693	75.66%	2,279	22.41%	196	1.93%	5,414	53.25%	10,168
Delaware	14,407	79.56%	3,475	19.19%	226	1.25%	10,932	60.37%	18,108
Dewey	1,984	89.57%	209	9.44%	22	0.99%	1,775	80.13%	2,215
Ellis	1,585	87.47%	197	10.87%	30	1.66%	1,388	76.60%	1,812
Garfield	16,593	75.96%	4,849	22.20%	402	1.84%	11,744	53.76%	21,844
Garvin	9,063	82.46%	1,802	16.40%	126	1.15%	7,261	66.06%	10,991
Grady	20,378	80.60%	4,536	17.94%	369	1.46%	15,842	62.66%	25,283
Grant	1,794	84.42%	295	13.88%	36	1.69%	1,499	70.54%	2,125
Greer	1,511	82.30%	304	16.56%	21	1.14%	1,207	65.74%	1,836
Harmon	709	80.39%	165	18.71%	8	0.91%	544	61.68%	882
Harper	1,284	88.49%	147	10.13%	20	1.38%	1,137	78.36%	1,451
Haskell	4,156	84.20%	718	14.55%	62	1.26%	438	69.65%	4,936
Hughes	3,744	80.36%	831	17.84%	84	1.80%	2,913	62.52%	4,659
Jackson	6,295	78.17%	1,602	19.89%	156	1.94%	4,693	58.28%	8,053
Jefferson	2,020	85.05%	319	13.43%	36	1.52%	1,701	71.62%	2,375
Johnston	3,462	81.84%	684	16.17%	84	1.99%	2,778	65.67%	4,230
Kay	12,483	73.81%	4,136	24.45%	294	1.74%	8,347	49.36%	16,913
Kingfisher	5,745	85.06%	923	13.67%	86	1.27%	4,822	71.39%	6,754
Kiowa	2,569	78.37%	658	20.07%	51	1.56%	1,911	58.30%	3,278
Latimer	3,356	82.28%	681	16.70%	42	1.03%	2,675	65.58%	4,079
LeFlore	15,333	81.76%	3,184	16.98%	237	1.26%	12,149	64.78%	18,754
Lincoln	12,495	80.80%	2,712	17.54%	258	1.67%	9,783	63.26%	15,465
Logan	17,748	73.49%	5,901	24.44%	500	2.07%	11,847	49.05%	24,149
Love	3,510	82.39%	689	16.17%	61	1.43%	2,821	66.22%	4,260
McClain	17,005	79.47%	4,031	18.84%	361	1.69%	12,974	60.63%	21,397
McCurtain	9,485	83.87%	1,696	15.00%	128	1.13%	7,789	68.87%	11,309
McIntosh	6,387	75.68%	1,937	22.95%	115	1.36%	4,450	52.73%	8,439
Major	3,087	88.76%	327	9.40%	64	1.84%	2,760	79.36%	3,478
Marshall	5,348	81.17%	1,169	17.74%	72	1.09%	4,179	63.43%	6,589
Mayes	13,514	77.78%	3,529	20.31%	331	1.91%	9,985	57.47%	17,374
Murray	4,689	79.68%	1,080	18.35%	116	1.97%	3,609	61.33%	5,885
Muskogee	16,550	67.95%	7,400	30.38%	407	1.67%	9,150	37.57%	24,357
Noble	3,853	77.73%	1,009	20.36%	95	1.92%	2,844	57.37%	4,957
Nowata	3,774	82.75%	720	15.79%	67	1.47%	3,054	66.96%	4,561
Okfuskee	3,080	77.23%	854	21.41%	54	1.35%	2,226	55.82%	3,988
Oklahoma	143,618	49.71%	138,769	48.03%	6,536	2.26%	4,849	1.68%	288,923
Okmulgee	10,100	70.39%	3,979	27.73%	270	1.88%	6,121	42.66%	14,349
Osage	14,404	69.83%	5,867	28.44%	357	1.73%	8,537	41.39%	20,628
Ottawa	8,490	75.95%	2,511	22.46%	177	1.58%	5,979	53.49%	11,178
Pawnee	5,405	78.56%	1,355	19.69%	120	1.74%	4,050	58.87%	6,880
Payne	17,962	61.35%	10,560	36.07%	757	2.59%	7,402	25.28%	29,279
Pittsburg	13,841	78.77%	3,473	19.76%	258	1.47%	10,368	59.01%	17,572
Pontotoc	10,967	72.27%	3,895	25.67%	312	2.06%	7,072	46.60%	15,174
Pottawatomie	20,915	72.69%	7,266	25.25%	593	2.06%	13,649	47.44%	28,774
Pushmataha	4,025	85.60%	616	13.10%	61	1.30%	3,409	72.50%	4,702
Roger Mills	1,548	89.32%	160	9.23%	25	1.45%	1,388	80.09%	1,733
Rogers	35,942	76.63%	10,146	21.63%	814	1.74%	25,796	55.00%	46,902
Seminole	5,951	73.98%	1,951	24.25%	142	1.77%	4,000	49.73%	8,044
Sequoyah	12,491	80.16%	2,907	18.65%	185	1.19%	9,584	61.51%	15,583
Stephens	15,092	81.05%	3,236	17.38%	292	1.57%	11,856	63.67%	18,620
Texas	4,319	82.96%	793	15.23%	94	1.81%	3,526	67.73%	5,206
Tillman	2,006	79.19%	500	19.74%	27	1.07%	1,506	59.45%	2,533
Tulsa	145,241	56.53%	106,105	41.30%	5,593	2.18%	39,136	15.23%	256,939
Wagoner	28,487	73.99%	9,330	24.23%	684	1.78%	19,157	49.76%	38,501
Washington	16,836	72.65%	5,793	25.00%	545	2.35%	11,043	47.65%	23,174
Washita	4,030	86.63%	551	11.84%	71	1.53%	3,479	74.79%	4,652
Woods	2,955	81.23%	614	16.88%	69	1.90%	2,341	64.35%	3,638
Woodward	6,231	85.22%	967	13.22%	114	1.56%	5,264	72.00%	7,312
Totals	1,036,213	66.16%	499,599	31.90%	30,361	1.94%	536,614	34.26%	1,566,173

By congressional district

Trump won all five congressional districts. ^{[33] [ user-generated source ]}

District	Trump	Harris	Representative
1st	59.71%	38.18%	Kevin Hern
2nd	77.02%	21.40%	Josh Brecheen
3rd	71.51%	26.66%	Frank Lucas
4th	65.51%	32.58%	Tom Cole
5th	57.99%	39.76%	Stephanie Bice

Analysis

A deeply red state entirely in the Bible Belt, Oklahoma has the longest Republican presidential voting streak of any Southern state, having not backed a Democratic presidential candidate since it was won by Lyndon B. Johnson of neighboring Texas in 1964. Since then, the state has only been contested by single digits in the nationwide victories of former Southern governors Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton (the latter from neighboring Arkansas) in 1976, 1992, and 1996. In addition, Republican presidential candidates have consistently won every county in the state starting with Texan George W. Bush in 2004 — although Oklahoma County, home to the largest city and state capital Oklahoma City, was closely decided in 2020.

Although Trump easily won Oklahoma, the state would have one of the smallest rightward shifts in the nation, shifting rightward by 1.18%. Much like in 2020, Oklahoma County was close, with Trump winning the county by less than 1.7%, though he did narrowly increase his margin in the county.

See also

• United States presidential elections in Oklahoma
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear

Partisan clients

1. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
2. Poll sponsored by NetChoice

References

1. "2020 November General Election Turnout Rates". United States Elections Project. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
2. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
3. "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
4. Savage, Tres; McNutt, Michael; Brinkman, Bennett; Loveless, Tristan; Patterson, Matt (May 12, 2024). "Roundup: Judge indicted, Russ and Drummond spar, Epic and St. Isidore cases continue". NonDoc. Retrieved May 17, 2024.
5. "Official Results". Oklahoma State Election Board . Retrieved March 28, 2024.
6. "Oklahoma Republican Primary Election Results". The New York Times . Retrieved March 5, 2024.
7. "Unofficial Results". results.okelections.us. Oklahoma State Election Board . Retrieved April 5, 2024.
8. "Who is on the presidential primary ballot in Oklahoma?". USA Today .
9. Denwalt, Dale (February 23, 2024). "Presidential candidates skip Oklahoma ahead of Super Tuesday". The Oklahoman . Retrieved March 8, 2024. The two Libertarian Party candidates on Oklahoma's ballot, Chase Oliver and Jacob Hornberger, spoke at Rose State College this month.
10. "2024 Libertarian OK Presidential Forum". Oklahoma Libertarian Party. February 15, 2024 – via YouTube.
11. "Unofficial Results". results.okelections.us. Oklahoma State Election Board . Retrieved March 6, 2024.
12. "The Green Papers: 2024 Presidential Candidate Ballot Access by State". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved September 13, 2024.
13. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
14. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
15. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
16. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
17. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
18. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.
19. "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024.
20. Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
21. "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
22. "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
23. Allis, Victor (October 30, 2024). "Trump Has Large Lead in Oklahoma". ActiVote.
24. Allis, Victor (October 20, 2024). "Trump Has Large Lead in Oklahoma". ActiVote. Retrieved October 20, 2024.
25. Grady, Madison (September 4, 2024). "Trump leads Harris by 16 points; between 12 and 73 percent of Harris voters disapprove of her views". SoonerPoll. Retrieved September 7, 2024.
26. "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
27. Shucard, Ryan (May 1, 2024). "Statewide Poll: Oklahomans Say Education is a Top Priority, Support Career Pathways, and Oppose Minimum Wage Hikes and Foreign Land Ownership". Cygnal.
28. Mumford, Camille (October 10, 2023). "Oklahoma Poll: Gov. Stitt and Biden with Low Approval Ratings". Emerson Polling.
29. Mumford, Camille (October 31, 2022). "Oklahoma 2022: Governor Stitt Leads Hofmeister by Nine; Economy is Determining Issue for Voters". Emerson Polling.
30. Shapard, Bill (October 19, 2022). "Oklahoma Is Still Trump Country, Leads Biden by 12 Points". SoonerPoll.
31. Chavez, Krista (September 13, 2022). "New National Poll: 89% of Americans Say Congress Should Focus on Addressing Inflation, Not Breaking Up Tech". NetChoice.
32. "November 5, 2024 Unofficial Results". results.okelections.us. Oklahoma State Election Board . Retrieved November 6, 2024.
33. "2024 Pres by CD".