2024 Missouri Attorney General election

Last updated

2024 Missouri Attorney General election
Flag of Missouri.svg
←  2020 November 5, 20242028 →
  AG-Andrew Bailey.jpg
Elad Gross.jpg
Nominee Andrew Bailey Elad Gross
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,739,6261,103,482
Percentage59.78%37.92%
2024 Missouri attorney general election results map by county.svg
2024 Missouri attorney general election by congressional district.svg
Bailey:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Gross:     50–60%     70–80%
Attorney General before election

Andrew Bailey
Republican

Elected Attorney General

Andrew Bailey
Republican

The 2024 Missouri Attorney General election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the attorney general of the state of Missouri. It coincided with the concurrent presidential election, as well as various state and local elections, including for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and governor of Missouri. Primary elections took place on August 6, 2024. [1] Incumbent Andrew Bailey won the Republican nomination, while Elad Gross won the Democratic nomination.

Contents

In the general election, Bailey won about 60 percent of the vote, defeating Gross. [2] This marked Bailey's first election to a full term in office, as he was previously appointed in 2022 by Missouri governor Mike Parson to succeed outgoing Attorney General Eric Schmitt upon Schmitt's election to the U.S. Senate.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Andrew Bailey

Executive Branch Officials

U.S. Senators

Statewide officials

Organizations

Will Scharf

Executive Branch Officials

Statewide officials

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Andrew
Bailey		Will
Scharf		Undecided
Battleground Connect [14] [A] July 30–31, 2024896 (LV)± 3.1%41%30%29%
co/efficient (R) [15] [B] July 10–11, 2024909 (LV)± 3.25%34%13%53%
Public Opinion Strategies [16] [C] June 20–24, 2024500 (V)± 4.38%52%19%39%
Remington Research (R) [17] [A] June 19–20, 2024701 (LV)± 3.6%27%23%50%
WPA Intelligence [18] [D] June 2–4, 2024502 (LV)± 4.4%35%17%48%
Remington Research (R) [19] [A] February 14–15, 2024706 (LV)± 3.6%24%18%58%
Remington Research (R) [20] [A] January 17–18, 2024806 (LV)± 3.3%24%17%59%
Remington Research (R) [21] [A] September 27–28, 2023714 (LV)± 3.4%26%15%59%
Remington Research (R) [22] [A] July 5–7, 2023706 (LV)± 3.4%25%14%61%
Remington Research (R) [23] [A] April 11–12, 2023778 (LV)± 3.4%24%14%62%

Results

Republican primary results by county Andrew Bailey 2024 primary performance map.jpg
Republican primary results by county
Republican primary results [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Andrew Bailey (incumbent) 413,465 63.0
Republican Will Scharf242,68037.0
Total votes656,145 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Elad Gross, civil rights attorney, former assistant attorney general, and candidate for attorney general in 2020 [25]

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Elad Gross

Newspapers

Results

Democratic primary results [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Elad Gross 343,934 100.00%
Total votes343,934 100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Ryan Munro, attorney [29]

Results

Libertarian primary results [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Ryan Munro 2,401 100.00%
Total votes2,401 100.00%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] Safe RJuly 25, 2024

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Andrew
Bailey (R)		Elad
Gross (D)		OtherUndecided
ActiVote [31] October 8–27, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%57%43%––
ActiVote [32] September 6 – October 13, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%60%40%––
Remington Research Group [33] [A] October 2–3, 2024753 (LV)± 3.2%51%42%1% [b] 6%
YouGov/Saint Louis University [34] August 8–16, 2024450 (LV)± 5.40%51%38%1%9%
Remington Research Group [35] [A] March 6–8, 2024713 (LV)± 3.9%50%35%–15%

Results

2024 Missouri Attorney General election [36]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Andrew Bailey (incumbent) 1,739,626 59.78% +0.40%
Democratic Elad Gross1,103,48237.92%+0.05%
Libertarian Ryan Munro66,8782.30%−0.45%
Total votes2,909,986 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By congressional district

Bailey won six of eight congressional districts. [37]

DistrictBaileyGrossRepresentative
1st 22%76% Cori Bush (118th Congress)
Wesley Bell (119th Congress)
2nd 55%43% Ann Wagner
3rd 64%33% Blaine Luetkemeyer (118th Congress)
Bob Onder (119th Congress)
4th 72%26% Mark Alford
5th 39%59% Emanuel Cleaver
6th 70%28% Sam Graves
7th 72%26% Eric Burlison
8th 77%21% Jason Smith

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Munro (L) with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Poll sponsored by the Missouri Scout
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by Bailey's campaign
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by Liberty and Justice PAC, which supports Bailey
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by Club for Growth, which supports Scharf

References

      1. ↑ "2024 Calendar". www.sos.mo.gov. Retrieved July 23, 2024.
      2. ↑ "Missouri Attorney General Election Results 2024". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
      3. 1 2 Ruch, Amber (November 22, 2022). "Gov. Parson names Andrew Bailey as Missouri's new attorney general". KFVS-TV . Retrieved December 10, 2022.
      4. ↑ Holleman, Joe (February 1, 2023). "Will Scharf announces GOP bid for Missouri attorney general". St. Louis Post-Dispatch .
      5. 1 2 "Trump endorses Bailey, Scharf in Missouri attorney general race". KMOV . July 30, 2024. Retrieved July 30, 2024.
      6. ↑ "Senator Hawley endorses Andrew Bailey for Missouri Attorney General". KMOV. July 22, 2024. Retrieved July 24, 2024.
      7. ↑ Hays, Brady (December 2, 2023). "Eric Schmitt endorses Andrew Bailey in Attorney General primary". The Missouri Times. Retrieved December 4, 2023.
      8. ↑ "Bailey is Best!". Eagle Forum . Retrieved May 13, 2024.
      9. 1 2 "MRL PAC RELEASES AUGUST 6, 2024 PRIMARY ELECTION ENDORSEMENTS" (PDF). missourilifepac.org. June 25, 2024. Retrieved July 3, 2024.
      10. ↑ Morris, Kyle (June 6, 2024). "Texas AG Ken Paxton endorses Trump attorney in Missouri AG race: 'The right person'". Fox News . Retrieved June 6, 2024.
      11. ↑ Bowen, Cassidy (October 23, 2023). "CHARLIE KIRK AT MISSOURI STATE UNIVERSITY". KWTO . Retrieved October 30, 2023. Charlie Kirk has endorsed Scharf's candidacy for Attorney General.
      12. ↑ Keller, Rudi (October 2, 2023). "Out-of-state donors fuel pair of GOP candidates running for Missouri governor, AG". Missouri Independent . Retrieved October 30, 2023.
      13. ↑ "Club for Growth PAC Endorses Will Scharf in Missouri AG Race". Club for Growth . April 13, 2023. Retrieved April 17, 2023.
      14. ↑ Battleground Connect
      15. ↑ co/efficient (R)
      16. ↑ Public Opinion Strategies
      17. ↑ Remington Research (R)
      18. ↑ WPA Intelligence
      19. ↑ Remington Research (R)
      20. ↑ Remington Research (R)
      21. ↑ Remington Research (R)
      22. ↑ Remington Research (R)
      23. ↑ Remington Research (R)
      24. 1 2 3 "Missouri Attorney General Primary Election Results 2024". The New York Times . August 6, 2024. Retrieved August 7, 2024.
      25. ↑ Keller, Rudi (March 10, 2023). "Democratic candidates jump into race for Missouri Attorney General". The Missouri Independent. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
      26. ↑ Fenske, Sarah. "Rep. Sarah Unsicker Quits Missouri Attorney General Race". Riverfront Times. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
      27. ↑ Suntrup, Jack (January 9, 2024). "Scorned by fellow Democrats, Shrewsbury state rep announces run for governor". St. Louis Post-Dispatch . Retrieved January 9, 2024.
      28. ↑ "Editorial: Our endorsements in the Missouri secretary of state and attorney general primaries". July 18, 2024.
      29. ↑ "SOS, Missouri - Elections: Offices Filed in Candidate Filing". s1.sos.mo.gov. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
      30. ↑ Jacobson, Louis (July 25, 2024). "2024's Races for Attorney General, Secretary of State, and Lieutenant Governor: An Update". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 28, 2024.
      31. ↑ ActiVote
      32. ↑ ActiVote
      33. ↑ Remington Research Group
      34. ↑ YouGov/Saint Louis University
      35. ↑ Remington Research Group
      36. ↑ General Election, November 05, 2024, Official Results, Missouri Secretary of State, December 23, 2024.
      37. ↑ https://x.com/Missouri_Mapper/status/1872719556084678689

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