2024 Missouri Attorney General election

Last updated

2024 Missouri Attorney General election
Flag of Missouri.svg
  2020 November 5, 20242028 
  AG-Andrew Bailey.jpg Elad Gross (cropped).jpg
Nominee Andrew Bailey Elad Gross
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,739,6261,103,482
Percentage59.78%37.92%

2024 Missouri attorney general election results map by county.svg
2024 Missouri attorney general election by congressional district.svg
MO Attorney General 2024.svg
Bailey:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Gross:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No votes

Attorney General before election

Andrew Bailey
Republican

Elected Attorney General

Andrew Bailey
Republican

The 2024 Missouri Attorney General election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the attorney general of the state of Missouri. It coincided with the concurrent presidential election, as well as various state and local elections, including for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and governor of Missouri. Primary elections took place on August 6, 2024. [1] Incumbent Andrew Bailey won the Republican nomination, while Elad Gross won the Democratic nomination.

Contents

In the general election, Bailey won about 60 percent of the vote, defeating Gross. [2] This marked Bailey's first election to a full term in office, as he was previously appointed in 2022 by Missouri governor Mike Parson to succeed outgoing Attorney General Eric Schmitt upon Schmitt's election to the U.S. Senate.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Andrew Bailey

Executive Branch Officials

U.S. Senators

Statewide officials

Organizations

Will Scharf

Executive Branch Officials

Statewide officials

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Andrew
Bailey
Will
Scharf
Undecided
Battleground Connect (R) [14] [A] July 30–31, 2024896 (LV)± 3.1%41%30%29%
Remington Research Group (R) [15] [A] July 22–24, 2024864 (LV)± 3.3%36%31%33%
co/efficient (R) [16] July 21–22, 2024981 (LV)± 3.92%27%17%56%
co/efficient (R) [17] [B] July 10–11, 2024909 (LV)± 3.25%34%13%53%
Public Opinion Strategies [18] [C] June 20–24, 2024500 (V)± 4.38%52%19%39%
Remington Research (R) [19] [A] June 19–20, 2024701 (LV)± 3.6%27%23%50%
WPA Intelligence [20] [D] June 2–4, 2024502 (LV)± 4.4%35%17%48%
Remington Research (R) [21] [A] February 14–15, 2024706 (LV)± 3.6%24%18%58%
Remington Research (R) [22] [A] January 17–18, 2024806 (LV)± 3.3%24%17%59%
Remington Research (R) [23] [A] September 27–28, 2023714 (LV)± 3.4%26%15%59%
Remington Research (R) [24] [A] July 5–7, 2023706 (LV)± 3.4%25%14%61%
Remington Research (R) [25] [A] April 11–12, 2023778 (LV)± 3.4%24%14%62%
Remington Research (R) [26] [A] February 8–9, 2023820 (LV)± 3.2%10%10%80%

Results

Results by county:
Bailey
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
70-80%
60-70%
50-60% Missouri Attorney General Republican primary, 2024.svg
Results by county:
Bailey
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Andrew Bailey (incumbent) 413,465 63.0
Republican Will Scharf242,68037.0
Total votes656,145 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Elad Gross, civil rights attorney, former assistant attorney general, and candidate for attorney general in 2020 [28]

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Elad Gross

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Elad
Gross
Sarah
Unsicker
Undecided
Remington Research Group [32] [A] July 12–13, 2023661 (LV)± 3.9%13%24%63%

Results

Democratic primary results [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Elad Gross 343,934 100.00%
Total votes343,934 100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Ryan Munro, attorney [33]

Results

Libertarian primary results [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Ryan Munro 2,401 100.00%
Total votes2,401 100.00%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal Ball [34] Safe RJuly 25, 2024

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Andrew
Bailey (R)
Elad
Gross (D)
OtherUndecided
ActiVote [35] October 8–27, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%57%43%
ActiVote [36] September 6 – October 13, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%60%40%
Remington Research Group [37] [A] October 2–3, 2024753 (LV)± 3.2%51%42%1% [b] 6%
YouGov/Saint Louis University [38] August 8–16, 2024450 (LV)± 5.40%51%38%1%9%
Remington Research Group [39] [A] March 6–8, 2024713 (LV)± 3.9%50%35%15%

Results

2024 Missouri Attorney General election [40]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Andrew Bailey (incumbent) 1,739,626 59.78% +0.40%
Democratic Elad Gross1,103,48237.92%+0.05%
Libertarian Ryan Munro66,8782.30%−0.45%
Total votes2,909,986 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By congressional district

Bailey won six of eight congressional districts. [41]

DistrictBaileyGrossRepresentative
1st 22%76% Cori Bush (118th Congress)
Wesley Bell (119th Congress)
2nd 55%43% Ann Wagner
3rd 64%33% Blaine Luetkemeyer (118th Congress)
Bob Onder (119th Congress)
4th 72%26% Mark Alford
5th 39%59% Emanuel Cleaver
6th 70%28% Sam Graves
7th 72%26% Eric Burlison
8th 77%21% Jason Smith

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Munro (L) with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Poll sponsored by the Missouri Scout
  2. Poll sponsored by Bailey's campaign
  3. Poll sponsored by Liberty and Justice PAC, which supports Bailey
  4. Poll sponsored by Club for Growth, which supports Scharf

References

      1. "2024 Calendar". www.sos.mo.gov. Retrieved July 23, 2024.
      2. "Missouri Attorney General Election Results 2024". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
      3. 1 2 Ruch, Amber (November 22, 2022). "Gov. Parson names Andrew Bailey as Missouri's new attorney general". KFVS-TV . Retrieved December 10, 2022.
      4. Holleman, Joe (February 1, 2023). "Will Scharf announces GOP bid for Missouri attorney general". St. Louis Post-Dispatch .
      5. 1 2 "Trump endorses Bailey, Scharf in Missouri attorney general race". KMOV . July 30, 2024. Retrieved July 30, 2024.
      6. "Senator Hawley endorses Andrew Bailey for Missouri Attorney General". KMOV. July 22, 2024. Retrieved July 24, 2024.
      7. Hays, Brady (December 2, 2023). "Eric Schmitt endorses Andrew Bailey in Attorney General primary". The Missouri Times. Retrieved December 4, 2023.
      8. "Bailey is Best!". Eagle Forum . Retrieved May 13, 2024.
      9. 1 2 "MRL PAC RELEASES AUGUST 6, 2024 PRIMARY ELECTION ENDORSEMENTS" (PDF). missourilifepac.org. June 25, 2024. Retrieved July 3, 2024.
      10. Morris, Kyle (June 6, 2024). "Texas AG Ken Paxton endorses Trump attorney in Missouri AG race: 'The right person'". Fox News . Retrieved June 6, 2024.
      11. Bowen, Cassidy (October 23, 2023). "CHARLIE KIRK AT MISSOURI STATE UNIVERSITY". KWTO . Retrieved October 30, 2023. Charlie Kirk has endorsed Scharf's candidacy for Attorney General.
      12. Keller, Rudi (October 2, 2023). "Out-of-state donors fuel pair of GOP candidates running for Missouri governor, AG". Missouri Independent . Retrieved October 30, 2023.
      13. "Club for Growth PAC Endorses Will Scharf in Missouri AG Race". Club for Growth . April 13, 2023. Retrieved April 17, 2023.
      14. "MOScout Weekender: Final GOP Statewide Poll Has Ashcroft and Kehoe TIED! - SOS Race Still Wide Open - 3-Way Scrum for LG - Malek and Bailey Ahead…" . Missouri Scout. August 3, 2024. Archived from the original on September 15, 2025. Retrieved September 15, 2025.
      15. "MOScout Weekender: Kehoe-Ashcroft Tied - Many Voters Still Undecided Across All Races - Hallway Predicts Next Gov and more…" . Missouri Scout. July 27, 2025. Archived from the original on September 15, 2025. Retrieved September 15, 2025.
      16. "Missouri Treasurer - co/efficient". co/efficient. July 23, 2024. Retrieved September 15, 2025.
      17. co/efficient (R)
      18. Public Opinion Strategies
      19. Remington Research (R)
      20. WPA Intelligence
      21. "MOScout Weekender: Lincoln Days Talk - New Statewide Republican Poll - Hallway on 2024 and more..." . Missouri Scout. Archived from the original on September 14, 2025. Retrieved September 14, 2025.
      22. Remington Research (R)
      23. Remington Research (R)
      24. Remington Research (R)
      25. Remington Research (R)
      26. "MOScout Weekender: Trump v DeSantis - Statewide MO GOP Poll - Lincoln Days Bits - Hallway Loves Fitzwater - WWTW and more..." . Missouri Scout. February 11, 2023. Archived from the original on February 12, 2023. Retrieved September 13, 2025.
      27. 1 2 3 "Missouri Attorney General Primary Election Results 2024". The New York Times . August 6, 2024. Retrieved August 7, 2024.
      28. Keller, Rudi (March 10, 2023). "Democratic candidates jump into race for Missouri Attorney General". The Missouri Independent. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
      29. Fenske, Sarah (December 14, 2023). "Rep. Sarah Unsicker Quits Missouri Attorney General Race". Riverfront Times . Retrieved December 14, 2023.
      30. Suntrup, Jack (January 9, 2024). "Scorned by fellow Democrats, Shrewsbury state rep announces run for governor". St. Louis Post-Dispatch . Retrieved January 9, 2024.
      31. "Editorial: Our endorsements in the Missouri secretary of state and attorney general primaries". July 18, 2024.
      32. "MOScout Weekender: Eigel Preps Announcement - Poll on Dem Statewides - Hallway on GOP AG - WWTW and more..." . Missouri Scout. July 15, 2023. Archived from the original on July 18, 2023. Retrieved September 14, 2025.
      33. "SOS, Missouri - Elections: Offices Filed in Candidate Filing". s1.sos.mo.gov. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
      34. Jacobson, Louis (July 25, 2024). "2024's Races for Attorney General, Secretary of State, and Lieutenant Governor: An Update". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 28, 2024.
      35. ActiVote
      36. ActiVote
      37. Remington Research Group
      38. YouGov/Saint Louis University
      39. Remington Research Group
      40. Ashcroft, Jay (December 5, 2024). "Election Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of Missouri . Archived (PDF) from the original on July 12, 2025. Retrieved August 13, 2025.
      41. https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::68b2b598-69cd-430e-bee2-1dc4b76705f6

      Official campaign websites