The 2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Tennessee voters have chosen electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Tennessee has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[2]
Prior to the election, all major news organizations once again considered Tennessee a safe red state; the state has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000, including by double-digit margins since 2004.
On election night, Tennessee voted Republican for former president Donald Trump by a wide margin for the third time in a row, with him winning the state by 29.7%, a considerable increase from his 23.2% victory in 2020 and to a lesser extent his 26% victory in 2016.[3] He received more than 1.96 million Tennessee votes which was a record for votes cast for any candidate in state history.[4] This is the best performance from a Republican candidate for a presidential election in Tennessee since Richard Nixon's 37.9% victory in 1972.
The Tennessee Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. President Biden won the state in a landslide, earning all 63 pledged delegates
The Tennessee Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald J. Trump was challenged by Nikki Haley, the only other major candidate remaining in the Republican primaries. Trump won the state in a landslide, defeating Haley by 57.8 points and earning all 58 delegates.
A fast-growing Southern state in the heart of the Bible Belt, no Democrat has won Tennessee's electoral votes since Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas, who shared the ticket with favorite sonAl Gore, in 1996, nor has it been contested at the presidential level since 2000, when Gore narrowly lost his home state by less than 4 points. The last Democratic presidential candidate to win at least 40% of the state vote was Barack Obama in 2008, and Republicans have occupied all statewide offices in Tennessee since 2011.
Tennessee handed Republican Donald Trump a decisive victory, doing so by a margin of 910,600 votes, making it his third-largest state win in terms of vote count, following Texas and Florida, which are also in the South. This election marks the third consecutive cycle in which a presidential candidate secured over 60% of the Tennesseean vote. Notably, Trump improved his margins in every county and gained significant support across all demographics, performing better in suburban, rural, and urban areas.[37]
Trump also came close to flipping majority-Black Haywood County, losing it by just 25 votes. Notably, Haywood County voted Republican in the Senate and congressional race on the same ballot. This was the closest the county has come to voting Republican in a presidential race since 1972.
By Grand Division
Results by Grand Division Trump:50–60%60–70%70–80%
Trump won all three of Tennessee's Grand Divisions—West, Middle, and East Tennessee. Middle and East Tennessee are solidly Republican, while West Tennessee, owing to its high Black population, was formerly loyal to the Democrats. It has become competitive for Republicans in recent elections. In 2020, Trump had won it with 49.43% to Biden's 49.06%. Democrats had previously won West Tennessee in 2004, 2008, and 2012.[38][39]
Davidson County, home to Tennessee's state capital Nashville, voted decisively for Kamala Harris, who received 62.7% of the vote. The county has not supported a Republican presidential candidate since George H. W. Bush in 1988. Notably, Donald Trump performed surprisingly well in some of Nashville's urban core. He lost Downtown Nashville, home to landmarks like Broadway and the Country Music Hall of Fame and Museum, by only 7.8%—a significant improvement from his 24.6% loss there in 2020.[41][42]
Knox County, home to Knoxville, voted comfortably for Donald Trump, who received 59.0% of the vote. This result continues the county’s long-standing Republican tradition, as it has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1940. Despite this Republican stronghold, Kamala Harris performed notably well in Knoxville’s urban core, winning the city by an 11.4% margin. However, this was a decline from Joe Biden’s 16% victory in the city during the 2020 election.[44]
Donald Trump's victory in Knox County was largely driven by his overwhelming support in the suburban and rural areas, which offset Harris’s success in the city. Outside of Knoxville, Trump dominated nearly all precincts, with his strongest showing in the rural northern parts of the county. These regions played a pivotal role in securing his comfortable win.
Shelby County
Results by precinct in Shelby County
Harris
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
≥90%
Trump
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
No data
Shelby County, home to Memphis, and the most populated county in Tennessee voted decisively for Kamala Harris, who received 61.8% of the vote. The county has not supported a Republican presidential candidate since George H. W. Bush in 1988. Harris’s win in the county was driven largely by the predominantly Black, Democratic-leaning population of Memphis, which forms the county's urban core.
Donald Trump’s performance in Shelby County, however, showed a stark demographic and geographical divide. His strongest support came from the county's eastern suburban areas, including Bartlett, Collierville, and Germantown. These predominantly white, suburban communities often lean more conservative, reflecting national trends. Additionally, Trump found success in northern parts of the county, such as Millington, further illustrating the political diversity within Shelby County's electorate.[45]
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[1] 5.26 pp 
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