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Elections in Tennessee |
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Government |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Tennessee voters have chosen electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Tennessee has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. [1]
A Southern state in the heart of the Bible Belt, no Democrat has won Tennessee's electoral votes since Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas, who shared the ticket with favorite son Al Gore, in 1996, nor has it been contested at the presidential level since 2000, when Gore narrowly lost his home state by less than 4 points.
Incumbent Democratic President Joe Biden initially ran for re-election and became the party's presumptive nominee. [2] However, following what was widely viewed as a poor performance in the June 2024 presidential debate and amid increasing age and health concerns from within his party, he withdrew from the race on July 21 and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day. [3] Biden's withdrawal from the race makes him the first eligible president not to stand for re-election since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968.
Former President and Republican nominee Donald Trump ran for re-election to a second non-consecutive term after losing in 2020. [4] Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gathered the required signatures to be on the ballot. [5] Despite that, he dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump.
Tennessee voted for Trump by a wide margin in the election, with him winning the state by 29.7%. [6] Trump received more than 1.96 million votes which was a record for votes cast for any candidate in the history of Tennessee. This is the best performance from a Republican candidate in the state since 1972.
Trump was able to increase his support in the Nashville metropolitan area, particularly in the suburban counties of Williamson, Rutherford, Wilson, Sumner, and Cheatham, performing similarly to his 2016 results. He gained ground in every county and even recaptured some support in Shelby and Davidson counties, home to Memphis and Nashville, as well as in Hamilton County (Chattanooga) and Knox County (Knoxville). Trump came close to flipping majority-Black Haywood County, losing it by just 25 votes. Notably, Haywood County voted Republican in the Senate congressional race on the same ballot. This was the closest the county has come to voting Republican in a presidential race since 1988.
The Tennessee Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. President Biden won the state in a landslide, earning all 63 pledged delegates
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 122,803 | 92.14% | 63 | 63 | |
Uncommitted | 10,475 | 7.86% | 0 | 0 | |
Total: | 133,278 | 100.00% | 63 | 7 | 70 |
The Tennessee Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald J. Trump was challenged by Nikki Haley, the only other major candidate remaining in the Republican primaries. Trump won the state in a landslide, defeating Haley by 57.8 points and earning all 58 delegates.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 446,850 | 77.33% | 58 | 0 | 58 |
Nikki Haley | 112,958 | 19.55% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 7,947 | 1.38% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Uncommitted | 4,884 | 0.85% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,874 | 0.32% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,714 | 0.30% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 722 | 0.13% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 533 | 0.09% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
David Stuckenberg | 352 | 0.06% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total: | 577,834 | 100.00% | 58 | 0 | 58 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report [11] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections [12] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [14] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis [15] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
CNN [16] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
The Economist [17] | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
538 [6] | Solid R | June 11, 2024 |
RCP [18] | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
NBC News [19] | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ActiVote [20] | October 5−28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 62% | 38% | – |
ActiVote [21] | September 24 – October 16, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 62% | 38% | – |
ActiVote [22] | July 26 – August 29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 63% | 37% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [23] [A] | September 27 – October 8, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 54% | 35% | 5% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
971 (LV) | 56% | 35% | 5% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Donald J. Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies [24] [B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 510 (LV) | – | 59% | 35% | 6% |
Targoz Market Research [25] [A] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 60% | 31% | 9% |
974 (LV) | 55% | 31% | 14% | |||
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [26] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 216 (RV) | – | 58% | 34% | 8% [b] |
201 (LV) | 59% | 34% | 7% [b] | |||
Targoz Market Research [27] [A] | December 14–28, 2023 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
929 (LV) | 63% | 31% | 5% | |||
Siena College [28] [C] | November 5–10, 2023 | 805 (A) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 20% | 31% |
Targoz Market Research [29] [A] | October 5–16, 2023 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 59% | 29% | 12% |
835 (LV) | 61% | 30% | 9% | |||
Emerson College [30] | October 1–4, 2023 | 410 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 55% | 22% | 23% |
Targoz Market Research [31] [A] | June 14–22, 2023 | 1,120 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 32% | 17% |
1,046 (LV) | 54% | 34% | 11% | |||
SSRS/Vanderbilt University [32] | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 42% | 26% | 31% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [33] [A] | June 20 – July 1, 2024 | 1,152 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 55% | 28% | 7% | 10% |
962 (LV) | 58% | 28% | 5% | 9% | |||
SSRS/Vanderbilt University [34] | April 26 – May 9, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 29% | 8% | 16% [c] |
Targoz Market Research [25] [A] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 25% | 16% | 11% |
974 (LV) | 47% | 28% | 15% | 10% | |||
Targoz Market Research [27] [A] | December 14–28, 2023 | 1,187 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 48% | 23% | 17% | 12% |
929 (LV) | 51% | 25% | 16% | 8% | |||
SSRS/Vanderbilt University [35] | November 14 – December 2, 2023 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 26% | 12% | 17% |
Targoz Market Research [29] [A] | October 5–16, 2023 | 1,164 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 18% | 22% | 14% |
872 (LV) | 48% | 23% | 19% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin as an Independent
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Joe Manchin Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [29] [A] | October 5–16, 2023 | 1,118 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 52% | 21% | 5% | 22% |
844 (LV) | 53% | 23% | 6% | 18% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies [24] [B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 510 (LV) | – | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies [24] [B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 510 (LV) | – | 55% | 31% | 14% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [31] [A] | June 14–22, 2023 | 1,120 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 32% | 22% |
977 (LV) | 52% | 36% | 11% | |||
SSRS/Vanderbilt University [32] | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 33% | 24% | 40% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 1,964,499 | 64.09% | +3.43% | ||
Democratic | 1,055,039 | 34.42% | −3.03% | ||
Independent |
| 21,511 | 0.70% | N/A | |
Green | 8,953 | 0.29% | +0.14% | ||
Independent |
| 5,855 | 0.19% | N/A | |
Socialism and Liberation | 3,451 | 0.11% | +0.03% | ||
Socialist Workers |
| 985 | 0.03% | −0.05% | |
Write-in | 4,692 | 0.15% | |||
Total votes | 3,064,985 | 100.00% |
In Tennessee, Donald Trump achieved a decisive victory, winning by a margin of 909,460 votes, making it his third-largest state win in terms of vote count, following Texas and Florida. This election marks the third consecutive cycle in which a presidential candidate secured over 60% of the Tennessee votes. Notably, Trump improved his margins in every county and gained significant support across all demographics, performing better in suburban, rural, and urban areas. [37]
Partisan clients
The 2024 United States presidential election in Arizona took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Arizona voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Arizona has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Arizona was considered a crucial swing state in 2024. On November 7, 2024, Donald Trump was declared the apparent winner by many major forecasters such as Decision Desk HQ. Arizona was officially called for Trump by The Associated Press on November 9.
The 2024 United States presidential election in California was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. California voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. California has 54 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most in the country.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Colorado took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Colorado voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Colorado has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Illinois took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Illinois voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Illinois has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College this election, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Indiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Maine took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Maine voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maine has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, and as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors for Donald Trump and JD Vance to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. Michigan was considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Missouri took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Missouri voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Missouri has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Montana took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Montana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Montana has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Hampshire voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Mexico voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Mexico has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. Ohio had 17 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. South Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of South Carolina has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Texas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas had 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Utah took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Utah voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Utah has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Donald Trump was projected to win the state.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Washington took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Washington voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.