2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee

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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee
Flag of Tennessee.svg
  2008 November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02) 2012  

All 9 Tennessee seats to the United States House of Representatives
Turnout41.32% Decrease2.svg [1] 25.02 pp
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election45
Seats won72
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 3Decrease2.svg 3
Popular vote955,078541,527
Percentage61.26%34.73%
SwingIncrease2.svg 18.83%Decrease2.svg 17.24%

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee by winner.svg
2010 Tennessee United States House of Representatives election by Congressional District.svg
     Democratic hold
     Republican hold     Republican gain

The 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state of Tennessee, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts.

Contents

During the general elections, the Republicans flipped Tennessee's 4th, 6th, and 8th congressional districts, which changed Tennessee's House delegation from a 5-4 Democratic majority to a 7-2 Republican majority.

Overview

District results by precinct 2010 Tennessee US House of Representatives election results by precinct.jpg
District results by precinct
United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee, 2010 [2]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats BeforeSeats After+/–
Republican 955,07861.26%47+3
Democratic 541,52734.73%52-3
Independent 62,5244.01%000
Totals1,559,129100.00%99
Popular vote
Republican
61.26%
Democratic
34.73%
Other
4.01%
House seats
Republican
77.78%
Democratic
22.22%

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee by district: [3]

District Republican Democratic OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 123,00680.84%26,04517.12%3,1102.04%152,161100.0%Republican hold
District 2 141,79681.78%25,40014.65%6,1843.57%173,380100.0%Republican hold
District 3 92,03256.79%45,38728.01%24,63715.20%162,056100.0%Republican hold
District 4 103,96957.07%70,25438.56%7,9684.37%182,191100.0%Republican gain
District 5 74,20442.07%99,16256.23%2,9961.70%176,362100.0%Democratic hold
District 6 128,51767.26%56,14529.38%6,4223.36%191,084100.0%Republican gain
District 7 158,91672.37%54,34724.75%6,3202.88%219,583100.0%Republican hold
District 8 98,75958.99%64,96038.80%3,6862.20%167,405100.0%Republican gain
District 9 33,87925.11%99,82774.00%1,2010.89%134,907100.0%Democratic hold
Total955,07861.26%541,52734.73%62,5244.01%1,559,129100.0%

District 1

TN01 109.gif

This district covers northeast Tennessee, including all of Carter, Cocke, Greene, Hamblen, Hancock, Hawkins, Johnson, Sullivan, Unicoi, and Washington counties and parts of Jefferson County and Sevier County. It had been represented by Republican Phil Roe since 2009. The winner of the GOP primary was all but assured of representing the district in Congress as this is one of the safest seats for the GOP; it had held the seat continuously since 1881 and, since prior to the Civil War, the GOP or its predecessors had held the seat for all but four years.

Democratic primary

Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Michael Clark 9,012 100.0
Total votes9,012 100.0

Republican primary

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Phil Roe (incumbent) 78,862 95.7
Republican Mahmood "Michael" Sabri3,5464.3
Total votes82,408 100.0

General election

Tennessee's 1st congressional district, 2010 [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Phil Roe (incumbent) 123,006 80.84%
Democratic Michael Clark26,04517.12%
Independent Kermit Steck3,1102.04%
Total votes152,161 100.0%
Republican hold

District 2

TN02 109.gif

This district lies in the east central part of the state, based in Knoxville and is largely coextensive with that city's metropolitan area. It had been represented by Republican Jimmy Duncan since November, 1988. The winner of the GOP primary was all but assured of representing the district in Congress as this was one of the safest seats for the GOP (even safer than the neighboring First District); the GOP or its predecessors had held the seat continuously since prior to the Civil War.

Democratic primary

Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dave Hancock 9,778 100.0
Total votes9,778 100.0

Republican primary

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jimmy Duncan (incumbent) 92,414 100.0
Total votes92,414 100.0

General election

Tennessee's 2nd congressional district, 2010 [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jimmy Duncan (incumbent) 141,796 81.78%
Democratic Dave Hancock25,40014.65%
Independent Joseph R. Leinweber Jr.2,4971.44%
Independent D.H. "Andy" Andrew1,9931.15%
Independent Greg Samples1,1850.68%
Independent H. James Headings5090.30%
Total votes173,380 100.0%
Republican hold

District 3

TN03 109.gif

Republican Representative Zach Wamp announced that he would be running for governor in 2010, leaving the third district open. [7]

Democratic primary

Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic John Wolfe Jr. 7,006 38.92
Democratic Brenda Freeman Short4,53025.17
Democratic Brent Davis Staton4,53021.19
Democratic Alicia Mitchell2,64714.71
Democratic Larry J. Abeare, Sr. (write-in)30.01
Total votes18,000 100.0

Republican primary

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Chuck Fleischmann 26,869 29.67
Republican Robin Smith 25,45428.11
Republican Tim Gobble14,27415.76
Republican Van Irion10,49211.59
Republican Tommy Crangle5,1495.69
Republican Art Rhodes4,5525.03
Republican Jean Howard-Hill1,2591.39
Republican Rick Kernea7390.82
Republican Harvey Howard6700.74
Republican Basil Marceaux 6550.72
Republican Grover Travillian4400.48
Total votes90,553 100.0

General election

Tennessee's 3rd congressional district, 2010 [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Chuck Fleischmann 92,032 56.79%
Democratic John Wolfe Jr. 45,38728.01%
Independent Savas T. Kyriakidis17,07710.54%
Independent Mark DeVol5,7733.56%
Independent Don Barkman8110.50%
Independent Gregory C. Goodwin3800.23%
Independent Robert Humphries3800.23%
Independent Mo Kiah2160.14%
Total votes162,056 100.0%
Republican hold

District 4

TN04 109.gif

Democratic incumbent Lincoln Davis ran for re-election, challenged by Republican nominee Scott DesJarlais, a physician in Jasper, and Independents Paul H. Curtis (PVS), James Gray (campaign site, PVS), Richard S. Johnson (PVS), and Gerald York (campaign site, PVS).

Davis had represented the district since 2003. He turned down a run for governor, deciding to run for re-election instead. [9]

This district lies in Middle and East Tennessee.

Scott DesJarlais (R) won the election.

General election

Tennessee's 4th congressional district, 2010 [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Scott DesJarlais 103,969 57.07%
Democratic Lincoln Davis 70,25438.56%
Independents (politician) Others7,9684.37%
Total votes182,191 100.0%
Republican gain from Democratic

District 5

TN05 109.gif

This district lies in Middle Tennessee, including almost all of Davidson County, half of Wilson County, and half of Cheatham County. Nearly two-thirds of the district's voting population lives in Nashville. It had been represented by Democrat Jim Cooper since 2003.

Jim Cooper (D) won re-election.

General election

Tennessee's 5th congressional district, 2010 [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jim Cooper 99,162 56.23%
Republican David Hall74,20442.07%
Independents (politician) Others2,9961.70%
Total votes176,362 100.0%
Democratic hold

District 6

TN06 109.gif

This district lies in Middle Tennessee, including all of Bedford, Cannon, Clay, DeKalb, Jackson, Macon, Marshall, Overton, Putnam, Robertson, Rutherford, Smith, Sumner, and Trousdale Counties, as well as a portion of Wilson County. It had been represented by Democrat Bart Gordon since 1985. Gordon announced on December 14, 2009, that he would not be seeking another term, leaving the sixth district open. [9]

State Senator Jim Tracy, State Senator Diane Black, Rutherford County Republican Chairwoman Lou Ann Zelenik, United States Army Reserve Major General Dave Evans, realtor Gary Mann, and businessman Kerry Roberts ran for the Republican nomination. [10] Democratic candidates included lawyer and Iraq veteran Brett Carter, aviation safety inspector George Erdel, ex-marine Ben Leming, Henry Barry, and Devora Butler.

The nominees were Brett Carter (D) and Diane Black (R).

Diane Black (R) won the election.

General election

Tennessee's 6th congressional district, 2010 [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Diane Black 128,517 67.26%
Democratic Brett Carter 56,14529.38%
Independents (politician) Others6,4223.36%
Total votes191,084 100.0%
Republican gain from Democratic

District 7

TN07 109.gif

This district lies in Middle and southwestern Tennessee, connecting suburbs of Memphis and Nashville. It had been represented by Republican Marsha Blackburn since 2003. She faced a challenge from Austin Peay University professor and Democrat Dr. Greg Rabidoux. [11]

Marsha Blackburn (R) won re-election.

General election

Tennessee's 1st congressional district, 2010 [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Marsha Blackburn (incumbent) 158,916 72.37%
Democratic Greg Rabidoux54,34724.75%
Independents (politician) Others6,3202.88%
Total votes219,583 100.0%
Republican hold

District 8

TN08 109.gif

Democratic incumbent John S. Tanner, who had represented the district since 1989, announced his retirement in December 2009 leaving the eighth district open. [9]

Steve Fincher was the Republican nominee, [12] and State Senator Roy Herron was the Democratic nominee. [13] Also on the ballot are Tea Party candidate Donn Janes (campaign site, PVS), who earlier dropped out of the Republican primary, and Independent Mark J. Rawles (campaign site, PVS). [14]

This district covers roughly the northwestern part of the state.

Stephen Fincher (R) won the election.

Endorsements

Herron had been endorsed by the state's two largest newspapers, the Memphis Commercial Appeal [15] and the Nashville Tennessean. [16]

Fincher had been endorsed by former Governor Winfield Dunn, Citizens United, Eagle Forum, Family Research Council, Concerned Women for America, and State Senator Dolores Gresham. [17]

Forecasts

As of October 22, 2010, Rothenberg Political Report rated the race as "Lean Republican", [18] Real Clear Politics as "Leans GOP". [19] Charlie Cook as "Lean Republican", [20] CQ Politics as "Likely Republican", [21] Larry Sabato as "Likely R", [22] and Chris Cillizza of The Washington Post placed the race at number 23 of the races most likely to change party hands. [23]

District 8 has a PVI of R+13. In the 2008 presidential election, Republican U.S. Senator John McCain carried the district with 56% of the vote. [24]

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredStephen Fincher (R)Roy Herron (D)Donn Janes (I)Undecided
Memphisnewsblog.com [25] August 10–11, 201047%37%5%11%

General election

2010 Tennessee's 8th congressional district election [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Fincher 98,759 58.99%
Democratic Roy Herron 64,96038.80%
Independents (politician) Others3,6862.20%
Total votes167,405 100.0%
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

County [26] Stephen Fincher
Republican
Roy Herron
Democratic
Other votesTotal
votes
 %# %# %#
Benton 50.79%2,52547.74%2,3731.47%73
Carroll 64.70%5,25834.60%2,8561.70%140
Crockett 77.24%3,36021.75%9461.01%44
Dickson 77.24%7,51221.75%3,9591.01%316
Gibson 63.99%9,23033.80%4,8752.22%320
Haywood 47.69%2,52451.16%2,7081.15%61
Henry 58.54%5,46039.55%3,6891.91%178
Houston 48.01%99149.66%1,0252.33%48
Humphreys 52.23%2,53645.11%2,1902.66%129
Lake 47.55%65151.13%7001.31%18
Lauderdale 60.63%3,61137.98%2,2621.39%83
Madison 57.11%15,93940.74%11,3722.15%600
Montgomery 57.32%4,12039.29%2,8243.39%244
Obion 58.15%5,36340.40%3,7261.45%134
Shelby 35.85%4,46862.16%7,7471.98%247
Stewart 52.99%1,96744.32%1,6452.69%100
Tipton 69.65%10,62826.15%3,9914.20%641
Weakley 59.75%5,57538.73%3,6141.52%142

District 9

TN09 109.gif

This district lies in southwestern Tennessee, located entirely within Shelby County and including most of the city of Memphis. It had been represented by Democrat Steve Cohen since 2007. The Republicans nominated Charlotte Bergmann, who owns a Memphis-based marketing firm, Effective PMP, LLC.

Steve Cohen (D) won re-election.

General election

Tennessee's 5th congressional district, 2010 [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Steve Cohen 99,827 74.00%
Republican Charlotte Bergmann33,87925.11%
Independents (politician) Others1,2010.89%
Total votes134,907 100.0%
Democratic hold

See also

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References

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