2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee

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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee
Flag of Tennessee.svg
←  2008 November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02) 2012  →
All 9 Tennessee seats to the United States House of Representatives
Turnout41.32% Decrease2.svg [1] 25.02 pp
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election45
Seats won72
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 3Decrease2.svg 3
Popular vote955,078541,527
Percentage61.26%34.73%
SwingIncrease2.svg 18.83%Decrease2.svg 17.24%
2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee by winner.svg
2010 Tennessee United States House of Representatives election by Congressional District.svg
2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee by county.svg
     Republican hold     Republican gain
     Democratic hold

The 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state of Tennessee, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts.

Contents

During the general elections, the Republicans flipped Tennessee's 4th, 6th, and 8th congressional districts, which changed Tennessee's House delegation from a 5-4 Democratic majority to a 7-2 Republican majority.

Overview

District results by precinct 2010 Tennessee US House of Representatives election results by precinct.jpg
District results by precinct
United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee, 2010 [2]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats BeforeSeats After+/–
Republican 955,07861.26%47Increase2.svg 3
Democratic 541,52734.73%52Decrease2.svg 3
Independent 62,5154.01%000
Write-in 90.00%000
Totals1,559,129100.00%99—
Popular vote
Republican
 
61.26%
Democratic
 
34.73%
Other
 
4.01%
House seats
Republican
 
77.78%
Democratic
 
22.22%

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee by district: [3]

District Republican Democratic OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 123,00680.84%26,04517.12%3,1102.04%152,161100.0%Republican hold
District 2 141,79681.78%25,40014.65%6,1843.57%173,380100.0%Republican hold
District 3 92,03256.79%45,38728.01%24,63715.20%162,056100.0%Republican hold
District 4 103,96957.07%70,25438.56%7,9684.37%182,191100.0%Republican gain
District 5 74,20442.07%99,16256.23%2,9961.70%176,362100.0%Democratic hold
District 6 128,51767.26%56,14529.38%6,4223.36%191,084100.0%Republican gain
District 7 158,91672.37%54,34724.75%6,3202.88%219,583100.0%Republican hold
District 8 98,75958.99%64,96038.80%3,6862.20%167,405100.0%Republican gain
District 9 33,87925.11%99,82774.00%1,2010.89%134,907100.0%Democratic hold
Total955,07861.26%541,52734.73%62,5244.01%1,559,129100.0%

District 1

TN01 109.gif

This district covers northeast Tennessee, including all of Carter, Cocke, Greene, Hamblen, Hancock, Hawkins, Johnson, Sullivan, Unicoi, and Washington counties and parts of Jefferson County and Sevier County. It had been represented by Republican Phil Roe since 2009. The winner of the GOP primary was all but assured of representing the district in Congress as this is one of the safest seats for the GOP; it had held the seat continuously since 1881 and, since prior to the Civil War, the GOP or its predecessors had held the seat for all but four years.

Democratic primary

Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Michael Clark 9,012 100.0
Total votes9,012 100.0

Republican primary

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Phil Roe (incumbent) 78,862 95.7
Republican Mahmood "Michael" Sabri3,5464.3
Total votes82,408 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [10] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Tennessee's 1st congressional district, 2010 [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Phil Roe (incumbent) 123,006 80.84%
Democratic Michael Clark26,04517.12%
Independent Kermit Steck3,1102.04%
Total votes152,161 100.0%
Republican hold

District 2

TN02 109.gif

This district lies in the east central part of the state, based in Knoxville and is largely coextensive with that city's metropolitan area. It had been represented by Republican Jimmy Duncan since November, 1988. The winner of the GOP primary was all but assured of representing the district in Congress as this was one of the safest seats for the GOP (even safer than the neighboring First District); the GOP or its predecessors had held the seat continuously since prior to the Civil War.

Democratic primary

Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dave Hancock 9,778 100.0
Total votes9,778 100.0

Republican primary

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jimmy Duncan (incumbent) 92,414 100.0
Total votes92,414 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [10] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Tennessee's 2nd congressional district, 2010 [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jimmy Duncan (incumbent) 141,796 81.78%
Democratic Dave Hancock25,40014.65%
Independent Joseph R. Leinweber Jr.2,4971.44%
Independent D.H. "Andy" Andrew1,9931.15%
Independent Greg Samples1,1850.68%
Independent H. James Headings5090.30%
Total votes173,380 100.0%
Republican hold

District 3

TN03 109.gif

Republican Representative Zach Wamp announced that he would be running for governor in 2010, leaving the third district open. [13]

Democratic primary

Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic John Wolfe Jr. 7,006 38.92
Democratic Brenda Freeman Short4,53025.17
Democratic Brent Davis Staton4,53021.19
Democratic Alicia Mitchell2,64714.71
Democratic Larry J. Abeare, Sr. (write-in)30.01
Total votes18,000 100.0

Republican primary

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Chuck Fleischmann 26,869 29.67
Republican Robin Smith 25,45428.11
Republican Tim Gobble14,27415.76
Republican Van Irion10,49211.59
Republican Tommy Crangle5,1495.69
Republican Art Rhodes4,5525.03
Republican Jean Howard-Hill1,2591.39
Republican Rick Kernea7390.82
Republican Harvey Howard6700.74
Republican Basil Marceaux 6550.72
Republican Grover Travillian4400.48
Total votes90,553 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [10] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Tennessee's 3rd congressional district, 2010 [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Chuck Fleischmann 92,032 56.79%
Democratic John Wolfe Jr. 45,38728.01%
Independent Savas T. Kyriakidis17,07710.54%
Independent Mark DeVol5,7733.56%
Independent Don Barkman8110.50%
Independent Gregory C. Goodwin3800.23%
Independent Robert Humphries3800.23%
Independent Mo Kiah2160.14%
Total votes162,056 100.0%
Republican hold

District 4

TN04 109.gif

Democratic incumbent Lincoln Davis ran for re-election, challenged by Republican nominee Scott DesJarlais, a physician in Jasper, and Independents Paul H. Curtis (PVS), James Gray (campaign site, PVS), Richard S. Johnson (PVS), and Gerald York (campaign site, PVS).

Davis had represented the district since 2003. He turned down a run for governor, deciding to run for re-election instead. [15]

This district lies in Middle and East Tennessee.

Scott DesJarlais (R) won the election.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] TossupNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Tilt R (flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
RCP [9] TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [10] TossupOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [11] TossupNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [11] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
Tennessee's 4th congressional district, 2010 [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Scott DesJarlais 103,969 57.07%
Democratic Lincoln Davis 70,25438.56%
Independents (politician) Others7,9684.37%
Total votes182,191 100.0%
Republican gain from Democratic

District 5

TN05 109.gif

This district lies in Middle Tennessee, including almost all of Davidson County, half of Wilson County, and half of Cheatham County. Nearly two-thirds of the district's voting population lives in Nashville. It had been represented by Democrat Jim Cooper since 2003.

Jim Cooper (D) won re-election.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [9] Likely DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [10] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [11] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [11] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Tennessee's 5th congressional district, 2010 [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jim Cooper 99,162 56.23%
Republican David Hall74,20442.07%
Independents (politician) Others2,9961.70%
Total votes176,362 100.0%
Democratic hold

District 6

TN06 109.gif

This district lies in Middle Tennessee, including all of Bedford, Cannon, Clay, DeKalb, Jackson, Macon, Marshall, Overton, Putnam, Robertson, Rutherford, Smith, Sumner, and Trousdale Counties, as well as a portion of Wilson County. It had been represented by Democrat Bart Gordon since 1985. Gordon announced on December 14, 2009, that he would not be seeking another term, leaving the sixth district open. [15]

State Senator Jim Tracy, State Senator Diane Black, Rutherford County Republican Chairwoman Lou Ann Zelenik, United States Army Reserve Major General Dave Evans, realtor Gary Mann, and businessman Kerry Roberts ran for the Republican nomination. [16] Democratic candidates included lawyer and Iraq veteran Brett Carter, aviation safety inspector George Erdel, ex-marine Ben Leming, Henry Barry, and Devora Butler.

The nominees were Brett Carter (D) and Diane Black (R).

Diane Black (R) won the election.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Likely R (flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Likely R (flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Likely R (flip)November 1, 2010
RCP [9] Likely R (flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics [10] Safe R (flip)October 28, 2010
New York Times [11] Safe R (flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [11] Safe R (flip)November 1, 2010
Tennessee's 6th congressional district, 2010 [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Diane Black 128,517 67.26%
Democratic Brett Carter 56,14529.38%
Independents (politician) Others6,4223.36%
Total votes191,084 100.0%
Republican gain from Democratic

District 7

TN07 109.gif

This district lies in Middle and southwestern Tennessee, connecting suburbs of Memphis and Nashville. It had been represented by Republican Marsha Blackburn since 2003. She faced a challenge from Austin Peay University professor and Democrat Dr. Greg Rabidoux. [17]

Marsha Blackburn (R) won re-election.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [10] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Tennessee's 1st congressional district, 2010 [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Marsha Blackburn (incumbent) 158,916 72.37%
Democratic Greg Rabidoux54,34724.75%
Independents (politician) Others6,3202.88%
Total votes219,583 100.0%
Republican hold

District 8

TN08 109.gif

Democratic incumbent John S. Tanner, who had represented the district since 1989, announced his retirement in December 2009 leaving the eighth district open. [15]

Steve Fincher was the Republican nominee, [18] and State Senator Roy Herron was the Democratic nominee. [19] Also on the ballot are Tea Party candidate Donn Janes (campaign site, PVS), who earlier dropped out of the Republican primary, and Independent Mark J. Rawles (campaign site, PVS). [20]

This district covers roughly the northwestern part of the state.

Stephen Fincher (R) won the election.

Endorsements

Herron had been endorsed by the state's two largest newspapers, the Memphis Commercial Appeal [21] and the Nashville Tennessean. [22]

Fincher had been endorsed by former Governor Winfield Dunn, Citizens United, Eagle Forum, Family Research Council, Concerned Women for America, and State Senator Dolores Gresham. [23]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Likely R (flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Likely R (flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Likely R (flip)November 1, 2010
RCP [9] Likely R (flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics [10] Likely R (flip)October 28, 2010
New York Times [11] Safe R (flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [11] Safe R (flip)November 1, 2010

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredStephen Fincher (R)Roy Herron (D)Donn Janes (I)Undecided
Memphisnewsblog.com [24] August 10–11, 201047%37%5%11%

General election

2010 Tennessee's 8th congressional district election [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Fincher 98,759 58.99%
Democratic Roy Herron 64,96038.80%
Independents (politician) Others3,6862.20%
Total votes167,405 100.0%
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

County [25] Stephen Fincher
Republican		Roy Herron
Democratic		Other votes
 %# %# %#
Benton 50.79%2,52547.74%2,3731.47%73
Carroll 64.70%5,25834.60%2,8561.70%140
Crockett 77.24%3,36021.75%9461.01%44
Dickson 77.24%7,51221.75%3,9591.01%316
Gibson 63.99%9,23033.80%4,8752.22%320
Haywood 47.69%2,52451.16%2,7081.15%61
Henry 58.54%5,46039.55%3,6891.91%178
Houston 48.01%99149.66%1,0252.33%48
Humphreys 52.23%2,53645.11%2,1902.66%129
Lake 47.55%65151.13%7001.31%18
Lauderdale 60.63%3,61137.98%2,2621.39%83
Madison 57.11%15,93940.74%11,3722.15%600
Montgomery 57.32%4,12039.29%2,8243.39%244
Obion 58.15%5,36340.40%3,7261.45%134
Shelby 35.85%4,46862.16%7,7471.98%247
Stewart 52.99%1,96744.32%1,6452.69%100
Tipton 69.65%10,62826.15%3,9914.20%641
Weakley 59.75%5,57538.73%3,6141.52%142

District 9

TN09 109.gif

This district lies in southwestern Tennessee, located entirely within Shelby County and including most of the city of Memphis. It had been represented by Democrat Steve Cohen since 2007. The Republicans nominated Charlotte Bergmann, who owns a Memphis-based marketing firm, Effective PMP, LLC.

Steve Cohen (D) won re-election.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [9] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [10] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [11] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [11] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Tennessee's 5th congressional district, 2010 [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Steve Cohen (incumbent) 99,827 74.00%
Republican Charlotte Bergmann33,87925.11%
Independents (politician) Others1,2010.89%
Total votes134,907 100.0%
Democratic hold

See also

References

  1. ↑ "Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2010". Tennessee Secretary of State. November 2, 2010. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  2. ↑ "Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives". Archived from the original on May 4, 2015. Retrieved May 27, 2012.
  3. ↑ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Archived from the original on January 3, 2013. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  4. 1 2 3 "DemUSHouseCounty" (PDF). State of Tennessee, August 5, 2010, Democratic Primary. Tennessee Secretary of State. August 5, 2010. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 30, 2019. Retrieved July 28, 2019.
  5. 1 2 3 "RepUSHouseCounty" (PDF). State of Tennessee, August 5, 2010, Republican Primary. Tennessee Secretary of State. August 5, 2010. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 24, 2019. Retrieved July 28, 2019.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived from the original on November 4, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 1, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Crystal Ball, as of November 1,2010
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RealClearPolitics, as of November 1,2010
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 "House Race Ratings". nytimes.com. The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 7, 2010. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "USHCounty" (PDF). State of Tennessee, November 2, 2010, State General. Tennessee Secretary of State. November 2, 2010. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 30, 2019. Retrieved July 28, 2019.
  13. ↑ "Tennessee: Wamp touts poll saying he's top GOP pick for governor | Chattanooga Times Free Press". Timesfreepress.com. Archived from the original on August 23, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  14. ↑ Isenstadt, Alex (July 27, 2009). "Divisive Tennesseean seeks seat". Politico. Archived from the original on July 31, 2019. Retrieved July 30, 2019.
  15. 1 2 3 John McArdle (December 22, 2009). "Rating Change Signifies Challenge to Tenn.'s Davis". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on December 26, 2009. Retrieved December 23, 2009.
  16. ↑ McArdle, John (December 14, 2009). "Tracy to Enter Race to Replace Gordon - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. Archived from the original on February 16, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  17. ↑ "Dr. Greg Rabidoux files for U.S. 7th Congressional District » Clarksville, TN Online". Clarksvilleonline.com. June 4, 2009. Archived from the original on October 30, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  18. ↑ Locker, Richard. "Jackson, Tenn., doctor weighing run for Congress". The Commercial Appeal. Archived from the original on January 14, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  19. ↑ Dunlap, Stanley (December 8, 2009). "Mercer plans to run for Tanner's seat". The Jackson Sun . Jackson, Tennessee.
  20. ↑ "Donn Janes Announces He Will Run as a Tea Party Candidate; Pulls Out of Republican Party Primary". Marketwire.com. Archived from the original on January 18, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  21. ↑ "Editorial: Herron ready for Washington". Memphis Commercial Appeal . October 12, 2010. Archived from the original on June 15, 2011. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
  22. ↑ "Herron targets jobs, broadband and infrastructure". Nashville Tennessean . October 11, 2010. Archived from the original on July 13, 2012. Retrieved October 11, 2010.
  23. ↑ "Stephen Fincher for Congress - Endorsements". Archived from the original on October 22, 2010. Retrieved October 22, 2010.
  24. ↑ Memphisnewsblog.com
  25. ↑ "USHCounty" (PDF). State of Tennessee, November 2, 2010, State General. Tennessee Secretary of State. November 2, 2010. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 30, 2019. Retrieved July 28, 2019.
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