2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama

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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama
Flag of Alabama.svg
  2008 November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02) 2012  

All 7 Alabama seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election43
Seats before5 [a] 2
Seats won61
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 1Decrease2.svg 1
Popular vote914,445418,957
Percentage66.86%30.63%
SwingIncrease2.svg 6.44ppDecrease2.svg 8.09pp

2010 U.S. House elections in Alabama.svg
2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama by county.svg

The 2010 congressional elections in Alabama were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Alabama in the United States House of Representatives. Alabama has seven seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected would serve in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. The primary elections were held on June 1, with the runoff on July 13.

Contents

Districts 1, 3, 4, 6, and 7 were considered safe seats for the incumbent party (the Democratic Party for District 7 and the Republican Party for the other districts), according to the Cook Political Report and CQ Politics, and, as predicted, the incumbent party held those seats. Meanwhile, Districts 2 (a Democrat-held seat) and 5 (a Republican-held seat, though the incumbent was a Democrat who switched parties in 2009) were considered up for grabs. The Republican Party gained District 2 and held District 5.

Overview

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama by district: [1]

District Republican Democratic OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 129,06382.58%00.00%27,21817.42%156,281100.0%Republican hold
District 2 111,64550.97%106,86548.79%5180.24%219,028100.0%Republican gain
District 3 117,73659.42%80,20440.48%1990.10%198,139100.0%Republican hold
District 4 167,71498.82%00.00%2,0071.18%169,721100.0%Republican hold
District 5 131,10957.89%95,19242.03%1890.08%226,490100.0%Republican hold
District 6 205,28898.05%00.00%4,0761.95%209,364100.0%Republican hold
District 7 51,89027.50%136,69672.43%1380.07%188,724100.0%Democratic hold
Total914,44566.86%418,95730.63%34,3452.51%1,367,747100.0%

District 1

2010 Alabama's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Alabama.svg
  2008 November 2, 2010 2012  
  Jo Bonner, Official Portrait, 111th Congress.png 3x4.svg
Nominee Jo Bonner David M. Walter
Party Republican Constitution
Popular vote128,80226,294
Percentage83.1%16.9%

2010 AL-01 Election.svg
County results
Bonner:     80-90%

U.S. Representative before election

Jo Bonner
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jo Bonner
Republican

Republican incumbent Jo Bonner ran for reelection. In the primary, Bonner won against Orange Beach real estate developer Peter Gounares and Clint Moser. [2] [3]

The Democrats did not field a candidate for this seat. Bonner was challenged in the general election by David M. Walter, nominee of the Constitution Party (campaign site, PVS).

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [7] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [8] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Alabama's 1st congressional district election, 2010 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jo Bonner (incumbent) 128,802 83.1%
Constitution David M. Walter26,29416.9%
Total votes155,096 100.0%
Republican hold

District 2

2010 Alabama's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Alabama.svg
  2008 November 2, 2010 2012  
  Martha Roby, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg Bobby Bright, Official Portrait, 111th Congress.png
Nominee Martha Roby Bobby Bright
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote111,332106,465
Percentage51.1%48.9%

2010 AL-02 Election.svg
County results
Roby:     50–60%     60–70%
Bright:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Bobby Bright
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Martha Roby
Republican

Democratic incumbent Bobby Bright ran for reelection, and had no primary opponent.

The Republicans ran two candidates in their primary: Montgomery City Councilwoman Martha Roby and Tea Party activist Rick Barber. Roby was endorsed by Sarah Palin and Newt Gingrich, and won the primary. [11] [12]

Roby took the general election unseating Bright. Bright later ran for this seat as a Republican in 2018 and lost the primary to Roby, who won a 5th term in the general election.

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredBobby
Bright (D)
Martha
Roby (R)
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research [13] October 9–12, 201051%39%
Public Opinion Strategies [14] October 3–4, 201043%45%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research [15] September 26–28, 201052%43%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research [13] August 23–26, 201052%43%
Anzalone-Liszt Research [16] February 8–11, 201054%30%

†Internal poll commissioned by Bobby Bright

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] TossupNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [5] Tilt R (flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Lean DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [7] TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [8] TossupOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [9] TossupNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [9] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
Alabama's 2nd congressional district election, 2010 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Martha Roby 111,332 51.1%
Democratic Bobby Bright (incumbent)106,46548.9%
Total votes217,797 100.0%
Republican gain from Democratic

District 3

2010 Alabama's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Alabama.svg
  2008 November 2, 2010 2012  
  Mike Rogers 113th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Mike Rogers Steve Segrest
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote117,43979,990
Percentage59.5%40.5%

2010 AL-03 Election.svg
County results
Rogers:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Segrest:     50–60%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Mike Rogers
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Rogers
Republican

Republican incumbent Michael Rogers ran for reelection, and defeated Democratic nominee Steve Segrest (PVS) to hold the seat for the Republicans.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [7] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [8] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Alabama's 3rd congressional district election, 2010 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Rogers (incumbent) 117,439 59.5%
Democratic Steve Segrest79,99040.5%
Total votes197,429 100.0%
Republican hold

District 4

2010 Alabama's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Alabama.svg
  2008 November 2, 2010 2012  
  Robert Aderholt, Official Portrait, 111th Congress.png
Nominee Robert Aderholt
Party Republican
Popular vote167,709
Percentage100%

U.S. Representative before election

Robert Aderholt
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Robert Aderholt
Republican

Republican incumbent Robert Aderholt ran unopposed for reelection in both the primary and general elections.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [7] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [8] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Alabama's 4th congressional district election, 2010 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Robert Aderholt (incumbent) 167,709 100.0%
Total votes167,709 100.0%
Republican hold

District 5

2010 Alabama's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Alabama.svg
  2008 November 2, 2010 2012  
  Mo Brooks Portrait (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Mo Brooks Steve Raby
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote130,92795,078
Percentage57.9%42.1%

2010 AL-05 Election.svg
County results
Brooks:     50–60%     60–70%
Raby:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Parker Griffith
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mo Brooks
Republican

This district was an open seat in the general election, as incumbent Parker Griffith (who changed parties from Democratic to Republican on December 22, 2009), was defeated in the Republican primary by lawyer and county commissioner Mo Brooks.

Democratic nominee small business owner and political consultant Steve Raby ran against Brooks in the general election, but Brooks won to hold the seat for the Republicans.

Primary

Alabama Republican Primary, 5th Congressional District, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mo Brooks 35,746 51%
Republican Parker Griffith (incumbent)23,52533%
Republican Les Phillip11,08516%

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredMo
Brooks (R)
Steve
Raby (D)
Public Opinion Strategies [17] August 22–23, 201048%37%
Public Opinion Strategies [17] June 201048%40%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Likely RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Likely RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [7] Likely RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [8] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [9] Likely RNovember 1, 2010

Results

Alabama's 5th congressional district election, 2010 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mo Brooks 130,927 57.9%
Democratic Steve Raby95,07842.1%
Total votes226,005 100.0%
Republican hold

District 6

2010 Alabama's 6th congressional district election
Flag of Alabama.svg
  2008 November 2, 2010 2012  
  Spencer Bachus, Official Portrait, 111th Congress.png
Nominee Spencer Bachus
Party Republican
Popular vote205,288
Percentage100.0%

U.S. Representative before election

Spencer Bachus
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Spencer Bachus
Republican

This district is represented by Republican Spencer Bachus, who ran unopposed for reelection in both the primary and general elections.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [5] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [7] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [8] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Alabama's 6th congressional district election, 2010 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Spencer Bachus (incumbent) 205,288 100.0%
Total votes205,288 100.0%
Republican hold

District 7

2010 Alabama's 7th congressional district election
Flag of Alabama.svg
  2008 November 2, 2010 2012  
  Terri Sewell, Official Portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Terri Sewell Don Chamberlain
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote135,95852,672
Percentage72.1%27.9%

2010 AL-07 Election.svg
County results
Sewell:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Chamberlain:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Artur Davis
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Terri Sewell
Democratic

This was an open seat as, in 2009, Democratic incumbent Artur Davis had announced his retirement to run for governor of Alabama. [18] Following his defeat in the 2010 primary, Davis announced he was through with politics and would return to private life at the conclusion of his current term. [19]

In the Republican primary, Don Chamberlain, a businessman, proceeded to a runoff against Chris Salter, a mortgage banker, after both placed ahead of Michele Waller, a retired microbiology technologist, and Carol Hendrickson, a retired nurse. Chamberlain defeated Salter in the runoff to become the nominee.

In the Democratic primary, attorney Terri Sewell won against Patricia Evans Mokolo, an Air Force veteran and Obama field organizer; State Representative Earl Hilliard Jr., the son of the district's former representative, Earl Hilliard; Jefferson County Commissioner Shelia Smoot; Martha Bozeman, an attorney; and Eddison Walters, a small business owner from Tuscaloosa. [20] The district, which includes Birmingham, is more than 60% African American and is heavily Democratic; John Kerry won 64% here in 2004.

Democratic primary polling

Poll sourceDates administeredShelia
Smoot
Earl
Hilliard Jr.
Terri
Sewell
Martha
Bozeman
Undecided
Anzalone Liszt Research [21] June 13–16, 201033%-53%-14%
Anzalone Liszt Research [22] May 13–16, 201022%20%22%7%-
Smoot internal poll [23] April 201033%28%13%--
Anzalone Liszt Research [22] January 201029%25%9%--

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [5] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [7] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [8] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [9] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [9] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Alabama's 7th congressional district election, 2010 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Terri Sewell 135,958 72.1%
Republican Don Chamberlain52,67227.9%
Total votes188,630 100.0%
Democratic hold

References

  1. Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  2. "Welcome to nginx". www.brewtonstandard.com. Archived from the original on July 23, 2012. Retrieved January 26, 2022.
  3. Archived August 1, 2009, at the Wayback Machine
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived from the original on November 4, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 1, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Crystal Ball, as of November 1,2010
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 RealClearPolitics, as of November 1,2010
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 "House Race Ratings". nytimes.com. The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 7, 2010. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "New York Times Election Results 2010". The New York Times.
  11. News
  12. Tea party favorite falls in Alabama GOP race [ dead link ], Bob Johnson, NBC News , July 14, 2010
  13. 1 2 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
  14. Public Opinion Strategies
  15. Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
  16. Anzalone-Liszt Research
  17. 1 2 Public Opinion Strategies
  18. Charles J. Dean (February 1, 2009). "Alabama U.S. Rep. Artur Davis set to launch run for governor". The Birmingham News. Retrieved February 2, 2009.
  19. "Ala. Rep. Davis through with politics after loss". Washingtonpost.com. Archived from the original on February 5, 2013. Retrieved June 6, 2010.
  20. "Bozeman running for Congress - Breaking News from The Birmingham News - al.com". Blog.al.com. July 7, 2009. Retrieved July 28, 2009.
  21. Anzalone Liszt Research
  22. 1 2 Anzalone Liszt Research
  23. Smoot internal poll

Notes

  1. Representative Parker Griffith of the 5th District switched from the Democratic to Republican party on December 22, 2009.