2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election

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2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election
Flag of Hawaii.svg
←  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  →
  Neil Abercrombie (cropped).jpg Duke Aiona.jpg
Nominee Neil Abercrombie Duke Aiona
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Brian Schatz Lynn Finnegan
Popular vote222,724157,311
Percentage58.22%41.12%
2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Abercrombie:     50–60%     60–70%
Governor before election

Linda Lingle
Republican

Elected Governor

Neil Abercrombie
Democratic

The 2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the next governor and lieutenant governor of Hawaii. Incumbent Republican governor Linda Lingle was term-limited and not eligible to run for re-election. The Democratic Party nominated Neil Abercrombie, and the Republican Party nominated incumbent lieutenant governor Duke Aiona. In the election, Abercrombie won and was sworn in as the state's 7th governor on December 6, 2010. [1] Aiona later unsuccessfully ran for Governor of Hawaii in 2014 and 2022.

Contents

As of 2024, this was the last time the Republican candidate for governor received over 40% of the vote in Hawaii.

This marked the first time since 1966 where both the governor and lieutenant governor of Hawaii were white.

Primary results

Democratic

Results by county: Map legend .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Abercrombie--60-70% Abercrombie--50-60% Hannemann--30-40% 2010HIgovdprimary.svg
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Abercrombie—60–70%
  •   Abercrombie—50–60%
  •   Hannemann—30–40%
Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Neil Abercrombie142,23459.3
Democratic Mufi Hannemann90,53537.7
Democratic Arturo P. Reyes1,3500.6
Democratic Van K. Tanabe1,3290.6
Democratic Miles Shiratori1,0310.4
Total votes236,479 100

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredNeil AbercrombieMufi HannemannUndecided
Honolulu Star-Advertiser [5] August 10–17, 201049%44%8%
Mason Dixon [6] January 8–12, 201037%34%29%
Research 2000 [7] June 15–17, 200942%22%36%

Republican

Results by county: Map legend Aiona-->90% HIRepprimarysweep.svg
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Aiona—>90%
Republican primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Duke Aiona42,47993.0
Republican John S. Carroll2,0754.5
Total votes44,554 100

Non-partisan

Non-partisan primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent Tom Pollard26520.3
Independent Paul Manner18814.4
Independent Tony Clapes957.3
Total votes548 100

Free Energy Party

Lieutenant governor primary

Eleven candidates ran for their political parties' nominations in the lieutenant governor primary election on September 18: seven Democrats, two Republicans, one independent, and one Free Energy Party candidate. [1]

Democratic Party

Results by county: Map legend Schatz--30-40% Hooser--40-50% 2010HIltgovdprimary.svg
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Schatz—30–40%
  •   Hooser—40–50%
Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Brian Schatz83,43134.8
Democratic Robert Bunda45,97319.2
Democratic Norman Sakamoto44,46218.5
Democratic Gary Hooser22,8789.5
Democratic Lyla Berg20,1618.4
Democratic Jon Riki Karamatsu6,7462.8
Democratic Steve Hirakami2,6951.1
Total votes226,346 100

Republican Party

Republican primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Lynn Finnegan27,05259.2
Republican Adrienne King12,30026.9
Total votes39,352 100

Free Energy Party

Independent

General election

Neil Abercrombie and his running mate Brian Schatz on the day of the election Abercrombie and Schatz 2010.jpg
Neil Abercrombie and his running mate Brian Schatz on the day of the election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [11] Lean D (flip)October 14, 2010
Rothenberg [12] Tilt D (flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [13] TossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [14] Lean D (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics [15] Likely D (flip)October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredNeil
Abercrombie (D)		Duke
Aiona (R)
Public Policy Polling [16] October 2–3, 201049%47%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser [17] August 10–17, 201053%41%
Rasmussen Reports [18] June 24, 201058%32%
Rasmussen Reports [19] March 24, 201054%31%
Mason Dixon [6] January 8–12, 201043%34%
Research 2000 [7] June 15–17, 200945%36%

Candidates

Results

Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2010 [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Neil Abercrombie 222,724 58.22% +22.87
Republican Duke Aiona 157,31141.12%−21.41
Free Energy PartyDaniel Cunningham1,2650.33%N/A
Independent politicianTom Pollard1,2630.33%N/A
Turnout 382,563
Democratic gain from Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Sample, Herbert A. (September 15, 2010). "11 vying for Hawaii's second highest post". Honolulu Star-Advertiser . Associated Press. Archived from the original on May 24, 2015. Retrieved September 17, 2010.
  2. ↑ DePledge, Derrick (March 9, 2009). "Abercrombie kicks off run for governor". The Honolulu Advertiser . Archived from the original on March 13, 2009.
  3. ↑ DePledge, Derrick (July 21, 2010). "Off and running; Gubernatorial hopefuls punch, counterpunch as the state's election filing deadline passes". Honolulu Star-Advertiser . Retrieved February 9, 2013.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 "PRIMARY ELECTION 2010 - State of Hawaii - Statewide" (PDF). Honolulu, HI, USA: Office of Elections, State of Hawaii. September 29, 2010. p. 1. Archived (PDF) from the original on November 15, 2012. Retrieved February 9, 2013.
  5. ↑ Honolulu Star-Advertiser
  6. 1 2 Mason Dixon
  7. 1 2 Research 2000
  8. ↑ Aiona leads money race for 2010 governor's seat
  9. ↑ "Physician Profile on Dr. Thomas Pollard". HealthGrades web site. Retrieved December 3, 2010.
  10. ↑ "About Adrienne". Adrienne King Lieutenant Governor web site. Archived from the original on July 7, 2011. Retrieved December 9, 2010.
  11. ↑ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  12. ↑ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  13. ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  14. ↑ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  15. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  16. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  17. ↑ Honolulu Star-Advertiser
  18. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  19. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  20. ↑ "General Election—State of Hawaii—Statewide Final Summary Report" (PDF). Hawaii office of Elections. November 16, 2010. Retrieved December 10, 2010.

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