2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii

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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii
Flag of Hawaii.svg
←  2008 November 2, 2010 2012  →
All 2 Hawaii seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election20
Seats before11
Seats won20
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 1Decrease2.svg 1
Popular vote226,430129,127
Percentage62.88%35.86%
SwingDecrease2.svg 13.70Increase2.svg 16.11
2010 United States House of Representatives Election in Hawaii results map by county.svg
County results
Democratic:     50–60%     70–80%

The 2010 congressional elections in Hawaii was held on November 2, 2010, to determine who was to represent the state of Hawaii in the United States House of Representatives for the 112th Congress from January 2011, until their terms of office expire in January 2013.

Contents

Hawaii has two seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms. The election coincided with the 2010 gubernatorial election.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii, 2010 [1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Democratic 226,43062.88%2+1
Republican 129,12735.86%0-1
Libertarian 3,2540.90%0—
Independents1,3100.36%0—
Totals360,121100.00%2—

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii by district: [2]

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 94,14053.23%82,72346.77%00.00%176,863100.0%Democratic gain
District 2 132,29072.19%46,40425.32%4,5642.49%183,258100.0%Democratic hold
Total226,43062.87%129,12735.86%4,5641.27%360,121100.0%

District 1

United States House of Representatives District 1
Flag of Hawaii.svg
←  May 2010 November 2, 2010 2012  →
  Hanabusa 160x240.jpg Charles Djou.jpg
Nominee Colleen Hanabusa Charles Djou
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote94,14082,723
Percentage53.23%46.77%
U.S. Representative before election

Charles Djou
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Colleen Hanabusa
Democratic

Hawai`i's 1st congressional district HI district 1-108th.gif
Hawaiʻi's 1st congressional district

Campaign

Republican Congressman Charles Djou was first elected in a special election in May 2010, which Republicans heralded as a "significant win" and to which DNC chairman Tim Kaine responded, "Democrats got 60% of the vote in that race. In the November election, it will be one Democrat against one Republican, and we feel very, very confident about winning that race." [3] In the general election, Hawaii State Senate President Colleen Hanabusa, also a candidate in the special election, emerged as the Democratic nominee. Though former congressman Ed Case, the other Democratic candidate in the special election, was speculated to run again in November, he ultimately decided against it. [4] In the general election, both parties heavily invested in taking the seat, and polls indicated that the race was close up until election day. [5] On election day, however, Hanabusa edged out Djou by a surprising large six point margin of victory and was sent to Congress for her first term.

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Charles
Djou (R)		Colleen
Hanabusa (D)		OtherUndecided
Aloha Vote/Merriman River Group [6] October 23, 2010620±3.9%45.3%49.5%––
Honolulu Star-Advertiser/Ward Research Inc. [7] October 12–19, 2010399±4.9%48%45%1%6%
OnMessage Inc. [8] October 17–18, 2010----51%45%––
ccAdvertising [9] mid-October, 20102,747±3%44%35%----
The Hill/ANGA [10] October 2–7, 2010406±4.9%45%41%--12%
Global Strategy Group [11] †October 4–6, 2010400--44%48%----
Public Policy Polling [12] October 2–3, 2010643±3.9%47%48%--5%
Tarrance Group [13] †July 26–27, 2010400±4.9%50%42%----

†Internal poll (Tarrance Group for Djou and Global Strategy Group for Hanabusa)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [14] TossupNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [15] TossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] Lean RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [17] TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [18] TossupOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [19] TossupNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [19] Lean D (flip)November 1, 2010

Results

Hawaii's 1st congressional district election, 2010 [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Colleen Hanabusa 94,140 53.23
Republican Charles Djou (incumbent)82,72346.77
Total votes176,863 100.00
Democratic gain from Republican

District 2

United States House of Representatives District 2
Flag of Hawaii.svg
←  2008 November 4, 2010 2012  →
  Mazie Hirono, official portrait, 112th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Mazie Hirono John Willoughby
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote132,29046,404
Percentage74.03%25.96%
U.S. Representative before election

Mazie Hirono
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mazie Hirono
Democratic

Hawai`i's 2nd congressional district HI district 2-108th.gif
Hawaiʻi's 2nd congressional district

Campaign

This liberal district that encompasses all of Hawaii but Honolulu, has been represented by Democratic congresswoman Mazie Hirono since she was first elected in 2006. This year, Congresswoman Hirono faced Republican challenger and Tea Party activist John Willoughby in the general election. Though Willoughby attacked Hirono for refusing to debate, polls indicated that the Congresswoman was a shoo-in for re-election. [5]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [14] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [15] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [17] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [18] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [19] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [19] Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

Hawaii's 2nd congressional district election, 2010 [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mazie Hirono (incumbent) 132,290 72.19
Republican John W. Willoughby46,40425.32
Libertarian Pat Brock3,2541.78
Independent Andrew Von Sonn1,3100.71
Total votes183,258 100.00
Democratic hold

References

  1. 1 2 3 Haas, Karen L. (2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010" (PDF).
  2. ↑ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  3. ↑ Woo, Stu (May 24, 2010). "Republican Wins Hawaii Seat". The Wall Street Journal . ISSN   0099-9660 . Retrieved February 25, 2019.
  4. ↑ Miller, Sean (May 30, 2010). "Ed Case ends his campaign for Hawaii House seat". The Hill . Retrieved February 25, 2019.
  5. 1 2 Sugimoto, Minna (October 25, 2010). "New poll shows Djou, Hanabusa neck & neck in Congressional race". Hawaii News Now.
  6. ↑ Aloha Vote/Merriman River Group
  7. ↑ Honolulu Star-Advertiser/Ward Research Inc.
  8. ↑ OnMessage Inc.
  9. ↑ ccAdvertising
  10. ↑ The Hill/ANGA
  11. ↑ Global Strategy Group
  12. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  13. ↑ Tarrance Group
  14. 1 2 "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived from the original on November 4, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  15. 1 2 Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 1, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  16. 1 2 Crystal Ball, as of November 1,2010
  17. 1 2 RealClearPolitics, as of November 1,2010
  18. 1 2 "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  19. 1 2 3 4 "House Race Ratings". nytimes.com. The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 7, 2010. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
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