2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

Last updated

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2008 November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02) 2012  

All 5 Oklahoma seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority partyThird party
 
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Last election410
Seats won410
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote519,562221,96651,451
Percentage65.5%28.0%6.48%
SwingIncrease2.svg 5.47%Decrease2.svg 9.67%Increase2.svg 4.18%

2008-10 U.S. House elections in Oklahoma.svg
Oklahoma 2010 House By County.svg

The 2010 congressional elections in Oklahoma were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Oklahoma in the United States House of Representatives. Oklahoma has five seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. This election was the final one held in which congressional districts apportioned according to the 2000 U.S. census data. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected serve in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.

Contents

Overview

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma [1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats beforeSeats after+/–
Republican 519,56265.5%440
Democratic 221,96628.0%110
Independent 51,4516.48%000
Totals792,979100.00%55

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma by district: [2]

District Republican Democratic OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 151,17376.80%00.00%45,65623.20%196,829100.00%Republican hold
District 2 83,22643.48%108,20356.52%00.00%191,429100.00%Democratic hold
District 3 161,92777.99%45,68922.01%00.00%207,616100.00%Republican hold
District 4 Republican hold
District 5 123,23662.52%68,07434.54%5,7952.94%197,105100.00%Republican hold
Total519,56265.52%221,96627.99%51,4516.49%792,979100.00%

District 1

2010 Oklahoma's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2008
2012  
  John Sullivan, official portrait, 112th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee John Sullivan Angelia O'Dell
Party Republican Independent
Popular vote151,17345,656
Percentage76.8%23.2%

2010 United States House of Representatives election in OK-01.svg
Precinct- and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

John Sullivan
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

John Sullivan
Republican

This district is represented by Republican John Sullivan. Republican candidates Craig Allen, Nathan Dahm, Fran Moghaddam, Kenneth Rice, Patrick K. Haworth and Independent Angelia O'Dell all have filed to run against Sullivan. [3] Sullivan entered the Betty Ford Center in California to receive treatment for his addiction to alcohol on May 28, 2009. [4]

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • None announced

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Sullivan 38,670 62.07%
Republican Kenneth Rice10,39416.68%
Republican Nathan Dahm 8,87114.24%
Republican Partrick K. Haworth1,7362.79%
Republican Craig Allen1,4202.28%
Republican Fran Moghaddam1,2131.95%
Total votes77,894 100%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [10] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
2010 Oklahoma's 1st congressional district House election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Sullivan (incumbent) 151,173 76.80%
Independent Angelia O'Dell45,65623.20%
Total votes196,829 100%
Republican hold

[12]

District 2

2010 Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2008
2012  
  Dan Boren, official Congressional photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Dan Boren Charles Thompson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote108,20383,226
Percentage56.5%43.5%

2010 United States House of Representatives election in OK-02.svg
Precinct- and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

Dan Boren
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Dan Boren
Democratic

This district is represented by Democrat Dan Boren. Democrat Jim Wilson and Republicans Daniel Edmonds, Charles Thompson, Chester Clem Falling, Daniel Arnett, Howard Houchen, and Raymond Wickson all filed to run against Boren. [3]

Polling

Despite the poor approval ratings of Obama, of whom 27% in this district approve, and the high unpopularity of the Democratic healthcare bills, which were supported by 17% of second district residents, conservative Democrat Boren remains popular. [13]

Boren vs. Edmonds

Poll sourceDates administeredDan Boren (D)Daniel Edmonds (R)
Public Policy Polling (Link)March 3, 201044%28%

Boren vs. Thompson

Poll sourceDates administeredDan Boren (D)Charles Thompson (R)
Public Policy Polling (Link)March 3, 201045%25%

Boren vs. Houchen

Poll sourceDates administeredDan Boren (D)Howard Houchen (R)
Public Policy Polling (Link)March 3, 201048%26%

Boren vs. Arnett

Poll sourceDates administeredDan Boren (D)Dan Arnett (R)
Public Policy Polling (Link)March 3, 201049%22%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dan Boren (incumbent) 66,219 75.5%
Democratic Jim Wilson21,54324.5%
Total votes87,762 100%

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Daniel Arnett, Henryetta
  • Daniel Edmonds, of Morris
  • Chester Clem Falling
  • Howard Houchen, of Hugo
  • Charles Thompson, of Hulbert
  • Raymond Wickson

Results

There was a runoff election between Daniel Edmonds and Charles Thompson on August 24. Charles Thompson was chosen to run against Dan Boren in November.

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Charles Thompson 8,124 33.7%
Republican Daniel Edmonds 6,825 28.3%
Republican Daniel Arnett3,83815.8%
Republican Howard Houchen2,75911.4%
Republican Chester Falling1,4986.2%
Republican Raymond Wickson1,0954.5%
Total votes24,139 100%
Republican primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Charles Thompson 7,489 67.3%
Republican Daniel Edmonds3,64432.7%
Total votes11,142 100%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [9] Likely DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [10] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [11] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [11] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
2010 Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district House election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dan Boren (incumbent) 108,203 56.52%
Republican Charles Thompson83,22643.48%
Total votes191,429 100%
Democratic hold

[12]

District 3

2010 Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2008
2012  
  Frank Lucas (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Frank Lucas Frankie Robbins
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote161,92745,689
Percentage78.0%22.0%

2010 United States House of Representatives election in OK-03.svg
Precinct- and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

Frank Lucas
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Frank Lucas
Republican

This district is represented by Republican Frank Lucas. Democrat, Frankie Robbins, has filed to run for this office against Lucas. [3] There will be no primary election for district 3 [14]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [10] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
2010 Oklahoma's 3rd congressional districts House election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Frank Lucas (incumbent) 161,927 77.99%
Democratic Frankie Robbins45,68922.01%
Total votes207,616 100%
Republican hold

District 4

This district is represented by Republican Tom Cole. Republican R. J. Harris, ran for this seat against Cole., [3] no Democrats contested this district.

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tom Cole (incumbent) 32,584 77.3%
Republican R. J. Harris9,59222.7%
Total votes42,176 100

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [10] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
2010 Oklahoma's 4th congressional district House election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tom Cole (incumbent) 100%
Total votes100%
Republican hold

District 5

2010 Oklahoma's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2008
2012  
  James Lankford, Official Portrait, 112th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee James Lankford Billy Coyle
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote123,23668,074
Percentage62.5%34.5%

2010 United States House of Representatives election in OK-05.svg
Precinct- and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

Mary Fallin
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

James Lankford
Republican

This district was represented by Republican Mary Fallin, but the seat was opened as she has announced her candidacy for Governor of Oklahoma. The seat attracted the attention of several Republican candidates, including State Representative Mike Thompson, [15] former State Representative Kevin Calvey, whom Fallin defeated in the 2006 Republican primary for this seat, physician Johnny Roy, who also ran in 2006, [16] Harry Johnson, Rick Flanigan, Shane Jett and Baptist General Convention of Oklahoma [17] employee James Lankford, [18] as well as Democrats Tom Guild and Billy Coyle. Ultimately Republican James Lankford and Democrat Billy Coyle won their respective parties' nominations and faced off in the general election in November.

This district includes most of Oklahoma City as well as Pottawatomie and Seminole counties.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Billy Coyle 21,139 56.8%
Democratic Tom Guild16,05943.2%
Total votes37,198 100%

Republican primary

Candidates

Polling

First-choice polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Kevin
Calvey
Rick
Flanigan
James
Lankford
Johnny
Roy
Mike
Thompson
Harry
Johnson
Shane
Jett
Undecided
Soonerpoll [19] July 7–9, 2010306 (LV)5.6%28%<1%20%2%14%1%6%29%
Soonerpoll [20] February 25-March 8, 2010302 (LV)5.64%20%1%7%1%9%63%

Second-choice polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Kevin
Calvey
Rick
Flanigan
James
Lankford
Johnny
Roy
Mike
Thompson
Harry
Johnson
Shane
Jett
Undecided
Soonerpoll [19] July 7–9, 2010306 (LV)5.6%20%0%14%5%11%<1%12%38%

Results

There was a runoff election held on August 24 between James Lankford and Kevin Calvey. Lankford was chosen to run against Billy Coyle in November.

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican James Lankford 18,755 33.6%
Republican Kevin Calvey 18,143 32.5%
Republican Mike Thompson 10,00717.9%
Republican Shane Jett 5,95510.7%
Republican Johnny Roy1,5482.8%
Republican Rick Flanigan7621.4%
Republican Harry Johnson6861.2%
Total votes55,856 100%
Republican primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican James Lankford 29,814 65.2%
Republican Kevin Calvey 15,89932.7%
Total votes45,713 100%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [9] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [10] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [11] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
2010 Oklahoma' 5th congressional district House election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican James Lankford 123,236 62.53%
Democratic Billy Coyle68,07434.53%
Independent Clark Duffe3,0671.56%
Independent Dave White2,7281.38%
Total votes197,105 100%
Republican hold

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives
  2. Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  3. 1 2 3 4 Oklahoma State Election Board. "Candidates for Federal, State, Legislative and Judicial Offices" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on September 14, 2010. Retrieved June 19, 2010.
  4. "U.S. Rep. John Sullivan checks in to Betty Ford clinic". Tulsa World News. May 29, 2009.
  5. Oklahoma State Election Board (July 27, 2010). "Unofficial Results Primary Election". Archived from the original on July 20, 2012. Retrieved July 28, 2010.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived from the original on November 4, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 1, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 Crystal Ball, as of November 1,2010
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 RealClearPolitics, as of November 1,2010
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "House Race Ratings". nytimes.com. The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 7, 2010. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
  12. 1 2 "Election Results" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 16, 2010. Retrieved November 16, 2010.
  13. "OK-2: Boren looks safe (16-27 points)". Uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  14. Archived 2010-12-04 at the Wayback Machine , 2010 Election: Race for Congress
  15. "Congressional candidate names campaign co-chairmen". Blog.newsok.com. July 6, 2009. Retrieved July 28, 2009.[ permanent dead link ]
  16. "The Scorecard: 2008 Congressional campaign news and analysis". Politico.Com. Retrieved July 28, 2009.
  17. "Baptist General Convention of Oklahoma" . Retrieved September 1, 2009.
  18. "James Lankford Candidacy Facebook Page". Facebook . Retrieved September 1, 2009.
  19. 1 2 Soonerpoll
  20. Soonerpoll