2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia

Last updated

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2008
November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)
2012  

All 11 Virginia seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election5 seats, 45.51%6 seats, 53.01%
Seats before56
Seats won83
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 3Decrease2.svg 3
Popular vote1,183,842898,832
Percentage54.16%41.61%
SwingIncrease2.svg 8.65%Decrease2.svg 11.40%

2010 U.S. House elections in Virginia.svg
2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia by county and independent city.svg

The 2010 congressional elections in Virginia were held November 2, 2010, to determine who will represent the state of Virginia in the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 112th Congress from January 2011 until January 2013.

Contents

Primary elections were held on June 9, 2010. After a poor showing in 2008, the Republican Party made significant gains and defeated three Democratic incumbents. Republicans would go onto hold a majority of House districts in Virginia until 2018.

Overview

Statewide

PartyCandidatesVotesSeats
No.%No.+/–%
Republican 111,186,09854.168Increase2.svg 371.43
Democratic 10911,11641.613Decrease2.svg 328.57
Independents 642,0021.920Steady2.svg0.0
Libertarian 423,6811.080Steady2.svg0.0
Independent Greens 421,3740.980Steady2.svg0.0
Write-in 115,5700.250Steady2.svg0.0
Total462,189,841100.011Steady2.svg100.0
Popular vote
Republican
54.16%
Democratic
41.61%
Libertarian
1.08%
Independent Greens
0.98%
Other
2.17%
House seats
Republican
72.73%
Democratic
27.27%

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia by district: [1]

District Republican Democratic OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 135,56463.88%73,82434.78%2,8481.34%212,236100.0%Republican hold
District 2 88,34053.12%70,59142.45%7,3584.43%166,289100.0%Republican gain
District 3 44,55327.18%114,75470.02%4,5932.80%163,900100.0%Democratic hold
District 4 123,65962.33%74,29837.45%4320.22%198,389100.0%Republican hold
District 5 119,56050.81%110,56246.99%5,1772.20%235,299100.0%Republican gain
District 6 127,48776.27%00.00%39,66723.73%167,154100.0%Republican hold
District 7 138,20959.22%79,61634.11%15,5776.67%233,402100.0%Republican hold
District 8 71,14537.30%116,40461.02%3,1991.68%190,748100.0%Democratic hold
District 9 95,72651.21%86,74346.41%4,4482.38%186,917100.0%Republican gain
District 10 131,11662.87%72,60434.81%4,8362.32%208,556100.0%Republican hold
District 11 110,73948.79%111,72049.23%4,4921.98%226,951100.0%Democratic hold
Total1,186,09854.16%911,11641.61%92,6274.23%2,189,841100.0%

District 1

2010 Virginia's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2008
2012  
  Rob Wittman, Official Portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg Krystal Ball (D), candidate for US House in VA-01 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Rob Wittman Krystal Ball
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote135,56473,824
Percentage63.9%34.8%

2010 general election in Virginia's 1st congressional district by county.svg
County and independent city results
Wittman:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Ball:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Rob Wittman
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Rob Wittman
Republican

Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re–elected with 56.6% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+7. [2]

Republican primary

Campaign

In the Republican primary, Wittman was challenged by self-described Tea Party movement member Catherine Crabill. Crabill's candidacy had been controversial due to her statements that the Second Amendment to the U.S. Constitution was intended to help citizens protect themselves from tyranny.[ clarification needed ] [3] and that citizens may have to turn from the ballot box to the bullet box. [4]

In 2009, Wittman and Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell had refused to endorse her for the Virginia House of Delegates. [5] McDonnell spokesman Tucker Martin stated, "It's absolutely wrong for any candidate of any party to refer to the actions of the President of the United States and members of the United States Congress as 'domestic terrorism,' and to threaten to resort to violence if one fails to prevail in elections." [6] Crabill refused to retract her remarks, saying "Those are my convictions." [7] Wittman voted against the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 during the financial crisis, against economic stimulus packages, and against the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010, [8] so had been deemed by some commentators to be difficult to get to the right of, but there was also deemed to be good reason for Wittman to worry about the primary's outcome, given the anti-government mood of the country. [7]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Wittman easily defeated Crabill. [9]

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rob Wittman (incumbent) 28,956 88.0
Republican Catherine Crabill3,96312.0
Total votes32,919 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Independent Greens primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 1st congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rob Wittman (incumbent) 135,564 63.9
Democratic Krystal Ball 73,82434.8
Independent Greens Gail Parker 2,5441.2
Write-in 3040.1
Majority61,74029.1
Total votes212,236 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2010 Virginia's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2008
2012  
  Scott Rigell, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg Glenn Nye, official portrait, 111th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee Scott Rigell Glenn Nye
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote88,34070,591
Percentage53.1%42.5%

2010 general election in Virginia's 2nd congressional district by county.svg
County and independent city results
Rigell:     40–50%     50–60%
Nye:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Glenn Nye
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Scott Rigell
Republican

Incumbent Democratic Glenn Nye, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52.4% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+5. [2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Ahead of the primary Bert Mizusawa had raised more money than any candidate in the last two periods, and was considered a frontrunner. Businessman Rigell was the other frontrunner, receiving major endorsements from Thelma Drake and Bob McDonnell's daughter.

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Ben Loyola, businessman and naval reserve captain
  • Ed Maulbeck, businessman and former Navy SEAL
  • Bert Mizusawa, Army Brigadier General
  • Jessica Sandlin, single mother of 5
  • Scott Taylor, local business owner and former Navy SEAL [20]
Withdrawn
  • Kenny Golden, retired Navy Commodore and former chair of the Virginia Beach Republican Party (running as a Independent) [21]
  • Chuck Smith, attorney and former Marine (endorsed Rigell, later ran in the 3rd district) [22]
Declined

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Scott Rigell 14,396 39.5
Republican Ben Loyola9,76226.8
Republican Bert Mizusawa6,34217.4
Republican Scott Taylor2,9508.1
Republican Jessica Sandlin1,6204.4
Republican Ed Maulbeck1,3723.8
Total votes36,442 100.0

Other Candidates

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
RCP [16] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] TossupOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Likely R (flip)November 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 2nd congressional district election, 2010 [24] [25]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Scott Rigell 88,340 53.1
Democratic Glenn Nye (incumbent)70,59142.5
Independent Kenny Golden7,1944.3
Write-in 1640.1
Majority17,74910.7
Total votes166,289 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 3

2010 Virginia's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2008
2012  
  Bobby Scott, official portrait, 111th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Bobby Scott Chuck Smith
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote114,75444,553
Percentage70.0%27.2%

U.S. Representative before election

Bobby Scott
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Bobby Scott
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Bobby Scott was challenged by Republican nominee former JAG Chuck Smith (campaign site, PVS) of Virginia Beach, Libertarian James Quigley (campaign site, PVS) of Hampton, and Independent John Kelly (campaign site, PVS). [25] [26]

Scott has run unopposed in five of the last six elections in what is considered a "safe" Democratic district. The district's current configuration dates to 1993, when the Justice Department ordered Virginia to create a majority-minority district.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 3rd congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Robert C. Scott (incumbent) 114,754 70.0
Republican Chuck Smith44,55327.2
Libertarian James Quigley2,3831.5
Independent John D. Kelly2,0391.2
Write-in 1710.1
Majority70,20142.8
Total votes163,900 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2010 Virginia's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2008
2012  
  Randy Forbes, official portrait, 109th Congress, standing (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Randy Forbes Wynne LeGrow
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote123,65974,298
Percentage62.3%37.5%

2010 general election in Virginia's 4th congressional district by county.svg
County and independent city results
Forbes:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
LeGrow:     50–60%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Randy Forbes
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Randy Forbes
Republican

Republican incumbent Randy Forbes was challenged by Democratic nominee Wynne LeGrow of Emporia. Forbes retained his seat by beating his Democratic challenger by earning 62% of votes cast. [27]

Forbes was first elected to the House in 2001 to fill a vacancy caused by the death of ten-term Democratic Congressman Norman Sisisky. Forbes defeated Democratic State Senator Louise Lucas 52-48% that year. He ran unopposed by Democrats in 2002 and 2006.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 4th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Randy Forbes (incumbent) 123,659 62.3
Democratic Wynne LeGrow 74,29837.5
Write-in 4320.2
Majority49,36124.9
Total votes198,389 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2010 Virginia's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2008
2012  
  Robert Hurt, Official Portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg Tom Perriello, official portrait, 111th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee Robert Hurt Tom Perriello
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote119,560110,562
Percentage50.8%47.0%

2010 general election in Virginia's 5th congressional district by county.svg
County and independent city results
Hurt:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Perriello:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Tom Perriello
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Robert Hurt
Republican

Incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello was challenged by Republican Robert Hurt, state Senator from Chatham, [28] and independent Jeffrey A. Clark (campaign site, PVS), a businessman from Danville. [29]

In 2008, Perriello defeated Republican incumbent Virgil Goode. Goode did not seek a rematch in 2010, although he said several Conservative groups asked him to run on a pro-Tea Party ticket, due to their dissatisfaction with the Republicans. [30]

Republican primary

Hurt won the primary election over six other candidates: Republican activist Feda Kidd Morton, private real estate investor Laurence Verga, Albemarle County Supervisor Ken Boyd, businessman Ron Ferrin, Jim McKelvey from Franklin County, and Michael McPadden. [31] Perriello faced no opposition in the Democratic primary.

Declined

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Robert Hurt 17,120 48.4
Republican Jim McKelvey9,15325.9
Republican Michael McPadden3,4609.8
Republican Ken Boyd2,6087.4
Republican Feda Kidd Morton1,6264.6
Republican Laurence Verga8022.3
Republican Ron Ferrin5831.6
Total votes35,352 100.0

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin of
error
Tom
Perriello (D)
Robert
Hurt (R)
Jeffrey
Clark (I)
Undecided
Survey USA [34] [35] September 28, 2010()±35%58%4%3%
Benenson Strategy Group [36] September 21, 2010()±44%46%4%5%
Global Strategy Group [37] September 7, 2010()±42%44%6%7%
Survey USA [38] September 2, 2010()±35%61%2%2%
American Action Forum [39] August 12, 2010()±43%49%8%
Survey USA [40] July 20, 2010()±35%58%4%3%
Public Policy Polling [41] [42] February 5–10, 2010924 (V)±3.2%44%44%13%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Tilt R (flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
RCP [16] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] TossupOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Likely R (flip)November 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 5th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Robert Hurt 119,560 50.8
Democratic Tom Perriello (incumbent)110,56247.0
Independent Jeffrey Clark4,9922.1
Write-in 1850.1
Majority8,9983.8
Total votes235,299 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 6

2010 Virginia's 6th congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2008
2012  
  Bob Goodlatte, official portrait, 109th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg 3x4.svg
Nominee Bob Goodlatte Jeff VankeStuart Bain
Party Republican Independent Libertarian
Popular vote127,48721,64915,309
Percentage76.3%13.0%9.2%

2010 general election in Virginia's 6th congressional district by county.svg
County and independent city results
Goodlatte:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Bob Goodlatte
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bob Goodlatte
Republican

Incumbent Republican Bob Goodlatte faced no primary opposition, and was re-elected to a 10th term in the general election on November 2, capturing 76% of the vote. [43] [44]

Jeff Vanke of Roanoke ran as an Independent, [45] citing endorsements by the Modern Whig Party, American Centrist Party and Independent Green Party of Virginia, [46] and received 13% of the vote. [43] [44]

Stuart Bain of Salem ran as a Libertarian [47] [48] and received 9% of the vote. [43] [44]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 6th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bob Goodlatte (incumbent) 127,487 76.27
Independent Jeff Vanke21,64912.95
Libertarian Stuart Bain15,3099.16
Write-in 2,7091.62
Majority
Total votes167,154 100
Republican hold

District 7

2010 Virginia's 7th congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2008
2012  
  Eric Cantor, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg Rick Waugh (cropped).jpg
Nominee Eric Cantor Rick Waugh
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote138,20979,616
Percentage59.2%34.1%

2010 general election in Virginia's 7th congressional district by county.svg
County and independent city results
Cantor:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Waugh:     40–50%     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Eric Cantor
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Eric Cantor
Republican

Incumbent Republican Congressman and U.S. House Minority Whip Eric Cantor sought a sixth term and faced no primary opposition. Rick Waugh (campaign site, PVS) was the Democratic nominee, and Floyd C. Bayne (campaign site, PVS) was the Independent Greens of Virginia and Tea Party supported candidate. Tea Party-supported independent candidate Herb Lux (campaign site) had his emergency appeal to the United States Supreme Court turned aside on October 1, 2010, and so did not appear on the ballot. [49]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 7th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Eric Cantor (incumbent) 138,209 59.22
Democratic Rick Waugh79,61634.11
Independent Greens Floyd Bayne15,1646.50
Write-in 4130.18
Majority
Total votes233,402 100
Republican hold

District 8

2010 Virginia's 8th congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2008
2012  
  James Moran Official Congressional Portrait (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jim Moran Jay Patrick Murray
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote116,40471,145
Percentage61.0%37.3%

2010 general election in Virginia's 8th congressional district by county.svg
County and independent city results
Moran:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Jim Moran
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jim Moran
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Jim Moran was challenged by Republican nominee Jay Patrick Murray, a retired United States Army Colonel, [50] [51] and Independent Green Party nominee Ron Fisher (campaign site, PVS), a retired U.S. Navy captain.

Democratic primary

Moran ran for re-election for an 11th term, and faced no primary opposition.

Republican primary

Former Republican primary candidates were:

Results

Republican primary results [51]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jay Patrick Murray 7,136 51.7
Republican Matthew Berry6,65448.3
Total votes13,790 100.0

General election

Polling

SourceDates AdministeredJim Moran (D)Patrick Murray (R)Undecided/Other
Pollster unavailable, results via The Washington Post [56] October 201058%31%11%
McLaughlin & Associates [57] September 201045%32%23%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 8th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jim Moran (incumbent) 116,404 61.03
Republican Jay Patrick Murray 71,14537.30
Independent Greens J. Ron Fisher2,7071.42
Write-in 4920.26
Majority
Total votes190,748 100.0
Democratic hold

District 9

2010 Virginia's 9th congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2008
2012  
  Morgan Griffith, Official Portrait, 112th Congress B (3x4).jpg Rick Boucher, official portrait, 109th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee Morgan Griffith Rick Boucher
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote95,72686,743
Percentage51.2%46.4%

2010 general election in Virginia's 9th congressional district by county and independent city.svg
County and independent city results
Griffith:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Boucher:     40–50%     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Rick Boucher
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Morgan Griffith
Republican

Democratic incumbent Rick Boucher was challenged by Republican nominee Morgan Griffith, the Majority Leader of the Virginia House of Delegates, and Independent Jeremiah Heaton (campaign site, PVS), a U.S. Army veteran, farmer and businessman. [58] The 9th District covers much of Southwest Virginia.

Democratic primary

Boucher, who had represented the district since 1983, was unopposed on the Democratic side.

Republican primary

On the Republican side, Griffith was selected by a convention held on May 22, 2010, at Fort Chiswell High School in Max Meadows. Delegates to the convention were selected by 23 local committee mass meetings held between February 25 and April 29. [59] [60] Other Republican candidates for the nomination were:

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] TossupNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Tilt DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Lean DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Lean DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Lean DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Lean DNovember 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 9th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Morgan Griffith 95,726 51.21
Democratic Rick Boucher (incumbent)86,74346.41
Independent Jeremiah Heaton4,2822.29
Write-in 1660.09
Majority
Total votes186,917 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 10

2010 Virginia's 10th congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2008
2012  
  Frank Wolf, official portrait, 111th Congress (cropped).jpg Jeff Barnett (cropped).jpg
Nominee Frank Wolf Jeff Barnett
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote119,56072,604
Percentage62.9%34.8%

2010 general election in Virginia's 10th congressional district by county.svg
County and independent city results
Wolf:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Frank Wolf
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Frank Wolf
Republican

Republican incumbent Frank Wolf was running for re-election for a 16th term. He was challenged by Democrat Jeff Barnett (campaign site, PVS) and Libertarian William Redpath. The district, located in northern Virginia, includes some Washington, D.C. suburbs, but extends far west and north along the border of Maryland and West Virginia. In most Presidential elections of the past few decades, the district has been won by Republican candidates. The most recent exception is the 2008 election when Democratic then-Senator Barack Obama won the district, and became the first Democrat since Johnson to win Virginia's electoral votes.

Republican primary

Wolf was unopposed on the Republican side.

Democratic primary

Barnett won the Democratic primary election against Richard Anthony [66] and Julien Modica. [67]

Former candidates were:

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 10th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Frank Wolf (incumbent) 131,116 62.87
Democratic Jeff Barnett 72,60434.81
Libertarian Bill Redpath4,6072.21
Write-in 2290.11
Majority
Total votes208,556 100
Republican hold

District 11

2010 Virginia's 11th congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2008
2012  
  Gerry Connolly, official portrait, 111th Congress (cropped).jpg Keith Fimian (cropped).jpg
Nominee Gerry Connolly Keith Fimian
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote111,720110,739
Percentage49.2%48.8%

2010 general election in Virginia's 11th congressional district by county.svg
County and independent city results
Connolly:     50–60%
Fimian:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Gerry Connolly
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Gerry Connolly
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Gerry Connolly faced Republican Keith Fimian, who lost to Connolly in 2008. Also on the ballot were Libertarian David L. Dotson (campaign site, PVS), [70] Independent Green David William Gillis Jr. (campaign site, PVS), and Independent Christopher F. DeCarlo (campaign site, PVS). [25]

Democratic primary

Connolly was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Republican primary

Fimian won against Pat Herrity in the Republican primary election, [71] [72] beating him 56%-44%, with 35,890 votes cast. [73]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Keith Fimian 20,075 55.9
Republican Pat Herrity15,81544.1
Total votes35,890 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] TossupNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Lean DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Lean DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Lean DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] TossupNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Lean DNovember 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 11th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Gerry Connolly (incumbent) 111,720 49.23
Republican Keith Fimian 110,73948.79
Independent Christopher DeCarlo1,8460.81
Libertarian David Dotson1,3820.61
Independent Greens David Gillis, Jr.9590.42
Write-in 1710.08
Majority
Total votes226,951 100.0
Democratic hold

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

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