2026 United States Senate election in Virginia

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2026 United States Senate election in Virginia
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November 3, 2026
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Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. senator

Mark Warner
Democratic



The 2026 United States Senate election in Virginia will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Virginia. The election will be held concurrently with the 2026 United States elections to the House of Representatives, the United States Senate, and other various state and local elections. Primary elections will be held on June 16, 2026. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Mark Warner is running for re-election to a fourth term.

Contents

Background

Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Mark Warner, first elected in 2008, will run for re-election. In the 2020 U.S. Senate election, Warner won by 12.08% which outran Joe Biden's 10.11% margin in the concurrent presidential election in the state. [1] Virginia is considered to be a moderately blue state at both the federal and statewide level, consistently voting Democrat for president from the 2008 presidential election to the 2024 presidential election. In the 2024 presidential election, Democratic nominee Kamala Harris won the state by 5.78% which was a decrease from Biden's 10.11% win in 2020.

Both political parties have seen success in the state. In the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election, Republicans somewhat unexpectedly won the governorship when Glenn Youngkin won the election while they flipped the House of Delegates. [2] In the 2023 Virginia elections, Democrats regained control of the House of Delegates and maintained control in the Virginia Senate. [3]

In the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election, former Democratic U.S. representative Abigail Spanberger defeated Republican Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears by 15.36% points. [4] Spanberger won suburban and independent voters by large margins when they backed Youngkin in 2021 and won Latino and minority voters who trended Republican in 2024. [5]

According to most predictions, Mark Warner is expected to solidly win re-election. [6]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Gregory Eichelberger [10]

Potential

  • Mark Moran, former investment banker and reality TV star [11]

Endorsements

Mark Warner
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Mark Warner (D)$16,508,412$5,070,823$11,826,000
Source: Federal Election Commission [18]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Filed paperwork

Declined

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Kim Farington (R)$71,828$63,502$8,326
Source: Federal Election Commission [18]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [24] Solid DAugust 12, 2025
The Cook Political Report [25] Solid DOctober 14, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [26] Safe DAugust 12, 2025
Race To The WH [27] Safe DSeptember 4, 2025

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Mark Warner vs. Glenn Youngkin

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Mark
Warner (D)		Glenn
Youngkin (R)		Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University [28] December 18, 2024 – January 15, 2025806 (A)± 4.7%45%38%17%

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. ↑ "Mark Warner - Ballotpedia". Ballotpedia . Retrieved December 28, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  2. ↑ "2021 November General". Virginia Department of Elections . November 15, 2021. Retrieved December 28, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  3. ↑ "2023 November General and Special Elections". Virginia Department of Elections . January 2, 2025. Retrieved December 28, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  4. ↑ "2025 November General". Virginia Department of Elections . December 1, 2025. Retrieved December 28, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  5. ↑ "Exit polls: Election 2025". CNN . December 2, 2025. Retrieved December 28, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  6. ↑ "Virginia Senate 2026". Cook Political Report . February 11, 2025. Retrieved December 28, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  7. ↑ Eggleston, Mark (November 11, 2025). "Former Spotsylvania County school board chair announces Virginia Senate campaign". WUSA . Retrieved November 28, 2025.
  8. ↑ "Who in Virginia is running for US Senate in 2026?". Virginia Public Media . September 25, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  9. ↑ Shokraei, Carrie (December 2, 2025). "Sen. Mark Warner announces reelection campaign in Virginia". WTOP-FM . Retrieved December 2, 2025.
  10. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1924170". November 5, 2025.
  11. ↑ Jarvis, Brandon (December 12, 2026). "Mark Moran Primary Poll Versus Mark Warner".
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Feld, Lowell (December 2, 2025). "Video: Sen. Mark Warner Launches Reelection Campaign "to continue his fight to lower costs and prepare Virginia for the economy of the future"". Blue Virginia. Retrieved December 2, 2025.
  13. ↑ Stuart, Bob (December 3, 2025). "Democrat Mark Warner seeks fourth term in U.S. Senate". Daily News Record. Retrieved December 3, 2025.
  14. ↑ "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved April 28, 2025.
  15. ↑ "JDCA Endorsed Candidates". Jewish Democratic Council of America.
  16. ↑ "Candidates". Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.
  17. ↑ "2026 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved November 16, 2025.
  18. 1 2 "2026 Election United States Senate - Virginia". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved April 23, 2025.
  19. ↑ Stuart, Bob (July 30, 2025). "Kim Farington wants to unseat Mark Warner. But who is she?". The News Virginian . Retrieved August 4, 2025.
  20. 1 2 Staff, Cardinal (December 28, 2025). "Reeves drops out of U.S. Senate race; Republicans left with three little-known contenders". Cardinal News. Retrieved December 28, 2025.
  21. ↑ Quarshie, Mabinty (November 18, 2025). "Navy and Marine Corps veteran launches Virginia Senate campaign to unseat Mark Warner". Washington Examiner .
  22. ↑ https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/S4VA00197/1931334/
  23. ↑ Parks, Molly (November 26, 2025). "Youngkin rules out Senate run but leaves door open for presidential bid". Washington Examiner . Retrieved November 26, 2025.
  24. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 14, 2025.
  25. ↑ "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 11, 2025.
  26. ↑ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  27. ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  28. ↑ McDougle, Robyn (January 24, 2025). "Commonwealth Poll: Virginians overwhelmingly concerned about cost of living". Virginia Commonwealth University. Retrieved April 28, 2025.

Official campaign websites

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