2025 Virginia gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2025 United States gubernatorial elections.

2025 Virginia gubernatorial election

←  2021 November 4, 2025 2029 →

Nominee Winsome Earle-Sears Abigail Spanberger Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent Governor Glenn Youngkin Republican

The 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election will be held on November 4, 2025, to elect the governor of Virginia. The incumbent Republican governor, Glenn Youngkin, is ineligible to run for re-election, as the Constitution of Virginia prohibits its governors from serving consecutive terms. The in-person early voting period runs from September 19 to November 1, 2025. ^[1]

Former U.S. Representative Abigail Spanberger is the Democratic nominee, ^[2] and Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears is the Republican nominee. If elected, Earle-Sears would become the first black female governor in U.S. history. ^{[3] [4]} Both Spanberger and Earle-Sears won their respective parties' nominations unopposed. Whoever wins the general election will be sworn in as the 75th governor of Virginia on January 17, 2026. This is the first gubernatorial election in Virginia in which both major party nominees are female. Virginia is one of 18 states that have never had a female governor. ^[4]

This is the only Republican-held governorship up for election in 2025. Democrat Kamala Harris won the state in the 2024 presidential election by 5.8%. ^[5] Political analysts consider the election as being a popularity indicator of Donald Trump's second presidency in the state. ^{[6] [7]} With the exception of 2013 (which saw a strong performance by a third-party candidate), Virginia has elected a governor of the opposite party of the sitting president of the United States in every election since 1977.

Background

Virginia is considered to be a moderately "blue" state at the federal level, with Kamala Harris carrying Virginia by about six percentage points in the 2024 presidential election, and the last time a Republican won a federal statewide race was in the 2004 presidential election. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats and the minimum majority in both houses of the Virginia General Assembly. With the May 2025 death of Democratic Representative Gerry Connolly, Virginia's 11th congressional district seat was vacant until James Walkinshaw won the September 9th special election, giving Democrats control a majority of Virginia's house of representative seats. ^[8] However, statewide offices tend to be more competitive as Republicans flipped all three statewide constitutional offices in the 2021 elections, all of which are up for election in 2025. ^{[9] [10] [11]}

Donald Trump's efforts to shrink the federal workforce is considered to be a potential issue in the election, given that many federal workers live in Northern Virginia. ^[12] A July 2025 Virginia Commonwealth University poll found that the most important issues for voters in the campaign were the cost of living (29%), immigration (14%) and abortion (14%). ^[13]

Republican primary

Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears was initially viewed as the presumptive Republican nominee for governor. ^[14] After poor initial polling, and growing dissatisfaction with the lieutenant governor in factions of the party, Earle-Sears drew two challengers: former state senator Amanda Chase, and former state delegate Dave LaRock. Both challengers positioned themselves as more loyal to President Donald Trump. ^{[15] [16]} Ultimately, neither of them gathered the required signatures to be on the ballot, and Earle-Sears was nominated unopposed. ^[17]

Candidates

Nominee

• Winsome Earle-Sears, lieutenant governor of Virginia (2022–present) ^[18]

Failed to qualify

• Amanda Chase, former state senator for SD-11 (2016–2024), and candidate for governor in 2021 ^[19]
• Dave LaRock, former state delegate for HD-33 (2014–2024), and candidate for SD-1 in 2023 ^[19]

Declined

• Jason Miyares, Virginia attorney general (2022–present) (running for re-election) ^[20]
• Rob Wittman, U.S. representative from Virginia's 1st congressional district (2007–present) (running for re-election in 2026) ^[21]

Endorsements

Amanda Chase (disqualified)

State senators

• Doug Mastriano, Pennsylvania state senator for SD-33 (2019–present) ^[22]

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Jason Miyares	Winsome Earle-Sears	Undecided
Cygnal (R) [23]	October 27–29, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	12%	48%	40%
Cygnal (R) [24]	March 13–14, 2024	510 (LV)	± 4.3%	16%	44%	41%
Differentiators Data [25]	February 21–24, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	17%	48%	35%

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through March 31, 2025
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Winsome Earle-Sears	$5,677,456	$1,630,867	$4,046,590
Amanda Chase (failed to qualify)	$34,835	$51,204	$1,538
Dave LaRock (failed to qualify)	$26,874	$25,813	$1,060
Source: Virginia Public Access Project [26]

Results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Winsome Earle-Sears	Unopposed
Total votes			—	100.0

Democratic primary

Abigail Spanberger at a rally with attorney general nominee Jay Jones (left) and lieutenant governor nominee Ghazala Hashmi in Fairfax

Former U.S. representative Abigail Spanberger won the nomination unopposed after her only challenger, former Richmond mayor Levar Stoney, withdrew in April 2024. Stoney, seeking to avoid a complicated primary, decided to instead run for lieutenant governor. U.S. representative Bobby Scott also publicly considered a bid, but did not file a candidacy. ^[27]

Candidates

Nominee

• Abigail Spanberger, former U.S. representative from Virginia's 7th congressional district (2019–2025) ^{[28] [2]}

Withdrawn

• Levar Stoney, former mayor of Richmond (2017–2025), and former Virginia Secretary of the Commonwealth (2014–2016) (ran for lieutenant governor) ^[29]

Declined

• Bobby Scott, U.S. representative from Virginia's 3rd congressional district (1993–present) ^[30]

Endorsements

Bobby Scott (declined)

State legislators

• Louise Lucas, president pro tempore of the Virginia Senate (2020–present) from the 18th district (1992–present) ^[31] (previously endorsed Stoney)

Levar Stoney (withdrawn)

State officials

• Terry McAuliffe, former governor of Virginia (2014–2018), former chair of the Democratic National Committee (2001–2005) and nominee for governor in 2021 ^[32]
• Molly Joseph Ward, former Virginia Secretary of Natural Resources (2014–2018) ^[33]

State legislators

• Lamont Bagby, state senator from the 9th district (2023–present) ^[33]
• Creigh Deeds, state senator from the 11th district (2001–present) ^[33]
• Michael Jones, state delegate from the 77th district (2024–present) ^[33]
• Mamie Locke, state senator from the 2nd district (2004–present) ^[33]
• Louise Lucas, president pro tempore of the Virginia Senate (2020–present) from the 18th district (1992–present) ^[34]

Local officials

• Sherman Lea, mayor of Roanoke (2016–present) ^[33]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Abigail Spanberger	Levar Stoney	Undecided
	April 22, 2024	Stoney withdraws from the race
Public Policy Polling (D) [35] [A]	March 25–26, 2024	734 (LV)	—	44%	11%	45%
Christopher Newport University [36]	January 11–16, 2024	1000 (RV)	± 3.7%	52%	8%	40%

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through March 31, 2025
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Abigail Spanberger	$16,301,998	$5,297,212	$11,004,790
Source: Virginia Public Access Project [26]

Results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Abigail Spanberger	Unopposed
Total votes			—	100.0

General election

Campaign

In mid-July, Earle-Sears changed campaign managers after trailing Spanberger in fundraising and polling. ^[37] On August 21, an opponent of Earle-Sears held up a sign outside her speech at an Arlington County School Board meeting stating "Hey Winsome, if trans can't share your bathroom, then Blacks can't share my water fountain", which received widespread attention and was condemned by both Earle-Sears and Spanberger. ^{[38] [39]}

Debates

There will be at least one televised debate, on October 9 and hosted by Norfolk State University. ^[40]

2025 Virginia gubernatorial debates

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic
Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Earle-Sears	Spanberger
1	October 9, 2025	WAVY-TV Norfolk State University	TBD		I	I

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [41]	Likely D (flip)	September 11, 2025
Inside Elections [42]	Lean D (flip)	August 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [43]	Likely D (flip)	September 4, 2025
Race to the WH [44]	Likely D (flip)	September 2, 2025
State Navigate [45]	Solid D (flip)	August 22, 2025

Endorsements

Winsome Earle-Sears (R)

Executive branch officials

• Todd Gilbert, interim United States Attorney for the Western District of Virginia (2025), Speaker of the Virginia House of Delegates (2022–2024), from the 33rd district (2006–2025) ^[46]
• Donald Trump, 45th and 47th president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present) ^[47]

U.S. representatives

• Thelma Drake, VA-2 (2005–2009) ^[48]
• John McGuire, VA-5 (2025–present) ^[49]
• Rob Wittman, VA-1 (2007–present) ^[50]

Statewide officials

• Glenn Youngkin, incumbent governor (2022–present) ^[51]

State legislators

• A.C. Cordoza, state delegate from the 86th district (2022–present) ^[48]
• Ryan McDougle, Minority Leader of the Virginia Senate (2024–present), from the 26th district (2006–present) ^[46]
• Joe McNamara, state delegate from the 40th district (2018–present) ^[48]
• Tammy Mulchi, state senator from the 9th district (2024–present) ^[48]
• Mark Obenshain, state senator from the 2nd district (2004–present) ^[52]

Local officials

• Bobby Dyer, mayor of Virginia Beach (2018–present) ^[48]

Individuals

• Vivek Ramaswamy, former CEO of Roivant Sciences and 2024 presidential candidate ^[53]

Organizations

• Maggie's List ^[54]
• NRA Political Victory Fund ^[55]

Abigail Spanberger (D)

Executive branch officials

• Eric Holder, United States Attorney General (2009–2015) ^[56]

U.S. senators

• Tim Kaine, Virginia (2013–present) ^[57]
• Mark Warner, Virginia (2009–present) ^[58]

U.S. representatives

• Don Beyer, VA-8 (2015–present) ^[59]
• Barbara Comstock, VA-10 (2015–2019) (Republican) ^[60]
• Gerry Connolly, VA-11 (2009–2025) ^[59] (deceased)
• Lois Frankel, FL-22 (2013–present) ^[61]
• Elaine Luria, VA-2 (2019–2023) ^[62]
• Jennifer McClellan, VA-4 (2023–present) ^[58]
• Tom Perriello, VA-5 (2009–2011) ^[63]
• Denver Riggleman, VA-5 (2019–2021) (Independent; former Republican) ^[60]
• Suhas Subramanyam, VA-10 (2025–present) ^[64]
• Eugene Vindman, VA-7 (2025–present) ^[65]
• Jennifer Wexton, VA-10 (2019–2025) ^[66]

Statewide officials

• Ralph Northam, former governor of Virginia (2018–2022) ^[66]

State legislators

• Louise Lucas, President pro tempore of the Virginia Senate (2020–present), from the 18th district (1992–present) ^[67]
• Don Scott, Speaker of the Virginia House of Delegates (2024–present), from the 88th district (2020–present) ^[68]

Organizations

• Brady PAC ^[69]
• Clean Virginia ^[70]
• End Citizens United ^[71]
• EMILYs List ^[72]
• Everytown for Gun Safety ^[73]
• Giffords ^[74]
• Human Rights Campaign ^[75]
• LGBT Democrats of Virginia ^[76]
• National Organization for Women ^[77]
• Reproductive Freedom for All ^[78]
• Virginia League of Conservation Voters ^[79]
• Virginia Police Benevolent Association ^[80]
• Vote Mama ^[81]
• VoteVets ^[82]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Abigail Spanberger (D)	Winsome Earle-Sears (R)	Other/Undecided [b]	Margin
RealClearPolitics [83]	February 26 – September 14, 2025	September 18, 2025	48.8%	41.7%	9.5%	Spanberger +7.1%
Decision Desk HQ [84]	January 6 – September 15, 2025	September 18, 2025	50.4%	41.0%	8.6%	Spanberger +9.4%
Race to the WH [85]	January 6 – September 18, 2025	September 18, 2025	50.4%	40.8%	8.8%	Spanberger +9.6%
Average			49.9%	41.2%	9.0%	Spanberger +8.7%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Winsome Earle-Sears (R)	Abigail Spanberger (D)	Other	Undecided
Christopher Newport University [86]	September 8–14, 2025	808 (RV)	± 3.9%	40%	52%	–	8%
Pulse Decision Science (R) [87] [B]	September 3–5, 2025	512 (LV)	± 4.4%	43%	48%	1% [c]	8%
SoCal Strategies (R) [88] [C]	August 31 – September 1, 2025	700 (LV)	–	41%	53%	–	6%
Virginia Commonwealth University [89]	August 18–28, 2025	764 (RV)	± 4.1%	40%	49%	2% [d]	11%
co/efficient (R) [90]	August 23–26, 2025	1,025 (LV)	± 3.1%	43%	48%	3% [e]	7%
Roanoke College [91] [92]	August 11–15, 2025	702 (LV)	± 4.3%	39%	46%	1% [f]	14%
Wick Insights [93]	July 9–11, 2025	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	40%	50%	2% [g]	8%
Virginia Commonwealth University [94]	June 19 – July 3, 2025	806 (A)	± 4.7%	37%	49%	2% [d]	12%
co/efficient (R) [95] [D]	June 8–10, 2025	1,127 (LV)	± 3.1%	43%	46%	2% [g]	9%
Roanoke College [96] [97]	May 12–19, 2025	609 (RV)	± 5.3%	26%	43%	3% [h]	28%
Pantheon Insight/HarrisX [98] [E]	May 9–13, 2025	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	48%	52%	–	–
				45%	48%	7% [i]	–
Cygnal (R) [99]	February 26–28, 2025	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	40%	46%	–	14%
Roanoke College [100]	February 17–20, 2025	690 (RV)	± 4.7%	24%	39%	4% [j]	33%
co/efficient (R) [101] [F]	January 18–20, 2025	867 (LV)	± 3.3%	40%	40%	5% [k]	15%
Virginia Commonwealth University [102]	December 18, 2024 – January 15, 2025	806 (A)	± 4.7%	34%	44%	5% [l]	17%
Christopher Newport University [103]	January 6–13, 2025	806 (RV)	± 3.6%	39%	44%	6% [m]	12%
Emerson College [104] [G]	January 6–8, 2025	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	42%	4% [j]	13%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [105]	December 15–19, 2024	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	47%	–	9%
Research America Inc. [106] [H]	September 3–9, 2024	1,000 (A)	± 3.1%	39%	39%	10% [n]	12%
co/efficient (R) [107] [D]	September 7–10, 2023	834 (LV)	± 3.4%	26%	27%	–	47%

Hypothetical polling

Winsome Earle-Sears vs. Bobby Scott

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Winsome Earle-Sears (R)	Bobby Scott (D)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [105]	December 15–19, 2024	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	44%	10%

Jason Miyares vs. Abigail Spanberger

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Jason Miyares (R)	Abigail Spanberger (D)	Undecided
Research America Inc. [106] [H]	September 3–9, 2024	1,000 (A)	± 3.1%	39%	40%	12%
co/efficient (R) [107] [D]	September 7–10, 2023	834 (LV)	± 3.4%	22%	26%	52%

Results

2025 Virginia gubernatorial election ^[108]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Winsome Earle-Sears
	Democratic	Abigail Spanberger
	Write-in
Total votes
Turnout
Registered electors

See also

• 2025 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election
• 2025 Virginia elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
3. Donna Charles with 1%
4. "Wouldn't vote" with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
5. Donna Charles with 3%
6. "Some other candidate" with 1%
7. Donna Charles with 2%
8. "Some other candidate" with 3%
9. Denver Riggleman with 7%
10. "Someone else" with 4%
11. "Someone else" with 5%
12. "Wouldn't vote" with 4%; "Someone else" with 1%
13. "Someone else" with 2%. "Don't know/Refused" with 4%
14. "None / Would not vote" with 5%; "Other candidate" with 4%; "Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by Stoney's campaign
2. Poll sponsored by John Reid's campaign for LT Gov
3. Poll sponsored by the Virginia Project
4. Poll sponsored by Founders Insight
5. Poll sponsored by Virginia FREE
6. Poll sponsored by the Northern Virginia Republican Business Forum
7. Poll sponsored by The Hill
8. Poll sponsored by the University of Mary Washington

References

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External links

Official campaign websites

• Winsome Earle-Sears (R) for Governor
• Abigail Spanberger (D) for Governor