2025 Virginia gubernatorial election

Last updated

2025 Virginia gubernatorial election
Flag of Virginia.svg
←  2021
November 4, 2025
2029  →
Turnout54.22% Decrease2.svg 0.68 [1]
  Rep. Abigail Spanberger - 118th Congress (3x4 cropped).jpg Winsome Sears portrait, 2022 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Abigail Spanberger Winsome Earle-Sears
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,976,8571,449,586
Percentage57.58%42.22%
2025 Virginia gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2025 Virginia gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg
Virginia 2025 Governor (Wikipedia) V4.svg
Spanberger:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Earle-Sears:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%     No votes
Governor before election

Glenn Youngkin
Republican

Elected Governor

Abigail Spanberger
Democratic

The 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2025, to elect the next governor of Virginia. The election was concurrent with other elections for Virginia's statewide offices, the House of Delegates, and other local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Glenn Youngkin was ineligible to run for re-election, as the Constitution of Virginia prohibits its governors from serving consecutive terms. Neither former Democratic U.S. Representative Abigail Spanberger nor Republican Lieutenant governor Winsome Earle-Sears received opposition in their primaries, which led to an earlier campaign. In early April 2025, Spanberger and Earle-Sears were confirmed as the major party nominees. [2] [3] [4] Spanberger defeated Earle-Sears by 527,271 votes — the largest gubernatorial margin for either party since the 2009 Virginia gubernatorial election. She won by over 15 points, which was described as decisive and a landslide by political pundits. [5] [6]

Contents

President Trump enacted the Department of Government Efficiency, which laid off many federal workers: chiefly in Northern Virginia. [7] The layoffs boosted Spanberger in Northern Virginia which contributed to her large victory margin. [8] Spanberger ran on affordability, which was widely cited the top concerns of voters, consistently leading in the polls throughout the campaign. Earle-Sears focused on transgender issues — an attempt to replicate Youngkin's focus on critical race theory in the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election. [9] [10] [11]

Most electoral pundits saw the election as a referendum on President Trump before the 2026 midterms. [2] Trump's general unpopularity and perceived performance on the economy, healthcare, immigration, and other issues were viewed as the main factor for Earle-Sears' loss. [12] [13] On Election Day, President Trump was disapproved of by Virginia voters 59%-39%. In addition, Spanberger decisively won Latino voters and other minority voters after they shifted to the right in the 2024 presidential election both statewide and nationwide. [14]

Spanberger won by 15.36% points, which was a 9.58% improvement from Harris' 5.78% win in the 2024 presidential election in Virginia. Her victory margin outperformed expectations from polls that expected Spanberger to win more modestly. [15] Spanberger was elected the first female governor in the state's history, winning the largest gubernatorial margin for Democrats since the 1961 Virginia gubernatorial election. [16] [17] She is scheduled to be sworn in as the 75th governor of Virginia on January 17, 2026.

Background

Since the 2008 presidential election, Virginia has voted Democratic for president, which is due in part to Northern Virginia's growth and Democratic trends. In the 2024 presidential election, Kamala Harris won the state by 5.78%. After the 2024 elections, Democrats maintained control of both U.S. Senate seats and their 6-5 majority in the House of Representatives. [18] [a]

In the 2021 gubernatorial election, Republican Glenn Youngkin won the governorship by 1.94% in an upset as Joe Biden won the state in 2020 by 10.11%. His campaign focused on parental rights in education which led to Republican flips in all three statewide executive offices and the House of Delegates. [19] In the 2023 Virginia elections, Democrats narrowly flipped the House of Delegates and maintained control over the Virginia Senate with their focus on abortion rights. [20]

In the 2024 presidential election, Republican Donald Trump was re-elected into office, which was hoped to energize Democratic voters in the off-year elections. Trump's personal popularity and voters' position on the economy were viewed as crucial to the gubernatorial race. [21] On January 20, 2025, President Trump and Elon Musk introduced the Department of Government Efficiency (commonly referred to as DOGE). DOGE laid off thousands of federal workers which was relevant in Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads since 140,000 federal workers resided in the state. Since 1977, Virginia elected the party out of presidential power for governor – with the exception of 2013 – which made Democrats the initial favorite. [7]

Due to Virginia's blue lean, the state was viewed as the main gubernatorial pickup with Spanberger and Earle-Sears while there were unfavorable national circumstances for Republicans. [22] The economy became the most prominent issue, while healthcare and education followed behind. The concern on the economy was based on inflation, tariffs, and federal layoffs from the Trump Administration. [23] [24]

Republican primary

On September 4, 2024, Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears declared her candidacy for governor. She received criticism from Attorney General Jason Miyares for her announcement ahead of the 2024 presidential election. He was widely viewed as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination. [25] On November 18, 2024, Jason Miyares declined to run for governor. He instead, unsuccessfully, ran for re-election to attorney general in 2025. After his declination, Earle-Sears was viewed as the presumptive nominee. [26]

On February 27, 2025, Earle-Sears received opposition from former state senator Amanda Chase and former state delegate Dave LaRock. They presented themselves as more affiliated to President Trump and criticized Earle-Sears' previous comments on Trump. Chase emailed her supporters believing the state, "needs a Trump in heels" while LaRock expressed support for the Department of Government Efficiency. Despite the newfound opposition, Earle-Sears was still viewed the favorite in the primary. [27] [28]

Ultimately, neither Chase nor LaRock reached the 10,000-signature deadline before 4:00 pm on April 5, 2025, to qualify for the primary ballot. LaRock blamed Governor Youngkin's endorsement of Earle-Sears for the uncompetitive primary while Chase expressed support for the Republican nominee regardless of who it was. [29]

On April 5, 2025, Earle-Sears became the official Republican nominee for governor after no other candidates reached the signature deadline on April 5, 2025. This effectively canceled the primary election originally scheduled for June 17, 2025. [4]

Candidates

Nominee

Failed to qualify

Declined

Endorsements

Amanda Chase (disqualified)

State senators

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Jason
Miyares		Winsome
Earle-Sears		Undecided
Cygnal (R) [34] October 27–29, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%12%48%40%
Cygnal (R) [35] March 13–14, 2024510 (LV)± 4.3%16%44%41%
Differentiators Data [36] February 21–24, 2023500 (LV)± 4.5%17%48%35%

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through March 31, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Winsome Earle-Sears$5,677,456$1,630,867$4,046,590
Amanda Chase (failed to qualify)$34,835$51,204$1,538
Dave LaRock (failed to qualify)$26,874$25,813$1,060
Source: Virginia Public Access Project [37]

Democratic primary

In 2020, U.S. Representative (from VA-07) Abigail Spanberger received advice from then-governor Ralph Northam to someday run for governor. [38] On November 13, 2023, she announced her candidacy for governor – she decided not to run for reelection to the House of Representatives in 2024. [39]

On December 4, 2023, Mayor of Richmond, Levar Stoney declared his candidacy for governor one month after Spanberger announced her bid. He was considered the underdog in primary polls because of low statewide name recognition. [40] [41] On April 22, 2024 – before the filing deadline in April 2025 – Stoney withdrew from the race with private pressure from Democrats to withdraw to clear the primary for Spanberger. He instead, unsuccessfully, sought the Democratic nomination for Lieutenant Governor in the June Democratic primary. [42] [43]

In December 2023, U.S. Representative Bobby Scott, explored the possibility to run for governor despite doubt from "top Democratic sources" for his announcement to do so. There was concern from senior Virginia Democrats over Spanberger's ability to win over black voters after Republican Donald Trump made inroads with minorities in the 2024 Election – especially with Earle-Sears expected to be the Republican nominee. [44] In late February, Scott hinted he would not run for governor. [45] Ultimately, he did not file an official candidacy before the deadline.

On April 3, 2025, Spanberger became the official Democratic nominee for governor after no other candidate filed their candidacy before the deadline on April 4, 2025. This effectively canceled the primary election originally scheduled for June 17, 2025. [46]

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Bobby Scott (declined)

State legislators

Levar Stoney (withdrawn)

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Abigail
Spanberger		Levar
Stoney		Undecided
April 22, 2024Stoney withdraws from the race
Public Policy Polling (D) [51] [A] March 25–26, 2024734 (LV)—44%11%45%
Christopher Newport University [41] January 11–16, 20241000 (RV)± 3.7%52%8%40%

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through March 31, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Abigail Spanberger$16,301,998$5,297,212$11,004,790
Source: Virginia Public Access Project [37]

Third parties and independents

Candidates

Withdrawn

General election

Campaign

Hashmi speaking at a bus rally in Fairfax, Virginia with Jay Jones and Abigail Spanberger Jay Jones, Ghazala Hashmi and Abigail Spanberger at a bus rally in Fairfax City.jpg
Hashmi speaking at a bus rally in Fairfax, Virginia with Jay Jones and Abigail Spanberger
Incumbent Lieutenant-Governor Winsome Earle-Sears campaigning. Lt Gov Winsome Earle-Sears (92ce22f0-6052-4c8b-a303-201e80a2c2ca).JPG
Incumbent Lieutenant-Governor Winsome Earle-Sears campaigning.

This election was the first gubernatorial election in Virginia history in which both major party nominees were female. [53]

In mid-July, Earle-Sears changed campaign managers after trailing Spanberger in fundraising and polling. [54] On August 21, an opponent of Earle-Sears held up a sign outside her speech at an Arlington County School Board meeting stating "Hey Winsome, if trans [ sic ] can't share your bathroom, then Blacks can't share my water fountain", which received widespread attention and was condemned by both Earle-Sears and Spanberger. [55] [56]

The impact of the Department of Government Efficiency and Trump's federal mass layoffs reinforced the economy as the top issue for voters, particularly during the October federal government shutdown. [57] [58] During an interview on September 30 with Meet the Press , Earle-Sears did not answer whether she would ask Trump not to fire any more federal workers. [59]

In October 2025, following messages revealed by the National Review of Jay Jones encouraging political violence towards former Virginia Speaker of the House Todd Gilbert, Spanberger and Ghazala Hashmi called for Jones to apologize and take full responsibility for his messages. Governor Glenn Youngkin called for both of them to call for Jay Jones to step down as a candidate, though neither did. Earle-Sears spent $1 million on ads in the wake of the scandal tying Jones to Spanberger. [60] [61]

Throughout the campaign, Earle-Sears mostly ran campaign attack ads on Spanberger on transgender issues, replicating the attack ads against Kamala Harris for being "for they/them" in the 2024 United States presidential election, despite top election issues being the economy, affordability, threats against democracy and the federal workforce. [62] [63]

In October 2025, during a football game at James Madison University, a fan hurled a racist remark at Earle-Sears, telling her to "go back to Haiti." The incident was quickly condemned and the fan was suspended from attending all future sporting events. [64]

The in-person early voting period ran from September 19 to November 1, 2025. [65]

Debates

Spanberger and Earle-Sears met on October 9, 2025 at Norfolk State University for their one televised debate. [66] Topics discussed during the debate included the Virginia car tax, text messages sent by Jay Jones, the federal government shutdown, affordability, energy and data centers, parents' roles in education, policies relating to transgender students in K-12 schools, reproductive rights, and policies related to marijuana. [67] During the debate, Earle-Sears pressed on Spanberger to call for Jones to exit the race and whether she still endorses Jones. [68] When asked on whether she would tell Trump to reopen the government, Earle-Sears accused Spanberger of "politicizing" the 2025 federal mass firings by the Trump administration. Spanberger claimed that Earle-Sears had previously stated that same-sex couples should not be allowed to marry and that firing employees for being gay was acceptable. After both claims, Earle-Sears interrupted Spanberger by adding "that's not discrimination". [68] [69] When asked about these comments in an interview on October 28, she claimed that she had misspoken and that she meant to say that she had not personally discriminated against gay people in that manner. [70]

2025 Virginia gubernatorial debates
No.DateHostModeratorsLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Earle-SearsSpanberger
1October 9, 2025 WAVY-TV
Norfolk State University 		Deanna Albrittin
Tom Schaad		 [71] PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [72] Likely D (flip)September 11, 2025
Inside Elections [73] Lean D (flip)August 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [74] Likely D (flip)September 4, 2025
Race to the WH [75] Safe D (flip)October 26, 2025
State Navigate [76] Solid D (flip)August 22, 2025

Endorsements

Winsome Earle-Sears (R)
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Abigail Spanberger (D)
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Abigail
Spanberger (D)		Winsome
Earle-Sears (R)		Other/Undecided
[d] 		Margin
Decision Desk HQ [125] through November 3, 2025November 3, 202552.3%43.1%4.6%Spanberger +9.2%
FiftyPlusOne [126] through November 3, 2025November 3, 202553.1%42.4%4.5%Spanberger +10.7%
Race to the WH [127] through November 3, 2025November 4, 202552.3%42.8%4.9%Spanberger +9.5%
RealClearPolitics [128] October 16 – November 3, 2025November 3, 202552.9%42.7%4.4%Spanberger +10.2%
VoteHub [129] through November 3, 2025November 3, 202552.1%42.9%5.0%Spanberger +9.2%
Average52.5%42.8%4.7%Spanberger +9.7%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Winsome
Earle-Sears (R)		Abigail
Spanberger (D)		OtherUndecided
Quantus Insights (R) [130] November 3, 20251,201 (LV)± 2.7%44%53%1%2%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [131] November 2–3, 2025800 (LV)± 3.5%40%50%5% [e] 5%
Research Co. [132] November 2–3, 2025423 (LV)± 4.6%46%54%––
450 (LV)43%51%–6%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [133] November 1–2, 20251,057 (LV)± 2.9%43%50%1% [f] 6%
Emerson College [134] [B] October 30–31, 2025880 (LV)± 3.2%44%55%0%1%
Echelon Insights [135] October 28–31, 2025606 (LV)± 4.7%43%55%–2%
AtlasIntel [136] October 25–30, 20251,325 (LV)± 3.0%45%54%0% [g] 1%
SoCal Strategies (R) [137] [C] October 28–29, 2025800 (LV)–43%53%–4%
State Navigate [138] October 26–28, 2025614 (LV)± 4.0%41%54%–5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)/
The Trafalgar Group (R) [139] 		October 27–28, 2025800 (LV)± 3.5%42%46%4% [h] 8%
Roanoke College [140] October 22–27, 20251,041 (LV)± 4.1%41%51%3% [i] 5%
YouGov [141] October 17–28, 20251,179 (LV)± 4.0%42%57%2%–
41%55%0%4%
A2 Insights [142] October 24–26, 2025776 (LV)–46%54%–1%
Christopher Newport University [143] October 21–23, 2025803 (LV)± 4.1%43%50%–6%
Suffolk University [144] October 19–21, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%43%52%1% [j] 4%
Quantus Insights (R) [145] October 19–20, 20251,302 (RV)± 2.8%46%51%1%2%
State Navigate [146] October 17–20, 2025694 (LV)± 4.0%42%55%–3%
The Washington Post/Schar School [147] October 16–20, 2025927 (LV)± 3.5%42%54%2% [k] 2%
927 (RV)40%53%5% [l] 2%
Kaplan Strategies (R) [148] October 16–18, 2025556 (LV)± 4.2%41%51%–7%
co/efficient (R) [149] October 15–17, 2025937 (LV)± 3.2%44%49%1% [f] 6%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) [150] [D] October 14–17, 2025958 (RV)± 3.2%43%53%–4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)/
InsiderAdvantage (R) [151] 		October 13–15, 20251,039 (LV)± 2.9%45%47%1% [f] 6%
Virginia Commonwealth University [152] October 6–14, 2025842 (A)± 4.0%42%49%–9%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [153] October 8–10, 20251,034 (LV)± 2.9%45%48%2% [m] 6%
Public Policy Polling (D) [154] [E] October 7–8, 2025558 (RV)–43%52%–5%
Cygnal (R) [155] October 6–7, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%45%49%–6%
Christopher Newport University [156] September 29 – October 1, 2025805 (RV)± 3.9%42%52%–6%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [157] September 29 – October 1, 20251,034 (LV)± 2.9%42%47%2% [m] 9%
Emerson College [158] [B] September 28–29, 2025725 (LV)± 3.6%42%52%–5%
The Washington Post/Schar School [159] September 25–29, 20251,002 (LV)± 3.4%43%55%1% [n] 2%
1,002 (RV)40%53%4% [o] 3%
A2 Insights [160] September 16–28, 2025771 (LV)–45%48%1% [p] 6%
co/efficient (R) [161] September 22–23, 20251,024 (LV)± 3.1%43%49%1% [f] 7%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [162] September 15–18, 2025800 (V)± 3.5%45%50%–5%
Christopher Newport University [163] September 8–14, 2025808 (RV)± 3.9%40%52%–8%
Cygnal (R) [155] September 7, 2025– (V)–43%50%–7%
Pulse Decision Science (R) [164] [F] September 3–5, 2025512 (LV)± 4.4%43%48%1% [f] 8%
SoCal Strategies (R) [165] [G] August 31 – September 1, 2025700 (LV)–41%53%–6%
Virginia Commonwealth University [166] August 18–28, 2025764 (RV)± 4.1%40%49%2% [q] 11%
co/efficient (R) [167] August 23–26, 20251,025 (LV)± 3.1%43%48%3% [r] 7%
Roanoke College [168] [169] August 11–15, 2025702 (LV)± 4.3%39%46%1% [s] 14%
Wick Insights [170] July 9–11, 20251,000 (LV)± 3.0%40%50%2% [m] 8%
American Directions Research Group/AARP [171] June 25 – July 8, 20251,001 (LV)± 3.1%34%49%8% [t] 9%
Virginia Commonwealth University [172] June 19–July 3, 2025806 (A)± 4.7%37%49%2% [q] 12%
co/efficient (R) [173] [H] June 8–10, 20251,127 (LV)± 3.1%43%46%2% [m] 9%
Roanoke College [174] [175] May 12–19, 2025609 (RV)± 5.3%26%43%3% [u] 28%
Pantheon Insight/HarrisX [176] [I] May 9–13, 20251,000 (LV)± 3.1%48%52%––
45%48%7% [v] –
Cygnal (R) [177] February 26–28, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%40%46%–14%
Roanoke College [178] February 17–20, 2025690 (RV)± 4.7%24%39%4% [w] 33%
co/efficient (R) [179] [J] January 18–20, 2025867 (LV)± 3.3%40%40%5% [x] 15%
Virginia Commonwealth University [180] December 18, 2024 – January 15, 2025806 (A)± 4.7%34%44%5% [y] 17%
Christopher Newport University [181] January 6–13, 2025806 (RV)± 3.6%39%44%6% [z] 12%
Emerson College [182] [B] January 6–8, 20251,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%42%4% [w] 13%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [183] December 15–19, 2024625 (RV)± 4.0%44%47%–9%
Research America Inc. [184] [K] September 3–9, 20241,000 (A)± 3.1%39%39%10% [aa] 12%
co/efficient (R) [185] [H] September 7–10, 2023834 (LV)± 3.4%26%27%–47%
Hypothetical polling

Winsome Earle-Sears vs. Bobby Scott

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Winsome
Earle-Sears (R)		Bobby
Scott (D)		Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [183] December 15–19, 2024625 (RV)± 4.0%46%44%10%

Jason Miyares vs. Abigail Spanberger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Jason
Miyares (R)		Abigail
Spanberger (D)		Undecided
Research America Inc. [184] [K] September 3–9, 20241,000 (A)± 3.1%39%40%12%
co/efficient (R) [185] [H] September 7–10, 2023834 (LV)± 3.4%22%26%52%

Results

2025 Virginia gubernatorial election [186]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Abigail Spanberger 1,976,857 57.58% +8.94%
Republican Winsome Earle-Sears 1,449,58642.22%−8.36%
Write-in 6,8970.20%+0.12%
Total votes3,433,340 100.00%
Democratic gain from Republican

By county and independent city

Locality [187] Winsome Earle-Sears
Republican		Abigail Spanberger
Democratic		Write-in
Various		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Accomack 7,12954.57%5,92545.35%100.08%−1,204−9.22%13,064
Albemarle 16,48029.48%39,32270.35%930.17%22,84240.87%55,895
Alexandria 10,42416.59%52,23083.11%1900.30%41,80666.52%62,844
Alleghany 4,01169.14%1,77930.67%110.19%−2,232−38.48%5,801
Amelia 4,52171.08%1,83128.79%80.13%−2,690−42.30%6,360
Amherst 8,81167.13%4,29432.72%200.15%−4,517−34.42%13,125
Appomattox 5,60975.94%1,76523.90%120.16%−3,844−52.04%7,386
Arlington 15,92915.96%83,65783.81%2350.24%67,72867.85%99,821
Augusta 24,61271.98%9,52227.85%600.18%−15,090−44.13%34,194
Bath 1,42174.05%49325.69%50.26%−928−48.36%1,919
Bedford 29,16674.27%10,04825.59%570.15%−19,118−48.68%39,271
Bland 1,97481.64%44118.24%30.12%−1,533−63.40%2,418
Botetourt 11,82070.27%4,96929.54%320.19%−6,851−40.73%16,821
Bristol 3,09064.96%1,66034.90%70.15%−1,430−30.06%4,757
Brunswick 2,59143.66%3,33856.25%50.08%74712.59%5,934
Buchanan 4,43481.91%97117.94%80.15%−3,463−63.98%5,413
Buckingham 3,58659.22%2,45640.56%130.21%−1,130−18.66%6,055
Buena Vista 1,39266.38%69633.19%90.43%−696−33.19%2,097
Campbell 16,87873.25%6,13026.60%340.15%−10,748−46.65%23,042
Caroline 6,68049.72%6,73350.11%230.17%530.39%13,436
Carroll 8,88978.33%2,43321.44%260.23%−6,456−56.89%11,348
Charles City 1,48542.53%2,00257.33%50.14%51714.81%3,492
Charlotte 3,15967.07%1,54532.80%60.13%−1,614−34.27%4,710
Charlottesville 2,05610.88%16,79988.93%350.19%14,74378.05%18,890
Chesapeake 42,14743.77%53,97156.06%1640.17%11,82412.28%96,282
Chesterfield 70,02140.97%100,59558.86%2940.17%30,57417.89%170,910
Clarke 4,22255.34%3,38944.42%180.24%−833−10.92%7,629
Colonial Heights 4,09262.12%2,47437.56%210.32%−1,618−24.56%6,587
Covington 99959.57%67840.43%00.00%−321−19.14%1,677
Craig 1,80679.25%46720.49%60.26%−1,339−58.75%2,279
Culpeper 12,59257.66%9,21442.19%330.15%−3,378−15.47%21,839
Cumberland 2,60959.03%1,80340.79%80.18%−806−18.24%4,420
Danville 4,59237.34%7,67862.43%290.24%3,08625.09%12,299
Dickenson 3,42776.80%1,02823.04%70.16%−2,399−53.77%4,462
Dinwiddie 7,02858.19%5,03141.65%190.16%−1,997−16.53%12,078
Emporia 54432.65%1,11967.17%30.18%57534.51%1,666
Essex 2,57252.82%2,28947.01%80.16%−283−5.81%4,869
Fairfax City 2,84727.28%7,55272.37%360.34%4,70545.09%10,435
Fairfax County 116,05325.95%329,97773.78%1,2220.27%213,92447.83%447,252
Falls Church 1,18115.54%6,40784.30%120.16%5,22668.76%7,600
Fauquier 19,89457.55%14,61042.27%620.18%−5,284−15.29%34,566
Floyd 4,80664.73%2,60335.06%160.22%−2,203−29.67%7,425
Fluvanna 6,71849.95%6,71249.91%190.14%−6−0.04%13,449
Franklin City 1,08436.93%1,84963.00%20.07%76526.06%2,935
Franklin County 16,31770.37%6,83629.48%360.16%−9,481−40.89%23,189
Frederick 23,13059.32%15,80940.55%510.13%−7,321−18.78%38,990
Fredericksburg 2,94327.93%7,56171.76%330.31%4,61843.83%10,537
Galax 1,28468.23%59731.72%10.05%−687−36.50%1,882
Giles 4,98373.48%1,78226.28%160.24%−3,201−47.21%6,781
Gloucester 11,39965.73%5,91234.09%300.17%−5,487−31.64%17,341
Goochland 9,72656.91%7,33942.95%240.14%−2,387−13.97%17,089
Grayson 4,61478.35%1,26421.46%110.19%−3,350−56.89%5,889
Greene 5,45857.39%4,03642.44%160.17%−1,422−14.95%9,510
Greensville 1,42742.76%1,90257.00%80.24%47514.23%3,337
Halifax 8,02760.26%5,27239.58%220.17%−2,755−20.68%13,321
Hampton 12,10325.58%35,12974.23%910.19%23,02648.66%47,323
Hanover 36,27860.10%23,99439.75%950.16%−12,284−20.35%60,367
Harrisonburg 3,65427.70%9,51272.12%230.17%5,85844.42%13,189
Henrico 45,62730.53%103,55969.30%2600.17%57,93238.76%149,446
Henry 11,15063.71%6,32036.11%300.17%−4,830−27.60%17,500
Highland 83169.60%36230.32%10.08%−469−39.28%1,194
Hopewell 2,61039.10%4,05260.70%130.19%1,44221.60%6,675
Isle of Wight 10,93156.95%8,22742.86%370.19%−2,704−14.09%19,195
James City 19,02944.57%23,60355.28%630.15%4,57410.71%42,695
King and Queen 1,98560.50%1,29239.38%40.12%−693−21.12%3,281
King George 6,90959.33%4,71640.50%200.17%−2,193−18.83%11,645
King William 6,03366.56%3,02033.32%110.12%−3,013−33.24%9,064
Lancaster 3,28354.44%2,73445.34%130.22%−549−9.10%6,030
Lee 5,43984.13%1,01915.76%70.11%−4,420−68.37%6,465
Lexington 68631.66%1,47568.07%60.28%78936.41%2,167
Loudoun 59,27835.22%108,59464.52%4440.26%49,31629.30%168,316
Louisa 11,27959.52%7,62840.25%440.23%−3,651−19.27%18,951
Lunenburg 2,68259.61%1,80640.14%110.24%−876−19.47%4,499
Lynchburg 13,50850.41%13,23149.38%560.21%−277−1.03%26,795
Madison 4,25964.01%2,38635.86%90.14%−1,873−28.15%6,654
Manassas 4,03634.42%7,67165.42%180.15%3,63531.00%11,725
Manassas Park 1,15128.72%2,85271.16%50.12%1,70142.44%4,008
Martinsville 1,45136.35%2,53463.48%70.18%1,08327.13%3,992
Mathews 3,24267.51%1,55532.38%50.10%−1,687−35.13%4,802
Mecklenburg 7,15160.50%4,65739.40%110.09%−2,494−21.10%11,819
Middlesex 3,47361.44%2,17438.46%60.11%−1,299−22.98%5,653
Montgomery 15,22841.46%21,42858.34%760.21%6,20016.88%36,732
Nelson 3,82849.55%3,88050.23%170.22%520.67%7,725
New Kent 8,80463.28%5,08736.56%220.16%−3,717−26.72%13,913
Newport News 17,46130.91%38,93668.93%920.16%21,47538.02%56,489
Norfolk 15,50924.15%48,59975.68%1110.17%33,09051.53%64,219
Northampton 2,46944.59%3,06055.26%80.14%59110.67%5,537
Northumberland 4,13260.47%2,68539.29%160.23%−1,447−21.18%6,833
Norton 72168.34%33231.47%20.19%−389−36.87%1,055
Nottoway 3,12257.91%2,25841.88%110.20%−864−16.03%5,391
Orange 9,93857.34%7,36142.47%330.19%−2,577−14.87%17,332
Page 6,94074.39%2,36525.35%240.26%−4,575−49.04%9,329
Patrick 5,11977.42%1,48822.50%50.08%−3,631−54.92%6,612
Petersburg 1,12411.29%8,81188.46%250.25%7,68777.18%9,960
Pittsylvania 17,43970.46%7,27229.38%380.15%−10,167−41.08%24,749
Poquoson 4,38470.01%1,86229.73%160.26%−2,522−40.27%6,262
Portsmouth 8,35126.55%23,04073.25%620.20%14,68946.70%31,453
Powhatan 11,86269.57%5,16830.31%210.12%−6,694−39.26%17,051
Prince Edward 3,66849.20%3,76750.53%200.27%991.33%7,455
Prince George 7,98658.27%5,70741.64%130.09%−2,279−16.63%13,706
Prince William 54,30932.74%111,19867.03%3810.23%56,88934.29%165,888
Pulaski 8,60768.55%3,92731.28%220.18%−4,680−37.27%12,556
Radford 2,05043.68%2,63256.08%110.23%58212.40%4,693
Rappahannock 2,23155.10%1,81244.75%60.15%−419−10.35%4,049
Richmond City 11,88313.04%79,01986.73%2120.23%67,13673.68%91,114
Richmond County 1,99763.88%1,12435.96%50.16%−873−27.93%3,126
Roanoke City 10,15332.82%20,70066.91%830.27%10,54734.09%30,936
Roanoke County 24,72857.66%18,06242.12%970.23%−6,666−15.54%42,887
Rockbridge 6,59964.93%3,55735.00%70.07%−3,042−29.93%10,163
Rockingham 24,49867.68%11,62232.11%760.21%−12,876−35.57%36,196
Russell 7,26881.13%1,67318.68%170.19%−5,595−62.46%8,958
Salem 5,28255.81%4,15043.85%320.34%−1,132−11.96%9,464
Scott 6,10383.00%1,23516.80%150.20%−4,868−66.20%7,353
Shenandoah 12,48868.53%5,69831.27%370.20%−6,790−37.26%18,223
Smyth 7,71276.90%2,29822.92%180.18%−5,414−53.99%10,028
Southampton 4,49260.34%2,94539.56%80.11%−1,547−20.78%7,445
Spotsylvania 29,01548.47%30,74851.36%1040.17%1,7332.89%59,867
Stafford 27,77443.94%35,32755.88%1150.18%7,55311.95%63,216
Staunton 4,23639.10%6,58060.73%180.17%2,34421.64%10,834
Suffolk 15,93538.20%25,69661.60%800.19%9,76123.40%41,711
Surry 1,70747.63%1,87352.26%40.11%1664.63%3,584
Sussex 1,80246.91%2,03552.98%40.10%2336.07%3,841
Tazewell 10,40782.10%2,24817.73%210.17%−8,159−64.37%12,676
Virginia Beach 75,01344.22%94,33955.62%2690.16%19,32611.39%169,621
Warren 10,43364.29%5,75735.47%390.24%−4,676−28.81%16,229
Washington 15,61474.21%5,38225.58%430.20%−10,232−48.63%21,039
Waynesboro 4,03747.46%4,45952.42%110.13%4224.96%8,507
Westmoreland 4,39654.02%3,73345.88%80.10%−663−8.15%8,137
Williamsburg 1,64724.51%5,06375.35%90.13%3,41650.84%6,719
Winchester 3,48539.52%5,31860.30%160.18%1,83320.78%8,819
Wise 8,74479.15%2,28120.65%220.20%−6,463−58.50%11,047
Wythe 8,42676.29%2,59423.49%240.22%−5,832−52.81%11,044
York 15,68449.79%15,76950.06%470.15%850.27%31,500
Totals1,449,58642.22%1,976,85757.58%6,8970.20%527,27115.36%3,433,340
2021-25 Virginia gubernatorial election county swing.svg
2021-25 Virginia gubernatorial election county trend.svg
2025 Virginia Gubernatorial Election County-Independent City Flips.png

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Spanberger won eight of 11 congressional districts, including two held by Republicans. [188]

DistrictEarle-SearsSpanbergerRepresentative
1st 48.6%51.2% Rob Wittman
2nd 46.1%53.7% Jen Kiggans
3rd 27.9%71.9% Bobby Scott
4th 29.2%70.6% Jennifer McClellan
5th 53.5%46.3% John McGuire
6th 58.2%41.6% Ben Cline
7th 42.2%57.6% Eugene Vindman
8th 19.6%80.1% Don Beyer
9th 68.1%31.7% Morgan Griffith
10th 39.6%60.1% Suhas Subramanyam
11th 26.2%73.5% James Walkinshaw

Analysis

Political analysts saw the election as a referendum on President Trump's second administration. [189] [190]

Spanberger's victory was attributed to anger in Northern Virginia over the mass layoffs of federal workers ordered by the Department of Government Efficiency led by Elon Musk as part of President Donald Trump's efforts to downsize the federal government. Additionally, many furloughed federal workers were energized by the ongoing federal government shutdown. Discontentment with the U.S. economy under Trump, which many Virginians blamed on his tariff policies, also played a factor in motivating Spanberger voters. [191] 88% of her margin came from Northern Virginia, though she could've won without the region. [192]

Spanberger did well with college-educated voters, winning voters with college degrees by 27 points (63%-36%). Many college campuses which shifted leftward by 18 points on average — largely due to young voters. She flipped Montgomery County which is home to Virginia Tech. Spanberger’s strongest independent city was Charlottesville where the University of Virginia is — her alma mater. The conservative and evangelical Liberty University in Lynchburg shifted to the left by six points. [193] Earle-Sears narrowly retained Lynchburg City by 277 votes which voted for Trump in 2024 and Biden in 2020. According to the CNN exit poll, Earle-Sears won White Evangelical Christian voters by 60 points (80%-20%) while Earle-Sears won the Liberty University precinct by 93 points (97%-3%). [194] According to the CNN exit poll, college-educated voters made up more of the electorate compared to 2021. Spanberger won college-educated voters by 27 points (63%-36%) while she narrowly won non-college educated voters by one point (50%-49%) when they have trended more conservative in prior elections.

Spanberger set a record for most votes received by a gubernatorial candidate in Virginia. She won the 1st congressional district, represented by Republican Rob Wittman since 2007, making her the first Democratic statewide candidate to win the district since 2008. Spanberger would have won the state without Northern Virginia, [192] which even Biden was unable to do in 2020. This also holds by congressional district, as excluding the four districts based in Northern Virginia, Spanberger still won four while Earle-Sears won three. [195] Spanberger won every congressional district in the Tidewater Region (eastern Virginia), while Earle-Sears won every congressional district in the Upland South (western Virginia). Spanberger did best in Northern Virginia near the District of Columbia, while Earle-Sears did best in Appalachia near West Virginia. Earle-Sears won Virginia's 9th congressional district with more than two-thirds of the vote, with Southwest Virginia remaining strongly Republican similar to West Virginia. [196]

This is the first time since 1985 that a Democrat carried Spotsylvania County, a notable Republican stronghold, as well as Waynesboro City. Stafford County also flipped for the first time since 1985, though Harris won Stafford in 2024. Nelson County and Caroline County also voted Democratic for the first time since 2013. James City County voted Democratic for the first time since 2005, although it voted Democratic in 2020 and 2024. [197] Spanberger's closest victory was in York County (home to Yorktown, Virginia), which voted Democratic for the first time since 1965. York has not voted Democratic for president since 1964. Kamala Harris did win 46% in York in 2024, losing the county by 6%, the best performance in the county since 1964. [198]

CNN exit poll

2025 Virginia gubernatorial election voter demographics (CNN) [199]
Demographic subgroupSpanbergerEarle-Sears% of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals 96433
Moderates 693133
Conservatives 109035
Party
Democrats 99136
Republicans 79331
Independents 594033
Donald Trump job approval
Approve69439
Disapprove92759
Most important issue facing Virginia
Economy633648
Health care811821
Education554511
Immigration118911
2024 presidential vote
Kamala Harris 99151
Donald Trump 79342
Another candidate61362
Did not vote61393
Gender
Men485147
Women653553
Income
$200,000 or more643614
$100,000-$199,999514828
$50,000-$99,999584231
Less than $50,000633726
Race/ethnicity
White 475371
Asian 80204
Latino 67335
Black 93716
White born-again or evangelical Christian?
Yes208028
No712972
Race by gender
White men386134
White women544636
Black men89117
Black women9639
Latino men53472
Latina women78222
All other voters73279
Age
18–29 years old702913
30–44 years old623820
45-64 years old554535
65 and older514932
Area type
Urban663419
Suburban594157
Rural465424
Education
College graduate633652
No college degree504948
Education by race
White college graduates574338
Non-white college graduates801914
Whites without college346633
Non-whites without college851515
Education by gender and race
White women with college degrees653520
White women without college degrees396016
White men with college degrees485218
White men without college degrees297117
Voters of color831730
Educational attainment
Advanced degree 683223
Bachelor's degree604029
Associate's degree534710
Some college554517
Never attended college465421

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ From May 21 to September 10, 2025, Virginia's 11th congressional district was vacant after the death of Democratic Representative Gerry Connolly. This temporarily created a split 5-5 U.S. House delegation in the state. Democrats' 6-5 majority was restored when Democrat James Walkinshaw won the September 9 special election.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ Held office as a Republican
  4. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. ↑ Donna Charles with 5%
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 Donna Charles with 1%
  7. ↑ "Would not vote" with 0%
  8. ↑ Donna Charles with 4%
  9. ↑ "Refused" with 2%; "Some other candidate" with 1%
  10. ↑ "Refused" with 1%; Donna Charles with 0%
  11. ↑ "Neither" and "Would not vote" with 1%
  12. ↑ "Neither" with 3%; "Would not vote" with 2%
  13. 1 2 3 4 Donna Charles with 2%
  14. ↑ "None of these" with 1%
  15. ↑ "Neither" and "Would not vote" with 2%
  16. ↑ "Other" with 1%
  17. 1 2 "Wouldn't vote" with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  18. ↑ Donna Charles with 3%
  19. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  20. ↑ Donna Charles with 8%
  21. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  22. ↑ Denver Riggleman with 7%
  23. 1 2 "Someone else" with 4%
  24. ↑ "Someone else" with 5%
  25. ↑ "Wouldn't vote" with 4%; "Someone else" with 1%
  26. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%. "Don't know/Refused" with 4%
  27. ↑ "None / Would not vote" with 5%; "Other candidate" with 4%; "Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by Stoney's campaign
  2. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by The Hill
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics, a conservative content creator
  4. ↑ Poll commissioned by the Democratic Attorneys General Association
  5. ↑ Poll commissioned by the Democratic Governors Association, which supports Spanberger
  6. ↑ Poll sponsored by John Reid's campaign for LT Gov
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Virginia Project
  8. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Founders Insight
  9. ↑ Poll sponsored by Virginia FREE
  10. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Northern Virginia Republican Business Forum
  11. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the University of Mary Washington

References

  1. ↑ "Election Results". enr.elections.virginia.gov.
  2. 1 2 Bianco, Ali (April 5, 2025). "Virginia's bellwether governor race is set". Politico . Archived from the original on April 6, 2025. Retrieved April 5, 2025.
  3. ↑ Collette, Christopher (April 3, 2025). "Spanberger confirmed to be Democratic nominee for Virginia governor". WVEC . Archived from the original on April 4, 2025. Retrieved April 3, 2025.
  4. 1 2 3 Nadeau, Ryan (April 5, 2025). "Earle-Sears secures Republican nomination for Virginia governor, creating historic gubernatorial ticket". ABC News . Archived from the original on April 8, 2025. Retrieved December 5, 2025.
  5. ↑ Martin, Jonathan (November 5, 2025). "The Night Democrats Finally Stopped Losing". Politico. Archived from the original on December 29, 2025. Retrieved November 5, 2025.
  6. ↑ Shroder, Landon (November 4, 2025). "Spanberger Wins Decisively, 53 Minutes After Polls Close". RVA Mag . Archived from the original on December 29, 2025. Retrieved December 12, 2025.
  7. 1 2 Mutnick, Ally (February 12, 2025). "How Trump's assault on bureaucracy could rock Virginia elections". Politico . Archived from the original on May 3, 2025. Retrieved February 12, 2025. The off-year races are often a bellwether for the national mood a year before the midterms.
  8. ↑ Barthel, Margaret (November 4, 2025). "Democrat Spanberger wins Virginia governor race with message on DOGE, cost of living". NPR News . Archived from the original on November 5, 2025. Retrieved December 7, 2025.
  9. ↑ Manchester, Julie (September 30, 2025). "Spanberger sees affordability as central issue in Virginia governor's race". The Hill . Archived from the original on September 30, 2025. Retrieved December 6, 2025.
  10. ↑ Troadec, Halle (November 4, 2025). "Democrat Abigail Spanberger to make history as Virginia's 1st female governor, flipping governorship blue". ABC News . Archived from the original on December 5, 2025. Retrieved December 12, 2025.
  11. ↑ Troadec, Halle (November 3, 2025). "Republican leans on anti-trans rights ads in Virginia governor race". ABC News . Archived from the original on November 30, 2025. Retrieved December 12, 2025.
  12. ↑ "Donald Trump's approval rating". The Economist . Retrieved December 7, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  13. ↑ Sanders & Boak, Linley & Josh (November 5, 2025). "Tuesday's races were a quiet rebuke of Trump for many voters, AP Voter Poll finds". Associated Press . Archived from the original on November 17, 2025. Retrieved December 7, 2025.
  14. ↑ Manzanares, Keyris (November 25, 2024). "How Virginia's Latinos voted in the 2024 election". WHRO Public Media. Archived from the original on May 18, 2025. Retrieved December 7, 2025.
  15. ↑ "2025 Virginia Governor - Earle-Sears vs. Spanberger". Real Clear Politics . Archived from the original on November 10, 2025. Retrieved December 7, 2025.
  16. ↑ NBC, Washington Staff (November 5, 2025). "Democrat Spanberger elected Virginia's first female governor". NBC News . Archived from the original on December 29, 2025. Retrieved December 12, 2025.
  17. ↑ Yancey, Dwayne (November 12, 2025). "Here's another reason why Spanberger's margin was so large: Earle-Sears failed to excite working-class Republicans". Cardinal News. Archived from the original on December 28, 2025. Retrieved December 5, 2025. Spanberger consistently retained Kamala Harris voters across the state. Earle-Sears' vote was inconsistent; she did well at retaining more affluent Donald Trump voters but saw many working-class Republican voters stay home.
  18. ↑ "Virginia - Ballotpedia". Ballotpedia . Archived from the original on November 15, 2025. Retrieved January 4, 2026.
  19. ↑ 270toWin Staff (November 1, 2021). "Outcome of Races for Governor and House Control in Virginia Will Define Election Day 2021". 270toWin . Archived from the original on November 6, 2024. Retrieved January 4, 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  20. ↑ Kronzer, Jessica (November 7, 2023). "Democrats sweep Virginia elections to take control of General Assembly". WTOP. Archived from the original on May 24, 2024. Retrieved November 8, 2023.
  21. ↑ Schmidt, Markus (November 20, 2024). "Trump's victory sets the stage for high-stakes Virginia elections in 2025". Virginia Mercury . Archived from the original on May 3, 2025. Retrieved January 9, 2026.
  22. ↑ Phillips, Logan. "2025-2026 Governor Forecast". Race To The White House. Archived from the original on July 5, 2025. Retrieved January 4, 2026.
  23. ↑ Moreno, Sabrina (August 14, 2025). "The 3 issues deciding Virginia's governor's race". Axios . Archived from the original on January 3, 2026. Retrieved January 9, 2026.
  24. ↑ Moreno, Sabrina (March 5, 2025). "Trump tariffs could cause Virginians to pay more on everyday goods". Axios . Archived from the original on March 8, 2025. Retrieved January 13, 2026.
  25. ↑ Vozzella, Laura; Schneider, Gregory S. (September 5, 2024). "Virginia Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears announces her candidacy for governor". The Washington Post . Retrieved December 19, 2025.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  26. ↑ Yancey, Dwayne (November 18, 2024). "Miyares to seek re-election; 2025 governor's race now appears set". CardinalNews.com. Archived from the original on January 20, 2025. Retrieved February 28, 2025.
  27. ↑ Schmidt, Markus (February 27, 2025). "Earle-Sears' uncontested run ends as rivals enter Virginia GOP primary for governor". CBS19News.com. Retrieved February 28, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  28. ↑ Englander, Tyler (February 27, 2025). "Is Lieutenant Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears still the GOP favorite after governor's race shakeup?". WAVY.com. Archived from the original on May 25, 2025. Retrieved February 28, 2025.
  29. ↑ Jarvis, Brandon (April 5, 2025). "Sears is the Republican nominee for governor". Virginia Scope . Archived from the original on July 10, 2025. Retrieved April 5, 2025.
  30. 1 2 Carey, Julie (April 7, 2025). "Earle-Sears vs. Spanberger: Virginia governor's race set without "Trump in heels", ex-delegate". NBC Washington. Archived from the original on May 8, 2025. Retrieved May 23, 2025.
  31. ↑ Vozzella, Laura (November 17, 2024). "Virginia AG Jason Miyares says he will run for re-election, not governor". The Washington Post .
  32. ↑ Andrew Solender [@andrewsolender] (December 4, 2024). "Virginia Rep. Rob Wittman is "not considering a run for Governor in 2025", his campaign tells me. "Congressman Wittman is looking forward to serving his constituents in the 119th Congress and running for re-election to Congress in 2026."" (Tweet). Retrieved December 4, 2024– via Twitter.
  33. ↑ Guerra, Shirleen (March 21, 2025). "Virginia's 2025 gubernatorial election update". The Center Square . Retrieved March 26, 2025.
  34. ↑ Shucard, Ryan (November 1, 2024). "Virginia Poll: Harris Flatlines as Trump Gains Ground Among Non-College Voters". Cygnal.
  35. ↑ Brown, Mitchell (March 20, 2024). "Sears Holds Early and Commanding Lead Over Miyares in VA Gov. Race" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 1, 2024. Retrieved March 20, 2025.
  36. ↑ "Virginia GOP Primary Poll". Differentiators Data. March 1, 2023. Retrieved March 20, 2025.
  37. 1 2 "Governor". Virginia Public Access Project. March 31, 2025. Archived from the original on June 1, 2025. Retrieved May 19, 2025.
  38. ↑ Tumulty, Karen (November 5, 2025). "Spanberger's unlikely journey from the CIA to Va.'s first female governor". The Washington Post . Retrieved November 29, 2025.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  39. 1 2 Rankin, Sarah (November 13, 2023). "Virginia Rep. Abigail Spanberger is running for governor instead of seeking reelection to the House". The Associated Press . Archived from the original on December 25, 2024. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
  40. 1 2 Schneider, Gregory (December 4, 2023). "Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney announces run for governor in 2025". The Washington Post . Retrieved November 29, 2025.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  41. 1 2 "State of the Commonwealth 2024". Christopher Newport University . January 24, 2024. Archived from the original on November 15, 2025.
  42. 1 2 Vozzella, Laura (April 22, 2024). "Richmond Mayor Stoney drops Va. governor bid, seeks lt. governor post". The Washington Post . Retrieved April 23, 2024.
  43. ↑ Lundy, Kathleen (June 18, 2025). "Ghazala Hashmi wins Democratic primary for Virginia lieutenant governor". 13NewsNOW . Archived from the original on January 14, 2026. Retrieved November 29, 2025.
  44. 1 2 Soellner, Mica (December 14, 2023). "Bobby Scott explores Virginia gubernatorial run". Punchbowl News . Archived from the original on November 5, 2025. Retrieved November 29, 2025.
  45. 1 2 Martz, Michael (March 1, 2025). "Bobby Scott hints he's not running for Virginia governor". Richmond Times-Dispatch . Retrieved March 28, 2025.
  46. 1 2 Collette, Christopher (April 3, 2025). "Spanberger confirmed to be Democratic nominee for Virginia governor". WVEC . Archived from the original on April 4, 2025. Retrieved April 3, 2025.
  47. ↑ Vozzella, Laura (December 13, 2024). "Rep. Bobby Scott considers challenging Spanberger in Va. governor primary". The Washington Post . Retrieved December 14, 2024.
  48. ↑ Montellaro, Zach (December 5, 2023). "McAuliffe backs Richmond Mayor Stoney in 2025 Virginia governor race". Politico . Retrieved December 5, 2023.
  49. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Feld, Lowell (December 4, 2023). "Video: Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney Launches Campaign for Virginia Governor". Blue Virginia. Archived from the original on January 12, 2026. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
  50. ↑ Steger, Preston (December 1, 2023). "Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney files paperwork to run for Virginia governor in 2025". WVEC .
  51. ↑ "Levar Stoney for Governor Campaign "Internal" Poll Finds Initial 44%–11% Lead for Abigail Spanberger Shrinks to 34%–30% ("a near dead heat") After Positive Info Provided About Both Candidates". Blue Virginia. April 9, 2024. Archived from the original on November 5, 2025. Retrieved March 20, 2025.
  52. ↑ Rudisill, Michael (October 12, 2025). "Donna Charles ends her campaign for Governor of Virginia, endorses Abigail Spanberger". WAVY.com . Archived from the original on October 13, 2025. Retrieved October 13, 2025.
  53. ↑ "Virginia election winners break race and gender barriers amid national scrutiny on diversity". WTOP News. November 5, 2025.
  54. ↑ "Republican Winsome Earle-Sears shakes up campaign staff in Virginia governor's race". NBC News. July 17, 2025. Retrieved August 27, 2025.
  55. ↑ Jallad, Mariah; Nadeau, Ryan; Mariah Jallad, Ryan Nadeau (August 24, 2025). "Virginia leaders condemn racist sign targeting Winsome Earle-Sears". WAVY.com. Retrieved August 27, 2025.
  56. ↑ Cain, Andrew (August 24, 2025). "Both parties criticize a sign targeting Winsome Earle-Sears as racist". The Virginian-Pilot. Retrieved August 27, 2025.
  57. ↑ OLIVIA DIAZ; MIKE CATALINI (October 7, 2025). "Democrats in governors races see political opportunity amid government shutdown". Times Union. Retrieved October 8, 2025.
  58. ↑ Phillip M. Bailey; Karissa Waddick. "Could the federal shutdown and DOGE cuts tip Virginia's governor's race?". USA TODAY. Retrieved October 8, 2025.
  59. ↑ "Earle-Sears dodges questions about Trump administration layoffs of federal workers". The Virginia Independent. October 3, 2025. Retrieved October 8, 2025.
  60. ↑ Manchester, Julia (October 8, 2025). "Earle-Sears places $1M ad buy in wake of Jones scandal". The Hill . Retrieved October 13, 2025.
  61. ↑ Bailey, Phillip M. "'Sick' texts from Democratic AG candidate could threaten Spanberger chances in Virginia". USA TODAY. Retrieved October 8, 2025.
  62. ↑ David Wright; Eva McKend (October 3, 2025). "Republicans double down on trans issues as a wedge with Virginia voters". CNN. Retrieved October 11, 2025.
  63. ↑ Schmidt, Markus (October 2, 2025). "New poll: Spanberger takes 10-point lead, makes gains with younger voters in Va. governor's race". Virginia Mercury. Retrieved October 11, 2025.
  64. ↑ "JMU responds after video of fan shouting at Winsome Earle-Sears goes viral". 12onyourside.com. October 21, 2025. Retrieved October 23, 2025.
  65. ↑ "Upcoming Elections". Virginia Department of Elections. Retrieved September 10, 2025.
  66. ↑ Woods, Charlotte Rene (August 18, 2025). "Debating the debates: Spanberger, Earle-Sears to face off Oct. 9". Virginia Mercury. Retrieved August 27, 2025.
  67. ↑ "Virginia governor nominees face-off in only debate before election day". WJLA.com. October 9, 2025. Archived from the original on October 10, 2025. Retrieved October 9, 2025.
  68. 1 2 "Abigail Spanberger and Winsome Earle-Sears clash over Jay Jones' violent texts in lone Virginia governor's debate". NBC News. October 10, 2025. Retrieved October 11, 2025.
  69. ↑ Khalil, Jahd (October 10, 2025). "What did Virginians learn from the sole Spanberger and Earle-Sears debate?". VPM. Retrieved October 11, 2025.
  70. ↑ "BEYOND THE PODIUM: Virginia Gubernatorial Forum". YouTube. ABC 7 News. October 28, 2025. Event occurs at 3:30.
  71. ↑ "Virginia Gubernatorial Debate". YouTube . October 9, 2025.
  72. ↑ "2025 Governor Race Ratings for December 6, 2024". The Cook Political Report . Archived from the original on December 8, 2024. Retrieved December 19, 2024.
  73. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved February 7, 2025.
  74. ↑ Coleman, J. Miles (April 30, 2025). "The Governors, Part One: Democrats Start as Favorites in 2025 New Jersey and Virginia Races". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 1, 2025.
  75. ↑ "Governor Forecast – 2026-2026". Race to the WH. Retrieved June 30, 2025.
  76. ↑ "'25 VA Forecast". August 15, 2025. Retrieved August 15, 2025.
  77. ↑ Saenz, Arlette (October 31, 2025). "The 2025 campaign trail becomes popular stop for Democrats with eyes on 2028". CNN . Retrieved October 31, 2025.
  78. 1 2 Edelman, Adam (October 26, 2025). "Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro hits the trail for Abigail Spanberger in the closing stretch of the Virginia governor's race". NBC News . Retrieved November 3, 2025.
  79. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Lt. Governor Sears Announces Run for Governor in Virginia Beach… and Mentions Trump Twice". Black Virginia News. September 6, 2024. Retrieved August 20, 2025.
  80. 1 2 3 "Who has endorsed your candidate for Virginia governor?". WAVY.com. October 9, 2025. Retrieved October 13, 2025.
  81. ↑ Nuechterlein, Kate (July 25, 2025). "McGuire makes surprise roadside campaign stop in Charlottesville for Earle-Sears". 29News. Retrieved August 19, 2025.
  82. ↑ Woods, Charlotte (August 15, 2025). "In Chesterfield, Earle-Sears slams Spanberger, revives Youngkin's winning campaign slogans". Virginia Mercury. Retrieved August 19, 2025.
  83. ↑ Diaz, Olivia (November 18, 2024). "Virginia Attorney General Jason Miyares will seek re-election, quelling talk of a gubernatorial bid". The Associated Press . Retrieved November 18, 2024.
  84. ↑ "Candidates for Virginia governor want to make history, but voters are fatigued". VPM. January 28, 2025. Retrieved August 19, 2025.
  85. ↑ LaRoue, Jimmy (September 18, 2025). "Earle-Sears wins endorsements of 81 Virginia sheriffs". WAVY 10. Retrieved October 1, 2025.
  86. ↑ Creitz, Charles (September 10, 2025). "Ramaswamy endorses Winsome Earle-Sears for Virginia governor, rally planned next week in swing suburb". Fox News . Retrieved September 10, 2025.
  87. ↑ "Maggie's List Proudly Endorses Winsome Earle-Sears for Virginia Governor". Maggie's List . February 21, 2025. Retrieved February 24, 2025.
  88. ↑ "NFIB Virginia PAC Endorses Winsome Earle-Sears for Governor". NFIB. National Federation of Independent Business. October 15, 2025. Retrieved October 21, 2025.
  89. ↑ "The National Right to Life Committee endorses the following candidates in vitally important races in Virginia!" (PDF). National Right to Life Committee. Retrieved October 1, 2025.
  90. ↑ "NRA's Political Victory Fund Endorses Lieutenant Governor Winsome Sears, Attorney General Jason Miyares and John Reid". NRA-PVF. August 6, 2025. Retrieved August 19, 2025.
  91. ↑ "Political Action Committee - Virginia Citizens Defense League". Virginia Citizens Defense League . Retrieved October 13, 2025.
  92. ↑ @VACollegeGOP (October 3, 2025). "ENDORSEMENT ALERT The Virginia College Republicans board has voted to endorse: WINSOME EARLE-SEARS for Governor JASON MIYARES for Attorney General" (Tweet). Retrieved October 13, 2025– via Twitter.
  93. 1 2 Nadeau, Ryan (October 21, 2025). "Spanberger rallies alongside Buttigieg, Bill Nye in Charlottesville as Election Day approaches". 8News' . Retrieved October 21, 2025.
  94. ↑ Bowman, Bridget (October 16, 2025). "Obama endorses Abigail Spanberger in Virginia's race for governor". NBC News . Retrieved October 16, 2025.
  95. 1 2 Chase, Kenzie (October 8, 2025). "Who has endorsed your candidate for Virginia governor?". WJHL. Retrieved October 24, 2025.
  96. 1 2 Glass, Maggie (November 3, 2025). "Spanberger holds rally on VCU campus in final push for Virginia governor's race". WWBT . Retrieved November 4, 2025. Congresswoman Jennifer McClellan and Michigan Senator Elissa Slotkin joined her.
  97. 1 2 Graham, Chris (November 15, 2023). "Beyer, Connolly endorse Abigail Spanberger in 2025 Virginia governor race". Augusta Free Press. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
  98. 1 2 Woodall, Hunter (September 17, 2025). "Abigail Spanberger gets show of support from 2 former GOP lawmakers in bid to be Virginia governor". CBS News . Retrieved September 17, 2025.
  99. ↑ Martz, Michael (November 23, 2023). "Spanberger broadens support with Perriello endorsement". The Daily Progress . Retrieved November 27, 2023.
  100. ↑ Nir, David (December 17, 2024). "Morning Digest: Kathy Hochul could face a challenge from her own lieutenant governor". The Downballot. Retrieved December 17, 2024.
  101. ↑ "Vindman endorses Spanberger for governor". Culpeper Star-Exponent . December 14, 2024. Retrieved December 20, 2024.
  102. 1 2 Martz, Michael (November 15, 2023). "Northam endorses Spanberger in run for governor". Richmond Times-Dispatch . Retrieved November 15, 2023.
  103. ↑ Swick, Carson (October 31, 2025). "Maryland Gov. Wes Moore to make multi-stop push for Spanberger in Virginia". The Baltimore Sun . Retrieved October 31, 2025.
  104. ↑ Woodall, Hunter (October 23, 2025). "Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro heading to Virginia in final stretch of Spanberger's gubernatorial campaign - CBS News". CBS News . Retrieved October 23, 2025.
  105. ↑ "Lucas endorsed Spanberger signaling peace for Virginia Democrats". Virginia Scope. May 21, 2025. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  106. ↑ Schmidt, Markus (September 23, 2025). "Morrissey breaks with Democrats, backs GOP's John Reid for lieutenant governor". States Newsroom . Retrieved September 23, 2025.
  107. ↑ Rene Woods, Charlotte (September 10, 2024). "Virginia House Speaker Don Scott endorses Abigail Spanberger for governor". VirginiaMercury.com. Retrieved June 30, 2025.
  108. ↑ Beckford, Patriceia (August 13, 2025). "Virginia Police Benevolent Association endorses Abigail Spanberger for governor". 13 News Now.
  109. ↑ Cannon, Benjy (March 31, 2025). "UNITE HERE Endorses Abigail Spanberger for Virginia Governor". UNITE HERE!. Retrieved October 24, 2025.
  110. ↑ "Largest Federal Employee Union Endorses Abigail Spanberger for Election as Virginia's Next Governor". American Federation of Government Employees. September 25, 2025. Retrieved October 24, 2025.
  111. ↑ "ANCA endorses Abigail Spanberger for Virginia Governor". October 28, 2025.
  112. ↑ "Brady PAC Endorses Abigail Spanberger for Governor of Virginia". Brady PAC. November 30, 2023. Retrieved November 30, 2023.
  113. ↑ MICHAEL MARTZ (April 15, 2024). "Clean Virginia endorses Spanberger in governor's race". Richmond Times-Dispatch.
  114. ↑ "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Congresswoman Abigail Spanberger for Virginia Governor". End Citizens United. April 17, 2024. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  115. ↑ "EMILYs List Endorses Abigail Spanberger for Governor of Virginia". EMILY's List . December 20, 2023. Retrieved December 20, 2023.
  116. ↑ "Everytown for Gun Safety Endorses Abigail Spanberger, Former Moms Demand Action Volunteer, for Governor of Virginia; Announces $1 Million Investment in Virginia Governor's Race". Everytown.org. April 10, 2025. Retrieved June 30, 2025.
  117. ↑ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Abigail Spanberger for Virginia Governor". Giffords. May 22, 2024. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
  118. ↑ "Human Rights Campaign PAC Endorses Abigail Spanberger for Virginia…". HRC. April 22, 2025.
  119. ↑ McDonald, Joel (April 29, 2025). "LGBT+ Democrats of Virginia Proudly Endorse Abigail Spanberger for Governor". LGBT+ Democrats of Virginia. Retrieved June 18, 2025.
  120. ↑ "2025 Endorsed Candidates – Virginia NOW". vanow.org.
  121. ↑ "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Abigail Spanberger for Virginia Governor". Reproductive Freedom for All. June 4, 2025. Retrieved June 18, 2025.
  122. ↑ "Virginia LCV Announces Endorsement of Spanberger in Pivotal 2025 Governor's Race". VALCV.org. February 20, 2025.
  123. ↑ "Vote Mama PAC | Candidates". Vote Mama PAC. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  124. ↑ "VoteVets PAC Endorses Spanberger for Governor of Virginia". VoteVets. November 29, 2023. Retrieved November 29, 2023.
  125. ↑ "Virginia Governor General Ballot Test". Decision Desk HQ. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  126. ↑ "Virginia General Governor Election". FiftyPlusOne. Retrieved October 20, 2025.
  127. ↑ "2025–2026 Governor Polling". Race to the White House. Retrieved September 18, 2025.
  128. ↑ "2025 Virginia Governor – Earle-Sears vs. Spanberger". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 28, 2025.
  129. ↑ "Who leads the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial race?". VoteHub. Retrieved October 21, 2025.
  130. ↑ @QuantusInsights (November 4, 2025). "NEW QUANTUS INSIGHTS POLL: Virginia Snap Poll 2025 – N=1201 LVs, MoE ±2.7%" (Tweet). Retrieved November 4, 2025– via Twitter.
  131. ↑ "Final InsiderAdvantage Survey Virginia Governor's Race: Winsome Earle-Sears Continues to Slide; Spanberger up by Ten Points". InsiderAdvantage. November 3, 2025. Retrieved November 3, 2025.
  132. ↑ Canseco, Mario (November 3, 2025). "Spanberger Clearly Ahead in Virginia's Gubernatorial Election". Research Co. Retrieved November 3, 2025.
  133. ↑ "Virginia Governor General Election Survey – November 2025" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group . November 3, 2025. Retrieved November 3, 2025.
  134. ↑ "Virginia 2025: Spanberger Leads Virginia Governor's Race; Attorney General Contest Remains a Toss-Up". Emerson College. November 2, 2025. Retrieved November 2, 2025.
  135. ↑ "2025 Virginia Election Survey". Echelon Insights. Retrieved October 31, 2025.
  136. ↑ "Atlas Poll - Virginia Gubernatorial Election - October 2025" (PDF). AtlasIntel . October 31, 2025. Retrieved October 31, 2025.
  137. ↑ "Virginians May Split Their Tickets in November, SoCal Strategies Poll Finds". SoCal Strategies on Substack. October 30, 2025. Retrieved October 30, 2025.
  138. ↑ Radcliffe, Mary; Nuttycombe, Chaz (November 2025). "Virginia Poll Shows Spanberger Maintaining Wide Lead, and a Dead Heat for Attorney General". State Navigate. Retrieved November 1, 2025.
  139. ↑ "Virginia Race for Governor Joint InsiderAdvantage/Trafalgar Group Survey: Spanberger Holds Four Point Lead". InsiderAdvantage. October 30, 2025. Retrieved October 30, 2025.
  140. ↑ "Spanberger leads Earle-Sears by double digits; Jones now trails Miyares". Roanoke College . October 30, 2025. Retrieved October 30, 2025.
  141. ↑ "Virginia Gubernatorial Election" (PDF). YouGov . October 30, 2025. Retrieved October 30, 2025.
  142. ↑ "A2 Insights Virginia Poll". A2 Insights. October 27, 2025. Retrieved October 27, 2025.
  143. ↑ "Spanberger Leads Earle-Sears by 7 Points". The Wason Center. October 27, 2025. Retrieved October 27, 2025.
  144. ↑ "Virginia Governor Statewide & Bellwethers marginals" (PDF). Suffolk University . October 23, 2025. Retrieved October 23, 2025.
  145. ↑ "Quantus Insights Poll: Split Decision in Virginia". Quantus Insights. October 21, 2025. Retrieved October 21, 2025.
  146. ↑ Radcliffe, Mary; Nuttycombe, Chaz (October 22, 2025). "State Navigate Poll Shows Spanberger with 13-Point Lead in Virginia Governor Race". State Navigate. Retrieved October 22, 2025.
  147. ↑ "Washington Post/Schar School October Poll" (PDF). Washington Post . October 23, 2025. Retrieved October 23, 2025.
  148. ↑ "Virginia 2025: Spanberger Leads Statewide as Voters Split Their Tickets" (PDF). Kaplan Strategies. October 19, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  149. ↑ "Virginia Statewide 2025 General Election". co/efficient. October 17, 2025. Retrieved October 20, 2025.
  150. ↑ "The Virginia Attorney General race remains a dead heat" (PDF). Clarity Campaign Labs. October 21, 2025. Retrieved October 21, 2025.
  151. ↑ "Virginia Statewide Poll, October 2025". The Trafalgar Group. October 16, 2025. Retrieved October 16, 2025.
  152. ↑ Wilder, Douglas (October 21, 2025). "Commonwealth Poll: Spanberger leads Earle-Sears 49% to 42% in Virginia governor's race". Virginia Commonwealth University. Retrieved October 21, 2025.
  153. ↑ "Virginia Statewide Poll, October 2025". The Trafalgar Group. October 10, 2025. Retrieved October 10, 2025.
  154. ↑ "Virginia Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling . October 9, 2025. Retrieved October 9, 2025.
  155. 1 2 Mates, Thomas; Minock, Nick (October 9, 2025). "New poll shows Virginia governor's race tightening, Spanberger still leads". WJLA-TV . Retrieved October 9, 2025.
  156. ↑ "Spanberger Leads Earle-Sears by 10 Points in the Race for Governor". The Wason Center. October 6, 2025. Retrieved October 6, 2025.
  157. ↑ "Virginia Statewide Poll, Sept-Oct 2025". The Trafalgar Group. October 2, 2025. Retrieved October 2, 2025.
  158. ↑ "Virginia 2025 Poll: Spanberger Holds 10-Point Lead over Earle-Sears for Governor". Emerson College Polling . October 2, 2025. Retrieved October 2, 2025.
  159. ↑ "Spanberger holds wide lead in Virginia governor's race, Post-Schar School poll finds" (PDF). The Washington Post. Retrieved October 3, 2025.
  160. ↑ "A2 Insights Virginia Poll". A2 Insights. September 30, 2025. Retrieved September 30, 2025.
  161. ↑ "Virginia Statewide General Election 2025". co/efficient. September 23, 2025. Retrieved September 25, 2025.
  162. ↑ McLaughlin, Seth (September 25, 2025). "Virginia AG Miyares gains ground in reelection push as GOP rallies against political violence: Poll". The Washington Times . Retrieved September 25, 2025.
  163. ↑ "In the Race for Governor Spanberger Leads Earle Sears by 12 Points Among Virginia Likely Voters". The Wason Center. Retrieved September 18, 2025.
  164. ↑ "Internal Polling Confirms Reid Leads Hashmi in Race for Lieutenant Governor". John Reid for Virginia. September 10, 2025. Retrieved September 10, 2025.
  165. ↑ "Democrats Poised to Win All Statewide Virginia Elections in 2025, New SoCal Strategies Poll Finds". Substack . September 1, 2025. Retrieved September 1, 2025.
  166. ↑ "Spanberger maintains lead in race for governor". Virginia Commonwealth University. September 9, 2025. Retrieved September 9, 2025.
  167. ↑ "A new poll shows Spanberger leading; and tighter contests for LG and AG". Virginia Political Newsletter. August 27, 2025. Retrieved August 27, 2025.
  168. ↑ "Spanberger lead over Earle-Sears narrows". Roanoke College . August 19, 2025. Retrieved August 19, 2025.
  169. ↑ "Roanoke College, August 2025 – Topline and Crosstabs" (PDF). Roanoke College . August 19, 2025. Retrieved August 19, 2025.
  170. ↑ "VA Statewide Survey, July 2025". Wick Insights. July 22, 2025. Retrieved July 22, 2025.
  171. ↑ "AARP 2025 Virginia Gubernatorial Survey: Annotated Questionnaire" (PDF). AARP . October 2, 2025. Retrieved October 7, 2025.
  172. ↑ "Commonwealth Poll: In Virginia governor's race, Democratic candidate Spanberger leads GOP's Earle-Sears, 49% to 37%". Virginia Commonwealth University. July 16, 2025. Retrieved July 16, 2025.
  173. ↑ "Virginia Statewide 2025 General Election" (PDF). co/efficient. June 10, 2025. Retrieved June 13, 2025.
  174. ↑ "Spanberger leads Earle-Sears in early poll; Political anxiety increases". Roanoke College. May 22, 2025. Retrieved May 22, 2025.
  175. ↑ "Roanoke College May 2025 – Topline and Crosstabs" (PDF). Roanoke College. May 22, 2025. Retrieved May 22, 2025.
  176. ↑ Martz, Michael (May 22, 2025). "Spanberger holds 4-point lead over Earle-Sears in new poll". Richmond Times-Dispatch . Retrieved May 22, 2025.
  177. ↑ Buchanan, Brent (March 4, 2025). "Virginia Governor Race Poll: Sears Positioned for Strong Showing" (PDF). Cygnal. Retrieved March 4, 2025.
  178. ↑ "Roanoke College Poll: Spanberger leads Earle-Sears in early poll". Roanoke College. February 25, 2025. Retrieved February 25, 2025.
  179. ↑ "Virginia Car Tax Statewide Study" (PDF). co/efficient. January 20, 2025. Retrieved January 27, 2025.
  180. ↑ "Commonwealth Poll: Virginians overwhelmingly concerned about cost of living". Virginia Commonwealth University. January 24, 2025. Retrieved January 24, 2025.
  181. ↑ "Spanberger holds a 5-point lead over Winsome Earle-Sears in Virginia Governor's Race with 16% undecided". Christopher Newport University. January 16, 2025. Retrieved January 16, 2025.
  182. ↑ "Virginia 2025 Poll: Spanberger (D) 42%, Earle-Sears (R) 41%". Emerson College. January 9, 2025. Retrieved January 9, 2025.
  183. 1 2 Schmidt, Markus (January 10, 2025). "Another poll confirms tight Virginia Governor's race between Spanberger and Earle-Sears". Virginia Mercury . Retrieved January 10, 2025.
  184. 1 2 "2024 ANNUAL FALL STATEWIDE VA QUESTIONNAIRE" (PDF). Univsersity of Mary Washington. September 20, 2024. Retrieved January 27, 2025.
  185. 1 2 "VA Absentee and Early Voting Opinion Poll" (PDF). Founders Insight. September 11, 2023. Retrieved January 27, 2025.
  186. ↑ O'Bannon, John (November 4, 2025). "2025 November General". Virginia Department of Elections . Retrieved November 4, 2025.
  187. ↑ O'Bannon, John (October 10, 2025). "Governor". Virginia Department of Elections . Retrieved October 13, 2025.
  188. ↑ "VA 2025 Statewides by CD". Google Docs.
  189. ↑ Kuchar, Savannah. "Trump looms over Virginia governor's race: What to know on primary day". USA TODAY. Retrieved June 17, 2025.
  190. ↑ "Virginia Democrats go to the polls in closely watched 2025 primaries". PBS News. June 17, 2025. Retrieved June 17, 2025.
  191. ↑ Flynn, Meagan; Cox, Erin (November 5, 2025). "Five takeaways from Virginia's general election". The Washington Post . Retrieved November 5, 2025.
  192. 1 2 Potter, Bruce (November 5, 2025). "Northern Virginia accounts for 88% of Spanberger's victory margin". WTOPNews (InsideNoVa). Retrieved December 5, 2025. Northern Virginia accounted for about 88% of Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger's victory margin on Tuesday, according to preliminary election results analyzed by InsideNoVa. In the region's four counties and five cities, Spanberger, the Democrat, won 72.3% of the total vote to just 27.4% for her Republican opponent, Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears. Across the rest of Virginia, the margin was much tighter, with Spanberger winning 51.2% to 48.7% for Earle-Sears.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  193. ↑ Kutner, Brad (December 2, 2025). "Virginia's 2025 election certified, colleges swung hard left". RadioIQ . Retrieved December 7, 2025.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  194. ↑ "2025 Virginia Gubernatorial Election: Precinct Level". VoteHub . Retrieved December 17, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  195. ↑ "Without Northern Virginia, Trump would have won the state". Inside NOVA. November 12, 2020. Retrieved December 11, 2025.
  196. ↑ "Editorial: Southwest Virginia is further away from Richmond than you think". Roanoke Times . Retrieved November 15, 2025.
  197. ↑ Yancey, Dwayne (November 7, 2025). "Virginia's blue wave was real but not as big as it looked. Here are the numbers". Cardinal News. Retrieved November 7, 2025.
  198. ↑ Leip, David. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved November 9, 2025.
  199. ↑ "Exit polls for Election Results 2025 | CNN Politics". CNN . Archived from the original on November 16, 2025. Retrieved November 6, 2025.

Official campaign websites

This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.