2016 Virginia Republican presidential primary

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2016 Virginia Republican presidential primary
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2012 March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01) 2024  
  VT
KS  
  Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg Marco Rubio by Gage Skidmore 8 (cropped).jpg Ted Cruz by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz
Home state New York Florida Texas
Delegate count17168
Popular vote356,840327,918171,150
Percentage34.80%31.98%16.69%

  John Kasich (24618295175) (cropped).jpg Ben Carson by Skidmore with lighting correction (cropped).jpg
Candidate John Kasich Ben Carson
Home state Ohio Virginia
Delegate count53
Popular vote97,78460,228
Percentage9.54%5.87%

2016 VA GOP presidential primary.svg
2016 VA presidential primary by congressional district.svg

The 2016 Virginia Republican presidential primary was held on March 1, 2016, as part of the 2016 Republican Party primaries for the 2016 presidential election. 49 delegates from Virginia to the Republican National Convention were allocated proportionally based on the popular vote. [1] Donald Trump edged out a narrow plurality of pledged delegates, with Marco Rubio coming in second place and Ted Cruz placing in a distant third.

Contents

The Virginia Democratic primary occurred on the same day.

Polling

Winner: America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date: March 1, 2016

Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
[1] March 1, 2016 Donald Trump
34.80%
Marco Rubio
31.98%
Ted Cruz
16.69%
John Kasich 9.54%, Ben Carson 5.87%, Jeb Bush 0.36%, Rand Paul 0.28%, Mike Huckabee 0.14%, Chris Christie 0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.09%, Jim Gilmore 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.04%, Rick Santorum 0.04%
CBS/YouGov [2]

Margin of error: ± 8.6% Sample size: 481

February 22–26, 2016Donald Trump
40%
Marco Rubio
27%
Ted Cruz
22%
John Kasich 6%, Ben Carson 4%, Undecided 1%
Monmouth University [3]

Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 421

February 22–24, 2016Donald Trump
41%
Marco Rubio
27%
Ted Cruz
14%
John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 7%, Undecided 4%
Roanoke College [4]

Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 466

February 16–24, 2016Donald Trump
38%
Ted Cruz
15%
Marco Rubio
13%
John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 19%
Christopher Newport University [5]

Margin of error: ± 5.6%
Sample size: 368

February 3–14, 2016Donald Trump
28%
Marco Rubio
22%
Ted Cruz
19%
Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 6%
University of Mary Washington [6]

Margin of error: ± ?%
Sample size: 333

November 4–9, 2015Ben Carson
29%
Donald Trump
24%
Marco Rubio
11%
Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, John Kasich 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Don't know 2%
Christopher Newport University [7]

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 412

September 29 – October 8, 2015Donald Trump
23%
Ben Carson
17%
Marco Rubio
14%
Carly Fiorina 13%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal <1%, George Pataki <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 5%
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage [8]

Margin of error: ± 4.1%
Sample size: 546

August 2–3, 2015Donald Trump
27.9%
Jeb Bush
14.8%
Scott Walker
10.1%
Ben Carson 8%, Carly Fiorina 6.8%, Ted Cruz 6.4%, Rand Paul 5.1%, Marco Rubio 3.5%, John Kasich 3.2%, Chris Christie 3.1%, Rick Perry 2.3%, Mike Huckabee 1.5%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, George Pataki 0.7%, Rick Santorum 0%, Someone else 1.8%, Undecided 3.2%
Public Policy Polling [9]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 502

July 13–15, 2015Jeb Bush
18%
Donald Trump
14%
Scott Walker
14%
Ben Carson 10%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Ted Cruz 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Perry 2%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else/Not sure 3%
Christopher Newport University [10]

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: ?

April 13–24, 2015Jeb Bush
17%
Marco Rubio
16%
Chris Christie
10%
Rand Paul 10%, Scott Walker 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Donald Trump 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich <1%, Rick Perry <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Someone else <1%, Undecided 7%
Christopher Newport University [11]

Margin of error: ± 3.6%
Sample size: 794

January 30 – February 10, 2015Jeb Bush
21%
Scott Walker
16%
Chris Christie
10%
Mike Huckabee 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Rand Paul 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul Ryan 5%, Ted Cruz 3%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Mike Pence 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rob Portman 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 4%
Christopher Newport University [12]

Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 338

February 23–28, 2014Chris Christie
19%
Jeb Bush
18%
Mike Huckabee
13%
Paul Ryan 13%, Ted Cruz 9%, Rand Paul 7%, Marco Rubio 4%, Scott Walker 3%, Undecided 13%
University of Mary Washington [13]

Margin of error: ±?
Sample size: ?

September 25–29, 2013Chris Christie
20%
Jeb Bush
10%
Rand Paul
10%
Paul Ryan 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, None 14%, Don't know 19%
Public Policy Polling [14]

Margin of error: ±4.8%
Sample size: 415

July 11–14, 2013Jeb Bush
16%
Chris Christie
16%
Rand Paul
15%
Marco Rubio 12%, Paul Ryan 11%, Ted Cruz 9%, Bob McDonnell 8%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 7%
Public Policy Polling [15]

Margin of error: ±4.4%
Sample size: 500

May 24–26, 2013Marco Rubio
17%
Chris Christie
15%
Jeb Bush
14%
Bob McDonnell 12%, Rand Paul 10%, Ted Cruz 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 11%
Chris Christie
20%
Marco Rubio
20%
Jeb Bush
17%
Paul Ryan 10%, Rand Paul 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 10%
University of Mary Washington [16]

Margin of error: ±3.5
Sample size: 1004

March 20–24, 2013Chris Christie
18%
Bob McDonnell
12%
Rand Paul
11%
Paul Ryan 11%, Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Other 1%, None 10%, Don't know 16%

Results

Virginia Republican primary, March 1, 2016 [17]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump356,84034.80%17017
Marco Rubio327,91831.98%16016
Ted Cruz171,15016.69%808
John Kasich97,7849.54%505
Ben Carson60,2285.87%303
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)3,6450.36%000
Rand Paul (withdrawn)2,9170.28%000
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)1,4580.14%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)1,1020.11%000
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)9140.09%000
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)6530.06%000
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)4440.04%000
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)3990.04%000
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:1,025,452100.00%49049

See also

Related Research Articles

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were either declared candidates, former candidates, or received media speculation about their possible candidacy. On May 4, 2016, Donald Trump became the sole contender and presumptive nominee.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates, are former candidates, or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries. For currency and accuracy, please note the specific dates for each polling as listed below. For the significance of the earliest state votes, the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, see United States presidential primary – Iowa and New Hampshire. To know when any given state votes, see the timeline of primaries and caucuses.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses</span>

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Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2013 to December 31, 2015, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Virginia Democratic presidential primary</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 North Carolina Democratic presidential primary</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary was held on April 5 in the U.S. state of Wisconsin as one of the Republican Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. Texas senator Ted Cruz won the contest with 48%, ahead of nationwide frontrunner Donald Trump by 13 percentage points. Taking advantage of the state's two-level "winner takes all" provision, Cruz took 36 out of the 42 available delegates.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 New York Republican presidential primary</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary</span>

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Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Arkansas Republican presidential primary</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Georgia Republican presidential primary</span>

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This article contains opinion polling in New Hampshire for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary</span>

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References

  1. 1 2 "Virginia Republican Delegation 2016". The Green Papers . Retrieved February 23, 2017.
  2. "Poll: Donald Trump leads in Virginia, Georgia; Ted Cruz hanging on in Texas". YouGov. Retrieved February 29, 2016.
  3. "VIRGINIA: TRUMP, CLINTON LEAD PRIMARIES" (PDF). Monmouth University. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 4, 2016. Retrieved February 26, 2016.
  4. "RC Poll: Clinton, Trump hold leads in Virginia primary elections; Cruz, Rubio in tight battle for second". Roanoke College Institute of Policy and Opinion Research. Retrieved February 27, 2016.
  5. "Trump leads GOP field, with Rubio and Cruz next;Clinton leads Sanders among Virginia Democrats" (PDF). Christopher Newport University. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 23, 2016. Retrieved February 17, 2016.
  6. "Virginia survey 2015: Princeton Data Source for University of Mary Washington" (PDF). umw.edu. November 16, 2015. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
  7. Christopher Newport University
  8. "GOP Presidential Primary Poll". Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage. August 6, 2015. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
  9. "Bush leads GOP Field in Virginia Poll" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. July 16, 2015. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
  10. Christopher Newport University
  11. Christopher Newport University
  12. Christopher Newport University
  13. University of Mary Washington
  14. "Warner leads 2014 Senate Race" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. July 19, 2013. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
  15. Public Policy Polling
  16. Farnsworth, Dr Stephen J (March 2013). "University of Mary Washington Center for Leadership and Media Studies Virginia Survey - March 2013" (PDF). umw.edu. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 8, 2013.
  17. "2016 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions : Virginia Republican". The Green Papers . Retrieved May 13, 2021.