2024 United States presidential election in Virginia

Last updated

2024 United States presidential election in Virginia
Flag of Virginia.svg
←  2020
November 5, 2024
2028 →
Turnout70.48% (Decrease2.svg4.6 pp)
  Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg January 2025 Official Presidential Portrait of Donald J. Trump.jpg
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state California Florida
Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance
Electoral vote130
Popular vote2,335,3952,075,085
Percentage51.83%46.05%
Virginia Presidential Election Results 2024.svg
VA24PRES-CD.svg
2024 VA Pres.svg
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Virginia took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

Contents

Before the election, most news organizations considered Virginia a likely win for Harris. This was the first presidential election in which both major party candidates received more than 2 million votes in Virginia. On election day, Harris won Virginia with 51.83% of the vote, carrying the state by a margin of 5.78%, similar to the 2016 results, albeit slightly wider. In 2016, Virginia U.S. Senator Tim Kaine was the Democratic vice presidential nominee. Kaine also won by a slightly larger 9 percentage point margin in the concurrent 2024 U.S. Senate election in Virginia.

Harris became the first Democratic nominee to win Virginia while losing the nationwide popular vote since 1924, a century earlier. Meanwhile, neighboring West Virginia gave Trump 70% of the vote, with the two states differing by 48 percentage points in margin. Trump became the first president to win two terms without ever carrying Virginia since Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, and the first Republican to do so since William McKinley in 1896 and 1900.

Virginia is the only former Confederate state Trump never won in any of his three runs. Although Virginia swung rightward in 2024, it trended leftward and voted over 7 percentage points to the left of the nation, compared to 5 percentage points in 2020. This was also the first time a Democratic nominee who lost the popular vote won an absolute majority of the vote in Virginia since 1924. [1]

This election confirmed Virginia's status as a blue state. Virginia voted for the loser of the popular vote for the first time since 2000, and the loser of both the electoral vote and popular vote since 1996. This was similar to how Florida in 2024 voted for Trump by over 13%, after Florida in 2020 backed Trump despite him losing both the electoral vote and popular vote. [a]

Democrats would sweep statewide races in the 2025 Virginia elections the next year. Abigail Spanberger won the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election by over 15 percentage points, [2] the first double-digit gubernatorial election victory for Democrats since 1985 and with the largest margin since 1961. Gubernatorial exit polling shows that Harris had won 99% of Spanberger's voters in Virginia. [3]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Virginia Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Incumbent president Joe Biden won the state and all 11 of its congressional districts, securing 99 pledged delegates. Activist Marianne Williamson garnered 8% of the vote total, which was her second-best performance on Super Tuesday after Oklahoma.

Popular vote share by county and independent city Biden 70-80% 80-90% >90% Virginia Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2024.svg
Popular vote share by county and independent city
  Biden
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Virginia Democratic primary, March 5, 2024 [4]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
PledgedUnpledgedTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)317,32988.51%9999
Marianne Williamson ⁦28,5997.98%00
Dean Phillips ⁦12,5863.51%00
Total:358,514100.00%9919118

Republican primary

The Virginia Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump defeated former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, attaining 42 pledged delegates to the Republican National Convention in July. Trump performed best in southwest Virginia, while Haley's strength lay in Charlottesville, Albemarle County, the urban areas of Richmond and the suburbs surrounding Washington, D.C.

Popular vote share by county and independent city Trump 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% >90% Haley 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 2024 Virginia Republican Presidential Primary election by county.svg
Popular vote share by county and independent city
  Trump
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Haley
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Virginia Republican primary, March 5, 2024 [5]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 440,41662.99%39342
Nikki Haley 244,58634.98%66
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)7,4941.07%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)3,3840.48%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)2,5030.36%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)8530.12%
Total:699,236100.00%45348

General election

Voting law changes

In August 2024, Virginia governor Glenn Youngkin signed an executive order removing 6,303 voters suspected of being non-citizens from Virginia's voter rolls. [6] [7] In October 2024, the Department of Justice sued the Virginia Board of Elections and Virginia commissioner of elections over the voter purge, accusing that it violated the National Voter Registration Act. [8] [9] The suit also found a number of alleged non-citizens purged were actually citizens. [9] [10] District judge Patricia Tolliver Giles ruled that the removal was illegal, ordering the state to stop purging voter rolls and to restore the voter registration of more than 1,600 voters who had been removed. [11] [10] The 4th Circuit Court of Appeals then upheld the order. [12] [13] The administration filed an emergency appeal to the Supreme Court, which sided with Virginia in a 6–3 decision, allowing the state to continue purging voter rolls. [14] [13]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Likely DJune 12, 2024
Inside Elections [16] Likely DApril 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Likely DAugust 27, 2024
The Economist [18] Likely DSeptember 10, 2024
CNalysis [19] Solid DSeptember 15, 2024
CNN [20] Lean DAugust 18, 2024
538 [21] Likely DAugust 23, 2024
NBC News [22] Likely DOctober 6, 2024
YouGov [23] Safe DOctober 16, 2024
Split Ticket [24] Likely DNovember 1, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Undecided
[b] 		Margin
270ToWin [25] October 2 - November 1, 2024November 4, 202449.8%41.0%9.2%Harris +8.8%
538 [26] through November 4, 2024November 4, 202449.9%43.7%6.4%Harris +6.2%
Silver Bulletin [27] through November 3, 2024November 3, 202449.5%43.2%7.3%Harris +6.3%
The Hill/DDHQ [28] through November 4, 2024November 4, 202450.1%45.1%4.8%Harris +5.0%
Average49.8%43.3%6.9%Harris +6.5%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel [29] November 3–4, 20242,202 (LV)± 2.0%51%46%3%
Research Co. [30] November 2–3, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%51%45%4%
ActiVote [31] October 2–28, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%54%46%–
Rasmussen Reports (R) [32] [A] October 24–25, 20241,014 (LV)± 3.0%48%46%6% [d]
CES/YouGov [33] October 1–25, 20242,027 (A)–53%44%3%
2,015 (LV)53%44%3%
Quantus Insights (R) [34] [B] October 22−24, 2024725 (LV)± 3.6%49%48%3%
Braun Research [35] [C] October 19−23, 20241,004 (RV)± 3.5%48%42%9%
1,004 (LV)49%43%8%
Christopher Newport University [36] September 28 − October 4, 2024800 (LV)± 4.4%52%41%7% [e]
Emerson College [37] [D] September 22−24, 2024860 (LV)± 3.3%52%44%4% [f]
53% [g] 46%1% [f]
Morning Consult [38] September 9−18, 2024899 (LV)± 3.0%51%44%5%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [39] [A] September 19−22, 20241,144 (LV)± 3.0%49%46%5%
ActiVote [40] August 19 – September 17, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%55%45%–
Research America Inc. [41] [E] September 3−9, 20241,000 (A)± 3.1%45%45%10% [h]
756 (LV)± 4.1%48%46%6% [i]
Washington Post/Schar School [42] September 4–8, 20241,005 (RV)± 3.5%51%43%6% [j]
1,005 (LV)51%43%6% [j]
Morning Consult [38] August 30 – September 8, 2024873 (LV)± 3.0%52%42%6%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Quantus Insights (R) [43] [B] August 20–22, 2024629 (RV)± 4.0%47%44%9%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
Roanoke College [44] August 12–16, 2024691 (LV)± 4.5%47%44%10% [k]
August 6, 2024Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
July 21, 2024Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
Emerson College [45] July 14–15, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%45%47%8%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [46] July 14–15, 2024301 (RV)–43%44%13% [l]
265 (LV)43%47%10% [m]
July 13, 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [46] July 12–13, 2024617 (RV)± 3.9%45%41%14%
544 (LV)46%42%12%
New York Times/Siena College [47] July 9–12, 2024661 (RV)± 4.2%48%44%8%
661 (LV)± 4.4%49%44%7%
SoCal Strategies (R) [48] [F] July 6–11, 20241,000 (RV)± 2.1%47%47%6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian		Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel [29] November 3–4, 20242,202 (LV)± 2.0%51%45%–2%1%1% [n]
Chism Strategies [49] October 28–30, 2024520 (LV)± 4.3%45.2%44.5%–1.3%0.6%8.4% [o]
Cygnal (R) [50] October 27–29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.0%50%43%1%1%0%5% [p]
Roanoke College [51] October 25–29, 2024851 (LV)± 4.6%51%41%2%1%2%3% [q]
Virginia Commonwealth University [52] September 16–25, 2024832 (A)± 4.6%43%37%3%1%–16% [r]
762 (RV)47%37%2%1%–13% [s]
Washington Post/Schar School [42] September 4–8, 20241,005 (RV)± 3.5%49%42%0%1%1%7% [t]
1,005 (LV)50%42%0%1%1%6% [t]
Virginia Commonwealth University [53] August 26 – September 6, 2024809 (A)± 5.0%46%36%2%1%–15% [u]
749 (RV)49%36%1%1%–13% [v]
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian		Other /
Undecided
Research America Inc. [41] [E] September 3−9, 20241,000 (A)± 3.1%44%44%2%−0%0%10% [w]
756 (LV)± 4.1%47%46%2%−0%0%6% [x]
Roanoke College [44] August 12–16, 2024691 (LV)± 4.5%45%42%6%2%0%2%3% [e]
July 21, 2024Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
New York Times/Siena College [47] July 9–12, 2024661 (RV)± 4.2%41%38%9%0%1%0%11%
661 (LV)± 4.4%43%39%7%0%1%0%10%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [46] July 14–15, 2024301 (RV)–40%41%7%12% [m]
265 (LV)41%45%5%9% [y]
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [46] July 12–13, 2024617 (RV)± 3.9%41%37%10%12%
544 (LV)± 3.9%43%38%10%9%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College [45] July 14–15, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%43%45%12%
50% [g] 50%–
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [46] July 14–15, 2024301 (RV)–41%44%15% [l]
265 (LV)44%44%12% [y]
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [46] July 12–13, 2024617 (RV)± 3.9%45%41%14%
544 (LV)± 3.9%47%42%11%
New York Times/Siena College [47] July 9–12, 2024661 (RV)± 4.2%46%44%10%
661 (LV)± 4.4%48%45%7%
SoCal Strategies (R) [48] [F] July 6–11, 20241,000 (RV)± 2.1%47%44%9%
Fox News [54] June 1–4, 20241,107 (RV)± 3.0%48%48%4%
Roanoke College [55] May 12–21, 2024711 (LV)± 4.2%42%42%16%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [56] [G] April 29 – May 1, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%48%44%8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [57] [H] April 26–28, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%43%42%16%
John Zogby Strategies [58] [I] April 13–21, 2024586 (LV)–45%45%10%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [59] February 29 – March 3, 2024394 (RV)–47%42%11% [z]
368 (LV)47%43%10% [aa]
Roanoke College [60] February 11–19, 2024705 (A)± 4.6%47%43%10%
Virginia Commonwealth University [61] December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024812 (A)± 5.4%43%40%17%
Mason-Dixon [62] December 15–19, 2023625 (RV)± 4.0%49%43%8%
Roanoke College [63] November 12–20, 2023686 (A)± 4.3%48%44%8%
Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D) [64] September 16–19, 20231,437 (RV)–47%42%11%
Research America Inc. [65] [E] September 5–11, 20231,000 (A)± 3.0%37%37%26%
Roanoke College [66] August 6–15, 2023702 (A)± 4.2%51%42%17%
Virginia Commonwealth University [67] July 14–25, 2023804 (A)± 5.4%43%40%17%
Roanoke College [68] May 14–23, 2023678 (A)± 4.4%54%38%8%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [69] May 7–9, 2023500 (LV)–48%41%11%
Roanoke College [70] February 12–21, 2023590 (RV)± 4.2%47%46%6%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College [45] July 14–15, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%38%43%8%2%2%7%
New York Times/Siena College [47] July 9–12, 2024661 (RV)± 4.2%38%36%9%0%2%15%
661 (LV)± 4.4%40%38%7%0%2%13%
Virginia Commonwealth University [71] June 24 – July 3, 2024809 (A)± 4.8%36%39%9%1%2%13% [ab]
Fox News [54] June 1–4, 20241,107 (RV)± 3.0%42%41%9%2%2%4%
Roanoke College [55] May 12–21, 2024711 (LV)± 4.2%40%38%8%1%3%10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [56] [G] April 29 – May 1, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%40%37%8%1%2%12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [46] July 14–15, 2024301 (RV)–40%40%5%15% [ac]
265 (LV)43%42%4%11% [ad]
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [46] July 12–13, 2024617 (RV)± 3.9%41%38%11%10%
544 (LV)± 3.9%42%39%10%9%
co/efficient (R) [72] June 11–12, 2024851 (LV)± 3.4%41%41%7%11%
Mason-Dixon [62] December 15–19, 2023625 (RV)± 4.0%42%36%14%8%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D) [64] September 16–19, 20231,437 (RV)–40%39%7%14%
37%37%5%21% [ae]
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [58] [I] April 13–21, 2024586 (LV)–42%47%11%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [58] [I] April 13–21, 2024586 (LV)–43%41%16%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Roanoke College [60] February 11–19, 2024705 (A)± 4.6%40%49%11%
Virginia Commonwealth University [61] December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024812 (A)± 5.4%38%43%19%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University [61] December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024812 (A)± 5.4%42%39%19%
Research America Inc. [65] [E] September 5–11, 20231,000 (A)± 3.0%39%30%31%
Virginia Commonwealth University [67] July 14–25, 2023804 (A)± 5.46%41%41%18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [69] May 7–9, 2023500 (LV)–44%44%12%
Roanoke College [70] February 12–21, 2023590 (RV)± 4.2%43%48%8%

Joe Biden vs. Glenn Youngkin

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Glenn
Youngkin
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Research America Inc. [65] [E] September 5–11, 20231,000 (A)± 3.0%37%34%29%
Virginia Commonwealth University [67] July 14–25, 2023804 (A)± 5.46%37%44%19%
Roanoke College [70] February 12–21, 2023590 (RV)± 4.2%39%55%6%

Results

State Senate district results 2024 Virginia Pres State Senate.svg
State Senate district results
State House of Delegates district results VirginiaStateHouse Pres 24.svg
State House of Delegates district results
2024 United States presidential election in Virginia [73]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Kamala Harris
Tim Walz 		2,335,395 51.83 −2.28
Republican Donald Trump
JD Vance 		2,075,08546.05+2.05
Green Jill Stein
Butch Ware 		34,8880.77New
Libertarian Chase Oliver
Mike ter Maat 		19,8140.44−1.01
Independent Cornel West
Melina Abdullah 		8,9840.20New
Socialism and Liberation Claudia De la Cruz [af]
Karina Garcia 		8,4100.19New
Write-in 23,3650.52+0.08
Total votes4,505,941 100.00 N/A

By county and independent city

Locality [74] Kamala Harris
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Accomack 7,37442.93%9,65956.24%1430.83%-2,285-13.30%17,176
Albemarle 44,27965.87%21,51332.00%1,4322.13%22,76633.87%67,224
Alexandria 62,32677.04%16,11219.91%2,4663.05%46,21457.12%80,904
Alleghany 2,11425.49%6,09373.47%861.04%-3,979-47.98%8,293
Amelia 2,21427.51%5,77671.76%590.73%-3,562-44.25%8,049
Amherst 5,42931.28%11,74267.65%1871.08%-6,313-36.37%17,358
Appomattox 2,32424.00%7,24374.79%1181.22%-4,919-50.79%9,685
Arlington 100,44677.53%25,22319.47%3,8923.00%75,22358.06%129,561
Augusta 11,40325.67%32,42973.01%5851.32%-21,026-47.34%44,417
Bath 58822.76%1,97676.50%190.74%-1,388-53.74%2,583
Bedford 12,41424.30%38,01774.42%6501.27%-25,603-50.12%51,081
Bland 52414.74%2,99884.33%330.93%-2,474-69.59%3,555
Botetourt 5,91526.91%15,79671.87%2671.21%-9,881-44.96%21,978
Bristol 2,23129.79%5,19769.39%620.83%-2,966-39.60%7,490
Brunswick 4,18453.98%3,52345.45%440.57%6618.53%7,751
Buchanan 1,35514.51%7,93985.03%430.46%-6,584-70.52%9,337
Buckingham 2,98837.70%4,84761.16%901.14%-1,859-23.46%7,925
Buena Vista 76726.75%2,03570.98%652.27%-1,268-44.23%2,867
Campbell 7,89025.22%23,03273.62%3651.17%-15,142-48.40%31,287
Caroline 7,95744.96%9,51153.74%2301.30%-1,554-8.78%17,698
Carroll 2,92518.06%13,15281.19%1230.76%-10,227-63.13%16,200
Charles City 2,38454.77%1,91744.04%521.19%46710.73%4,353
Charlotte 2,00833.36%3,96365.83%490.81%-1,955-32.48%6,020
Charlottesville 19,43582.94%3,42814.63%5712.44%16,00768.31%23,434
Chesapeake 65,39951.09%60,55047.30%2,0521.60%4,8493.79%128,001
Chesterfield 112,86953.59%94,03044.64%3,7291.77%18,8398.94%210,628
Clarke 3,99340.58%5,64157.33%2052.08%-1,648-16.75%9,839
Colonial Heights 2,98233.27%5,88365.63%991.10%-2,901-32.36%8,964
Covington 81832.98%1,64266.21%200.81%-824-33.23%2,480
Craig 54217.29%2,56281.72%310.99%-2,020-64.43%3,135
Culpeper 10,55736.81%17,68561.67%4371.52%-7,128-24.85%28,679
Cumberland 2,11738.48%3,33560.63%490.89%-1,218-22.14%5,501
Danville 10,61559.93%6,89438.92%2031.15%3,72121.01%17,712
Dickenson 1,31618.64%5,70180.75%430.61%-4,385-62.11%7,060
Dinwiddie 5,94238.06%9,54961.17%1200.77%-3,607-23.11%15,611
Emporia 1,41965.12%74434.14%160.73%67530.98%2,179
Essex 2,77545.69%3,24553.42%540.89%-470-7.74%6,074
Fairfax City 8,79764.84%4,30231.71%4683.45%4,49533.13%13,567
Fairfax County 386,43865.56%181,89530.86%21,0943.58%204,54334.70%589,427
Falls Church 7,20079.45%1,62017.88%2422.67%5,58061.58%9,062
Fauquier 17,18038.38%26,82559.92%7631.70%-9,645-21.54%44,768
Floyd 2,96830.71%6,55167.77%1471.52%-3,583-37.07%9,666
Fluvanna 7,73146.17%8,77752.42%2351.40%-1,046-6.25%16,743
Franklin City 2,35960.69%1,47637.97%521.34%88322.72%3,887
Franklin County 8,32126.82%22,31971.95%3801.23%-13,998-45.13%31,020
Frederick 18,33135.07%33,11763.37%8151.56%-14,786-28.29%52,263
Fredericksburg 8,76064.52%4,48032.99%3382.49%4,28031.52%13,578
Galax 75327.67%1,94671.52%220.81%-1,193-43.84%2,721
Giles 2,06922.34%7,10276.67%920.99%-5,033-54.33%9,263
Gloucester 7,03430.28%15,91868.53%2761.19%-8,884-38.25%23,228
Goochland 7,87539.89%11,52158.36%3461.75%-3,646-18.47%19,742
Grayson 1,50318.51%6,54480.60%720.89%-5,041-62.09%8,119
Greene 4,45636.81%7,43261.39%2181.80%-2,976-24.58%12,106
Greensville 2,33454.24%1,93644.99%330.77%3989.25%4,303
Halifax 6,98439.08%10,74160.10%1460.82%-3,757-21.02%17,871
Hampton 43,35769.01%18,38329.26%1,0831.72%24,97439.75%62,823
Hanover 26,73336.42%45,56962.08%1,1021.50%-18,836-25.66%73,404
Harrisonburg 10,64161.40%6,26636.15%4252.45%4,37525.24%17,332
Henrico 115,04063.39%62,88234.65%3,5671.97%52,15828.74%181,489
Henry 8,45733.20%16,80065.95%2170.85%-8,343-32.75%25,474
Highland 41627.10%1,09571.34%241.56%-679-44.23%1,535
Hopewell 5,07856.26%3,83842.52%1101.22%1,24013.74%9,026
Isle of Wight 9,77939.49%14,65959.20%3241.31%-4,880-19.71%24,762
James City 26,74252.16%23,57545.98%9571.87%3,1676.18%51,274
King and Queen 1,53636.68%2,60862.27%441.05%-1,072-25.60%4,188
King George 5,65736.65%9,50061.54%2801.81%-3,843-24.89%15,437
King William 3,38829.25%8,08069.76%1150.99%-4,692-40.51%11,583
Lancaster 3,35545.88%3,86652.86%921.26%-511-6.99%7,313
Lee 1,39113.74%8,67485.69%570.56%-7,283-71.95%10,122
Lexington 1,79562.00%1,03035.58%702.42%76526.42%2,895
Loudoun 129,28056.28%92,10740.10%8,3053.62%37,17316.18%229,692
Louisa 8,77936.36%15,08462.48%2811.16%-6,305-26.11%24,144
Lunenburg 2,25338.28%3,59461.07%380.65%-1,341-22.79%5,885
Lynchburg 16,66445.01%19,57452.87%7852.12%-2,910-7.86%37,023
Madison 2,70031.84%5,67166.88%1091.29%-2,971-35.04%8,480
Manassas 9,04856.20%6,67041.43%3822.37%2,37814.77%16,100
Manassas Park 3,50658.46%2,31438.59%1772.95%1,19219.88%5,997
Martinsville 3,43560.55%2,15537.99%831.46%1,28022.56%5,673
Mathews 1,77429.84%4,10669.07%651.09%-2,332-39.23%5,945
Mecklenburg 6,40439.28%9,79160.05%1090.67%-3,387-20.77%16,304
Middlesex 2,47335.80%4,35763.08%771.11%-1,884-27.28%6,907
Montgomery 23,81150.60%22,17947.14%1,0632.26%1,6323.47%47,053
Nelson 4,29845.58%5,00453.06%1281.36%-706-7.49%9,430
New Kent 5,64133.56%10,97465.29%1921.14%-5,333-31.73%16,807
Newport News 48,16963.46%26,38534.76%1,3551.79%21,78428.70%75,909
Norfolk 59,94169.69%24,37728.34%1,6911.97%35,56441.35%86,009
Northampton 3,60352.55%3,18346.43%701.02%4206.13%6,856
Northumberland 3,20238.90%4,93859.99%921.12%-1,736-21.09%8,232
Norton 45827.86%1,17471.41%120.73%-716-43.55%1,644
Nottoway 2,63638.38%4,16860.68%650.95%-1,532-22.30%6,869
Orange 8,27437.02%13,76461.58%3151.41%-5,490-24.56%22,353
Page 2,97622.46%10,12376.39%1521.15%-7,147-53.94%13,251
Patrick 1,88619.41%7,74679.70%870.90%-5,860-60.29%9,719
Petersburg 11,21985.52%1,70212.97%1981.51%9,51772.54%13,119
Pittsylvania 9,59928.10%24,31071.17%2470.72%-14,711-43.07%34,156
Poquoson 2,11926.27%5,80071.92%1461.81%-3,681-45.64%8,065
Portsmouth 28,30668.45%12,37029.91%6771.64%15,93638.54%41,353
Powhatan 5,73427.42%14,91871.33%2621.25%-9,184-43.91%20,914
Prince Edward 4,53947.98%4,78250.55%1391.47%-243-2.57%9,460
Prince George 6,84238.80%10,59060.06%2011.14%-3,748-21.26%17,633
Prince William 131,12857.33%90,20339.44%7,3813.23%40,92517.89%228,712
Pulaski 4,83027.22%12,73271.75%1821.03%-7,902-44.53%17,744
Radford 3,23149.08%3,19748.56%1552.35%340.52%6,583
Rappahannock 2,04140.30%2,94358.10%811.60%-902-17.81%5,065
Richmond City 88,71081.59%17,04115.67%2,9802.74%71,66965.91%108,731
Richmond County 1,43934.52%2,69764.71%320.77%-1,258-30.18%4,168
Roanoke City 25,73760.82%15,78737.31%7901.87%9,95023.51%42,314
Roanoke County 21,69338.03%34,45360.39%9021.58%-12,760-22.37%57,048
Rockbridge 4,16032.43%8,46866.01%2001.56%-4,308-33.58%12,828
Rockingham 15,03530.78%33,03367.62%7851.61%-17,998-36.84%48,853
Russell 2,17216.03%11,30383.44%720.53%-9,131-67.40%13,547
Salem 5,23739.65%7,76958.82%2011.52%-2,532-19.17%13,207
Scott 1,60714.51%9,39284.79%780.70%-7,785-70.28%11,077
Shenandoah 6,91428.23%17,21570.30%3601.47%-10,301-42.06%24,489
Smyth 2,80519.39%11,52179.63%1420.98%-8,716-60.24%14,468
Southampton 3,62636.79%6,13362.23%970.98%-2,507-25.44%9,856
Spotsylvania 35,74744.96%42,53153.49%1,2361.55%-6,784-8.53%79,514
Stafford 41,25249.38%40,59048.59%1,6972.03%6620.79%83,539
Staunton 7,59255.72%5,77842.40%2561.88%1,81413.31%13,626
Suffolk 30,59757.14%22,11241.30%8361.56%8,48515.85%53,545
Surry 2,17649.00%2,20549.65%601.35%-29-0.65%4,441
Sussex 2,53951.82%2,32247.39%390.80%2174.43%4,900
Tazewell 3,03015.22%16,71183.95%1650.83%-13,681-68.73%19,906
Virginia Beach 115,41250.45%109,37547.81%3,9841.74%6,0372.64%228,771
Warren 6,91030.47%15,40067.90%3691.63%-8,490-37.44%22,679
Washington 6,77222.94%22,45576.07%2910.99%-15,683-53.13%29,518
Waynesboro 5,24046.29%5,88251.97%1971.74%-642-5.67%11,319
Westmoreland 4,49142.34%6,00356.59%1131.07%-1,512-14.25%10,607
Williamsburg 5,61371.10%2,11926.84%1622.05%3,49444.26%7,894
Winchester 6,40753.87%5,25244.16%2351.98%1,1559.71%11,894
Wise 3,03618.06%13,65581.22%1210.72%-10,619-63.16%16,812
Wythe 3,07519.87%12,26779.27%1330.86%-9,192-59.40%15,475
York 18,29646.03%20,72252.13%7311.84%-2,426-6.10%39,749
Totals2,335,39551.83%2,075,08546.05%95,4612.12%260,3105.78%4,505,941
Counties and independent city that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Virginia Presidential County Swings 2024.svg
Virginia Presidential County Flips 2024.svg

By congressional district

Harris won six of 11 congressional districts. [75]

DistrictHarrisTrumpRepresentative
1st 47%52% Rob Wittman
2nd 49.1%49.3% Jen Kiggans
3rd 66%32% Bobby Scott
4th 65%33% Jennifer McClellan
5th 43%55% Bob Good (118th Congress)
John McGuire (119th Congress)
6th 37%61% Ben Cline
7th 50%47% Abigail Spanberger (118th Congress)
Eugene Vindman (119th Congress)
8th 73%24% Don Beyer
9th 27%71% Morgan Griffith
10th 53%44% Jennifer Wexton (118th Congress)
Suhas Subramanyam (119th Congress)
11th 65%31% Gerry Connolly

Analysis

Map of the results of the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election. Democrat Abigail Spanberger improved on Harris's performance by nearly 10 percentage points, while winning 99% of Harris's voters who voted in 2025. 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
Map of the results of the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election. Democrat Abigail Spanberger improved on Harris’s performance by nearly 10 percentage points, while winning 99% of Harris’s voters who voted in 2025.

Despite losing the state, Trump made notable gains across much of the Commonwealth, particularly in the Northern and Southside regions of Virginia. [76] In Northern Virginia, Trump made significant gains in Loudoun County, Virginia (21% Asian and 14% Hispanic), Fairfax County, Virginia (20% Asian and 17% Hispanic), and Prince William County, Virginia (10% Asian and 25% Hispanic), which have significant Asian and Hispanic populations. Northern Virginia as a whole swung 8% rightward. [77] The state also swung rightward in the concurrent 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia, as Democrat Tim Kaine won by a 9% margin, down from his 16% margin in 2018. [73]

Trump reclaimed Lynchburg City, flipped Prince Edward County, which had not voted Republican in a presidential election since 2000, and also flipped Surry County, which last supported a Republican presidential candidate in 1972. Harris, by contrast, did not flip any counties or independent cities in Virginia. [78]

Harris did improve slightly in some Greater Richmond counties, including Chesterfield County. Virginia was one of the few states in the country to have many counties shift leftward. Despite losing York County (home to Yorktown, Virginia), Harris won 46% of the vote in the county, the highest percentage since 1964. [79] Harris also won 99% of Spanberger’s voters in Virginia, with Spanberger winning statewide by 15%. [3]

This was the first time since 2000 that Virginia voted for the popular vote loser, and the first time since 1996 that Virginia backed the loser of both the electoral vote and the overall popular vote. Virginia voted over 7 percentage points to the left of the nation (5.78%+1.48%=7.26%), voting for a Democratic nominee who lost the popular vote for the first time since 1924.

Harris won the state by 5.78%, worse than Biden's 10.11% margin but slightly improved from Hillary Clinton's 5.32% margin in 2016. Tim Kaine was the 2016 Democratic vice presidential nominee, likely providing a home state advantage to Clinton in 2016.

Nevertheless, Trump became the first ever Republican to win the White House without carrying the city of Virginia Beach since it became an independent city in 1952 as well as the first to do so without carrying Chesterfield or Stafford Counties since Calvin Coolidge in 1924, and the first to do so without carrying James City County or the city of Chesapeake since Richard Nixon in 1968. Trump became the first president to win two terms without ever carrying Virginia since Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, and the first Republican to do so since William McKinley in 1896 and 1900.

This was also the third consecutive election in which Virginia voted Democratic while Florida voted Republican, which had previously not occurred since 1876. Trump won Florida in 2024 by over 13 percentage points, with Florida having backed Trump even when Trump lost both the electoral vote and popular vote in 2020. While Florida shifted dramatically rightward during the Trump era, Virginia shifted dramatically leftward.

Although Harris lost both swing states of North Carolina and Georgia, two other Southern states, both also trended leftward. Both swung by less than 3%, compared to the national swing of about 6%. Harris outperformed Clinton’s 2016 margins in both Southern swing states. [80] Harris won in Virginia, as over 18% of adults in Virginia have graduate degrees, per List of U.S. states and territories by educational attainment. By comparison, just 13-14% of adults in North Carolina and Georgia have graduate degrees. [81]

2025 Virginia elections

Harris lost Virginia's 1st congressional district (VA-01) by just 47-52%, compared to Biden losing it 46-52%, where York County is located. York County has not voted Democratic since 1964. York County is one of the highest-income counties in the United States. It has always voted Republican since 1952, except in Democrat LBJ’s landslide victory in 1964. However, it voted for Republican Herbert Hoover in 1928 in a landslide. [ag]

Abigail Spanberger won York County and VA-01 in the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election, the first time York County voted Democratic since 1965. It was her closest victory in any county in the state in 2025. [79] Virginia Democrats would also sweep statewide races in the 2025 Virginia elections the next year, as well as winning 64 out of 100 seats and 58% of the statewide vote in the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election. This confirmed Virginia's status as a blue state at the state level as well. [83]

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Despite both Virginia and Florida backing Republican George W. Bush and Democrat Barack Obama twice, the two have diverged in the Trump era. For the first time since 1876, Virginia has always voted Democratic and Florida has always voted Republican in the Trump era.
  2. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ↑ "Other" with 4%
  5. 1 2 "Someone else" with 3%
  6. 1 2 "Someone else" with 1%
  7. 1 2 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  8. ↑ "Other candidate" with 3%; "None/Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  9. ↑ "Other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 1%
  10. 1 2 "Would not vote" with 1%
  11. ↑ "Someone else" with 8%. "Refused" and "Undecided" with 1% each
  12. 1 2 "Another candidate" with 5%
  13. 1 2 "Another candidate" with 4%
  14. ↑ "Other" with 1%
  15. ↑ "Someone else" with 1.6%
  16. ↑ Claudia De La Cruz (PSL) with 0%
  17. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  18. ↑ "Wouldn't vote" with 4%; "Refused" with 3%; "Someone else" with 1%
  19. ↑ "Refused" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  20. 1 2 Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  21. ↑ "Wouldn't vote" with 6%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  22. ↑ "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  23. ↑ "Other candidate" with 2%; "None/Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  24. ↑ "Other candidate" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  25. 1 2 "Another candidate" with 3%
  26. ↑ "Another candidate" with 8%
  27. ↑ "Another candidate" with 6%
  28. ↑ "Undecided" with 6%; "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Someone else" & "Refused" with 2%
  29. ↑ "Another candidate" with 2%
  30. ↑ "Another candidate" with 1%
  31. ↑ Joe Manchin with 7%
  32. ↑ Listed on the ballot without party affiliation.
  33. ↑ This indicates that York County is almost entirely White Protestant, and reacted poorly to Catholic Democrat Al Smith’s candidacy in 1928. [82]
  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  2. 1 2 Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Washington Post & the Schar School of Policy and Government
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by WAVY-TV, WRIC-TV, WFXR-TV, & WDCW-TV
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
  6. 1 2 Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
  7. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  8. ↑ Poll sponsored by Virginians Against Neighborhood Slot Machines
  9. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

References

  1. ↑ "Virginia Presidential Election Voting History". 270toWin. Retrieved December 15, 2024.
  2. ↑ "Democrat Abigail Spanberger wins Virginia governor's race in major test for party, CBS News projects - CBS News". www.cbsnews.com. November 4, 2025. Retrieved November 6, 2025.
  3. 1 2 3 "Exit polls for Election Results 2025 | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved November 6, 2025.
  4. ↑ "Virginia Democratic Primary Election Results". The New York Times . Retrieved March 5, 2024.
  5. ↑ "Virginia Republican Primary Election Results". The New York Times . Retrieved March 5, 2024.
  6. ↑ Gamboa, Suzanne (August 23, 2024). "A Virginia voter roll purge sparks renewed rhetoric over 'non-citizens' casting ballots". NBC News. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  7. ↑ Mirshahi, Dean (August 8, 2024). "Youngkin's election security order gets Trump's praise and Democratic criticism". WRIC. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  8. ↑ Ward, Jasper (October 11, 2024). "Justice Dept sues Virginia for violating federal election law". Reuters. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  9. 1 2 Lim, Clarissa-Jan (October 25, 2024). "Justice Department sues Virginia for its voter purge over nonexistent 'noncitizen voting'". MSNBC. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  10. 1 2 Sneed, Tierney (October 27, 2024). "Appeals court keeps Virginia voter purge program blocked, setting up Supreme Court fight". CNN. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  11. ↑ Lo Wang, Hansi (October 25, 2024). "A judge orders Virginia to restore registered voters purged too close to Election Day". NPR. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  12. ↑ Quinn, Melissa (October 30, 2024). "Supreme Court clears way for Virginia to remove 1,600 alleged noncitizens from voter rolls - CBS News". CBS News. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  13. 1 2 Joffe-Block, Jude (October 30, 2024). "U.S. citizens are among the voters removed in Virginia's controversial purge". Morning Edition . NPR.
  14. ↑ "Supreme Court's conservative justices allow Virginia to resume its purge of voter registrations". AP News. October 30, 2024. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  15. ↑ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  16. ↑ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections.
  17. ↑ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  18. ↑ "Trump v Harris: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved September 10, 2024.
  19. ↑ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
  20. ↑ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. August 18, 2024. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
  21. ↑ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight . Archived from the original on June 11, 2024. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
  22. ↑ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News .
  23. ↑ "2024 Presidential Election Polls". YouGov .
  24. ↑ "2024 Presidential Forecast". Split Ticket . June 2, 2023.
  25. ↑ 270ToWin
  26. ↑ 538
  27. ↑ Silver Bulletin
  28. ↑ The Hill/DDHQ
  29. 1 2 "Atlas Poll - US Key States - November 4, 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. November 4, 2024.
  30. ↑ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
  31. ↑ Allis, Victor (October 29, 2024). "Harris With Smaller Lead in Virginia". ActiVote.
  32. ↑ "Election 2024: Harris 48%, Trump 46% in Virginia; Cruz +4 in Texas". Rasmussen Reports. October 28, 2024.
  33. ↑ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
  34. ↑ "New Virginia 2024 Poll: Harris Holds Slight Edge Over Trump". Quantus Insights. October 25, 2024.
  35. ↑ "Washington Post-Schar School poll" (PDF). The Washington Post . Retrieved October 26, 2024.
  36. ↑ "Harris Leads Trump by 11 points Among Virginia Likely Voters; Kaine Leads Cao by 20 points in U.S. Senate Contest". Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership. October 7, 2024.
  37. ↑ "September 2024 Virginia Poll: Harris 52%, Trump 44%". Emerson College Polling. September 26, 2024.
  38. 1 2 Easley, Cameron; Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2024). "Tracking the 2024 Election: State by State". Morning Consult.
  39. ↑ "Election 2024: Trump +3 in N.C, Harris +3 in Virginia, Tied in Michigan". Rasmussen Reports. September 27, 2024.
  40. ↑ Allis, Victor (September 18, 2024). "Harris Has Double Digit Lead in Virginia". ActiVote.
  41. 1 2 "UMW Center for Leadership and Media Studies Survey Zooms in on Presidential Election in Virginia". University of Mary Washington . September 20, 2024.
  42. 1 2 Schneider, Gregory; Vozzella, Laura; Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily (September 10, 2024). "Harris leads among Virginia voters, Post-Schar School poll finds". The Washington Post.
  43. ↑ "Analysis of the 2024 General Election Survey in Virginia". Substack . August 23, 2024.
  44. 1 2 "Roanoke College Poll: Harris holds slim lead over Trump in Virginia". Roanoke College . August 20, 2024.
  45. 1 2 3 Mumford, Camille (July 18, 2024). "Virginia 2024 Poll: Trump 45%, Biden 43%". Emerson Polling.
  46. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "Small Trump Bump Post-Assassination Attempt, New Poll Shows". FAU Polling. July 17, 2024.
  47. 1 2 3 4 Nagourney, Adam; Igielnik, Ruth (July 15, 2024). "Biden Facing Challenges in Two Must-Win States, Times/Siena Polls Find". The New York Times.
  48. 1 2 "On Point Politics/SoCal Research Old Dominion State Survey". Google Docs . July 11, 2024.
  49. ↑ "Virginia Presidential Survey" (PDF). Chism Strategies. Retrieved November 2, 2024.
  50. ↑ Shucard, Ryan (November 1, 2024). "Virginia Poll: Harris Flatlines as Trump Gains Ground Among Non-College Voters". Cygnal. Retrieved November 1, 2024.
  51. ↑ "Roanoke College Poll: Final poll before 2024 Elections". Roanoke College . November 1, 2024.
  52. ↑ "Kamala Harris' edge over Donald Trump slips slightly as she leads 43% to 37% in Virginia". Google Drive . October 2, 2024.
  53. ↑ "September 2024 Wilder School Commonwealth Poll". Google Drive . September 11, 2024.
  54. 1 2 Balara, Victoria (June 6, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Biden, Trump in a dead heat in Virginia". Fox News .
  55. 1 2 "Roanoke College Poll: Biden and Trump tied in Virginia". Roanoke College . May 29, 2024.
  56. 1 2 McLaughlin, John (May 6, 2024). "Minnesota & Virginia Are Clearly In Play & Prime Opportunities to Flip for Donald Trump". X .
  57. ↑ "New Poll Shows Strong Opposition to Legalizing Skill Games". Virginians Against Neighborhood Slot Machines. May 11, 2024.
  58. 1 2 3 "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
  59. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Super Tuesday States" (PDF). FAU Polling. March 4, 2024.
  60. 1 2 "Roanoke College Poll: Virginians weigh in ahead of Super Tuesday". Roanoke College . March 1, 2024.
  61. 1 2 3 "92% of those familiar with VCU Health development deal want answers from the VCU Health System board" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight . January 22, 2024. Archived from the original (PDF) on January 30, 2024.
  62. 1 2 Cain, Andrew (January 5, 2024). "Biden leads Trump in Virginia in potential rematch, poll says". Richmond Times-Dispatch .
  63. ↑ "Roanoke College Poll: Virginians have mixed opinions on direction of Virginia and the nation". Roanoke College . November 30, 2023.
  64. 1 2 "Pulse of the Nation Report - Voter Attitudes and Concerns Driven by High Costs" (PDF). Future Majority. October 11, 2023.
  65. 1 2 3 Marvashti, Lisa Chinn (September 29, 2023). "Statewide Survey Considers 2024 Biden, Trump Presidential Rematch". University of Mary Washington .
  66. ↑ "Latest Roanoke College Poll looks at opinions of Virginians on political issues". Roanoke College . August 29, 2023.
  67. 1 2 3 "August 2023 Commonwealth Poll Press Release". Google Docs . August 3, 2023.
  68. ↑ "Roanoke College Poll: Political anxiety is up among Virginians". Roanoke College . June 6, 2023.
  69. 1 2 "DeSantis is tied with Biden in Virginia and within striking distance of the President in three other '24 "reach" states. Trump is poised to lose these four states for a third time". X . May 12, 2023.
  70. 1 2 3 "Roanoke College Poll looks at top issues in Virginia". Roanoke College . March 2, 2023.
  71. ↑ Schneider, Gregory (July 15, 2024). "VCU poll shows Trump ahead in Virginia as support for Biden wanes". The Washington Post .
  72. ↑ Plummer, Kate (June 14, 2024). "Joe Biden Suffers Shock Poll in State Democrats Have Not Lost in 20 years". Newsweek .
  73. 1 2 "2024 November General Official Results". Virginia Department of Elections. Retrieved December 7, 2024.
  74. ↑ O'Bannon, John (November 5, 2024). "President and Vice President". Virginia Department of Elections . Archived from the original on August 7, 2025. Retrieved October 9, 2025.
  75. ↑ https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::bc930c25-236f-46a7-bbe9-d8d77e21d011
  76. ↑ "Virginia Presidential Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 19, 2024.
  77. ↑ Coleman, J. Miles (November 22, 2024). "How Virginia Illustrates the 2024 Election". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 22, 2024. The localities that make up Northern Virginia—we are using a somewhat conservative definition by calling Loudoun County its western border and Prince William County its southern border—collectively swung 8 percentage points rightward.
  78. ↑ "Exit poll results 2024". CNN . Retrieved January 24, 2025.
  79. 1 2 O'Bannon, John (October 10, 2025). "Governor". Virginia Department of Elections . Retrieved October 13, 2025.
  80. ↑ Leip, David. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved November 9, 2025.
  81. ↑ "EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT". U.S. Census Bureau. Archived from the original on September 19, 2022. Retrieved September 18, 2022.
  82. ↑ Key, Valdimer Orlando Jr. (1984). Southern Politics in State and Nation. University of Tennessee Press. pp. 323–324. ISBN   087049435X.
  83. ↑ Schmidt, Markus (November 5, 2025). "Blue wave rebuilds the House: Democrats soar to at least 64 seats in Virginia • Virginia Mercury". Virginia Mercury. Retrieved November 5, 2025.
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