2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election

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2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election
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←  2020 November 5, 20242028 →
 
NomineeTBD Steve Williams (presumptive)
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Governor

Jim Justice
Republican



The 2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of West Virginia, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Governor Jim Justice is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third consecutive term in office and is instead running for the U.S. Senate. [1] First elected in 2016 as a Democrat by 6.8 percentage points, Justice switched parties in August 2017 and won re-election in 2020 as a Republican by 33.3 percentage points. Primary elections will take place on May 14, 2024. [2]

Contents

Background

A conservative rural southeastern state, West Virginia is considered extremely Republican at the federal and state levels; Republicans hold all statewide executive offices and supermajorities in both state legislative houses, and since 2015, Senator Joe Manchin has been the state's only congressional Democrat. In the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump carried West Virginia by 38.93 percentage points.

With Jim Justice term-limited and unable to run for a third consecutive term as Governor, the Republican primary is expected to be competitive and crowded. Most analysts consider Republicans to be a heavy favorite, given the state's partisan lean and the margin from the previous election. [3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Moore Capito
Federal politicians
Statewide politicians
Chris Miller
Individuals
Patrick Morrisey
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Moore
Capito		Chris
Miller		Patrick
Morrisey		Mac
Warner		OtherUndecided
Research America [upper-alpha 1] April 3–9, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%29%16%31%12%3%10%
WPA Intelligence [upper-alpha 2] April 1–3, 2024501 (LV)± 4.4%20%19%37%14%–9%
Emerson College March 19–21, 2024735 (LV)± 3.6%14%16%33%6%–29%
WPA Intelligence [upper-alpha 3] November 27–29, 2023507 (LV)± 4.4%23%10%39%14%–14%
American Pulse Research
& Polling (R) [upper-alpha 4] 		November 13–14, 2023414 (LV)± 4.8%23%10%31%14%–23%
CAMP [upper-alpha 5] November 10–12, 2023863 (LV)± 3.26%18%11%24%21%5%21%
Orion Strategies [upper-alpha 6] June 17–20, 2023651 (LV)± 6.0%30%5%31%9%8% [lower-alpha 2] 17%
National Research Inc. February 23–28, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%15%6%28%11%6% [lower-alpha 3] 29%

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Moore Capito
Republican Kevin Christian
Republican Chris Miller
Republican Patrick Morrisey
Republican Mitch Roberts
Republican Mac Warner
Total votes

Democratic primary

Candidates

Presumptive nominee

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Steve Williams
Total votes

Other candidates

Mountain Party

Declared

  • Chase Linko-Looper, human rights advocate and U.S. Army veteran [25]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [26] Solid RJuly 21, 2023
Inside Elections [27] Solid RJuly 14, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Safe RJuly 13, 2023
Elections Daily [29] Safe RJuly 12, 2023

Results

West Virginia gubernatorial election, 2024
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican TBD
Democratic Steve Williams
Mountain Chase Linko-Looper
Total votes

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ J.B. McCuskey with 3%; "Another candidate" with 5%
  3. ↑ J.B. McCuskey and Jeff Mullins with 3%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by West Virginia MetroNews
  2. ↑ Poll commissioned by Black Bear PAC
  3. ↑ Poll commissioned by Black Bear PAC, a pro-Morrisey political action committee.
  4. ↑ Poll commissioned by WMOV.
  5. ↑ Poll commissioned by American Freedom Builders, a super PAC devoted to electing Mac Warner.
  6. ↑ Poll commissioned by the West Virginia Chamber of Commerce.

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References

  1. ↑ Staff, WDTV News (April 27, 2023). "Gov. Justice announces run for U.S. Senate". www.wdtv.com. Archived from the original on April 27, 2023. Retrieved April 27, 2023.
  2. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  3. ↑ "West Virginia GOP auditor announces 2024 run for governor". AP NEWS. February 28, 2023. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
  4. ↑ McElhinny, Brad (November 29, 2022). "Moore Capito, whose name likely rings a bell, says he's running for West Virginia governor". WV MetroNews. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
  5. 1 2 "WV SOS - Elections - Candidate - Online Data Services". apps.sos.wv.gov. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
  6. ↑ Adams, Steven. "Chris Miller, Son of Congresswoman Carol Miller, Announces 2024 Run for West Virginia Governor". www.theintelligencer.net. The Intelligencer and Wheeling News Register . Retrieved December 24, 2021.
  7. ↑ "AG Morrisey announces 2024 run for Governor". WDTV . April 4, 2023. Retrieved April 4, 2023.
  8. ↑ "W.Va. Secretary of State Mac Warner announces he will run for governor". WCHS-TV . January 10, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  9. ↑ McElhinny, Brad (July 24, 2023). "McCuskey pivots to attorney general's race, and Weld and Stuart say they won't back down". West Virginia MetroNews . Retrieved July 24, 2023. Two-term state Auditor J.B. McCuskey, who was competing in a crowded field for governor, has pivoted to the attorney general's race instead.
  10. ↑ "W.Va. Agriculture Commissioner Kent Leonhardt to seek third term". Kent Leonhardt announced Wednesday he will seek a third term and will not run for governor.
  11. ↑ "Treasurer Riley Moore jumps into congressional race, another early political announcement". WV Metro News. November 21, 2022. Retrieved November 21, 2022.
  12. ↑ "Capito supports son's move to run for governor, says he will bring energy".
  13. ↑ McElhinny, Brad (April 18, 2024). "Governor Justice endorses Moore Capito to succeed him". West Virginia MetroNews . Retrieved April 18, 2024.
  14. ↑ "Former West Virginia University coach Bob Huggins to visit Wheeling to endorse Chris Miller for Governor". WTRF. April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
  15. 1 2 Weaver, Alexandra (May 31, 2023). "Citizens United president makes West Virginia governor endorsement". WBOY. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
  16. ↑ "Americans for Prosperity Announces Endorsement of Patrick Morrisey for West Virginia Governor". americansforprosperity.org. July 19, 2023. Archived from the original on November 11, 2023. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  17. ↑ "Club for Growth PAC and Black Bear PAC Endorse Patrick Morrisey for Governor". April 5, 2023. Archived from the original on April 5, 2023.
  18. ↑ "West Virginia". NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on April 6, 2024. Retrieved April 6, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  19. ↑ "Attorney General Patrick Morrisey Raises Over $1.1M Since Entering Race for West Virginia Governor". www.lootpress.com. July 8, 2023. Archived from the original on November 11, 2023. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  20. ↑ "WV Coal Association Endorses Slate of Pro-Coal Candidates for 2024 Election". www.wvcoal.com. Archived from the original on September 2, 2023. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
  21. ↑ Gunnoe, Cameron (January 29, 2024). "West Virginia Sheriffs' Association Endorses Attorney General Patrick Morrisey for Governor". Lootpress. Archived from the original on April 6, 2024. Retrieved April 6, 2024.
  22. ↑ Staff, WSAZ News (September 4, 2023). "Huntington Mayor says he plans to file to run for Governor of W.Va". WSAZ. Retrieved September 4, 2023.
  23. ↑ Doherty, Erin (January 22, 2023). "Manchin on 2024 political ambitions: "Everything is on table"". Axios. Retrieved January 22, 2023. He did rule out running for West Virginia governor in 2024.
  24. ↑ McElhinny, Brad (July 5, 2023). "Salango says he won't repeat bid for governor; Huntington Mayor Williams says he's closer to launch". West Virginia MetroNews . Retrieved July 5, 2023.
  25. ↑ Lawrence, Brandy (June 20, 2023). "Chase Linko-Looper announces candidacy for Governor". WOAY . Retrieved June 22, 2023.
  26. ↑ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  27. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  28. ↑ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  29. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
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