2024 United States presidential election in New York

Last updated April 23, 2024

The 2024 United States presidential election in New York is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New York voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New York has 28 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.^[1]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The 2024 New York Democratic presidential primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin.

New York Democratic primary, April 2, 2024
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	278,669	91.5%	268		268
Marianne Williamson	14,973	4.9%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)	10,989	3.6%
Total:	302,811	100.0%	268	38	306
Source: ^[3]

Primary polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden	Different Candidate	Undecided
Siena College	Sep 10–13, 2023	804 (RV)	± 4.3%	54%	40%	6%
Siena College	Aug 13–16, 2023	803 (RV)	± 4.4%	47%	46%	7%
Siena College	Jun 20–25, 2023	817 (RV)	± 3.9%	54%	40%	6%
Siena College	May 7–11, 2023	810 (RV)	± 4.1%	56%	40%	4%
Siena College	Mar 19–22, 2023	802 (RV)	± 4.6%	43%	51%	7%

Republican primary

The New York Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside the Connecticut primary.

New York Republican primary, April 2, 2024
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	131,621	82.1%	91
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)	20,718	12.9%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	6,435	4.0%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	1,624	1.0%
Total:	160,398	100.0%	91		91
Source: ^[4]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report ^[5]	Solid D	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections ^[6]	Solid D	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball ^[7]	Solid D	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill ^[8]	Solid D	December 14, 2023
CNalysis ^[9]	Solid D	December 30, 2023
CNN ^[10]	Solid D	January 14, 2024

Polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Siena College	February 12–14, 2024	806 (RV)	± 4.2%	42%	32%	13%	6%	7%
Siena College	January 14–17, 2024	807 (RV)	± 4.5%	41%	32%	13%	3%	11%
Siena College	November 12–15, 2023	803 (RV)	± 4.6%	37%	28%	18%	5%	11%
Siena College	October 15–19, 2023	1,225 (RV)	± 3.4%	38%	31%	13%	5%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Siena College	April 15–17, 2024	806 (RV)	± 4.1%	47%	37%	16%
Siena College	February 12–14, 2024	806 (RV)	± 4.2%	48%	36%	16%
Siena College	January 14–17, 2024	807 (RV)	± 4.5%	46%	37%	17%
Siena College	November 12–15, 2023	803 (RV)	± 4.6%	46%	36%	18%
Siena College	October 15–19, 2023	1,225 (RV)	± 3.4%	46%	37%	17%
Siena College	August 13–16, 2023	803 (RV)	± 4.4%	47%	34%	19%
Siena College	June 20–25, 2023	817 (RV)	± 3.9%	50%	28%	21%
SurveyUSA	November 3–6, 2022	918 (RV)	± 4.1%	46%	34%	20%
Emerson College	October 20–24, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	40%	13%
SurveyUSA	October 14–18, 2022	1,018 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	37%	21%
Emerson College	September 4–6, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	53%	37%	10%
SurveyUSA	August 17–21, 2022	715 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	29%	22%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	August 7–9, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	40%	8%

Notes

1 2 3 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

Partisan clients

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References

↑ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
↑ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
↑ "New York Presidential Primary". The AP. April 15, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
↑ "New York Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved April 1, 2024.
↑ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
↑ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
↑ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
↑ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
↑ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
↑ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.

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[key-4] 1 2 3 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[1] Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.

[2] Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.

[3] "New York Presidential Primary". The AP. April 15, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.

[5] "New York Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved April 1, 2024.

[6] "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[7] "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[8] "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[9] "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[10] "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[11] "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.

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