2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky

Last updated

2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2020 November 5, 20242028 
  Donald Trump 2023 (cropped).jpg Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump
(presumptive)
Joe Biden
(presumptive)
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate TBA Kamala Harris
(presumptive)

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Kentucky voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kentucky has 8 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. [1]

Contents

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term. [2] A Southern state completely in the Bible Belt which presidential Republicans have won by double digits back-to-back since 2000 last voting Democratic for fellow Southerner Bill Clinton in 1996, Kentucky in line with its sister state Tennessee is widely expected to continue this streak in 2024.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Kentucky Democratic presidential primary will be held on May 21, 2024, alongside the Oregon primary.

Republican primary

The Kentucky Republican caucuses are scheduled to be held on May 21, 2024, alongside the Oregon primary.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [3] Solid RDecember 19, 2023
Inside Elections [4] Solid RApril 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5] Solid RJune 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [6] Solid RDecember 14, 2023
CNalysis [7] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
CNN [8] Solid RJanuary 14, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–3, 2023450 (RV)± 4.6%55%26%19%
Public Policy Polling (D) August 9–10, 2023737 (V)55%34%11%
co/efficient (R) May 18–19, 2023987 (LV)± 3.1%57%33%10%

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients

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