2016 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary

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2016 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2012 May 17, 2016 (2016-05-17) 2020  
  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg NOTA Option Logo 3x4.svg
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Uncommitted
Home state New York Vermont N/A
Delegate count28273
Popular vote212,534 [1] 210,62324,104
Percentage46.76%46.33%5.30%

2016 Kentucky Democratic Presidential Primary election by county.svg
Election results by county.

The 2016 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary was held on May 17 in the U.S. state of Kentucky as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Contents

On the same day, the Democratic Party held their Oregon primary. The Republican Party held their Kentucky caucuses in early March.

Opinion polling

List of polls

Delegate count: 55 Pledged, 5 Unpledged Winner: Star.svg Hillary Clinton
Primary date: May 17, 2016

Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Official Primary results [2] May 17, 2016Hillary Clinton
46.8%
Bernie Sanders
46.3%
Others / Uncommitted
6.9%
Public Policy Polling [3]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 501

March 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton
43%
Bernie Sanders
38%
Others / Undecided
19%
Public Policy Polling [4]

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 610

June 18–21, 2015Hillary Clinton
56%
Bernie Sanders
12%
Jim Webb
7%
Lincoln Chafee 5%, Martin O'Malley 3%, Not sure 18%

Results

Kentucky Democratic primary, May 17, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Hillary Clinton 212,53446.76%28230
Bernie Sanders 210,62346.33%27027
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)5,7131.26%
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente 1,5940.35%
Uncommitted24,1045.30%033
Total454,568100%55560
Source: [5] [6]

Results by county

County [7] ClintonVotesSandersVotes
Adair 49.6%46643.7%410
Allen 46.0%42747.4%440
Anderson 36.0%1,13252.4%1,649
Ballard 32.0%40552.0%659
Barren 37.2%1,97949.9%2,653
Bath 45.6%62846.6%641
Bell 44.7%56745.6%578
Boone 51.8%2,93244.1%2,496
Bourbon 46.5%1,10945.6%1,087
Boyd 44.7%2,19346.1%2,262
Boyle 49.9%1,64843.9%1,451
Bracken 32.5%25154.9%424
Breathitt 33.9%1,12351.8%1,716
Breckinridge 45.9%87745.8%875
Bullitt 44.4%2,90749.1%3,210
Butler 51.1%23842.1%196
Caldwell 34.3%57052.1%866
Calloway 35.8%1,46055.0%2,239
Campbell 48.1%3,16947.5%3,133
Carlisle 25.6%20657.5%462
Carroll 41.5%48149.4%573
Carter 39.1%80051.4%1,051
Casey 50.7%21044.0%182
Christian 50.2%2,43739.9%1,936
Clark 45.5%1,81047.5%1,888
Clay 48.4%18441.6%158
Clinton 57.9%15135.6%93
Crittenden 35.6%24051.0%344
Cumberland 44.8%7850.0%87
Daviess 45.5%5,06646.6%5,188
Edmonson 49.5%27547.1%262
Elliott 35.7%30152.6%443
Estill 47.6%44647.0%440
Fayette 52.8%20,01445.0%17,048
Fleming 40.7%62752.3%806
Floyd 31.4%2,32754.1%4,010
Franklin 45.1%5,21846.6%5,398
Fulton 46.6%31536.2%245
Gallatin 39.5%26051.6%340
Garrard 50.5%43445.0%387
Grant 40.9%59449.2%715
Graves 31.8%1,63151.3%2,631
Grayson 49.9%70544.6%630
Green 40.4%28451.2%360
Greenup 43.8%1,51747.7%1,655
Hancock 42.5%49149.7%573
Hardin 47.8%4,35946.2%4,208
Harlan 25.9%45162.8%1,092
Harrison 41.4%88649.5%1,059
Hart 39.7%81751.6%1,062
Henderson 43.4%2,88742.9%2,850
Henry 40.6%78149.8%958
Hickman 32.5%20946.6%300
Hopkins 32.7%1,69052.2%2,696
Jackson 35.9%7859.0%128
Jefferson 57.3%64,09040.3%45,048
Jessamine 44.2%1,87549.8%2,113
Johnson 32.9%44455.5%749
Kenton 49.0%5,14646.5%4,880
Knott 30.8%58358.8%1,114
Knox 47.9%52046.4%504
LaRue 34.7%61251.6%910
Laurel 49.1%84545.9%791
Lawrence 35.3%44452.4%659
Lee 42.9%19948.3%224
Leslie 43.8%6452.7%77
Letcher 26.7%83856.9%1,788
Lewis 51.7%21137.0%151
Lincoln 47.7%77945.5%742
Livingston 34.4%40052.4%610
Logan 43.8%1,07746.0%1,131
Lyon 40.5%49745.7%561
Madison 41.6%3,44153.0%4,385
Magoffin 42.7%51152.3%626
Marion 50.3%1,16242.6%983
Marshall 34.7%1,57750.8%2,308
Martin 31.2%10457.4%191
Mason 44.1%72747.0%775
McCracken 43.8%3,33446.5%3,541
McCreary 41.9%16950.4%203
McLean 38.1%47750.1%628
Meade 41.9%1,31249.2%1,541
Menifee 44.8%31146.5%323
Mercer 39.1%98852.6%1,331
Metcalfe 41.7%50647.9%582
Monroe 50.8%12644.0%109
Montgomery 45.8%1,28947.0%1,322
Morgan 31.6%54457.3%988
Muhlenberg 43.3%1,54445.7%1,632
Nelson 47.6%2,39546.6%2,345
Nicholas 42.2%35350.2%420
Ohio 41.3%77850.0%943
Oldham 52.4%2,73044.4%2,315
Owen 34.6%45355.0%720
Owsley 43.3%7751.1%91
Pendleton 36.6%38851.5%546
Perry 30.0%83959.6%1,666
Pike 26.1%2,33554.3%4,848
Powell 42.4%62350.7%744
Pulaski 47.4%1,16946.6%1,148
Robertson 32.0%9559.6%177
Rockcastle 45.7%23848.8%254
Rowan 44.0%1,17051.2%1,363
Russell 48.2%34346.7%332
Scott 48.6%2,50546.4%2,394
Shelby 47.8%2,19544.5%2,044
Simpson 45.9%70845.1%695
Spencer 42.7%67351.2%806
Taylor 50.3%94944.8%844
Todd 35.1%33353.5%507
Trigg 40.8%60448.3%715
Trimble 38.3%41550.0%542
Union 29.9%67249.3%1,106
Warren 44.9%4,82949.9%5,365
Washington 47.0%60145.5%582
Wayne 55.6%50239.4%356
Webster 28.7%69348.5%1,169
Whitley 52.5%52241.1%409
Wolfe 42.1%41450.7%499
Woodford 46.3%1,86247.7%1,918
Total46.8%212,55046.3%210,626

Analysis

Clinton's strength with conservative white voters in the Appalachia region, including Coal Country, had clearly regressed since 2008; she had beaten Barack Obama 65–29 in Kentucky eight years earlier, and only beat rival Bernie Sanders 47–46 in 2016. She ran strongly in Louisville, where the African American population is highest, but lost many of the Eastern Kentucky Coalfield counties in the state to Bernie Sanders, who had won a large victory in neighboring West Virginia the week prior. Sanders also won many counties in the Jackson Purchase area. Notably, in 2012, almost all of the Sanders counties voted for the "Uncommitted" ballot option in a protest vote against Obama.

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References

  1. Kentucky Secretary of State
  2. Official Primary results
  3. "Kentucky Survey Results" (PDF). publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved March 8, 2016.
  4. "PPP KY" (PDF). publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
  5. The Green Papers
  6. Kentucky Secretary of State
  7. "2016 Election Center". CNN . Retrieved June 4, 2018.