2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

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2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2022 November 5, 20242026 

All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Current seats51

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections are scheduled for May 21, 2024.

Contents

Background

The Kentucky Supreme Court heard arguments in September 2023 in a suit alleging that the state legislature violated the state constitution by creating a partisan gerrymander in the state's congressional map by moving the state capital Frankfort to the heavily Republican 1st district. On December 14, 2023, the court affirmed a lower court ruiling resulting in the case being dismissed. [1] [2]

District 1

2024 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2022
2026 
  James Comer official congressional photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee James Comer (presumptive)Erin Marshall (presumptive)
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

James Comer
Republican



The 1st district is based in Western Kentucky and stretches into Central Kentucky, taking in Henderson, Hopkinsville, Madisonville, Paducah, Murray, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 74.9% of the vote in 2022. [3]

Republican primary

Presumptive nominee

Endorsements

James Comer

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
James Comer (R)$3,637,369$2,419,769$2,295,421
Source: Federal Election Commission [6]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican James Comer (incumbent)
Total votes

Democratic primary

Presumptive nominee

  • Erin Marshall, sales manager [7]

Endorsements

Erin Marshall
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Erin Marshall
Total votes

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [9] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
Inside Elections [10] Solid RJanuary 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Safe RNovember 16, 2023
Elections Daily [12] Safe ROctober 26, 2023
CNalysis [13] Solid RDecember 28, 2023

Results

Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2024
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican James Comer (incumbent)
Democratic Erin Marshall
Total votes

District 2

2024 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2022
2026 
  Brett Guthrie, Official Photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Brett Guthrie (presumptive)TBD
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Brett Guthrie
Republican



The 2nd district is located in west central Kentucky, and includes Bowling Green, Owensboro, Elizabethtown, and a portion of eastern Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 71.9% of the vote in 2022. [3]

Republican primary

Presumptive nominee

Endorsements

Brett Guthrie

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Brett Guthrie (R)$1,070,519$807,271$2,127,367
Source: Federal Election Commission [15]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent)
Total votes

Democratic primary

Declared

  • William Compton, Plum Springs city commissioner and candidate for this district in 2022 [7]
  • Hank Linderman, musician and nominee for this district in 2018, 2020, and 2022 [7]

Endorsements

William Compton
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
William Compton (D)$1,287$1,843$57
Hank Linderman (D)$0$10,773$7,963
Source: Federal Election Commission [15]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic William Compton
Democratic Hank Linderman
Total votes

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [9] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
Inside Elections [10] Solid RJanuary 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Safe RNovember 16, 2023
Elections Daily [12] Safe ROctober 26, 2023
CNalysis [13] Solid RDecember 28, 2023

Results

Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2024
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent)
Democratic Hank Linderman
Total votes

District 3

2024 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2022
2026 
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Morgan McGarvey
Democratic



The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of Louisville Metro, which, since the merger of 2003, is consolidated with Jefferson County, though other incorporated cities, such as Shively and St. Matthews, exist within the county. The incumbent is Democrat Morgan McGarvey, who was elected with 62.0% of the vote in 2022. [3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Morgan McGarvey (D)$952,803$380,682$793,177
Geoff Young (D)$5,000 [lower-alpha 1] $670$4,330
Source: Federal Election Commission [20]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Morgan McGarvey (incumbent)
Democratic Jared Randall
Democratic Geoff Young
Total votes

Republican primary

Declared

  • Mike Craven, retired auto worker and perennial candidate [7]
  • Dennis Ormerod, candidate for governor in 2023 [7]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Craven
Republican Dennis Ormerod
Total votes

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [9] Solid DDecember 30, 2023
Inside Elections [10] Solid DJanuary 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Safe DNovember 16, 2023
Elections Daily [12] Safe DOctober 26, 2023
CNalysis [13] Solid DDecember 28, 2023

Results

Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2024
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic TBD
Republican TBD
Total votes

District 4

2024 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2022
2026 
 
Party Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Thomas Massie
Republican



The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and the eastern suburbs of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2022. [3]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Eric Deters
Executive branch officials
Thomas Massie

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Eric
Deters
Thomas
Massie
Michael
McGinnis
Undecided
UpONE (R) [upper-alpha 1] March 2–4, 2024473 (LV)± 5.7%12%70%4%13%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Thomas Massie (R)$299,855$230,611$317,335
Source: Federal Election Commission [22]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Eric Deters
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent)
Republican Michael McGinnis
Total votes

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [9] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
Inside Elections [10] Solid RJanuary 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Safe RNovember 16, 2023
Elections Daily [12] Safe ROctober 26, 2023
CNalysis [13] Solid RDecember 28, 2023

Results

Kentucky's 4th congressional district, 2024
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican TBD
Total votes

District 5

2024 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2022
2026 
 
Party Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Hal Rogers
Republican



The 5th district is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican House dean Hal Rogers, who was re-elected with 82.2% of the vote in 2022. [3]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Dana Edwards, surgeon [23]
  • David Kraftchak, airline pilot [24]
  • Brandon Monhallen, transportation manager and candidate for this district in 2022 [7]
  • Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative [7]

Endorsements

Hal Rogers

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Hal Rogers (R)$368,360$262,949$818,376
Dana Edwards (R)$306,721 [lower-alpha 3] $93,889$215,331
Source: Federal Election Commission [25]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Dana Edwards
Republican David Kraftchak
Republican Brandon Monhallen
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent)
Total votes

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [9] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
Inside Elections [10] Solid RJanuary 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Safe RNovember 16, 2023
Elections Daily [12] Safe ROctober 26, 2023
CNalysis [13] Solid RDecember 28, 2023

Results

Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2024
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican
Total votes

District 6

2024 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2022
2026 
  Andy Barr 116th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Andy Barr (presumptive)TBD
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Andy Barr
Republican



The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Georgetown. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 62.7% of the vote in 2022. [3]

Republican primary

Presumptive nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Andy Barr (R)$1,844,673$714,760$3,170,685
Source: Federal Election Commission [27]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent)
Total votes

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Randy Cravens, IT major incident manager and write-in candidate for this district in 2022 [7]
  • Todd Kelly, tree nursery owner [7]
  • Don Pratt, retired grocery store owner and perennial candidate [7]
  • Jonathan Richardson [7]
  • Shauna Rudd, social worker [7]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Randy Cravens (D)$1,420$4,279$312
Source: Federal Election Commission [27]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Randy Cravens
Democratic Todd Kelly
Democratic Don Pratt
Democratic Jonathan Richardson
Democratic Shauna Rudd
Total votes

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [9] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
Inside Elections [10] Solid RJanuary 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Safe RNovember 16, 2023
Elections Daily [12] Safe ROctober 26, 2023
CNalysis [13] Solid RDecember 28, 2023

Results

Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 2024
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent)
Democratic TBD
Total votes

Notes

  1. $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Young.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. $51,210 of this total was self-funded by Edwards.
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by Massie's campaign

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References

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