2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

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2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2022 November 5, 2024 2026  

All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Seats before51
Seats won51
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote1,392,354511,998
Percentage73.07%26.87%
SwingIncrease2.svg 7.93%Decrease2.svg 6.68%

2024 U.S. House elections in Kentucky.svg
2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky results map by county.svg

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on May 21, 2024.

Contents

Background

The Kentucky Supreme Court heard arguments in September 2023 in a suit alleging that the state legislature violated the state constitution by creating a partisan gerrymander in the state's congressional map by moving the state capital Frankfort to the heavily Republican 1st district. On December 14, 2023, the court affirmed a lower court ruling resulting in the case being dismissed. [1] [2]

District 1

2024 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2022
2026  
  Rep. James Comer (long cropped 2).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee James Comer Erin Marshall
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote252,72985,524
Percentage74.7%25.3%

2024 KY-01 election results.svg
County results
Comer:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

KY1 House 2024.svg
Precinct results
Comer:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Marshall:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

James Comer
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

James Comer
Republican

The 1st district is based in Western Kentucky and stretches into Central Kentucky, taking in Henderson, Hopkinsville, Madisonville, Paducah, Murray, and Frankfort. The incumbent was Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 74.9% of the vote in 2022. [3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
James Comer (R)$5,496,972$3,635,885$2,938,909
Source: Federal Election Commission [7]

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Erin Marshall, sales manager [8]

Endorsements

Erin Marshall

Organizations

Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Erin Marshall (D)$75,751$56,959$18,791
Source: Federal Election Commission [7]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [11] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
Inside Elections [12] Solid RJanuary 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Safe RNovember 16, 2023
Elections Daily [14] Safe ROctober 26, 2023
CNalysis [15] Solid RDecember 28, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [16] Solid RJune 1, 2024

Results

Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2024 [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican James Comer (incumbent) 252,729 74.7
Democratic Erin Marshall85,52425.3
Total votes338,253 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2024 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2022
2026  
  Brett Guthrie, Official Photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee Brett Guthrie Hank Linderman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote252,82693,029
Percentage73.1%26.9%

2024 KY-02 election results.svg
County results
Guthrie:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

KY2 House 2024.svg
Precinct results
Guthrie:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Linderman:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Tie:     50%     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Brett Guthrie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brett Guthrie
Republican

The 2nd district is located in west central Kentucky, and includes Bowling Green, Owensboro, Elizabethtown, and a portion of eastern Louisville. The incumbent was Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 71.9% of the vote in 2022. [3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Brett Guthrie (R)$1,759,114$1,977,765$1,645,468
Source: Federal Election Commission [19]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

William Compton

Organizations

Hank Linderman

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
William Compton (D)$4,569$5,065$248
Hank Linderman (D)$7,100$16,533$9,303
Source: Federal Election Commission [19]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Hank Linderman 12,515 57.3
Democratic William Compton9,31342.7
Total votes21,828 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [11] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
Inside Elections [12] Solid RJanuary 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Safe RNovember 16, 2023
Elections Daily [14] Safe ROctober 26, 2023
CNalysis [15] Solid RDecember 28, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [16] Solid RJune 1, 2024

Results

Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2024 [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent) 252,826 73.1
Democratic Hank Linderman93,02926.9
Total votes345,855 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2024 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2022
2026  
  Rep. Morgan McGarvey - 118th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Morgan McGarvey Mike Craven
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote203,100124,713
Percentage61.9%38.0%

2024 KY-03 election results.svg
KY3 House 2024.svg
McGarvey:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Craven:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Morgan McGarvey
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Morgan McGarvey
Democratic

The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of Louisville Metro, which, since the merger of 2003, is consolidated with Jefferson County, though other incorporated cities, such as Shively and St. Matthews, exist within the county. The incumbent was Democrat Morgan McGarvey, who was elected with 62.0% of the vote in 2022. [3]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Jared Randall, high school track coach [8]
  • Geoff Young, retired state employee and perennial candidate [8]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Morgan McGarvey (D)$1,416,913$671,715$966,254
Geoff Young (D)$13,410 [a] $13,511$0
Source: Federal Election Commission [25]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Morgan McGarvey (incumbent) 44,275 84.1
Democratic Geoff Young 5,87511.2
Democratic Jared Randall2,4914.7
Total votes52,641 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

  • Mike Craven, retired auto worker and perennial candidate [8]

Eliminated in primary

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Craven 15,397 75.2
Republican Dennis Ormerod5,07424.8
Total votes20,471 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [11] Solid DDecember 30, 2023
Inside Elections [12] Solid DJanuary 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Safe DNovember 16, 2023
Elections Daily [14] Safe DOctober 26, 2023
CNalysis [15] Solid DDecember 28, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [16] Solid DJune 1, 2024

Results

Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2024 [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Morgan McGarvey (incumbent) 203,100 61.9
Republican Mike Craven124,71338.0
Write-in 510.0
Total votes327,864 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2024 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2022
2026  
  Thomas Massie (53866040236) (cropped) 4x5.jpg
Nominee Thomas Massie
Party Republican
Popular vote278,386
Percentage99.6%

U.S. Representative before election

Thomas Massie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Thomas Massie
Republican

The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and the eastern suburbs of Louisville. The incumbent was Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2022. [3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Eric Deters, suspended attorney and candidate for governor in 2023 [8]
  • Michael McGinnis, marketer [8]

Endorsements

Eric Deters

Executive branch officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Eric
Deters
Thomas
Massie
Michael
McGinnis
Undecided
UpONE (R) [29] [A] March 2–4, 2024473 (LV)± 5.7%12%70%4%13%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Thomas Massie (R)$802,152$356,870$693,373
Source: Federal Election Commission [30]

Results

Primary results by county
Massie- 70-80%
Massie- 80-90% 2024 KY 4 Primary.png
Primary results by county
  Massie- 70-80%
  Massie- 80-90%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent) 39,929 75.9
Republican Michael McGinnis6,60412.6
Republican Eric Deters6,06011.5
Total votes52,593 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [11] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
Inside Elections [12] Solid RJanuary 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Safe RNovember 16, 2023
Elections Daily [14] Safe ROctober 26, 2023
CNalysis [15] Solid RDecember 28, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [16] Solid RJune 1, 2024

Results

Kentucky's 4th congressional district, 2024 [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent) 278,386 99.6
Write-in 1,1310.4
Total votes279,517 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2024 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2022
2026  
  Hal Rogers 116th Congress.jpg
Nominee Hal Rogers
Party Republican
Popular vote261,407
Percentage100.0%

2024 KY-05 election results.svg
County results
Rogers:     100%

U.S. Representative before election

Hal Rogers
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Hal Rogers
Republican

The 5th district is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent was Republican House dean Hal Rogers, who was re-elected with 82.2% of the vote in 2022. [3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Dana Edwards, surgeon [31]
  • David Kraftchak, airline pilot [32]
  • Brandon Monhollen, transportation manager and candidate for this district in 2022 [8]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Hal Rogers (R)$638,917$354,408$997,474
Dana Edwards (R)$308,734 [c] $311,137$97
Source: Federal Election Commission [33]

Results

Primary results by county:
Rogers
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
>90% 2024 KY-05 GOP primary.png
Primary results by county:
  Rogers
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent) 39,423 81.8
Republican Dana Edwards5,11210.6
Republican Brandon Monhollen2,6735.5
Republican David Kraftchak9972.1
Total votes48,205 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [11] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
Inside Elections [12] Solid RJanuary 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Safe RNovember 16, 2023
Elections Daily [14] Safe ROctober 26, 2023
CNalysis [15] Solid RDecember 28, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [16] Solid RJune 1, 2024

Results

Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2024 [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent) 261,407 100.0
Total votes261,407 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

2024 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2022
2026  
  Andy Barr 116th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Andy Barr Randy Cravens
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote222,293130,345
Percentage63.0%37.0%

2024 KY-06 election results.svg
County results
Barr:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Cravens:     50–60%

KY6 House 2024.svg
Precinct results
Barr:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Cravens:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     50%     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Andy Barr
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Barr
Republican

The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Georgetown. The incumbent was Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 62.7% of the vote in 2022. [3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Andy Barr (R)$2,871,024$1,104,696$3,807,100
Source: Federal Election Commission [35]

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Randy Cravens, IT major incident manager and write-in candidate for this district in 2022 [8]

Eliminated in primary

  • Todd Kelly, tree nursery owner [8]
  • Don B. Pratt, retired grocery store owner and perennial candidate [8]
  • Jonathan Richardson, nonprofit founder [8]
  • Shauna Rudd, social worker [8]

Endorsements

Randy Cravens

Newspapers

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Randy Cravens (D)$2,305$4,397$1,079
Todd Kelly (D)$45,203 [d] $34,168$13,035
Shauna Rudd (D)$53,774$54,262$212
Source: Federal Election Commission [35]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Randy Cravens 9,305 26.0
Democratic Todd Kelly9,10425.4
Democratic Shauna Rudd8,62724.1
Democratic Jonathan Richardson4,43312.4
Democratic Don B. Pratt4,33512.1
Total votes35,804 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [11] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
Inside Elections [12] Solid RJanuary 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Safe RNovember 16, 2023
Elections Daily [14] Safe ROctober 26, 2023
CNalysis [15] Solid RDecember 28, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [16] Solid RJune 1, 2024

Results

Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 2024 [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent) 222,293 63.0
Democratic Randy Cravens130,34537.0
Total votes352,638 100.0
Republican hold

Notes

  1. $11,49 of this total was self-funded by Young.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. $260,000 of this total was self-funded by Edwards
  4. $5,500 of this total was self-funded by Kelly.

Partisan clients

  1. This poll was sponsored by Massie's campaign

References

  1. "Kentucky Supreme Court reviews state's Republican-drawn legislative, congressional maps". AP News. September 19, 2023. Retrieved November 23, 2023.
  2. "Kentucky Supreme Court upholds legislative, congressional boundaries passed by GOP-led legislature". AP News. December 14, 2023. Retrieved December 24, 2023.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report . Retrieved November 28, 2023.
  4. Frisk, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 NRA-PVF. "NRA-PVF | Grades | Kentucky". NRA-PVF. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  7. 1 2 "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 1st". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved November 23, 2023.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State". Kentucky Secretary of State Office. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
  9. "Vote Mama PAC | Candidates". Vote Mama PAC. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  10. 1 2 "Endorsements 2024 | Kentucky State AFL-CIO". ky.aflcio.org. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
  14. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 9, 2023. Retrieved August 9, 2023.
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  16. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2024 House Forecast". May 28, 2024. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  17. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2024 General Election Certification as Amended on December 9th 2024" (PDF). elect.ky.gov. Kentucky State Board of Elections. Retrieved December 20, 2024.
  18. Anderson, Mario (November 16, 2023). "Brett Guthrie announces 2024 reelection campaign to Congress". Spectrum News . Retrieved November 16, 2023.
  19. 1 2 "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 2nd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  20. "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
  21. 1 2 "Kentucky". UAW Endorsements. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  22. "BIPAC Action". bipacaction.com. Retrieved February 26, 2024.
  23. "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
  24. "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  25. "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 3rd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  26. Releases, Press (February 21, 2024). "Press release: Kentucky Trump Candidate Eric Deters Wins General Flynn Endorsement for Congress". LINK nky. Retrieved February 21, 2024.
  27. Young, Matt (May 10, 2024). "Nicole Shanahan Teases Big Donation to Anti-Abortion Rep". The Daily Beast. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
  28. "Kentucky Endorsements". www.nrlvictoryfund.org. National Right to Life Victory Fund. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
  29. UpONE (R)
  30. "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 4th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  31. Tillman, Scott (July 12, 2023). "Dana Edwards Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". US Term Limits. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  32. Tillman, Scott (July 12, 2023). "David Kraftchak Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". US Term Limits. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
  33. "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 5th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  34. "Pro-Israel America Announces Twenty Candidate Endorsements". Pro Israel America. March 7, 2024. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  35. 1 2 "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 6th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  36. https://www.kentucky.com/opinion/editorials/article288391510.html

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates