2024 United States presidential election in Indiana

Last updated

2024 United States presidential election in Indiana
Flag of Indiana.svg
←  2020 November 5, 20242028 →
Turnout61.53% (Decrease2.svg 3.05 pp) [1]
  TrumpPortrait (3x4a).jpg Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Electoral vote110
Popular vote1,720,3471,163,603
Percentage58.58%39.62%
Indiana Presidential Election Results 2024.svg
2024 Indiana Presidential Election by Congressional District.svg
IN President 2024.svg
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Indiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. [2]

Contents

Republican Donald Trump won Indiana for the third time in a row, with a comfortable margin of 18.96%; he had swept the state in the previous two presidential election cycles with former Governor of Indiana Mike Pence on the ticket: by 19% in 2016 and by 16% in 2020. This makes the first time since 2008 that it voted for the winner of the national popular vote. Prior to the election, all major news organizations considered Indiana a state Trump would win, or a red state. Trump flipped Tippecanoe County, which voted for him in 2016 but not in 2020. He also improved his margins in most other counties in the state, notably in Lake County, home to Gary and parts of the Chicago Metropolitan Area, which is also the most longtime Democratic county in the state. Despite Trump losing it by 5.6 points, this was the best performance by a Republican in this county since 1972, when Nixon carried it as part of his national landslide victory. [3]

Despite Democrat Kamala Harris's loss, she slightly improved on Joe Biden's margins of defeat in a handful of suburban Indianapolis counties — most notably Hamilton, which went for Trump by less than 7% in both this election and 2020; and Boone, in which she became the first presidential Democrat to garner over 40% of the vote since Lyndon Johnson, who lost the county by a mere 4.9% in 1964. [4] With Harris narrowly winning St. Joseph County, home to South Bend, this was the first election since 1976 in which said county did not vote for the winner of the nationwide popular vote.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The 2024 Indiana Democratic presidential primary was held on May 7, 2024. 88 delegates, 79 pledged and nine superdelegates, to the Democratic National Convention would be allocated to presidential candidates. [5]

In Indiana, candidates have to gather at least 500 signatures from each congressional district, for a total of 4,500 signatures, to make the primary ballot. [6] Incumbent President Joe Biden was the only candidate who met the requirements. [7] "Uncommitted" would not appear on the ballot, and write-in votes were not allowed. [8]

With no opposition, President Biden won 100% of the primary vote.

Indiana Democratic primary, May 7, 2024 [9]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Joe Biden 178,074100.0%79
Total:178,074100.0%7979

Republican primary

The Indiana Republican primary was held on May 7, 2024. Nikki Haley, who had already dropped out, and Donald Trump appeared on the ballot.

Indiana Republican primary, May 7, 2024 [10]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 461,67878.3%58
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)128,17021.7%
Total:589,848100.0%5858

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [11] Solid RDecember 19, 2023
Inside Elections [12] Solid RApril 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Safe RJune 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [14] Safe RDecember 14, 2023
CNalysis [15] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
CNN [16] Solid RJanuary 14, 2024
The Economist [17] Safe RJune 12, 2024
538 [18] Solid RSeptember 23, 2024
RCP [19] Solid RJune 26, 2024
NBC News [20] Safe ROctober 6, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
ActiVote [21] October 3–28, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%58%42%–
ActiVote [22] August 28 – September 30, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%57%43%–
ARW Strategies [23] [A] September 23–25, 2024600 (LV)–55%39%6%
Emerson College [24] September 12–13, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%57%40%3% [b]
58% [c] 41%1% [b]
Lake Research Partners (D) [25] [B] August 26 – September 2, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%52%42%6%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [26] [C] April 13–21, 2024418 (LV)–47%43%10%
Emerson College [27] March 2–5, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%55%34%11%
Emerson College [28] October 1–4, 2023462 (RV)± 4.5%48%29%24%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [26] [C] April 13–21, 2024418 (LV)–44%41%15%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [26] [C] April 13–21, 2024418 (LV)–47%38%15%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College [27] March 2–5, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%45%29%26%

Results

State Senate district results 2024 Indiana Presidential Election by State Senate District.svg
State Senate district results
State House district results 2024 Indiana Presidential Election by State House District.svg
State House district results
2024 United States presidential election in Indiana [29]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
1,720,347 58.58% Increase2.svg 1.55%
Democratic
1,163,60339.62%Decrease2.svg 1.34%
We the People
29,3251.00%Increase2.svg 1.00%
Libertarian
20,4250.70%Decrease2.svg 1.24%
American Solidarity Peter Sonski (write-in)1,3470.05%Increase2.svg 0.02%
Socialism and Liberation
8320.03%Increase2.svg 0.03%
Independent
7220.02%Increase2.svg 0.02%
Write-in 760.00%Steady2.svg
Total votes2,936,677 100.00% N/A

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican		Kamala Harris
Democratic		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adams 10,52875.28%3,17922.73%2791.99%7,34952.55%13,986
Allen 90,28355.17%69,96042.75%3,4072.08%20,32312.42%163,650
Bartholomew 22,22062.44%12,52535.19%8432.37%9,69527.25%35,588
Benton 2,87372.66%1,01025.54%711.80%1,86347.12%3,954
Blackford 3,81174.20%1,22723.89%981.91%2,58450.31%5,136
Boone 22,84056.70%16,42640.78%1,0172.52%6,41415.92%40,283
Brown 5,64765.46%2,83232.83%1481.71%2,81532.63%8,627
Carroll 6,90275.15%2,12023.08%1621.77%4,78252.07%9,184
Cass 10,28572.36%3,72226.19%2061.45%6,56346.17%14,213
Clark 34,73459.07%22,81038.79%1,2602.14%11,92420.28%58,804
Clay 9,35477.48%2,49520.67%2241.85%6,85956.81%12,073
Clinton 9,10873.16%3,13525.18%2071.66%5,97347.98%12,450
Crawford 3,66873.20%1,23524.65%1082.15%2,43348.55%5,011
Daviess 9,32281.42%1,96317.15%1641.43%7,35964.27%11,449
Dearborn 20,84478.36%5,33520.06%4211.58%15,50958.30%26,600
Decatur 9,49178.21%2,40619.83%2381.96%7,08558.38%12,135
DeKalb 14,37772.50%5,06425.54%3901.96%9,31346.96%19,831
Delaware 26,06756.81%18,84841.08%9662.11%7,21915.73%45,881
Dubois 14,98369.81%5,94427.69%5372.50%9,03942.12%21,464
Elkhart 45,65265.13%23,08232.93%1,3591.94%22,57032.20%70,093
Fayette 7,62577.32%2,08421.13%1531.55%5,54156.19%9,862
Floyd 23,40856.84%17,02541.34%7481.82%6,38315.50%41,181
Fountain 6,31179.07%1,52619.12%1451.81%4,78559.95%7,982
Franklin 9,81081.52%2,06117.13%1631.35%7,74964.39%12,034
Fulton 6,63374.73%2,09723.63%1461.64%4,53651.10%8,876
Gibson 11,89674.81%3,72223.41%2831.78%8,17451.40%15,901
Grant 17,58069.69%7,08328.08%5632.23%10,49741.61%25,226
Greene 11,13275.97%3,27022.32%2511.71%7,86253.65%14,653
Hamilton 102,31851.74%90,39445.71%5,0552.55%11,9246.03%197,767
Hancock 29,28865.69%14,31232.10%9842.21%14,97633.59%44,584
Harrison 14,83072.53%5,23325.59%3851.88%9,59746.94%20,448
Hendricks 49,78359.65%31,91738.25%1,7532.10%17,86621.40%83,453
Henry 15,03372.76%5,20825.21%4192.03%9,82547.55%20,660
Howard 25,87166.51%12,19731.36%8292.13%13,67435.15%38,897
Huntington 12,99073.05%4,41624.83%3772.12%8,57448.22%17,783
Jackson 14,32376.78%4,01521.52%3161.70%10,30855.26%18,654
Jasper 12,08276.25%3,48922.02%2751.73%8,59354.23%15,846
Jay 6,21776.61%1,74721.53%1511.86%4,47055.08%8,115
Jefferson 9,61466.97%4,44230.94%2992.09%5,17236.03%14,355
Jennings 9,27378.52%2,32819.71%2081.77%6,94558.81%11,809
Johnson 51,58866.09%24,88031.87%1,5912.04%26,70834.22%78,059
Knox 11,23674.30%3,62523.97%2621.73%7,61150.33%15,123
Kosciusko 26,21374.88%7,99522.84%7982.28%18,21852.04%35,006
LaGrange 8,07377.33%2,16220.71%2041.96%5,91156.62%10,439
Lake 97,27046.30%109,08651.92%3,7461.78%-11,816-5.62%210,102
LaPorte 26,72656.09%20,00741.99%9141.92%6,71914.10%47,647
Lawrence 15,83074.60%5,01023.61%3801.79%10,82050.99%21,220
Madison 34,83762.35%19,82435.48%1,2112.17%15,01326.87%55,872
Marion 124,32735.08%221,71962.57%8,3222.35%-97,392-27.49%354,368
Marshall 13,83770.54%5,35627.30%4232.16%8,48143.24%19,616
Martin 3,96179.35%93318.69%981.96%3,02860.66%4,992
Miami 10,67076.23%3,04621.76%2822.01%7,62454.47%13,998
Monroe 21,00435.24%37,21362.44%1,3852.32%-16,209-27.20%59,602
Montgomery 12,12272.91%4,13424.86%3712.23%7,98848.05%16,627
Morgan 26,96576.12%7,76521.92%6931.96%19,20054.20%35,423
Newton 5,13177.73%1,37020.75%1001.52%3,76156.98%6,601
Noble 14,20974.82%4,46223.49%3211.69%9,74751.33%18,992
Ohio 2,38177.03%66621.55%441.42%1,71555.48%3,091
Orange 6,46775.24%1,98823.13%1401.63%4,47952.11%8,595
Owen 7,36074.52%2,35423.84%1621.64%5,00650.68%9,876
Parke 5,15877.52%1,37120.60%1251.88%3,78756.92%6,654
Perry 5,54963.91%2,97034.20%1641.89%2,57929.71%8,683
Pike 4,61076.67%1,31421.85%891.48%3,29654.82%6,013
Porter 46,10954.27%37,21343.80%1,6471.93%8,89610.47%84,969
Posey 9,20670.93%3,57227.52%2011.55%5,63443.41%12,979
Pulaski 4,37275.86%1,28022.21%1111.93%3,09253.65%5,763
Putnam 12,56674.95%3,87123.09%3291.96%8,69551.86%16,766
Randolph 8,00875.80%2,34922.23%2081.97%5,65953.57%10,565
Ripley 11,52680.01%2,68218.62%1971.37%8,84461.39%14,405
Rush 5,81275.91%1,67521.88%1692.21%4,13754.03%7,656
St. Joseph 53,58548.35%55,21549.82%2,0241.83%-1,630-1.47%110,824
Scott 7,63374.93%2,38923.45%1651.62%5,24451.48%10,187
Shelby 14,43873.09%4,95525.08%3611.83%9,48348.01%19,754
Spencer 7,36470.52%2,85327.32%2252.16%4,51143.20%10,442
Starke 7,88975.29%2,43623.25%1531.46%5,45352.04%10,478
Steuben 11,48770.00%4,59828.02%3241.98%6,88941.98%16,409
Sullivan 6,63975.49%2,00622.81%1501.70%4,63352.68%8,795
Switzerland 3,31977.95%87320.50%661.55%2,44657.45%4,258
Tippecanoe 32,78348.79%32,68348.64%1,7282.57%1000.15%67,194
Tipton 5,94674.34%1,89323.67%1591.99%4,05350.67%7,998
Union 2,69877.22%74621.35%501.43%1,95255.87%3,494
Vanderburgh 41,05655.61%31,72742.97%1,0491.42%9,32912.64%73,832
Vermillion 5,17471.21%1,92826.53%1642.26%3,24644.68%7,266
Vigo 23,73857.87%16,33839.83%9472.30%7,40018.04%41,023
Wabash 10,42574.57%3,33523.86%2201.57%7,09050.71%13,980
Warren 3,40277.85%89820.55%701.60%2,50457.30%4,370
Warrick 21,28064.10%11,29234.02%6241.88%9,98830.08%33,196
Washington 9,73976.55%2,76421.72%2201.73%6,97554.83%12,723
Wayne 17,52665.33%8,82832.91%4731.76%8,69832.42%26,827
Wells 11,00677.86%2,85020.16%2801.98%8,15657.70%14,136
White 7,96971.30%2,94526.35%2622.35%5,02444.95%11,176
Whitley 13,12273.83%4,27524.05%3772.12%8,84749.78%17,774
Totals1,720,34758.43%1,163,60339.52%60,3862.05%556,74418.91%2,944,336

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Indiana County Swing in 2024 U.S Presidential Election.svg
Indiana County Flips in 2024 U.S Presidential Election.svg

By congressional district

Trump won seven of nine congressional districts. [30]

DistrictTrumpHarrisRepresentative
1st 48.9%49.3% Frank J. Mrvan
2nd 62%36% Rudy Yakym
3rd 65%33% Jim Banks (118th Congress)
Marlin Stutzman (119th Congress)
4th 64%34% Jim Baird
5th 57%41% Victoria Spartz
6th 65%33% Greg Pence (118th Congress)
Jefferson Shreve (119th Congress)
7th 28%70% André Carson
8th 67%31% Larry Bucshon (118th Congress)
Mark Messmer (119th Congress)
9th 64%34% Erin Houchin

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. 1 2 "Someone else" with 1%
  3. ↑ With voters who lean towards a given candidate

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by Indy Politics
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by the campaign of Destiny Wells, 2024 Democratic nominee for attorney general
  3. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

See also

References

  1. ↑ "Indiana Election Results". December 13, 2024. Retrieved February 9, 2025.
  2. ↑ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  3. ↑ https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/
  4. ↑ "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved November 20, 2024.
  5. ↑ "Indiana Democratic Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  6. ↑ "Ballot access for presidential candidates". Ballotpedia. Retrieved January 20, 2024.
  7. ↑ "Candidate List - Abbreviated" (PDF). Indiana Secretary of State. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  8. ↑ "Indiana 2024 Delegate Selection Plan with DNC Edits" (PDF). Indiana Democratic Party. January 9, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024. No provision is provided under Indiana state law for primary voters to express an uncommitted preference on the ballot. Write-in presidential candidates are permitted.
  9. ↑ "Indiana Presidential Primary Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved May 7, 2024.
  10. ↑ "Indiana Presidential Primary Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved May 7, 2024.
  11. ↑ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  12. ↑ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  13. ↑ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  14. ↑ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  15. ↑ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  16. ↑ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  17. ↑ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  18. ↑ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 29, 2024.
  19. ↑ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
  20. ↑ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
  21. ↑ Allis, Victor (October 29, 2024). "Trump Leads Comfortably in Indiana". ActiVote.
  22. ↑ Allis, Victor (October 1, 2024). "Trump Leads Comfortably in Indiana". ActiVote.
  23. ↑ Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (September 29, 2024). "GOP Leads In Statewide Polling, But Braun's is the Smallest". Indy Politics.
  24. ↑ "Indiana September 2024 Poll: Trump 57%, Harris 40%". Emerson College Polling. September 17, 2024.
  25. ↑ Carden, Dan (September 12, 2024). "Poll finds Indiana attorney general, governor races are close". The Times of Northwest Indiana .
  26. 1 2 3 "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
  27. 1 2 Mumford, Camille (March 7, 2024). "Indiana 2024 Poll: Sen. Braun Leads GOP Primary for Governor at 34%, 43% undecided". Emerson Polling.
  28. ↑ Mumford, Camille (October 13, 2023). "Indiana 2024: Plurality of Voters Undecided in U.S. Senate Election to Replace Sen. Braun". Emerson Polling.
  29. ↑ "2024 Indiana Election Results". INSOS. Retrieved December 13, 2024.
  30. ↑ https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::c08c9df0-9756-4c5a-a7e7-01ff03bbb170
This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.