2024 United States presidential election in Indiana

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election in Indiana

←  2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →

Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida California Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz Electoral vote 11 0 Popular vote 1,720,347 1,163,603 Percentage 58.58% 39.62%

County results Congressional district results Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90% Harris   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%

President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Indiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. ^[1]

Republican Donald Trump won Indiana for the third time in a row this year, with a comfortable margin of 18.96%; he had swept the state in the previous two presidential election cycles with former Governor of Indiana Mike Pence on the ticket: by 19% in 2016 and by 16% in 2020. Prior to the election, all major news organizations considered Indiana a state Trump would win, or a red state.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Indiana Democratic presidential primary

The 2024 Indiana Democratic presidential primary was held on May 7, 2024. 88 delegates, 79 pledged and 9 superdelegates, to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates. ^[2]

In Indiana, candidates have to gather at least 500 signatures from each congressional district, for a total of 4,500 signatures, to make the primary ballot. ^[3] Incumbent President Joe Biden was the only candidate that met the requirements. ^[4] Uncommitted will not appear on the ballot and write-in votes are not allowed. ^[5]

With no opposition, President Biden won 100% of the primary vote.

Indiana Democratic primary, May 7, 2024 ^[6]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Joe Biden	178,074	100.0%	79
Total:	178,074	100.0%	79		79

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Indiana Republican presidential primary

The Indiana Republican primary was held on May 7, 2024. Nikki Haley, who had already dropped out, and Donald Trump appeared on the ballot.

Indiana Republican primary, May 7, 2024 ^[7]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	461,678	78.3%	58
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)	128,170	21.7%
Total:	589,848	100.0%	58		58

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report [8]	Solid R	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections [9]	Solid R	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10]	Safe R	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [11]	Safe R	December 14, 2023
CNalysis [12]	Solid R	December 30, 2023
CNN [13]	Solid R	January 14, 2024
The Economist [14]	Safe R	June 12, 2024
538 [15]	Solid R	September 23, 2024
RCP [16]	Solid R	June 26, 2024
NBC News [17]	Safe R	October 6, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote [18]	October 3–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
ActiVote [19]	August 28 – September 30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	43%	–
ARW Strategies [20] [A]	September 23–25, 2024	600 (LV)	–	55%	39%	6%
Emerson College [21]	September 12–13, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	57%	40%	3% [b]
				58% [c]	41%	1% [b]
Lake Research Partners (D) [22] [B]	August 26 – September 2, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	42%	6%

Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [23] [C]	April 13–21, 2024	418 (LV)	–	47%	43%	10%
Emerson College [24]	March 2–5, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	55%	34%	11%
Emerson College [25]	October 1–4, 2023	462 (RV)	± 4.5%	48%	29%	24%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [23] [C]	April 13–21, 2024	418 (LV)	–	44%	41%	15%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [23] [C]	April 13–21, 2024	418 (LV)	–	47%	38%	15%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College [24]	March 2–5, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	29%	26%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in Indiana ^[26]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	1,720,347	58.58%	1.55%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	1,163,603	39.62%	1.34%
	We the People	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn) Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn)	29,325	1.00%	1.00%
	Libertarian	Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat	20,425	0.70%	1.24%
	American Solidarity	Peter Sonski (write-in)	1,347	0.05%	0.02%
	Socialism and Liberation	Claudia De la Cruz (write-in) Karina Garcia (write-in)	832	0.03%	0.03%
	Independent	Cornel West (write-in) Melina Abdullah (write-in)	722	0.02%	0.02%
	Write-in		76	0.00%
Total votes			2,936,677	100.00%	N/A

By county

County	Donald Trump Republican		Kamala Harris Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Adams	10,528	75.28%	3,179	22.73%	279	1.99%	7,349	52.55%	13,986
Allen	90,283	55.17%	69,960	42.75%	3,407	2.08%	20,323	12.42%	163,650
Bartholomew	22,220	62.44%	12,525	35.19%	843	2.37%	9,695	27.25%	35,588
Benton	2,873	72.66%	1,010	25.54%	71	1.80%	1,863	47.12%	3,954
Blackford	3,811	74.20%	1,227	23.89%	98	1.91%	2,584	50.31%	5,136
Boone	22,840	56.70%	16,426	40.78%	1,017	2.52%	6,414	15.92%	40,283
Brown	5,647	65.46%	2,832	32.83%	148	1.71%	2,815	32.63%	8,627
Carroll	6,902	75.15%	2,120	23.08%	162	1.77%	4,782	52.07%	9,184
Cass	10,285	72.36%	3,722	26.19%	206	1.45%	6,563	46.17%	14,213
Clark	34,734	59.07%	22,810	38.79%	1,260	2.14%	11,924	20.28%	58,804
Clay	9,354	77.48%	2,495	20.67%	224	1.85%	6,859	56.81%	12,073
Clinton	9,108	73.16%	3,135	25.18%	207	1.66%	5,973	47.98%	12,450
Crawford	3,668	73.20%	1,235	24.65%	108	2.15%	2,433	48.55%	5,011
Daviess	9,322	81.42%	1,963	17.15%	164	1.43%	7,359	64.27%	11,449
Dearborn	20,844	78.36%	5,335	20.06%	421	1.58%	15,509	58.30%	26,600
Decatur	9,491	78.21%	2,406	19.83%	238	1.96%	7,085	58.38%	12,135
DeKalb	14,377	72.50%	5,064	25.54%	390	1.96%	9,313	46.96%	19,831
Delaware	26,067	56.81%	18,848	41.08%	966	2.11%	7,219	15.73%	45,881
Dubois	14,983	69.81%	5,944	27.69%	537	2.50%	9,039	42.12%	21,464
Elkhart	45,652	65.13%	23,082	32.93%	1,359	1.94%	22,570	32.20%	70,093
Fayette	7,625	77.32%	2,084	21.13%	153	1.55%	5,541	56.19%	9,862
Floyd	23,408	56.84%	17,025	41.34%	748	1.82%	6,383	15.50%	41,181
Fountain	6,311	79.07%	1,526	19.12%	145	1.81%	4,785	59.95%	7,982
Franklin	9,810	81.52%	2,061	17.13%	163	1.35%	7,749	64.39%	12,034
Fulton	6,633	74.73%	2,097	23.63%	146	1.64%	4,536	51.10%	8,876
Gibson	11,896	74.81%	3,722	23.41%	283	1.78%	8,174	51.40%	15,901
Grant	17,580	69.69%	7,083	28.08%	563	2.23%	10,497	41.61%	25,226
Greene	11,132	75.97%	3,270	22.32%	251	1.71%	7,862	53.65%	14,653
Hamilton	102,318	51.74%	90,394	45.71%	5,055	2.55%	11,924	6.03%	197,767
Hancock	29,288	65.69%	14,312	32.10%	984	2.21%	14,976	33.59%	44,584
Harrison	14,830	72.53%	5,233	25.59%	385	1.88%	9,597	46.94%	20,448
Hendricks	49,783	59.65%	31,917	38.25%	1,753	2.10%	17,866	21.40%	83,453
Henry	15,033	72.76%	5,208	25.21%	419	2.03%	9,825	47.55%	20,660
Howard	25,871	66.51%	12,197	31.36%	829	2.13%	13,674	35.15%	38,897
Huntington	12,990	73.05%	4,416	24.83%	377	2.12%	8,574	48.22%	17,783
Jackson	14,323	76.78%	4,015	21.52%	316	1.70%	10,308	55.26%	18,654
Jasper	12,082	76.25%	3,489	22.02%	275	1.73%	8,593	54.23%	15,846
Jay	6,217	76.61%	1,747	21.53%	151	1.86%	4,470	55.08%	8,115
Jefferson	9,614	66.97%	4,442	30.94%	299	2.09%	5,172	36.03%	14,355
Jennings	9,273	78.52%	2,328	19.71%	208	1.77%	6,945	58.81%	11,809
Johnson	51,588	66.09%	24,880	31.87%	1,591	2.04%	26,708	34.22%	78,059
Knox	11,236	74.30%	3,625	23.97%	262	1.73%	7,611	50.33%	15,123
Kosciusko	26,213	74.88%	7,995	22.84%	798	2.28%	18,218	52.04%	35,006
LaGrange	8,073	77.33%	2,162	20.71%	204	1.96%	5,911	56.62%	10,439
Lake	97,270	46.30%	109,086	51.92%	3,746	1.78%	-11,816	-5.62%	210,102
LaPorte	26,726	56.09%	20,007	41.99%	914	1.92%	6,719	14.10%	47,647
Lawrence	15,830	74.60%	5,010	23.61%	380	1.79%	10,820	50.99%	21,220
Madison	34,837	62.35%	19,824	35.48%	1,211	2.17%	15,013	26.87%	55,872
Marion	124,327	35.08%	221,719	62.57%	8,322	2.35%	-97,392	-27.49%	354,368
Marshall	13,837	70.54%	5,356	27.30%	423	2.16%	8,481	43.24%	19,616
Martin	3,961	79.35%	933	18.69%	98	1.96%	3,028	60.66%	4,992
Miami	10,670	76.23%	3,046	21.76%	282	2.01%	7,624	54.47%	13,998
Monroe	21,004	35.24%	37,213	62.44%	1,385	2.32%	-16,209	-27.20%	59,602
Montgomery	12,122	72.91%	4,134	24.86%	371	2.23%	7,988	48.05%	16,627
Morgan	26,965	76.12%	7,765	21.92%	693	1.96%	19,200	54.20%	35,423
Newton	5,131	77.73%	1,370	20.75%	100	1.52%	3,761	56.98%	6,601
Noble	14,209	74.82%	4,462	23.49%	321	1.69%	9,747	51.33%	18,992
Ohio	2,381	77.03%	666	21.55%	44	1.42%	1,715	55.48%	3,091
Orange	6,467	75.24%	1,988	23.13%	140	1.63%	4,479	52.11%	8,595
Owen	7,360	74.52%	2,354	23.84%	162	1.64%	5,006	50.68%	9,876
Parke	5,158	77.52%	1,371	20.60%	125	1.88%	3,787	56.92%	6,654
Perry	5,549	63.91%	2,970	34.20%	164	1.89%	2,579	29.71%	8,683
Pike	4,610	76.67%	1,314	21.85%	89	1.48%	3,296	54.82%	6,013
Porter	46,109	54.27%	37,213	43.80%	1,647	1.93%	8,896	10.47%	84,969
Posey	9,206	70.93%	3,572	27.52%	201	1.55%	5,634	43.41%	12,979
Pulaski	4,372	75.86%	1,280	22.21%	111	1.93%	3,092	53.65%	5,763
Putnam	12,566	74.95%	3,871	23.09%	329	1.96%	8,695	51.86%	16,766
Randolph	8,008	75.80%	2,349	22.23%	208	1.97%	5,659	53.57%	10,565
Ripley	11,526	80.01%	2,682	18.62%	197	1.37%	8,844	61.39%	14,405
Rush	5,812	75.91%	1,675	21.88%	169	2.21%	4,137	54.03%	7,656
St. Joseph	53,585	48.35%	55,215	49.82%	2,024	1.83%	-1,630	-1.47%	110,824
Scott	7,633	74.93%	2,389	23.45%	165	1.62%	5,244	51.48%	10,187
Shelby	14,438	73.09%	4,955	25.08%	361	1.83%	9,483	48.01%	19,754
Spencer	7,364	70.52%	2,853	27.32%	225	2.16%	4,511	43.20%	10,442
Starke	7,889	75.29%	2,436	23.25%	153	1.46%	5,453	52.04%	10,478
Steuben	11,487	70.00%	4,598	28.02%	324	1.98%	6,889	41.98%	16,409
Sullivan	6,639	75.49%	2,006	22.81%	150	1.70%	4,633	52.68%	8,795
Switzerland	3,319	77.95%	873	20.50%	66	1.55%	2,446	57.45%	4,258
Tippecanoe	32,783	48.79%	32,683	48.64%	1,728	2.57%	100	0.15%	67,194
Tipton	5,946	74.34%	1,893	23.67%	159	1.99%	4,053	50.67%	7,998
Union	2,698	77.22%	746	21.35%	50	1.43%	1,952	55.87%	3,494
Vanderburgh	41,056	55.61%	31,727	42.97%	1,049	1.42%	9,329	12.64%	73,832
Vermillion	5,174	71.21%	1,928	26.53%	164	2.26%	3,246	44.68%	7,266
Vigo	23,738	57.87%	16,338	39.83%	947	2.30%	7,400	18.04%	41,023
Wabash	10,425	74.57%	3,335	23.86%	220	1.57%	7,090	50.71%	13,980
Warren	3,402	77.85%	898	20.55%	70	1.60%	2,504	57.30%	4,370
Warrick	21,280	64.10%	11,292	34.02%	624	1.88%	9,988	30.08%	33,196
Washington	9,739	76.55%	2,764	21.72%	220	1.73%	6,975	54.83%	12,723
Wayne	17,526	65.33%	8,828	32.91%	473	1.76%	8,698	32.42%	26,827
Wells	11,006	77.86%	2,850	20.16%	280	1.98%	8,156	57.70%	14,136
White	7,969	71.30%	2,945	26.35%	262	2.35%	5,024	44.95%	11,176
Whitley	13,122	73.83%	4,275	24.05%	377	2.12%	8,847	49.78%	17,774
Totals	1,720,347	58.43%	1,163,603	39.52%	60,386	2.05%	556,744	18.91%	2,944,336

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Tippecanoe (largest city: Lafayette)

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. "Someone else" with 1%
3. With voters who lean towards a given candidate

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by Indy Politics
2. Poll sponsored by the campaign of Destiny Wells, 2024 Democratic nominee for attorney general
3. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

See also

• United States presidential elections in Indiana
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

References

1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
2. "Indiana Democratic Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
3. "Ballot access for presidential candidates". Ballotpedia. Retrieved January 20, 2024.
4. "Candidate List - Abbreviated" (PDF). Indiana Secretary of State. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
5. "Indiana 2024 Delegate Selection Plan with DNC Edits" (PDF). Indiana Democratic Party. January 9, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024. No provision is provided under Indiana state law for primary voters to express an uncommitted preference on the ballot. Write-in presidential candidates are permitted.
6. "Indiana Presidential Primary Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved May 7, 2024.
7. "Indiana Presidential Primary Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved May 7, 2024.
8. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
9. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
10. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
11. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
12. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
13. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.
14. "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024.
15. Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 29, 2024.
16. "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
17. "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
18. Allis, Victor (October 29, 2024). "Trump Leads Comfortably in Indiana". ActiVote.
19. Allis, Victor (October 1, 2024). "Trump Leads Comfortably in Indiana". ActiVote.
20. Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (September 29, 2024). "GOP Leads In Statewide Polling, But Braun's is the Smallest". Indy Politics.
21. "Indiana September 2024 Poll: Trump 57%, Harris 40%". Emerson College Polling. September 17, 2024.
22. Carden, Dan (September 12, 2024). "Poll finds Indiana attorney general, governor races are close". The Times of Northwest Indiana .
23. "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
24. Mumford, Camille (March 7, 2024). "Indiana 2024 Poll: Sen. Braun Leads GOP Primary for Governor at 34%, 43% undecided". Emerson Polling.
25. Mumford, Camille (October 13, 2023). "Indiana 2024: Plurality of Voters Undecided in U.S. Senate Election to Replace Sen. Braun". Emerson Polling.
26. "2024 Indiana Election Results". INSOS. Retrieved December 13, 2024.