2004 United States Senate election in Indiana

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2004 United States Senate election in Indiana
Flag of Indiana.svg
  1998 November 2, 2004 2010  
  SenatorBayh (1).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Evan Bayh Marvin Scott
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,496,976903,913
Percentage61.65%37.23%

2004 United States Senate election in Indiana results map by county.svg
County results
Bayh:      50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Scott:      40–50%     50–60%

U.S. senator before election

Evan Bayh
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Evan Bayh
Democratic

The 2004 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 2, 2004. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Evan Bayh won re-election to a second term. To date, this was the last time the Democrats have won the Class 3 Senate seat from Indiana. Bayh won 86 of the state's 92 counties.

Contents

Major candidates

Democratic

Republican

General Election

Campaign

In September, Bayh had $6.5 million cash on hand. [1] Scott's strategy of trying to paint Bayh as too liberal failed to gain traction. [2]

In early 2004, Bayh was considered a serious contender for the Vice Presidency as the running mate of Massachusetts Senator John Kerry. Although Bayh was on the final shortlist, North Carolina Senator John Edwards was ultimately chosen instead. [3]

Bayh easily won reelection, defeating Scott by more than 24 percentage points and carrying all but six counties, even while Kerry lost the state by more than 20 percentage points in the concurrent presidential election.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal Ball [4] Safe DNovember 1, 2004

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Evan
Bayh (D)
Marvin
Scott (R)
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA [5] October 27–29, 2004586 (LV)± 4.0%61%34%5%

Results

General election results [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Evan Bayh (incumbent) 1,496,976 61.65%
Republican Marvin Scott 903,91337.23%
Libertarian Albert Barger27,3441.13%
Total votes2,428,233 100.0%
Democratic hold

By county

Bayh won 86 of Indiana's counties compared to 6 for Scott. [7]

CountyBayhVotesScottVotesBargerVotesTotal
Adams 57.4%7,55141.6%5,4761.0%12613,153
Allen 57.8%74,01141.3%52,8450.9%1,126127,982
Bartholomew 58.4%16,50740.4%11,4221.1%31628,245
Benton 63.0%2,50135.3%1,4001.7%693,970
Blackford 69.1%3,69430.1%1,6090.8%425,345
Boone 48.8%11,07450.0%11,3431.1%25522,672
Brown 59.7%4,33638.6%2,8031.7%1257,264
Carroll 59.7%5,06739.3%3,3311.0%858,483
Cass 56.8%7,87342.1%5,8291.1%15913,861
Clark 62.8%26,05436.4%15,0910.9%36841,513
Clay 64.9%6,92834.0%3,6291.0%11210,669
Clinton 56.3%6,60042.8%5,0110.9%10811,719
Crawford 63.6%2,83235.3%1,5721.1%474,451
Daviess 56.4%5,89142.6%4,4471.0%10710,445
Dearborn 45.7%9,26452.7%10,6751.5%31120,250
Decatur 61.3%6,17337.8%3,8080.9%8810,069
DeKalb 56.2%8,52943.0%6,5230.9%13215,184
Delaware 69.5%32,31229.3%13,6271.2%58046,519
Dubois 66.2%11,16633.0%5,5600.8%13616,862
Elkhart 51.2%31,18647.9%29,1680.9%54660,900
Fayette 64.0%5,96134.5%3,2121.4%1349,307
Floyd 62.1%20,89836.9%12,4121.0%33233,642
Fountain 60.1%4,53239.2%2,9550.8%607,547
Franklin 53.5%5,24744.8%4,3951.7%1719,813
Fulton 60.7%5,26438.3%3,3241.0%918,679
Gibson 69.6%10,11029.5%4,2890.9%12914,528
Grant 61.4%16,62037.6%10,1890.9%25627,065
Greene 64.7%8,33634.2%4,4021.1%13712,875
Hamilton 46.4%48,00152.6%54,4080.9%970103,379
Hancock 52.3%14,54846.6%12,9411.1%30927,798
Harrison 59.0%10,09439.9%6,8241.1%18017,098
Hendricks 48.0%24,84451.1%26,4410.9%48651,771
Henry 62.6%12,66636.1%7,3121.3%25420,232
Howard 58.9%21,73240.1%14,7761.0%36836,876
Huntington 52.8%8,12546.2%7,1031.0%16015,388
Jackson 62.2%10,07136.7%5,9441.1%17116,186
Jasper 49.2%5,72749.6%5,7721.1%13011,629
Jay 63.5%5,11735.3%2,8451.2%948,056
Jefferson 61.4%7,79437.5%4,7641.1%14212,700
Jennings 60.9%6,34937.9%3,9441.2%12510,418
Johnson 53.2%27,14945.8%23,3301.0%50650,985
Knox 71.5%11,13027.5%4,2751.0%15515,560
Kosciusko 45.7%12,55453.0%14,5741.3%36927,497
LaGrange 54.3%4,86544.7%4,0061.0%908,961
Lake 71.4%130,45027.3%49,9191.3%2,320182,689
LaPorte 69.7%28,82628.3%11,6852.0%84041,351
Lawrence 52.4%9,13246.2%8,0641.4%24217,438
Madison 64.3%34,37934.7%18,5411.0%52453,444
Marion 66.0%210,10733.0%104,8191.0%3,047317,973
Marshall 57.5%10,11141.5%7,2931.0%17417,578
Martin 66.7%3,29732.1%1,5871.2%585,058
Miami 54.5%7,33944.3%5,9671.2%16813,474
Monroe 68.9%33,82129.3%14,3961.8%88049,097
Montgomery 59.9%8,65139.0%5,6351.1%15914,445
Morgan 50.1%12,87848.7%12,4981.2%31325,689
Newton 55.7%3,22542.7%2,4751.6%915,791
Noble 57.0%8,85342.0%6,5271.0%16015,540
Ohio 54.4%1,57244.3%1,2821.3%372,891
Orange 61.1%5,05637.8%3,1271.1%898,272
Owen 60.5%4,53838.0%2,8511.5%1147,503
Parke 65.9%4,48033.0%2,2491.1%786,807
Perry 71.6%5,79027.6%2,2340.8%628,086
Pike 69.8%4,20929.3%1,7651.0%596,033
Porter 63.9%39,87634.3%21,4111.9%1,15962,446
Posey 69.0%8,05230.2%3,5230.8%8811,663
Pulaski 59.1%3,32839.7%2,2361.2%655,629
Putnam 59.1%7,68339.9%5,1851.0%13413,002
Randolph 61.9%6,62536.8%3,9431.2%13310,701
Ripley 53.3%6,21245.3%5,2821.4%16811,662
Rush 58.7%4,31640.2%2,9621.1%837,361
Saint Joseph 70.0%75,34029.2%31,3720.8%886107,598
Scott 70.7%6,07028.3%2,4351.0%858,590
Shelby 56.7%8,98642.4%6,7170.9%13615,839
Spencer 65.7%6,49533.6%3,3170.7%749,886
Starke 67.8%6,10830.6%2,7621.6%1429,012
Steuben 58.7%7,44740.0%5,0701.3%16912,686
Sullivan 73.6%6,07225.4%2,0991.0%798,250
Switzerland 59.6%2,14838.9%1,4041.5%533,605
Tippecanoe 63.5%32,76634.9%18,0021.6%83751,605
Tipton 58.5%4,55740.4%3,1421.1%877,786
Union 54.6%1,77743.6%1,4171.8%583,252
Vanderburgh 67.6%46,08831.2%21,2421.2%81768,147
Vermillion 78.0%5,46821.1%1,4800.9%667,014
Vigo 75.3%29,82823.5%9,3071.2%49239,627
Wabash 51.6%6,85347.5%6,3130.8%11113,277
Warren 61.1%2,35737.7%1,4541.2%483,859
Warrick 62.2%15,57237.0%9,2600.8%20525,037
Washington 58.4%6,27040.1%4,3041.5%15610,730
Wayne 58.5%16,08139.4%10,8212.1%58427,486
Wells 53.5%6,53245.7%5,5830.8%10312,218
White 64.4%6,66734.6%3,5891.0%10810,364
Whitley 55.6%7,40543.3%5,7611.1%14613,312

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. http://0-infoweb.newsbank.com/iw-search/we/InfoWeb?p_product=NewsBank&p_theme=aggregated5&p_action=doc&p_docid=1053DC1A4A663CC3&p_docnum=4&p_queryname=29 [ dead link ]
  2. http://0-infoweb.newsbank.com/iw-search/we/InfoWeb?p_product=NewsBank&p_theme=aggregated5&p_action=doc&p_docid=10C85E772BA661DD&p_docnum=3&p_queryname=23 [ dead link ]
  3. "Evan Bayh: The New Perennial Bridesmaid?". The New York Observer . August 19, 2008.
  4. "The Final Predictions". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
  5. SurveyUSA
  6. "United States Senator". Indiana of Secretary of State. November 2, 2004. Retrieved November 8, 2008.
  7. "United States Senator by County". Indiana Secretary of State. November 2, 2004. Retrieved November 8, 2008.

Official campaign websites (archived)