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 County results Bayh: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Scott: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Indiana |
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The 2004 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 2, 2004. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Evan Bayh won re-election to a second term. To date, this was the last time the Democrats have won the Class 3 Senate seat from Indiana. Bayh won 86 of the state's 92 counties.
In September, Bayh had $6.5 million cash on hand. [1] Scott's strategy of trying to paint Bayh as too liberal failed to gain traction. [2]
In early 2004, Bayh was considered a serious contender for the Vice Presidency as the running mate of Massachusetts Senator John Kerry. Although Bayh was on the final shortlist, North Carolina Senator John Edwards was ultimately chosen instead. [3]
Bayh easily won reelection, defeating Scott by more than 24 percentage points and carrying all but six counties, even while Kerry lost the state by more than 20 percentage points in the concurrent presidential election.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [4] | Safe D | November 1, 2004 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Evan Bayh (D) | Marvin Scott (R) | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA [5] | October 27–29, 2004 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 61% | 34% | 5% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Evan Bayh (incumbent) | 1,496,976 | 61.65% | ||
| Republican | Marvin Scott | 903,913 | 37.23% | ||
| Libertarian | Albert Barger | 27,344 | 1.13% | ||
| Total votes | 2,428,233 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Bayh won 86 of Indiana's counties compared to 6 for Scott. [7]
| County | Bayh | Votes | Scott | Votes | Barger | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adams | 57.4% | 7,551 | 41.6% | 5,476 | 1.0% | 126 | 13,153 |
| Allen | 57.8% | 74,011 | 41.3% | 52,845 | 0.9% | 1,126 | 127,982 |
| Bartholomew | 58.4% | 16,507 | 40.4% | 11,422 | 1.1% | 316 | 28,245 |
| Benton | 63.0% | 2,501 | 35.3% | 1,400 | 1.7% | 69 | 3,970 |
| Blackford | 69.1% | 3,694 | 30.1% | 1,609 | 0.8% | 42 | 5,345 |
| Boone | 48.8% | 11,074 | 50.0% | 11,343 | 1.1% | 255 | 22,672 |
| Brown | 59.7% | 4,336 | 38.6% | 2,803 | 1.7% | 125 | 7,264 |
| Carroll | 59.7% | 5,067 | 39.3% | 3,331 | 1.0% | 85 | 8,483 |
| Cass | 56.8% | 7,873 | 42.1% | 5,829 | 1.1% | 159 | 13,861 |
| Clark | 62.8% | 26,054 | 36.4% | 15,091 | 0.9% | 368 | 41,513 |
| Clay | 64.9% | 6,928 | 34.0% | 3,629 | 1.0% | 112 | 10,669 |
| Clinton | 56.3% | 6,600 | 42.8% | 5,011 | 0.9% | 108 | 11,719 |
| Crawford | 63.6% | 2,832 | 35.3% | 1,572 | 1.1% | 47 | 4,451 |
| Daviess | 56.4% | 5,891 | 42.6% | 4,447 | 1.0% | 107 | 10,445 |
| Dearborn | 45.7% | 9,264 | 52.7% | 10,675 | 1.5% | 311 | 20,250 |
| Decatur | 61.3% | 6,173 | 37.8% | 3,808 | 0.9% | 88 | 10,069 |
| DeKalb | 56.2% | 8,529 | 43.0% | 6,523 | 0.9% | 132 | 15,184 |
| Delaware | 69.5% | 32,312 | 29.3% | 13,627 | 1.2% | 580 | 46,519 |
| Dubois | 66.2% | 11,166 | 33.0% | 5,560 | 0.8% | 136 | 16,862 |
| Elkhart | 51.2% | 31,186 | 47.9% | 29,168 | 0.9% | 546 | 60,900 |
| Fayette | 64.0% | 5,961 | 34.5% | 3,212 | 1.4% | 134 | 9,307 |
| Floyd | 62.1% | 20,898 | 36.9% | 12,412 | 1.0% | 332 | 33,642 |
| Fountain | 60.1% | 4,532 | 39.2% | 2,955 | 0.8% | 60 | 7,547 |
| Franklin | 53.5% | 5,247 | 44.8% | 4,395 | 1.7% | 171 | 9,813 |
| Fulton | 60.7% | 5,264 | 38.3% | 3,324 | 1.0% | 91 | 8,679 |
| Gibson | 69.6% | 10,110 | 29.5% | 4,289 | 0.9% | 129 | 14,528 |
| Grant | 61.4% | 16,620 | 37.6% | 10,189 | 0.9% | 256 | 27,065 |
| Greene | 64.7% | 8,336 | 34.2% | 4,402 | 1.1% | 137 | 12,875 |
| Hamilton | 46.4% | 48,001 | 52.6% | 54,408 | 0.9% | 970 | 103,379 |
| Hancock | 52.3% | 14,548 | 46.6% | 12,941 | 1.1% | 309 | 27,798 |
| Harrison | 59.0% | 10,094 | 39.9% | 6,824 | 1.1% | 180 | 17,098 |
| Hendricks | 48.0% | 24,844 | 51.1% | 26,441 | 0.9% | 486 | 51,771 |
| Henry | 62.6% | 12,666 | 36.1% | 7,312 | 1.3% | 254 | 20,232 |
| Howard | 58.9% | 21,732 | 40.1% | 14,776 | 1.0% | 368 | 36,876 |
| Huntington | 52.8% | 8,125 | 46.2% | 7,103 | 1.0% | 160 | 15,388 |
| Jackson | 62.2% | 10,071 | 36.7% | 5,944 | 1.1% | 171 | 16,186 |
| Jasper | 49.2% | 5,727 | 49.6% | 5,772 | 1.1% | 130 | 11,629 |
| Jay | 63.5% | 5,117 | 35.3% | 2,845 | 1.2% | 94 | 8,056 |
| Jefferson | 61.4% | 7,794 | 37.5% | 4,764 | 1.1% | 142 | 12,700 |
| Jennings | 60.9% | 6,349 | 37.9% | 3,944 | 1.2% | 125 | 10,418 |
| Johnson | 53.2% | 27,149 | 45.8% | 23,330 | 1.0% | 506 | 50,985 |
| Knox | 71.5% | 11,130 | 27.5% | 4,275 | 1.0% | 155 | 15,560 |
| Kosciusko | 45.7% | 12,554 | 53.0% | 14,574 | 1.3% | 369 | 27,497 |
| LaGrange | 54.3% | 4,865 | 44.7% | 4,006 | 1.0% | 90 | 8,961 |
| Lake | 71.4% | 130,450 | 27.3% | 49,919 | 1.3% | 2,320 | 182,689 |
| LaPorte | 69.7% | 28,826 | 28.3% | 11,685 | 2.0% | 840 | 41,351 |
| Lawrence | 52.4% | 9,132 | 46.2% | 8,064 | 1.4% | 242 | 17,438 |
| Madison | 64.3% | 34,379 | 34.7% | 18,541 | 1.0% | 524 | 53,444 |
| Marion | 66.0% | 210,107 | 33.0% | 104,819 | 1.0% | 3,047 | 317,973 |
| Marshall | 57.5% | 10,111 | 41.5% | 7,293 | 1.0% | 174 | 17,578 |
| Martin | 66.7% | 3,297 | 32.1% | 1,587 | 1.2% | 58 | 5,058 |
| Miami | 54.5% | 7,339 | 44.3% | 5,967 | 1.2% | 168 | 13,474 |
| Monroe | 68.9% | 33,821 | 29.3% | 14,396 | 1.8% | 880 | 49,097 |
| Montgomery | 59.9% | 8,651 | 39.0% | 5,635 | 1.1% | 159 | 14,445 |
| Morgan | 50.1% | 12,878 | 48.7% | 12,498 | 1.2% | 313 | 25,689 |
| Newton | 55.7% | 3,225 | 42.7% | 2,475 | 1.6% | 91 | 5,791 |
| Noble | 57.0% | 8,853 | 42.0% | 6,527 | 1.0% | 160 | 15,540 |
| Ohio | 54.4% | 1,572 | 44.3% | 1,282 | 1.3% | 37 | 2,891 |
| Orange | 61.1% | 5,056 | 37.8% | 3,127 | 1.1% | 89 | 8,272 |
| Owen | 60.5% | 4,538 | 38.0% | 2,851 | 1.5% | 114 | 7,503 |
| Parke | 65.9% | 4,480 | 33.0% | 2,249 | 1.1% | 78 | 6,807 |
| Perry | 71.6% | 5,790 | 27.6% | 2,234 | 0.8% | 62 | 8,086 |
| Pike | 69.8% | 4,209 | 29.3% | 1,765 | 1.0% | 59 | 6,033 |
| Porter | 63.9% | 39,876 | 34.3% | 21,411 | 1.9% | 1,159 | 62,446 |
| Posey | 69.0% | 8,052 | 30.2% | 3,523 | 0.8% | 88 | 11,663 |
| Pulaski | 59.1% | 3,328 | 39.7% | 2,236 | 1.2% | 65 | 5,629 |
| Putnam | 59.1% | 7,683 | 39.9% | 5,185 | 1.0% | 134 | 13,002 |
| Randolph | 61.9% | 6,625 | 36.8% | 3,943 | 1.2% | 133 | 10,701 |
| Ripley | 53.3% | 6,212 | 45.3% | 5,282 | 1.4% | 168 | 11,662 |
| Rush | 58.7% | 4,316 | 40.2% | 2,962 | 1.1% | 83 | 7,361 |
| Saint Joseph | 70.0% | 75,340 | 29.2% | 31,372 | 0.8% | 886 | 107,598 |
| Scott | 70.7% | 6,070 | 28.3% | 2,435 | 1.0% | 85 | 8,590 |
| Shelby | 56.7% | 8,986 | 42.4% | 6,717 | 0.9% | 136 | 15,839 |
| Spencer | 65.7% | 6,495 | 33.6% | 3,317 | 0.7% | 74 | 9,886 |
| Starke | 67.8% | 6,108 | 30.6% | 2,762 | 1.6% | 142 | 9,012 |
| Steuben | 58.7% | 7,447 | 40.0% | 5,070 | 1.3% | 169 | 12,686 |
| Sullivan | 73.6% | 6,072 | 25.4% | 2,099 | 1.0% | 79 | 8,250 |
| Switzerland | 59.6% | 2,148 | 38.9% | 1,404 | 1.5% | 53 | 3,605 |
| Tippecanoe | 63.5% | 32,766 | 34.9% | 18,002 | 1.6% | 837 | 51,605 |
| Tipton | 58.5% | 4,557 | 40.4% | 3,142 | 1.1% | 87 | 7,786 |
| Union | 54.6% | 1,777 | 43.6% | 1,417 | 1.8% | 58 | 3,252 |
| Vanderburgh | 67.6% | 46,088 | 31.2% | 21,242 | 1.2% | 817 | 68,147 |
| Vermillion | 78.0% | 5,468 | 21.1% | 1,480 | 0.9% | 66 | 7,014 |
| Vigo | 75.3% | 29,828 | 23.5% | 9,307 | 1.2% | 492 | 39,627 |
| Wabash | 51.6% | 6,853 | 47.5% | 6,313 | 0.8% | 111 | 13,277 |
| Warren | 61.1% | 2,357 | 37.7% | 1,454 | 1.2% | 48 | 3,859 |
| Warrick | 62.2% | 15,572 | 37.0% | 9,260 | 0.8% | 205 | 25,037 |
| Washington | 58.4% | 6,270 | 40.1% | 4,304 | 1.5% | 156 | 10,730 |
| Wayne | 58.5% | 16,081 | 39.4% | 10,821 | 2.1% | 584 | 27,486 |
| Wells | 53.5% | 6,532 | 45.7% | 5,583 | 0.8% | 103 | 12,218 |
| White | 64.4% | 6,667 | 34.6% | 3,589 | 1.0% | 108 | 10,364 |
| Whitley | 55.6% | 7,405 | 43.3% | 5,761 | 1.1% | 146 | 13,312 |
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