2024 United States Senate election in Indiana

Last updated

2024 United States Senate election in Indiana
Flag of Indiana.svg
←  2018 November 5, 20242030 →
  Jim Banks official portrait (alt crop).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jim Banks Valerie McCray
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,659,4161,097,061
Percentage58.64%38.77%
2024 United States Senate election in Indiana results map by county.svg
County results
Banks:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
McCray:     50–60%     60–70%
U.S. senator before election

Mike Braun
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Jim Banks
Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana. Republican congressman Jim Banks was elected to his first term, defeating Democratic psychologist Valerie McCray in the general election. [1] Banks will succeed Republican incumbent Mike Braun, who opted instead to run for governor. [2] This was the first election for this seat in which there was no incumbent running since 1958, [a] and the first since 2006 without Joe Donnelly as the Democratic nominee. Banks also flipped 6 counties (Delaware, La Porte, Porter, St. Joseph, Tippecanoe, and Vigo) which Braun lost in 2018.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Disqualified

Declined

Endorsements

Jim Banks (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

Individuals

Political Parties

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 17, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jim Banks (R)$4,731,928$3,188,805$2,878,607
Source: Federal Election Commission [39]

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Jim
Banks		Mitch
Daniels		Trey
Hollingsworth		Todd
Rokita		Victoria
Spartz		OtherUndecided
Bellwether Research [40] December 11–17, 20221,000 (LV)–14%–11%16%12%9%39%
10%32%9%7%7%6%29%
Response:AI [41] [A] December 9–16, 2022503 (RV)±4.3%14%35%6%—14%16% [c] 17%

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jim Banks 475,729 100.00%
Total votes475,729 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Valerie McCray, psychologist and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 [42]

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Valerie McCray

Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Marc Carmichael (D)$115,161 [d] $98,370$16,125
Valerie McCray (D)$61,506 [e] $45,953$15,684
Keith Potts (D)$99,485 [f] $98,302$1,183
Source: Federal Election Commission [39]

Results

Primary results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} McCray 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Carmichael 50-60% 2024 United States Senate Democratic primary election in Indiana results map by county.svg
Primary results by county:
  McCray
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Carmichael
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Valerie McCray 121,734 68.01%
Democratic Marc Carmichael 57,25631.99%
Total votes178,990 100.00%

Libertarian convention

Nominee

Write-in candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [50] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [51] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [52] Safe RNovember 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [53] Safe RJune 8, 2024
Elections Daily [54] Safe RMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [55] Solid RNovember 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics [56] Solid RAugust 5, 2024
Split Ticket [57] Safe ROctober 23, 2024
538 [58] Solid ROctober 23, 2024

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jim Banks (R)$5,553,816$3,713,830$3,175,470
Valerie McCray (D)$61,507 [g] $45,953$15,685
Source: Federal Election Commission [39]

Debate

2024 United States Senate general election in Indiana debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
BanksMcCrayHorning
1October 29, 2024Indiana Debate CommissionLaura Merrifield Wilson [59] APP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Jim
Banks (R)		Valerie
McCray (D)		OtherUndecided
ActiVote [60] October 5–28, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%57%43%––
ActiVote [61] September 3 – October 5, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%56%44%––
ARW Strategies [62] [B] September 23–25, 2024600 (LV)–49%35%–16%
Emerson College [63] [C] September 12–13, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%33%5% [h] 14%
Emerson College [64] October 1–4, 2023462 (RV)± 4.4%31%22%8% [i] 39%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Indiana [65] [66]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Jim Banks 1,659,416 58.64% +7.91%
Democratic Valerie McCray1,097,06138.77%−6.07%
Libertarian Andrew Horning73,2332.59%−1.83%
Write-in 1870.00%
Total votes2,829,897 100.0%
Republican hold

On election day, Republican Banks defeated Democrat Valerie McCray by a near 20-percentage-point margin, winning all but three counties. Indiana has not elected a Democrat to the United States Senate since Joe Donnelly was elected in 2012.

Notes

  1. ↑ Richard Lugar, the incumbent Senator at the time, ran for re-election to a seventh term in 2012, but lost in the Republican primary to Richard Mourdock.
  2. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ Jennifer Ruth-Green with 4%; Curtis Hill with 2%; "Someone else" with 10%
  4. ↑ $1,000 of this total was self-funded by Carmichael
  5. ↑ $1,407 of this total was self-funded by McCray
  6. ↑ $20,345 of this total was self-funded by Potts
  7. ↑ $4,407 of this total was self-funded by McCray
  8. ↑ Horning (L) with 5%
  9. ↑ "Someone else" at 8%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by Spartz's campaign.
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by IndyPolitics.org
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Hill

Related Research Articles

Indiana is one of fifty U.S. states. The state is considered a stronghold for the Republican Party and is rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. The state has supported the Republican candidate in every presidential election since 1968, with the exception of 2008. Republicans also currently hold supermajorities in both chambers of the Indiana General Assembly and have dominated the governorship since 2005. Indiana was once a swing state in the 19th century and early 20th century, voting for the national winner from 1852 to 1912, with the exception of 1876.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States Senate election in Indiana</span>

The 2018 United States Senate election in Indiana took place on November 6, 2018, along with other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly lost re-election to a second term to Republican Mike Braun by a 6% margin. This was the second consecutive election for this seat where the incumbent was defeated and/or the seat flipped parties.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 Indiana gubernatorial election</span>

The 2020 Indiana gubernatorial election was won by incumbent Republican Eric Holcomb on November 3, 2020. The election was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio</span>

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 16 U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Ohio, one from each of the state's 16 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in Colorado</span>

The 2022 United States Senate election in Colorado was held on November 8, 2022. Incumbent Democratic Senator Michael Bennet won reelection to a third term, defeating the Republican candidate, businessman Joe O'Dea. Originally appointed to the seat in 2009, Bennet won full terms in 2010 and 2016.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Victoria Spartz</span> Ukrainian-American politician (born 1978)

Victoria Spartz is a Ukrainian-American politician and businesswoman who is the U.S. representative for Indiana's 5th congressional district. A member of the Republican Party, she previously represented the 20th district in the Indiana Senate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in Arizona</span>

The 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Arizona.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state of Indiana, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election</span>

The 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania. Democratic state attorney general Josh Shapiro defeated Republican state senator Doug Mastriano to win his first term in office. Shapiro succeeded Democratic incumbent Tom Wolf, who was term limited.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in Missouri</span>

The 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri was held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. senators and elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Missouri. Incumbent senator Roy Blunt, a Republican, did not seek a third term in office. Republican Missouri Attorney General Eric Schmitt won the open seat, defeating Democrat Trudy Busch Valentine.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Michigan</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Michigan was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a Class I member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Michigan. It was held concurrently with the 2024 United States presidential election, other elections to the U.S. Senate, elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, as well as various state and local elections. Democratic U.S. Representative Elissa Slotkin narrowly defeated Republican former U.S. Representative Mike Rogers, in her bid to succeed Democratic incumbent Debbie Stabenow, who declined to seek a fifth term. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump carried Michigan on the same ballot, making Michigan only one of four states to split their tickets for president and Senate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Virginia</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Virginia. Democratic incumbent Tim Kaine won re-election to a third term, defeating Republican former U.S. Navy captain Hung Cao. Primary elections took place on June 18, 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Montana</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Montana. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Tester lost re-election to a fourth term, being defeated by Republican nominee Tim Sheehy. Sheehy's victory gave Republicans control of both of Montana's Senate seats for the first time since 1911. Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024. Although Tester outperformed Kamala Harris in the concurrent presidential election by 12.8 points, which was the strongest overperformance of any Democratic Senate candidate, it was still not enough to win, as Donald Trump carried Montana by nearly 20 points.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state of Indiana, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections. Primary elections took place on May 3.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in Ohio</span>

The 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Ohio. Republican writer and venture capitalist JD Vance defeated Democratic U.S. Representative Tim Ryan to succeed retiring incumbent Republican Rob Portman.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of West Virginia. Democratic Wheeling mayor Glenn Elliott and Republican Governor Jim Justice were seeking their first term in office. Justice will succeed independent incumbent Joe Manchin, who did not seek a third full term.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Indiana gubernatorial election</span>

The 2024 Indiana gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the next governor of Indiana, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Republican Senator Mike Braun won his first term in office, defeating Democrat former state Superintendent of Public Instruction Jennifer McCormick. He will succeed Republican incumbent Eric Holcomb, who was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma</span>

The 2022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate for Oklahoma. The election took place concurrently with the regularly scheduled election for Oklahoma's other Senate seat. The candidate filing deadline was between April 13 and 15, 2022.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana</span>

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the State of Indiana, one from all nine of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections occurred on May 7, 2024.

References

  1. ↑ "Indiana U.S. Senate Election Results 2024: McCray vs. Banks". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
  2. 1 2 Wren, Adam. "Braun to run for Indiana governor, opening Senate seat in 2024". POLITICO.
  3. 1 2 Wright, David (January 17, 2023). "GOP Rep. Jim Banks announces Indiana US Senate campaign". CNN.
  4. ↑ Carloni, Brittany (February 27, 2024). "Jim Banks won't face Republican challenger in May. Here's who was removed from the ballot". The Indianapolis Star . Retrieved February 27, 2024.
  5. ↑ Weaver, Al (January 31, 2023). "Mitch Daniels passes on Senate campaign". The Hill .
  6. ↑ Holcomb, Eric (June 15, 2023). "Op/Ed: America is in what I call the Disaster Paradox. Here's how we overcome it". The Indianapolis Star . Retrieved June 15, 2023. No, I am no genius or saint, am not running for U.S. House, Senate, or president and have never uttered the words, 'Only I can fix it.'
  7. ↑ Wren, Adam (December 19, 2022). "'He's Got a Huge Problem'". Politico. Retrieved July 25, 2023.
  8. ↑ Kevin Breuninger (June 5, 2023). "Mike Pence files paperwork to launch 2024 Republican presidential campaign". CNBC.
  9. ↑ Weaver, Al (February 3, 2023). "Victoria Spartz passes on Senate run, to retire from Congress at end of term". The Hill .
  10. ↑ "Indiana Attorney General Todd Rokita not seeking higher office". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  11. ↑ Weaver, Al (February 1, 2023). "Trump endorses Jim Banks for Indiana Senate seat". The Hill .
  12. ↑ Shaw, Adan (January 23, 2023). "Jim Banks wins Stephen Miller's backing for 'bold pro-American agenda,' after launching Senate bid". Fox News .
  13. ↑ "Pompeo endorses Rep. Jim Banks in Indiana Senate race". Washington Examiner. September 26, 2023. Archived from the original on September 27, 2023. Retrieved September 27, 2023.
  14. ↑ Oshin, Olafimihan (February 2, 2023). "Banks lands first endorsement from Senate Republican leadership". The Hill .
  15. 1 2 3 4 Gans, Jared (February 21, 2023). "Ten Republican Senators hosting fundraiser for Banks' Senate bid". The Hill .
  16. ↑ Howell, James (September 14, 2023). "Senator Mike Braun endorses Jim Banks for Senate seat". WRTV .
  17. 1 2 3 "Indiana Rep. Jim Banks announces bid for Braun's Senate seat". NBC News. January 17, 2023. Retrieved January 17, 2023.
  18. ↑ "Sen. Ted Cruz endorses Jim Banks for Indiana Senate". WTRC-FM . October 19, 2023.
  19. ↑ "Steve Daines endorses Jim Banks". about.bgov.com. Bloomberg.com. February 2023. Retrieved February 1, 2023.
  20. ↑ Elkind, Elizabeth (March 6, 2023). "McConnell to appear at fundraiser for Trump ally Jim Banks' Senate campaign". Fox News .
  21. ↑ "Marco Rubio Endorses Jim Banks in Heated Hoosier Senate Race". American Reveille. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  22. ↑ Sivak, David (March 23, 2023). "Jim Banks picks up endorsement of No. 2 Senate Republican". Washington Examiner .
  23. ↑ "Republicans offer up nominees for quote of the week". Indiana Capital Chronicle. May 16, 2023. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
  24. ↑ Shaw, Adan (January 31, 2023). "Sen. JD Vance of Ohio backs Rep. Jim Banks in Indiana's Senate GOP primary". Fox News .
  25. ↑ Altimari, Daniela; McIntire, Mary Ellen; Ackley, Kate (February 23, 2023). "At the Races: Train wreck — it's not just a metaphor". Roll Call.
  26. 1 2 "Banks' shot: Rising conservative dives into Indiana Senate race". January 17, 2023.
  27. ↑ McIntyre, Michael (July 25, 2023). "Endorsements Continue To Roll In For Congressman Banks' Bid For Senate". WOWO .
  28. 1 2 3 "Jim Banks rakes in endorsements after jumping into Indiana Senate race". Washington Examiner. January 18, 2023. Retrieved July 26, 2023.
  29. ↑ Garbacz, Steve (March 21, 2023). "Lt. Gov. Crouch endorses Banks for Senate". KPC News.
  30. ↑ Gertz, Matt (January 18, 2023). "Rep. Jim Banks launches Senate campaign with tour of right-wing fever swamp". Media Matters for America .
  31. ↑ Dwyer, Kayla (August 11, 2023). "Indiana Republican Party gives U.S. Rep. Jim Banks Senate endorsement, RNC support". The Indianapolis Star . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  32. ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates".
  33. ↑ "CatholicVote.org Candidate Fund Endorses Jim Banks for Senate".
  34. ↑ "You Can Bank on Banks!". Eagle Forum. Retrieved March 15, 2024.
  35. ↑ "IFA Endorses Mike Braun for Governor and Jim Banks for U.S. Senate Ahead of Next Week's Indiana Primary Elections". www.franchise.org. May 3, 2024. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  36. ↑ "Indiana". nrapvf.org. Retrieved April 23, 2024.
  37. ↑ "SBA Pro-Life America's Candidate Fund Endorses Pro-Life Champion Jim Banks for U.S. Senate".
  38. ↑ "We are pleased to announce our first endorsement in the 2024 cycle for conservative warrior @Jim_Banks! Jim is committed to an America First agenda and we are behind him 100%".
  39. 1 2 3 "2024 Election United States Senate - Indiana". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  40. ↑ Bellwether Research
  41. ↑ Response:AI
  42. ↑ Bergquist, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "McCray prioritizes mental health issues in 2024 US Senate bid". WISH-TV . Retrieved September 19, 2023.
  43. ↑ Downard, Whitney (June 6, 2023). "Marc Carmichael announces campaign for U.S. Senate". Indiana Capital Chronicle. Retrieved June 7, 2023.
  44. ↑ Bonilla Muñiz, Leslie (December 11, 2023). "Democrat Keith Potts drops out of U.S. Senate race". Indiana Capital Chronicle . Retrieved December 13, 2023.
  45. ↑ "Joe Donnelly plans to stay on as ambassador to the Vatican through 2024, forgoing an Indiana governor or Senate run". Politico. June 13, 2023.
  46. ↑ Wren, Adam; Stokols, Eli; Egan, Lauren (March 7, 2023). "Klain tells Indiana Dems he's not interested in a Senate bid". Politico .
  47. ↑ "Labor 2024 | Indiana State AFL-CIO". inaflcio.org. Retrieved June 18, 2024.
  48. ↑ Bergquist, Garrett (March 2, 2024). "Indiana Libertarians nominate 2024 candidates". WISH-TV . Retrieved March 3, 2024.
  49. ↑ "May 7, 2024 Primary Election Candidates". Indiana Secretary of State. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
  50. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  51. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  52. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  53. ↑ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  54. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  55. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  56. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  57. ↑ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  58. ↑ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  59. ↑ Video
  60. ↑ ActiVote
  61. ↑ ActiVote
  62. ↑ ARW Strategies
  63. ↑ Emerson College
  64. ↑ Emerson College
  65. ↑ "Indiana U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times . November 5, 2024. ISSN   1553-8095 . Retrieved November 5, 2024.
  66. ↑ "2024 Indiana Election Results". INSOS. Retrieved December 13, 2024.

Official campaign websites

This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.