2024 United States Senate election in Indiana

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2024 United States Senate election in Indiana
Flag of Indiana.svg
←  2018 November 5, 20242030 →
  Jim Banks official portrait (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jim Banks
(presumptive)		TBD
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Mike Braun
Republican



The 2024 United States Senate election in Indiana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana. Primary elections will take place on May 7, 2024. [1] Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Mike Braun has declined to run for a second term in office, opting instead to run for governor. [2] This will be the first election for this seat in which there is no incumbent running since 1958. [lower-alpha 1]

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Presumptive nominee

Disqualified

Declined

Endorsements

Jim Banks (R)
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Individuals
Political Parties
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jim Banks (R)$3,811,416$2,119,893$3,027,007
John Rust (R)$2,509,349 [lower-alpha 2] $1,471,486$1,037,863
Source: Federal Election Commission [37]

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Jim
Banks		Mitch
Daniels		Trey
Hollingsworth		Todd
Rokita		Victoria
Spartz		OtherUndecided
Bellwether Research December 11–17, 20221,000 (LV)–14%–11%16%12%9%39%
10%32%9%7%7%6%29%
Response:AI [upper-alpha 1] December 9–16, 2022503 (RV)± 4.3%14%35%6%—14%9% [lower-alpha 4] 17%

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jim Banks
Total votes

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Marc Carmichael (D)$87,758$36,569$51,188
Keith Potts (D)$77,332$75,009$2,323
Source: Federal Election Commission [37]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Marc Carmichael
Democratic Valerie McCray
Total votes

Libertarian convention

Nominee

Write-in

Candidates

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [45] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [46] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [47] Safe RNovember 9, 2023
Elections Daily [48] Safe RMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [49] Solid RNovember 21, 2023

Polling

Jim Banks vs. Valerie McCray
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Jim
Banks (R)		Valerie
McCray (D)		Other/Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023462 (RV)± 4.4%31%22%47% [lower-alpha 5]

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Indiana
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Jim Banks
Democratic TBD
Libertarian Andy Horning
Write-in Phillip Beachy
Total votes

Notes

  1. ↑ Richard Lugar ran for re-election to a seventh term in 2012, but lost in the Republican primary to Richard Mourdock.
  2. ↑ $2,500,000 of this total was self-funded by Rust
  3. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ↑ "Someone else" with 10%, Ruth-Green with 4%, and Hill with 2%
  5. ↑ Includes "Someone else" at 8%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by Spartz's campaign.

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References

  1. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. 1 2 Wren, Adam. "Braun to run for Indiana governor, opening Senate seat in 2024". POLITICO.
  3. 1 2 Wright, David (January 17, 2023). "GOP Rep. Jim Banks announces Indiana US Senate campaign". CNN.
  4. ↑ Carloni, Brittany (February 27, 2024). "Jim Banks won't face Republican challenger in May. Here's who was removed from the ballot". The Indianapolis Star . Retrieved February 27, 2024.
  5. ↑ Weaver, Al (January 31, 2023). "Mitch Daniels passes on Senate campaign". The Hill .
  6. ↑ Holcomb, Eric (June 15, 2023). "Op/Ed: America is in what I call the Disaster Paradox. Here's how we overcome it". The Indianapolis Star . Retrieved June 15, 2023. No, I am no genius or saint, am not running for U.S. House, Senate, or president and have never uttered the words, 'Only I can fix it.'
  7. ↑ Wren, Adam (December 19, 2022). "'He's Got a Huge Problem'". Politico. Retrieved July 25, 2023.
  8. ↑ Kevin Breuninger (June 5, 2023). "Mike Pence files paperwork to launch 2024 Republican presidential campaign". CNBC.
  9. ↑ Weaver, Al (February 3, 2023). "Victoria Spartz passes on Senate run, to retire from Congress at end of term". The Hill .
  10. ↑ "Indiana Attorney General Todd Rokita not seeking higher office". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  11. ↑ Weaver, Al (February 1, 2023). "Trump endorses Jim Banks for Indiana Senate seat". The Hill .
  12. ↑ Shaw, Adan (January 23, 2023). "Jim Banks wins Stephen Miller's backing for 'bold pro-American agenda,' after launching Senate bid". Fox News .
  13. ↑ "Pompeo endorses Rep. Jim Banks in Indiana Senate race". Washington Examiner. September 26, 2023. Archived from the original on September 27, 2023. Retrieved September 27, 2023.
  14. ↑ Oshin, Olafimihan (February 2, 2023). "Banks lands first endorsement from Senate Republican leadership". The Hill .
  15. 1 2 3 4 Gans, Jared (February 21, 2023). "Ten Republican Senators hosting fundraiser for Banks' Senate bid". The Hill .
  16. ↑ Howell, James (September 14, 2023). "Senator Mike Braun endorses Jim Banks for Senate seat". WRTV .
  17. 1 2 3 "Indiana Rep. Jim Banks announces bid for Braun's Senate seat". NBC News. January 17, 2023. Retrieved January 17, 2023.
  18. ↑ "Sen. Ted Cruz endorses Jim Banks for Indiana Senate". WTRC-FM . October 19, 2023.
  19. ↑ "Steve Daines endorses Jim Banks". about.bgov.com. Bloomberg.com. February 2023. Retrieved February 1, 2023.
  20. ↑ Elkind, Elizabeth (March 6, 2023). "McConnell to appear at fundraiser for Trump ally Jim Banks' Senate campaign". Fox News .
  21. ↑ "Marco Rubio Endorses Jim Banks in Heated Hoosier Senate Race". American Reveille. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  22. ↑ Sivak, David (March 23, 2023). "Jim Banks picks up endorsement of No. 2 Senate Republican". Washington Examiner .
  23. ↑ "Republicans offer up nominees for quote of the week". Indiana Capital Chronicle. May 16, 2023. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
  24. ↑ Shaw, Adan (January 31, 2023). "Sen. JD Vance of Ohio backs Rep. Jim Banks in Indiana's Senate GOP primary". Fox News .
  25. ↑ Altimari, Daniela; McIntire, Mary Ellen; Ackley, Kate (February 23, 2023). "At the Races: Train wreck — it's not just a metaphor". Roll Call.
  26. 1 2 "Banks' shot: Rising conservative dives into Indiana Senate race". January 17, 2023.
  27. ↑ McIntyre, Michael (July 25, 2023). "Endorsements Continue To Roll In For Congressman Banks' Bid For Senate". WOWO .
  28. 1 2 3 "Jim Banks rakes in endorsements after jumping into Indiana Senate race". Washington Examiner. January 18, 2023. Retrieved July 26, 2023.
  29. ↑ Garbacz, Steve (March 21, 2023). "Lt. Gov. Crouch endorses Banks for Senate". KPC News.
  30. ↑ Gertz, Matt (January 18, 2023). "Rep. Jim Banks launches Senate campaign with tour of right-wing fever swamp". Media Matters for America .
  31. ↑ Dwyer, Kayla (August 11, 2023). "Indiana Republican Party gives U.S. Rep. Jim Banks Senate endorsement, RNC support". The Indianapolis Star . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  32. ↑ "CatholicVote.org Candidate Fund Endorses Jim Banks for Senate".
  33. ↑ "You Can Bank on Banks!". Eagle Forum. Retrieved March 15, 2024.
  34. ↑ "Indiana". nrapvf.org. Retrieved April 23, 2024.
  35. ↑ "SBA Pro-Life America's Candidate Fund Endorses Pro-Life Champion Jim Banks for U.S. Senate".
  36. ↑ "We are pleased to announce our first endorsement in the 2024 cycle for conservative warrior @Jim_Banks! Jim is committed to an America First agenda and we are behind him 100%".
  37. 1 2 "2024 Election United States Senate - Indiana". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved October 16, 2023.
  38. ↑ Downard, Whitney (June 6, 2023). "Marc Carmichael announces campaign for U.S. Senate". Indiana Capital Chronicle. Retrieved June 7, 2023.
  39. ↑ Bergquist, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "McCray prioritizes mental health issues in 2024 US Senate bid". WISH-TV . Retrieved September 19, 2023.
  40. ↑ Bonilla Muñiz, Leslie (December 11, 2023). "Democrat Keith Potts drops out of U.S. Senate race". Indiana Capital Chronicle . Retrieved December 13, 2023.
  41. ↑ "Joe Donnelly plans to stay on as ambassador to the Vatican through 2024, forgoing an Indiana governor or Senate run". Politico. June 13, 2023.
  42. ↑ Wren, Adam; Stokols, Eli; Egan, Lauren (March 7, 2023). "Klain tells Indiana Dems he's not interested in a Senate bid". Politico .
  43. ↑ Bergquist, Garrett (March 2, 2024). "Indiana Libertarians nominate 2024 candidates". WISH-TV . Retrieved March 3, 2024.
  44. ↑ "May 7, 2024 Primary Election Candidates". Indiana Secretary of State. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
  45. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  46. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  47. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  48. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  49. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
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