2024 United States presidential election in Alaska

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election in Alaska

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Nominee Donald Trump (presumptive) Joe Biden (presumptive) Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida Delaware Running mate TBA Kamala Harris (presumptive)

Incumbent President Joe Biden Democratic

The 2024 United States presidential election in Alaska is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Alaska voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Alaska has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. ^[1]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term. ^[2]

Ever since Alaska started voting in presidential races in 1960, the only time its electoral votes did not go to the Republican nominee was when incumbent Democrat Lyndon Johnson won in 1964. Alaska has continued to vote Republican, but not as strongly in recent years. In 2020, Trump only won Alaska by 10 percentage points, much less than Republicans in the past like George W. Bush's 26% victory in the state in 2004.

Primary elections

Republican caucus

Main article: 2024 Alaska Republican presidential caucuses

The Alaska Republican caucuses were held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Alaska Republican primary, March 5, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	9,243	87.6%	29		29
Nikki Haley	1,266	12.0%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	45	0.4%
Total:	10,554	100.00%	29		29
Source: [3]

Democratic caucus

Main article: 2024 Alaska Democratic presidential caucuses

The Alaska Democratic caucus was held on April 13, 2024. Joe Biden was the only person on the ballot and won the caucus via voice vote with 15 pledged delegates. ^[4]

Alaska Democratic caucuses, April 13, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	Voice vote		15		15
Total:			15		15
Source: [5]

General election

Candidates

Independent candidate Cornel West will appear on the ballot as the nominee of the Aurora Party, a party that only exists in Alaska and only has ballot access for presidential elections. ^[6]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [7]	Solid R	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections [8]	Solid R	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [9]	Likely R	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [10]	Likely R	December 14, 2023
CNalysis [11]	Likely R	December 30, 2023
CNN [12]	Solid R	January 14, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Data for Progress (D)	February 23 – March 2, 2024	1,120 (LV)	± 3.0%	53%	41%	6%
Alaska Survey Research	October 13–18, 2023	1,375 (LV)	–	45%	37%	19%
Alaska Survey Research	July 18–21, 2023	1,336 (LV)	–	43%	36%	21%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Alaska Survey Research	October 13–18, 2023	1,375 (LV)	–	37%	29%	17%	17%

See also

• United States presidential elections in Alaska
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear

References

1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
2. Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
3. Ruskin, Liz (March 4, 2024). "Trump or Haley? Alaska Republicans vote Tuesday". Alaska Public Radio. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
4. Bohrer, Becky; Gruver, Mead (April 13, 2024). "Biden wins more delegates in Wyoming and Alaska as he heads toward Democratic nomination". The AP. Retrieved April 14, 2024.
5. "Alaska Democratic Primary Election Results". Ballotpedia . April 13, 2024. Retrieved March 21, 2024.
6. Downing, Suzanne (December 14, 2023). "Cornel West, independent candidate, says he will be on Alaska ballot for president in 2024". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
7. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
8. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
9. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
10. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
11. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
12. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.