2016 Alaska Republican presidential caucuses

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2016 Alaska Republican presidential caucuses
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28 pledged delegates to the Republican National Convention
  Ted Cruz by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Ted Cruz Donald Trump
Home state Texas New York
Delegate count1211
Popular vote8,3697,740
Percentage36.37%33.64%
  Marco Rubio by Gage Skidmore 8 (cropped).jpg Ben Carson by Skidmore with lighting correction (cropped).jpg
Candidate Marco Rubio Ben Carson
Home state Florida Virginia
Delegate count50
Popular vote3,4882,492
Percentage15.16%10.83%
2016 AK GOP Presidential primary by state house district.svg
Results by state house district

The 2016 Alaska Republican presidential caucuses took place on March 1, 2016, as part of "Super Tuesday." Senator Cruz won the state's caucuses by less than 1,000 votes, despite Trump enjoying the endorsement of former Governor and 2008 Vice Presidential nominee Sarah Palin, the 9th Governor of Alaska.

Contents

While Cruz performed best in the state's urban legislative districts, Trump won rural precincts in the Alaska Bush. Alaska was the only state where neurosurgeon Ben Carson carried a jurisdiction over the course of the primary, albeit one of the country's least populated.

Polling

Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Caucus results [1] March 1, 2016 Ted Cruz 36.37% Donald Trump 33.64% Marco Rubio 15.16% Ben Carson 10.83%, John Kasich 3.99%, Other 0.01%
Alaska Dispatch News/Ivan Moore Research [2]

Margin of error: –

Sample size: 651

January 23, 2016Donald Trump
27.9%		Ted Cruz

23.8%

Ben Carson

8.5%

Jeb Bush 7.3%, Marco Rubio 6.9%, Chris Christie 3.3%, Rand Paul 3.0%, John Kasich 1.7%, Other 4.1%, Undecided 13.4%
Public Policy Polling [3]

Margin of error: ± 5.3%

Sample size: 337

July 31 – August 3, 2014Ted Cruz
16%		Rand Paul
15%		Mike Huckabee
14%		Chris Christie 12%, Jeb Bush 12%, Sarah Palin 11%, Scott Walker 7%, Paul Ryan 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Someone else/Not sure 4%
Public Policy Polling [4]

Margin of error: ± 5.5%

Sample size: 313

May 8–11, 2014Ted Cruz
15%		Jeb Bush
14%		Chris Christie
14%		Sarah Palin 12%, Rand Paul 11%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Paul Ryan 4%, Scott Walker 4%, Marco Rubio 3%, Someone else/Not sure 11%
Chris Christie
16%		Jeb Bush
15%		Ted Cruz
15%		Rand Paul 14%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Paul Ryan 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Someone else/Not sure 16%
Magellan Strategies [5]

Margin of error: ± 7%

Sample size: 190

April 14, 2014Ted Cruz
16%		Rand Paul
15%		Jeb Bush
13%		Mike Huckabee 12%, Chris Christie 11%, Marco Rubio 7%, Scott Walker 6%, John Kasich 1%, Undecided 19%
Public Policy Polling [6]

Margin of error: ± 4.7%

Sample size: 442

January 30 – February 1, 2014Rand Paul
15%		Ted Cruz
13%		Sarah Palin
13%		Jeb Bush 12%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Chris Christie 10%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul Ryan 4%, Scott Walker 4%, Someone Else/Undecided 12%
Ted Cruz
16%		Jeb Bush
14%		Rand Paul
14%		Mike Huckabee 13%, Chris Christie 9%, Marco Rubio 8%, Paul Ryan 7%, Scott Walker 5%, Someone Else/Undecided 15%
Public Policy Polling [7]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%

Sample size: 507

July 25–28, 2013Rand Paul
18%		Sarah Palin
14%		Chris Christie

13%

Jeb Bush 11%, Marco Rubio 9%, Paul Ryan 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Rick Santorum 5%, George Zimmerman 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 12%
Rand Paul
20%		Jeb Bush

15%

Chris Christie

14%

Paul Ryan 14%, Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Rick Santorum 6%, Someone Else/Undecided 12%
Public Policy Polling [8]

Margin of error: ± 4.2%

Sample size: 537

Feb. 4–5, 2013Marco Rubio
18%		Mike Huckabee
14%		Rand Paul

12%

Chris Christie 11%, Paul Ryan 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Sarah Palin 9%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Rick Perry 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 10%

Results

Alaska Republican legislative district conventions, March 1, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Ted Cruz 8,36936.37%12012
Donald Trump 7,74033.64%11011
Marco Rubio 3,48815.16%505
Ben Carson 2,49210.83%000
John Kasich 9183.99%000
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:23,010100.00%28028
Source: The Green Papers and Alaska Republican Party

Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 13% or more of the vote proportionally.

Controversy

At the Republican National Convention, Alaska's floor votes were all recorded for Donald Trump by the convention secretary, even though the Alaska delegation read their votes according to the results of the caucuses- 12 for Cruz, 11 for Trump and 5 for Rubio. An Alaska delegate challenged the results as recorded. [9] However, RNC chair Reince Priebus defended the actions of the convention secretary, saying that the delegates were bound to Trump. [10]

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References

  1. ↑ Caucus results
  2. ↑ "ADN poll: Alaskans like Trump, Sanders for president". January 23, 2016.
  3. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  4. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  5. ↑ Magellan Strategies
  6. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  7. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  8. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  9. ↑ Carlson, Emily. "Chairman of Alaska's Rep party said he doesn't know why 28 delegates went @realDonaldTrump but "it's going to be corrected in record" @ktva". Twitter. Retrieved July 23, 2016.
  10. ↑ Kopan, Tal; Payson-Denny, Wade. "Why Alaska's delegates were counted for Donald Trump". CNN. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. Retrieved July 23, 2016.
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