2014 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska

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2014 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska
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  Don Young, official 115th Congress photo portrait.jpg Forrest Dunbar.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Don Young Forrest Dunbar Jim McDermott
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Popular vote142,572114,60221,290
Percentage50.97%40.97%7.61%
Alaska House election, 2014.svg
2014 Alaska's at-large congressional district results by county-equivalent.svg
Young:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Dunbar:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Representative at-large before election

Don Young
Republican

Elected Representative at-large

Don Young
Republican

The 2014 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the U.S. representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district, who will represent the state of Alaska in the 114th United States Congress. The election coincided with the elections of a Class II U.S. Senator and the Governor of Alaska, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Republican U.S. Representative Don Young ran for re-election to a twenty-second term in office. He won the Republican primary and then defeated Democratic attorney Forrest Dunbar and Libertarian business professor Jim McDermott in the general election. Young was the only statewide official in Alaska who was re-elected in 2014, as Republican governor Sean Parnell and Democratic U.S. Senator Mark Begich were both defeated by their respective challengers. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • John Cox, retired naval officer and candidate for the seat in 2010 and 2012 [2]
  • David Dohner, write-in candidate for the seat in 2012 [2]
  • David Seaward, former mayor of Seward [3]
  • Don Young, incumbent U.S. Representative [4]

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Don Young 79,393 74.29
Republican John Cox14,49713.57
Republican David Seaward7,6047.12
Republican David Dohner5,3735.03
Total votes106,867 100.00

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.

Democratic candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Matt Moore, businessman and candidate for the seat in 2012 [2] [7]

Declined

Libertarian candidates

Declared

  • Jim McDermott, business professor and nominee for the seat in 2012 [9]

Primary results

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Forrest Dunbar 38,735 63.19
Libertarian Jim McDermott 13,437 21.92
Democratic Frank Vondersaar9,13214.90
Total votes61,304 100.00

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [10] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg [11] Safe ROctober 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12] Likely ROctober 30, 2014
RCP Likely RNovember 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections [13] Likely RNovember 4, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Don
Young (R)		Forrest
Dunbar (D)		Jim
McDermott (L)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [14] November 1–2, 20141,052± 3%47%41%6%6%
Moore Information [15] October 24–26, 2014544–44%43%10%4%
Hellenthal & Associates [16] October 15–21, 2014403± 4.88%52%35%6%7%
Public Policy Polling [17] September 18–21, 2014880± 3.3%48%33%9%11%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Don
Young (R)		Matt
Moore (D)		Jim
McDermott (L)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [18] January 30–February 1, 2014850± 3.4%50%22%12%16%
Public Policy Polling [19] July 25–28, 2013890± 3.3%56%28%—16%

Results

2014 Alaska's at-large congressional district [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Don Young (incumbent) 142,572 50.97% −12.97%
Democratic Forrest Dunbar 114,60240.97%+12.36%
Libertarian Jim McDermott21,2907.61%+2.42%
Write-in 1,2770.46%+0.13%
Total votes279,741 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

References

  1. ↑ Ostermeier, Eric (November 19, 2014). "Mark Begich and Sean Parnell Join Small Group in Defeat". Smart Politics.
  2. 1 2 3 4 "2014 Primary Official Candidate List". Alaska Secretary of State. Archived from the original on June 30, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  3. ↑ "Guess who's running for higher office?". Seward City News. May 24, 2014. Archived from the original on September 3, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  4. ↑ "Don Young to File for Re-Election #AKAL". Roll Call. July 2, 2013. Archived from the original on October 29, 2013. Retrieved July 30, 2013.
  5. 1 2 "2014 Primary Elections August 19, 2014 Official Results". State of Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved September 8, 2014.
  6. ↑ "From paperboy to Alaska congressional candidate". Alaska Dispatch. March 9, 2014. Archived from the original on March 13, 2014. Retrieved March 13, 2014.
  7. ↑ "Moore brings in $23K in 4Q, including loan". Anchorage Daily News. February 3, 2014. Retrieved February 4, 2014.[ dead link ]
  8. ↑ "Less is more as former Senate candidate Scott McAdams sheds 100 pounds". Alaska Dispatch. April 3, 2013. Archived from the original on October 16, 2013. Retrieved October 16, 2013.
  9. ↑ "Libertarian Jim McDermott for Congress in Alaska polling at 12%". Libertarian Party. February 5, 2014. Retrieved March 13, 2014.
  10. ↑ "2014 House Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". House: Race Ratings. Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2014.
  11. ↑ "2014 House Ratings (October 24, 2014)". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 24, 2014.
  12. ↑ "2014 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. April 10, 2014. Retrieved April 11, 2014.
  13. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2014". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
  14. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  15. ↑ "Moore Information". Archived from the original on October 28, 2014. Retrieved October 28, 2014.
  16. ↑ Hellenthal & Associates
  17. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  18. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  19. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  20. ↑ "2014 General Election November 4, 2014 Official Results". elections.alaska.gov. November 11, 2014. Retrieved November 27, 2014.
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