2014 Illinois gubernatorial election

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2014 Illinois gubernatorial election
Flag of Illinois.svg
  2010 November 4, 2014 2018  
Turnout48.48% Decrease2.svg 1.21 pp
  Bruce Rauner 2015.jpg ASC hosts governor, AMC leadership, DoD logistician (3) (cropped).jpg
Nominee Bruce Rauner Pat Quinn
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Evelyn Sanguinetti Paul Vallas
Popular vote1,823,6271,681,343
Percentage50.27%46.35%

2014 Illinois gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2014 Illinois gubernatorial election results map by Congressional District.svg
Rauner:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Quinn:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

Governor before election

Pat Quinn
Democratic

Elected Governor

Bruce Rauner
Republican

The 2014 Illinois gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Illinois, concurrently with the election to Illinois's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Prior to this cycle, candidates for governor and lieutenant governor were nominated separately, and the primary winners ran on the same ticket in the general election. In 2011, the law was changed to allow candidates for governor to pick their own running mates. Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Sheila Simon did not run for reelection, instead running unsuccessfully for comptroller. She was replaced as Quinn's running mate by Paul Vallas, a former CEO of Chicago Public Schools. Rauner chose Wheaton City councilwoman Evelyn Sanguinetti as his running mate and Grimm chose Alex Cummings.

Incumbent Democratic governor Pat Quinn ran for re-election to a second full term in office. Quinn, then the lieutenant governor, assumed the office of governor on January 29, 2009, upon the impeachment and removal of Rod Blagojevich. He narrowly won a full term in 2010. Primary elections were held on March 18, 2014. [1] Quinn won the Democratic primary, while the Republicans chose businessman Bruce Rauner and the Libertarians nominated political activist Chad Grimm.

Rauner defeated Quinn in the general election with 50.3% of the vote to Quinn's 46.4%, winning every county in the state except for Cook County, home to the city of Chicago and 40% of the state's residents. [2] [3] Quinn was the only incumbent Democratic governor to lose a general election in 2014 and remained the last one to do so until Nevada's Steve Sisolak in 2022. Rauner became the second Republican to be elected governor of Illinois while carrying all but one county, the other being Jim Edgar in 1994. This was the only time since 1998 that a Republican was elected Governor of Illinois.

As of 2025, this alongside the concurrent comptroller election is the only time since 2010 that Republicans won a statewide election in Illinois. This is also the most recent Illinois gubernatorial election in which the winner won a majority of counties.

Background

The primaries and general elections coincided with those for federal (House and Senate) and those for other state offices. The election was part of the 2014 Illinois elections.

For the primary election, turnout was 16.88%, with 1,267,028 votes cast. [4] [5] For the general election, turnout was 48.48%, with 3,627,690 votes cast. [6] [5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

William Daley (withdrew)

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn
Tio
Hardiman
OtherUndecided
Strive Strategies [27] March 9, 2014563± 4.21%64%36%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn
Bill
Daley
Lisa
Madigan
Kwame
Raoul
OtherUndecided
We Ask America [28] August 6, 20131,528± ?27%23%13%37%
We Ask America [28] July 19, 20131,394± ?38%33%29%
We Ask America [29] June 13, 20131,322± 2.8%21%22%32%25%
37%38%25%
33%44%23%
Paul Simon Institute [30] January 27–February 8, 2013310± 5.5%22.9%11.9%31.9%4.8%28.4%
We Ask America [31] January 30, 20131,255± 3%20%15%37%18%
38%33%29%
26%51%23%
Public Policy Polling [32] November 26–28, 2012319± 5.5%34%37%29%
20%64%17%

Results

County results Illinois Governor D Primary 2014.svg
County results
Democratic primary results [33]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Pat Quinn (incumbent) 321,818 71.94
Democratic Tio Hardiman125,50028.06
Total votes447,318 100.00

Republican primary

By early summer 2013, the field seeking the Republican nomination was set at four candidates. [34] Two of them, state senators Bill Brady and Kirk Dillard, had sought the nomination in 2010, with Brady edging out Dillard by 193 votes, but ultimately losing to Pat Quinn by less than 1 percent. [35] Dan Rutherford, who was elected state treasurer in 2010 after serving as a state representative and state senator, formally entered the race on June 2. [36]

Rauner had announced the formation of an exploratory committee in March [37] and made his entry into the Republican field official on June 5. [38] Despite longstanding rumors that Rauner was committed to spending $50 million on his campaign, he denied in an interview ever specifying a dollar figure. [39]

By the date of the primary, Rauner had broken the previous record for self-funding in an Illinois gubernatorial race by putting more than $6 million of his own money into his campaign. In total, he raised more than $14 million before the primary election. [40]

On March 18, 2014, Rauner won the Republican primary, collecting 40% of the vote, compared to 37% for State Senator Kirk Dillard.

Candidates

Declared

Removed

  • Peter Edward Jones (removed from the ballot) [49] [50]
    • Running mate: None [49]

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Adam
Andrzejewski
Bill
Brady
Kirk
Dillard
Dan
Proft
Bruce
Rauner
Dan
Rutherford
Aaron
Schock
Joe
Walsh
OtherUndecided
We Ask America [71] March 17, 20141,126± 3%19%27%44%9%
Illinois Mirror/WAS [72] March 16, 20141,162± 3%15%26%32%5%21%
We Ask America [73] March 11, 20141,235± 2.9%19%26%46%9%
Tribune/WGN-TV [74] March 1–5, 2014600± 4%18%23%36%9%13%
We Ask America [75] March 4, 20141,262± 2.85%12%14%40%8%26%
We Ask America [76] February 25, 20141,178± 3%13%17%36%7%27%
McKeon & Assoc.* [77] February 18–19, 2014831± 3.6%24%13%32%3%18%
We Ask America [78] February 18, 20141,323± ?14%13%35%8%30%
Tribune/WGN-TV [79] February 5–8, 2014600± 4%20%11%40%13%15%
We Ask America [80] January 14, 20141,139± 2.9%17%9%34%15%25%
Ogden & Fry [81] January 2014778± 2.5%8%6%18%10%58%
We Ask America [82] November 26, 20131,233± 2.79%18%10%26%17%29%
Public Policy Polling [83] November 22–25, 2013375± 5.1%17%10%24%14%36%
We Ask America [84] November 14, 20131,191± 2.94%25%14%11%18%32%
Battleground Polling [85] November 3–11, 2013535± 3.97%13%12%12%18%45%
We Ask America [86] August 13, 20131,102± ?21%10%14%17%32%
We Ask America [87] June 20, 20131,310± 2.8%18%11%12%22%38%
Battleground Polling [88] May 20–27, 2013400± 4.8%19%14%13%5%27%22%
Paul Simon Institute [30] January 27–February 8, 2013186± 7.2%2%10%3%2%10%9%6%5%53%
Public Policy Polling [32] November 26–28, 2012303± 5.6%14%12%7%19%18%8%7%15%

Results

County results Illinois Governor R Primary 2014.svg
County results
Republican primary results [33]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bruce Rauner 328,934 40.13
Republican Kirk Dillard 305,12037.22
Republican Bill Brady 123,70815.09
Republican Dan Rutherford 61,8487.55
Total votes819,624 100.00

Third party and Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Chad Grimm (Libertarian), political activist, candidate for the State House in 2012 and candidate for the Peoria City Council in 2013 [89]
    • Running mate: Alex Cummings

Removed from ballot

Declined

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [94] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [95] Lean DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [96] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [97] TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn (D)
Bruce
Rauner (R)
Chad
Grimm (L)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [98] November 1–2, 20141,064± 3%47%45%3%5%
48%48%4%
McKeon & Associates [99] October 28, 2014823± 3.9%45%42%4%9%
We Ask America [100] October 27–28, 20142,327± 3%50%45%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [101] October 16–23, 20143,519± 3%45%41%1%13%
Rasmussen Reports [102] October 20–22, 20141,000± 3%47%48%2%4%
APC Research [103] October 16–21, 2014800± 3.5%43%45%4%7%
Southern Illinois University [104] September 23 – October 15, 20141,006 RV± 3%41%39%5%1%15%
691 LV± 3.7%41%42%3%1%13%
We Ask America [105] October 8, 20141,051± 3.02%44%41%7%8%
University of Illinois Springfield [106] October 2–8, 2014723± 3.7%41%43%2%14%
We Ask America [107] October 6, 20141,097± 3%44%40%6%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [108] September 20 – October 1, 20143,955± 2%46%43%1%10%
Communication Express [109] September 30, 20141,208± 2.87%37%43%5%16%
Fabrizio Lee [110] September 27–29, 2014600± 4%41%39%5%15%
Rasmussen Reports [102] September 24–25, 2014750± 4%44%42%6%8%
Battleground Polling [111] September 23–24, 2014408± 4.8%43%43%6%8%
We Ask America [112] September 18–19, 20141,418± 3%41%44%6%9%
Global Strategy Group [113] September 4–7, 2014605± 4%43%40%5%12%
APC Research [114] September 3–5, 2014800± 3.5%48%37%5%10%
We Ask America [115] September 2, 20141,064± 3%37%46%7%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [116] August 18 – September 2, 20144,363± 3%40%44%2%13%
Garin Hart Yang Research Group* [117] August 12–14, 2014802± 3.5%43%46%11%
We Ask America [118] August 5–6, 20141,085± 3.12%38%51%11%
Gravis Marketing [119] August 4–5, 2014567± 4%40%48%12%
Rasmussen Reports [102] July 29–30, 2014750± 4%39%44%7%10%
We Ask America [120] July 28, 20141,087± 2.97%33%47%20%
Mellman Group^ [121] July 27–29, 2014600± 5%38%39%23%
Harstad Strategic Research [122] July 17–22, 20141,003± 3.1%42%46%3%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [123] July 5–24, 20145,298± 2.1%43%46%2%8%
McKeon & Associates [124] July 9–10, 2014800± 3.9%34%40%26%
Capitol Fax/We Ask America [125] July 8, 2014940± 3.2%39%51%10%
We Ask America [126] June 10–11, 20141,075± 3%37%47%16%
Where America Stands [127] May 12, 20141,168± 3%31%49%1%3% [128] 16%
We Ask America [129] [130] April 27, 2014?± 3.14%44%44%12%
We Ask America [129] [131] April 21, 2014?± 3.21%38%49%13%
Rasmussen Reports [102] April 9–10, 2014750± 4%40%43%6%10%
Where America Stands [132] March 27, 20141,033± 3%32%46%1%2% [133] 19%
Gravis Marketing [134] March 21–22, 2014806± 3%35%43%22%
We Ask America [135] January 30, 20141,354± 2.7%39%47%14%
Public Policy Polling [83] November 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%41%38%21%
Hypothetical polling

With Quinn

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn (D)
Bill
Brady (R)
Undecided
We Ask America [135] January 30, 20141,354± 2.7%39%48%13%
Public Policy Polling [83] November 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%41%41%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn (D)
Kirk
Dillard (R)
Undecided
We Ask America [135] January 30, 20141,354± 2.7%37%46%17%
Public Policy Polling [83] November 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%39%39%21%
Public Policy Polling [32] November 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%37%44%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn (D)
Dan
Rutherford (R)
Undecided
We Ask America [135] January 30, 20141,354± 2.7%37%46%17%
Public Policy Polling [83] November 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%39%41%20%
Public Policy Polling [32] November 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%39%43%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn (D)
Aaron
Schock (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [32] November 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%40%39%21%

With Daley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Daley (D)
Kirk
Dillard (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [32] November 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%34%36%30%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Daley (D)
Dan
Rutherford (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [32] November 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%37%38%25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Daley (D)
Aaron
Schock (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [32] November 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%40%35%25%

With Emanuel

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rahm
Emanuel (D)
Dan
Rutherford (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [83] November 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%40%38%22%

With Hynes

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Daniel
Hynes (D)
Dan
Rutherford (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [83] November 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%34%34%32%

With Madigan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lisa
Madigan (D)
Kirk
Dillard (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [32] November 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%46%37%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lisa
Madigan (D)
Dan
Rutherford (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [83] November 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%45%40%15%
Public Policy Polling [32] November 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%46%37%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lisa
Madigan (D)
Aaron
Schock (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [32] November 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%46%38%17%

Results

2014 Illinois gubernatorial election [136]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Bruce Rauner 1,823,627 50.27% +4.33%
Democratic Pat Quinn (incumbent)1,681,34346.35%−0.44%
Libertarian Chad Grimm121,5343.35%+2.42%
Write-in 1,1860.03%N/A
Total votes3,627,690 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Rauner won 12 of 18 districts, including four that elected Democrats. [137]

DistrictQuinnRaunerRepresentative
1st 71%27% Bobby Rush
2nd 73%25% Robin Kelly
3rd 48.7%48.8% Dan Lipinski
4th 72%25% Luis Gutierrez
5th 55%43% Mike Quigley
6th 32%65% Peter Roskam
7th 81%18% Danny K. Davis
8th 43%54% Tammy Duckworth
9th 54%44% Jan Schakowsky
10th 43%55% Brad Schneider
Robert Dold
11th 46%52% Bill Foster
12th 38%56% William Enyart
Mike Bost
13th 38%57% Rodney Davis
14th 32%65% Randy Hultgren
15th 23%71% John Shimkus
16th 35%61% Adam Kinzinger
17th 43%52% Cheri Bustos
18th 28%66% Aaron Schock

See also

References

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