2014 Texas gubernatorial election

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2014 Texas gubernatorial election
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←  2010 November 4, 2014 2018  →
Turnout33.7% (of registered voters)
25.0% (of voting age population) [1]
  Greg Abbott crop.jpg Wendy Davis by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Nominee Greg Abbott Wendy Davis
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote2,796,5471,835,596
Percentage59.27%38.90%
2014 Texas gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
TX GOV 2014.svg
Abbott:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Davis:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data
Governor before election

Rick Perry
Republican

Elected Governor

Greg Abbott
Republican

The 2014 Texas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican governor Rick Perry, who had served since the resignation of then-Governor George W. Bush on December 21, 2000, declined to run for an unprecedented fourth full term, making this the first open election for governor of the state since 1990.

Contents

The election took place between nominees who were selected on March 4, 2014: Republican State Attorney General Greg Abbott and Democratic State Senator Wendy Davis. Also on the ballot were Libertarian Party candidate Kathie Glass [2] and Green Party candidate Brandon Parmer. [3] Abbott was projected to carry the election, and ultimately won handily with a 20.4 percentage point advantage. [4] As of 2022, this is the most recent gubernatorial election in which Bexar, Harris and Hays counties voted Republican and in which Frio, Jim Wells, and Val Verde counties voted Democratic. Exit polls showed Abbott winning Whites (72% to 25%), while Davis received majorities among African Americans (92% to 7%) and Hispanics (55% to 44%). Abbott won roughly half of Hispanic men, 54% of all women, and 62% of married women. [5]

Abbott took office on January 20, 2015, as the 48th governor of Texas.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Greg Abbott

Organizations

  • Texas Municipal Police Association [15]

Individuals

Tom Pauken

Organizations

  • Citizens for the Republic [17]

Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Greg
Abbott		Lisa
Fritsch		Larry
Kilgore		Miriam
Martinez		Tom
Pauken		OtherUndecided
UoT/Texas Tribune [19] February 7–17, 2014461± 4.56%90%4%1%5%———
UoT/Texas Tribune [20] October 18–27, 2013519± 5.02%50%3%1%2%2%—42%
Texas Lyceum [21] September 6–20, 2013279± 5.87%22%—2%1%0%—74%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Rick
Perry		Greg
Abbott		Someone elseUndecided
Public Policy Polling [22] June 28–July 1, 2013318± ?%46%34%—20%
44%—39%17%
UoT/Texas Tribune [23] May 31–June 9, 2013492± 5.27%45%19%11%25%
UoT/Texas Tribune [24] February 15–24, 2013549± 4.18%49%17%—31%
Public Policy Polling [25] January 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%47%—41%13%
41%38%—20%
Burnt Orange Report [26] May 15–16, 2012462± 4.6%42%35%7%16%

Results

Republican primary results [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Greg Abbott 1,224,014 91.48
Republican Lisa Fritsch59,2214.42
Republican Miriam Martinez35,5852.65
Republican Larry Kilgore19,0551.42
Total votes1,337,875 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Wendy
Davis		Ray
Madrigal		OtherUndecided
UoT/Texas Tribune [19] February 7–17, 2014263± 6.04%87%13%——

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Davis-->90% Davis--80-90% Davis--70-80% Davis--60-70% Davis--50-60% Tie Madrigal--50-60% Madrigal--60-70% No vote Texas gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2014.svg
Results by county:
  Davis—>90%
  Davis—80–90%
  Davis—70–80%
  Davis—60–70%
  Davis—50–60%
  Tie
  Madrigal—50–60%
  Madrigal—60–70%
  No vote
Democratic primary results [41]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Wendy Davis 432,595 78.08
Democratic Ray Madrigal121,41921.91
Total votes554,014 100

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Robert Bell, pharmaceutical executive and chemist [42]
  • Robert Garrett, veteran, helicopter mechanic and prison officer [43]
  • Kathie Glass, attorney [44]
  • Robert "Star" Locke, rancher, building contractor, veteran and perennial candidate [45]

Withdrew

Results

Kathie Glass was nominated at the 2014 party convention. [2]

Green nomination

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Declined

General election

Debates

The first of two confirmed gubernatorial debates between Wendy Davis and Greg Abbott took place at the Edinburg Conference Center at Renaissance at 18:00 on Friday, September 19, co-hosted by KGBT-TV, The Monitor and KTLM-TV. [53] KGBT-TV posted the complete video online and can be viewed here. [54] The debate took place in Edinburg, Texas, and it gave both candidates an opportunity to appeal to the Hispanic community, a grouping seen by Reuters as an "increasingly important voting bloc in Texas." [55] The second debate took place on September 30 and was also posted online.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [56] Likely RNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [57] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [58] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [59] Likely RNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Greg
Abbott (R)		Wendy
Davis (D)		OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [60] October 16–23, 20143,987± 3%57%37%0%6%
UoT/Texas Tribune [61] October 10–19, 2014866± 3.6%54%38%8% [62] —
Survey Research Center [63] September 22–October 16, 2014781± 3.5%47%32%2% [64] 17%
Crosswind Communications [65] October 9–12, 2014500± 4.33%52%31%0%16%
Rasmussen Reports [66] October 1–2, 2014840± 3.5%51%40%3%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [67] September 20–October 1, 20144,177± 2%54%40%0%5%
Texas Lyceum [68] September 11–25, 2014666± 3.8%49%40%4% [69] 8%
Benenson* [70] September 2–4, 2014800± 3.5%46%38%—16%
WPA Opinion Research^ [71] September 3, 2014 ?± ?53%35%—12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [72] August 18–September 2, 20144,189± 2%56%38%2%5%
Rasmussen Reports [73] August 4–5, 2014850± 3.5%48%40%3%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [74] July 5–24, 20144,320± 3.7%54%37%1%9%
UoT/Texas Tribune [75] May 30–June 8, 20141,200± 2.83%44%32%7% [76] 17%
Texas Tech University [77] April 14–17, 2014454± 4.6%54%25%6%15%
Public Policy Polling [78] April 10–13, 2014559± 4.1%51%37%—13%
Emerson College [79] March 7–12, 2014494± ?49%42%—9%
Rasmussen Reports [80] March 3–4, 2014500± 4.5%53%41%1%4%
UoT/Texas Tribune [19] February 7–17, 20141,200± 2.83%47%36%—17%
Public Policy Polling [81] November 1–4, 2013500± 4.4%50%35%—15%
47%37%9%8%
UoT/Texas Tribune [20] October 18–27, 20131,200± 3.3%40%34%—25%
40%35%5% [82] 20%
Texas Lyceum [21] September 6–20, 2013798± 3.47%29%21%—50%
Public Policy Polling [22] June 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%48%40%—12%
Public Policy Polling [25] January 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%46%34%—20%
Hypothetical polling

With Castro

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Greg
Abbott (R)		Julian
Castro (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [22] June 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%48%34%—18%
Public Policy Polling [25] January 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%46%36%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Rick
Perry (R)		Julian
Castro (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [22] June 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%50%43%—8%
Public Policy Polling [25] January 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%47%42%—11%

With Davis

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tom
Pauken (R)		Wendy
Davis (D)		OtherUndecided
UoT/Texas Tribune [20] October 18–27, 20131,200± 3.3%34%38%—28%
33%36%6%25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Rick
Perry (R)		Wendy
Davis (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [22] June 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%53%39%—8%
Public Policy Polling [25] January 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%47%41%—13%

With Parker

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Greg
Abbott (R)		Annise
Parker (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [22] June 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%50%31%—20%
Public Policy Polling [25] January 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%47%35%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Rick
Perry (R)		Annise
Parker (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [22] June 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%52%35%—13%
Public Policy Polling [25] January 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%47%40%—13%

With White

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Greg
Abbott (R)		Bill
White (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [22] June 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%48%36%—16%
Public Policy Polling [25] January 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%46%39%—15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Rick
Perry (R)		Bill
White (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [22] June 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%50%40%—10%
Public Policy Polling [25] January 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%44%47%—9%

Results

2014 Texas gubernatorial election [83]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Greg Abbott 2,796,547 59.27% +4.30%
Democratic Wendy Davis1,835,59638.90%−3.40%
Libertarian Kathie Glass66,5431.41%−0.78%
Green Brandon Parmer18,5200.39%0.00%
Independent Sarah M. Pavitt (write-in)1,0620.02%N/A
Total votes4,718,268 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

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References

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  60. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
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  62. ↑ Kathie Glass (L) 6%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
  63. ↑ Survey Research Center
  64. ↑ Kathie Glass (L) 1%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%
  65. ↑ Crosswind Communications
  66. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  67. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  68. ↑ Texas Lyceum [ permanent dead link ]
  69. ↑ Kathie Glass (L) 2%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
  70. ↑ Benenson*
  71. ↑ WPA Opinion Research^
  72. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  73. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  74. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  75. ↑ UoT/Texas Tribune
  76. ↑ Kathie Glass (L) 3%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%, Other 3%
  77. ↑ Texas Tech University
  78. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  79. ↑ Emerson College Archived March 18, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  80. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  81. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  82. ↑ Kathie Glass (L)
  83. ↑ "Office of the Secretary of State Race Summary Report 2014 General Election". Texas Secretary of State. Retrieved August 3, 2015.
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