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Turnout | 30.94% (28.65 pp) | ||||||||||||||||
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Brown: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kashkari: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in California |
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The 2014 California gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of California, concurrently with elections for the rest of California's executive branch, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic governor Jerry Brown ran for re-election to a second consecutive and fourth overall term in office. Although governors are limited to lifetime service of two terms in office, Brown previously served as governor from specifically 1975 to 1983, and the law only affects terms served after November 6, 1990. [1] [2] [3]
A primary election was held on June 3, 2014. Under California's nonpartisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers — regardless of party — advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election. Washington is the only other state with this system, a so-called "top two primary" (Louisiana has a similar "jungle primary"). Brown and Republican Neel Kashkari finished first and second, respectively, and contested in the general election, [4] which Brown won. He won the largest gubernatorial victory since 1986, "despite running a virtually nonexistent campaign." [5] This was the first time since 1978 that a Democrat carried Nevada County.
A certified list of candidates was released by the secretary of state on March 27, 2014. The primary election took place on Tuesday, June 3, 2014, from 7am to 8pm. [6]
Endorsed Tim Donnelly [28]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jerry Brown (D) | Andrew Blount (R) | Tim Donnelly (R) | Neel Kashkari (R) | Abel Maldonado (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GQR [32] | May 21–28, 2014 | 626 | ± 4.4% | 50% | — | 13% | 18% | — | 5% | 14% |
SurveyUSA [33] | May 16–19, 2014 | 610 | ± 4% | 57% | — | 18% | 11% | — | 4% | 10% |
PPIC [34] | May 8–15, 2014 | 901 | ± 4.9% | 48% | — | 15% | 10% | — | 1% | 27% |
PPIC [35] | April 8–15, 2014 | 944 | ± 5.1% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 2% | — | 2% | 38% |
Field Poll [36] | March 18–April 5, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.5% | 57% | 3% | 17% | 2% | — | 1% | 20% |
PPIC [37] | March 11–18, 2014 | 936 | ± 4.7% | 47% | 2% | 10% | 2% | — | 3% | 36% |
Field Poll [38] | November 15–December 3, 2013 | 836 | ± 3.5% | 52% | — | 9% | 3% | 11% | — | 25% |
PPIC [39] | November 12–19, 2013 | 1,081 | ± 4.5% | 46% | — | 16% | — | 7% | 1% | 29% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jerry Brown (incumbent) | – | 45.6 | |
Republican | Tim Donnelly | – | 18.3 | |
Republican | Glenn Champ | – | 7.3 | |
Republican | Andrew Blount | – | 5.4 | |
Republican | Alma Marie Winston | – | 4.1 | |
Republican | Neel Kashkari | – | 3.8 | |
No party preference | Robert Newman | – | 3.1 | |
Democratic | Akinyemi Agbede | – | 2.8 | |
Green | Luis J. Rodriguez | – | 2.6 | |
Peace and Freedom | Cindy Sheehan | – | 2.3 | |
Republican | Richard William Aguirre | – | 1.7 | |
No party preference | "Bo" Bogdan Ambrozewicz | – | 0.9 | |
No party preference | Janel Hyeshia Buycks | – | 0.8 | |
No party preference | Rakesh Kumar Christian | – | 0.7 | |
No party preference | Joe Leicht | – | 0.6 | |
Total votes | – | 100 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jerry Brown (incumbent) | 2,354,769 | 54.34% | |
Republican | Neel Kashkari | 839,767 | 19.38% | |
Republican | Tim Donnelly | 643,236 | 14.85% | |
Republican | Andrew Blount | 89,749 | 2.07% | |
Republican | Glenn Champ | 76,066 | 1.76% | |
Green | Luis J. Rodriguez | 66,872 | 1.54% | |
Peace and Freedom | Cindy Sheehan | 52,707 | 1.22% | |
Republican | Alma Marie Winston | 46,042 | 1.06% | |
No party preference | Robert Newman | 44,120 | 1.02% | |
Democratic | Akinyemi Agbede | 37,024 | 0.85% | |
Republican | Richard William Aguirre | 35,125 | 0.81% | |
No party preference | "Bo" Bogdan Ambrozewicz | 14,929 | 0.35% | |
No party preference | Janel Hyeshia Buycks | 12,136 | 0.28% | |
No party preference | Rakesh Kumar Christian | 11,142 | 0.26% | |
No party preference | Joe Leicht | 9,307 | 0.22% | |
Write-In | Karen Jill Bernal | 17 | <0.01% | |
Write-In | Nickolas Wildstar | 17 | <0.01% | |
Write-In | Jimelle L. Walls | 3 | <0.01% | |
Total votes | 4,333,028 | 100.00% | ||
Turnout | 14.67% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [41] | Solid D | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [42] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report [43] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics [44] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jerry Brown (D) | Neel Kashkari (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Analytics [45] | October 28–31, 2014 | 705 | ± 3.8% | 51% | 33% | 16% | |
GQR/American Viewpoint [46] | October 22–29, 2014 | 1,162 | ± 3.3% | 56% | 37% | — | 7% |
Field Poll [47] | October 15–28, 2014 | 941 | ± 3.4% | 54% | 33% | — | 13% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [48] | October 16–23, 2014 | 7,463 | ± 2% | 55% | 37% | 1% | 8% |
PPIC [49] | October 12–19, 2014 | 1,704 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 36% | — | 12% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [48] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 7,943 | ± 2% | 56% | 36% | 1% | 7% |
PPIC [50] | September 8–15, 2014 | 916 | ± 4.9% | 54% | 33% | 2% | 11% |
LA Times/USC [51] | September 2–9, 2014 | 1,089 | ± 3.3% | 57% | 36% | — | 7% |
GQR/AV [52] | September 2–8, 2014 | 8,941 | ± 2% | 57% | 32% | — | 11% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [53] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 8,941 | ± 2% | 53% | 35% | 2% | 10% |
Field Poll [54] | August 14–28, 2014 | 467 | ± 4.8% | 50% | 34% | — | 16% |
Gravis Marketing [55] | July 22–24, 2014 | 580 | ± 4% | 52% | 35% | — | 13% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [56] | July 5–24, 2014 | 9,393 | ± ? | 57% | 33% | 3% | 7% |
PPIC [57] | July 8–15, 2014 | 984 | ± 4.7% | 52% | 33% | 4% | 11% |
Field Poll [58] | June 5–22, 2014 | 2,013 | ± 3.2% | 52% | 32% | 0% | 16% |
Rasmussen Reports [59] | June 4–5, 2014 | 823 | ± 4% | 52% | 33% | 5% | 10% |
GQR [32] | May 21–28, 2014 | 626 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 35% | 2% | 9% |
MFour/Tulchin Research [60] | August 27–30, 2013 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 15% | 8% | 33% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jerry Brown (D) | Tim Donnelly (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GQR [32] | May 21–28, 2014 | 626 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 32% | 3% | 11% |
PPIC [61] | January 14–21, 2014 | 1,706 | ± 3.8% | 53% | 17% | — | 30% |
MFour/Tulchin Research [62] | August 27–30, 2013 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 21% | 7% | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jerry Brown (D) | Abel Maldonado (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MFour/Tulchin Research [62] | August 27–30, 2013 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 21% | 9% | 29% |
Brown won easily, by nearly twenty points. He outperformed his majority margin from 2010. As expected, Brown did very well in Los Angeles and in the San Francisco Bay Area. Kashkari conceded defeat right after the polls closed in California.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jerry Brown (incumbent) | 4,388,368 | 59.97% | +6.20% | |
Republican | Neel Kashkari | 2,929,213 | 40.03% | −0.86% | |
Turnout | 7,317,581 | 30.94 | −28.65 | ||
Total votes | 7,317,581 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
County [64] | Jerry Brown Democratic | Neel Kashkari Republican | Margin | Total votes cast | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Alameda | 293,081 | 82.17% | 63,593 | 17.83% | 229,488 | 64.34% | 356,674 |
Alpine | 284 | 61.87% | 175 | 38.13% | 109 | 23.75% | 459 |
Amador | 5,682 | 44.55% | 7,071 | 55.45% | -1,389 | -10.89% | 12,753 |
Butte | 29,520 | 47.79% | 32,249 | 52.21% | -2,729 | -4.42% | 61,769 |
Calaveras | 6,870 | 43.73% | 8,841 | 56.27% | 1,971 | 12.55% | 15,711 |
Colusa | 1,789 | 42.73% | 2,398 | 57.27% | -609 | -14.55% | 4,187 |
Contra Costa | 174,403 | 68.65% | 79,660 | 31.35% | 94,743 | 37.29% | 254,063 |
Del Norte | 3,488 | 49.64% | 3,539 | 50.36% | -51 | -0.73% | 7,027 |
El Dorado | 27,916 | 45.50% | 33,443 | 54.50% | -5,527 | -9.01% | 61,359 |
Fresno | 76,143 | 47.62% | 83,744 | 52.38% | -7,601 | -4.75% | 159,887 |
Glenn | 2,049 | 34.40% | 3,908 | 65.60% | -1,859 | -31.21% | 5,957 |
Humboldt | 24,003 | 64.61% | 13,146 | 35.39% | 10,857 | 29.23% | 37,149 |
Imperial | 13,457 | 64.26% | 7,484 | 35.74% | 5,973 | 28.52% | 20,941 |
Inyo | 2,317 | 42.68% | 3,112 | 57.32% | -795 | -14.64% | 5,429 |
Kern | 54,269 | 40.90% | 78,417 | 59.10% | -24,148 | -18.20% | 132,686 |
Kings | 8,752 | 39.20% | 13,575 | 60.80% | -4,823 | -21.60% | 22,327 |
Lake | 10,722 | 61.28% | 6,775 | 38.72% | 3,947 | 22.56% | 17,497 |
Lassen | 2,213 | 32.44% | 4,609 | 67.56% | -2,396 | -35.12% | 6,822 |
Los Angeles | 978,142 | 66.84% | 485,186 | 33.16% | 492,956 | 33.69% | 1,463,328 |
Madera | 9,974 | 37.22% | 16,825 | 62.78% | -6,851 | -25.36% | 26,799 |
Marin | 69,751 | 79.35% | 18,147 | 20.65% | 51,604 | 58.71% | 87,898 |
Mariposa | 2,499 | 38.23% | 4,038 | 61.77% | -1,539 | -23.54% | 6,537 |
Mendocino | 17,340 | 71.76% | 6,825 | 28.24% | 10,515 | 43.51% | 24,165 |
Merced | 18,945 | 50.13% | 18,848 | 49.87% | 97 | 0.26% | 37,793 |
Modoc | 770 | 27.20% | 2,061 | 72.80% | -1,291 | -45.60% | 2,831 |
Mono | 1,632 | 53.09% | 1,442 | 46.91% | 190 | 6.18% | 3,074 |
Monterey | 51,315 | 69.43% | 22,591 | 30.57% | 28,724 | 38.87% | 73,906 |
Napa | 25,846 | 68.19% | 12,059 | 31.81% | 13,787 | 36.37% | 37,905 |
Nevada | 20,976 | 54.63% | 17,419 | 45.37% | 3,557 | 9.26% | 38,395 |
Orange | 275,707 | 44.43% | 344,817 | 55.57% | -69,110 | -11.14% | 620,524 |
Placer | 51,241 | 45.41% | 61,604 | 54.59% | -10,363 | -9.18% | 112,845 |
Plumas | 2,966 | 41.75% | 4,139 | 58.25% | -1,173 | -16.51% | 7,105 |
Riverside | 165,340 | 47.09% | 185,805 | 52.91% | -20,465 | -5.83% | 351,145 |
Sacramento | 202,416 | 62.33% | 122,342 | 37.67% | 80,074 | 24.66% | 324,758 |
San Benito | 8,654 | 63.52% | 4,969 | 36.48% | 3,685 | 27.05% | 13,623 |
San Bernardino | 134,417 | 46.86% | 152,458 | 53.14% | -18,041 | -6.29% | 286,875 |
San Diego | 346,419 | 51.07% | 331,942 | 48.93% | 14,477 | 2.13% | 678,361 |
San Francisco | 196,745 | 88.15% | 26,442 | 11.85% | 170,303 | 76.31% | 223,187 |
San Joaquin | 62,614 | 53.54% | 54,331 | 46.46% | 8,283 | 7.08% | 116,945 |
San Luis Obispo | 46,606 | 54.32% | 39,186 | 45.68% | 7,420 | 8.65% | 85,792 |
San Mateo | 120,280 | 75.22% | 39,615 | 24.78% | 80,665 | 50.45% | 159,895 |
Santa Barbara | 64,912 | 58.26% | 46,503 | 41.74% | 18,409 | 16.52% | 111,415 |
Santa Clara | 288,732 | 72.94% | 107,113 | 27.06% | 181,619 | 45.88% | 395,845 |
Santa Cruz | 56,977 | 78.61% | 15,499 | 21.39% | 41,478 | 57.23% | 72,476 |
Shasta | 21,509 | 38.06% | 35,007 | 61.94% | -13,498 | -23.88% | 56,516 |
Sierra | 679 | 44.21% | 857 | 55.79% | -178 | -11.59% | 1,536 |
Siskiyou | 6,103 | 44.16% | 7,717 | 55.84% | -1,614 | -11.68% | 13,820 |
Solano | 57,874 | 64.57% | 31,754 | 35.43% | 26,120 | 29.14% | 89,628 |
Sonoma | 107,328 | 74.75% | 36,249 | 25.25% | 71,079 | 49.51% | 143,577 |
Stanislaus | 46,566 | 51.54% | 43,786 | 48.46% | 2,780 | 3.08% | 90,352 |
Sutter | 8,688 | 42.73% | 11,644 | 57.27% | -2,956 | -14.54% | 20,332 |
Tehama | 5,408 | 35.21% | 9,952 | 64.79% | -4,544 | -29.58% | 15,360 |
Trinity | 1,711 | 44.17% | 2,163 | 55.83% | -452 | -11.67% | 3,874 |
Tulare | 23,708 | 38.42% | 37,996 | 61.58% | -14,288 | -23.16% | 61,704 |
Tuolumne | 7,9581 | 46.75% | 9,058 | 53.25% | -1,107 | -6.51% | 17,009 |
Ventura | 106,072 | 53.07% | 93,797 | 46.93% | 12,275 | 6.14% | 199,869 |
Yolo | 31,431 | 69.12% | 14,043 | 30.88% | 17,388 | 38.24% | 45,474 |
Yuba | 5,166 | 41.62% | 7,245 | 58.38% | -2,079 | -16.75% | 12,411 |
Total | 4,388,368 | 59.97% | 2,929,213 | 40.03% | 1,459,155 | 19.94% | 7,317,581 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Brown won 41 of the 53 congressional districts, including two held by Republicans. [65]
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