2014 Ohio gubernatorial election

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2014 Ohio gubernatorial election
Flag of Ohio.svg
  2010 November 4, 2014 2018  
  Governor John Kasich.jpg Ed FitzGerald.jpg
Nominee John Kasich Ed FitzGerald
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Mary Taylor Sharen Neuhardt
Popular vote1,944,8481,009,359
Percentage63.6%33.0%

2014 Ohio gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2014 Ohio gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg
Kasich:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
FitzGerald:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

Governor before election

John Kasich
Republican

Elected Governor

John Kasich
Republican

The 2014 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Republican Governor John Kasich won reelection to a second term in office by a landslide over Democratic candidate Ed FitzGerald and Green Party candidate Anita Rios. Primary elections were held on May 6, 2014.

Contents

Despite FitzGerald's massive defeat, he is as of 2023 the last Democrat to carry the historically Democratic Monroe County, which voted for Republican candidate Mike DeWine four years later. Kasich's landslide victory gave him the highest percentage of the vote since George Voinovich's win in 1994, a large improvement from his narrow victory in 2010. As of 2022, this was the last time the counties of Cuyahoga and Franklin voted for the Republican candidate.

Background

Kasich, who was elected with Tea Party support in 2010, faced considerable backlash from the movement. His decision to accept the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act's expansion of Medicaid, his increased spending, taxation of fracking on Ohio farmland and perceived failure to go far enough on charter schools and school vouchers caused Tea Party groups to refuse to support his campaign. [1] When Kasich passed over Tea Party leader Tom Zawistowski for the position of Executive Director of the Ohio Republican Party in favor of Matt Borges, who worked with a gay rights group, that was widely seen as the last straw. [2] Tea Party groups announced they would support a primary challenger, or, if none emerged, the Libertarian nominee. Zawistowski said, "John Kasich is going to lose in 2014. We don't care who else wins." [3] Ultimately, Kasich was unopposed in the Republican primary.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

  • Donald Allen, veterinarian and candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in 2010 [5] [6]
    • Running mate: Kelly Kohls, education activist and Chair of the Warren County Tea Party [5]
  • Ted Stevenot, president of the Ohio Liberty Coalition [7]

Results

Republican primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Kasich (incumbent) 559,671 100
Total votes559,671 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Results by county:
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FitzGerald--80-90%
FitzGerald--70-80%
FitzGerald--60-70% 2014 Ohio gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  FitzGerald—80–90%
  FitzGerald—70–80%
  FitzGerald—60–70%
Democratic primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ed FitzGerald 366,056 83.15
Democratic Larry Ealy74,19716.85
Total votes440,253 100

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

Disqualified

  • Dennis Spisak, perennial candidate (failed to gather enough valid signatures) [22] [23] [24]
    • Running mate: Suzanne Patzer, information technology supervisor [12]

Results

Green Party primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Green Anita Rios 674 100
Total votes674 100

Libertarian primary

Charlie Earl gathered enough raw signatures to obtain ballot access. [22] However, he was removed from the ballot because technical faults in collection rendered many of his signatures invalid. The decision was appealed in federal court. [25]

Candidates

Disqualified

  • Charlie Earl, former Republican State Representative [26]
    • Running mate: Sherry Clark, newspaper publisher [27]

General election

Campaign

FitzGerald released a plan for state-funded universal preschool in addition to announcing his support for gay marriage. [28] He criticized Kasich for signing into law income tax cuts that save larger sums of money for wealthier Ohioans than poorer ones, while increasing sales taxes, which tax a larger percentage of income from poorer Ohioans than from wealthier ones. [29] FitzGerald also chided Kasich for a lack of transparency at JobsOhio, the privatized economic development agency that Kasich formed, [30] [31] [32] and for signing into law bills that cut early voting days and limit the distribution of absentee ballot applications. [33] [34] FitzGerald faced several scandals that damaged his candidacy, most notably the revelations that he had driven for several years without a valid driver's license, him being found in a car late at night with a woman who was not his wife, and that his initial running mate, State Sen. Eric Kearney, owed over $1 million in unpaid taxes. Additionally, FitzGerald consistently trailed Kasich in fundraising throughout the entire campaign. [35]

Endorsements

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [53] Solid RNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [54] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [55] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [56] Safe RNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Ed
FitzGerald (D)
OtherUndecided
The Columbus Dispatch October 22–31, 20141,009± 3.3%62%34%4%
Fox News October 28–30, 2014803± 3%51%36%2%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 20142,728± 3%54%35%1%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 20143,082± 2%52%36%1%11%
Quinnipiac September 24–29, 2014999± 3.1%57%35%2%7%
The Columbus Dispatch September 3–5, 20141,185± 2.9%59%29%3% [57] 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 20142,978± 3%50%37%2%11%
Rasmussen Reports September 8–9, 2014780± 4%50%30%20%
Buckeye Poll August 31, 2014600± 4%46%27%4%23%
Public Policy Polling^ August 8–9, 2014801± ?50%44%6%
Quinnipiac July 24–28, 20141,366± 2.7%48%36%1%15%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 20143,624± ?49%43%1%7%
Public Policy Polling^ July 9–10, 2014889± ?45%44%11%
Quinnipiac May 7–12, 20141,174± 2.9%50%35%1%13%
Public Policy Polling^ May 9–11, 2014740± ?47%43%10%
Rasmussen Reports May 7–8, 2014750± 4%45%38%4%13%
SurveyUSA April 24–28, 2014618± 4%46%36%4% [57] 14%
Magellan Strategies April 14–15, 2014857± 3.35%47%41%5%7%
Public Policy Polling^ April 14–15, 20141,050± ?44%44%11%
Quinnipiac Archived February 20, 2014, at the Wayback Machine February 12–17, 20141,370± 2.7%43%38%1%18%
Public Policy Polling December 6–8, 20131,011± 3.1%40%38%6% [58] 16%
Quinnipiac Archived November 28, 2013, at the Wayback Machine November 19–24, 20131,361± 2.7%44%37%2%19%
Public Policy Polling^ November 5–6, 2013595± 4%41%41%6% [58] 13%
Public Policy Polling August 16–19, 2013551± 4.2%35%38%27%
Quinnipiac Archived June 27, 2013, at the Wayback Machine June 18–23, 2013941± 3.2%47%33%1%19%
Quinnipiac April 10–15, 20131,138± 2.9%46%37%1%17%
Quinnipiac February 21–26, 20131,011± 3.1%45%35%1%19%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Michael B.
Coleman (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012673± 3.8%43%36%22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Richard
Cordray (D)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac Archived June 27, 2013, at the Wayback Machine June 18–23, 2013941± 3.2%47%36%1%17%
Quinnipiac April 10–15, 20131,138± 2.9%45%38%2%15%
Quinnipiac February 21–26, 20131,011± 3.1%44%38%1%18%
Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012673± 3.8%41%40%19%
Public Policy Polling May 3–6, 2012875± 3.3%42%42%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Larry
Ealy (D)
Anita
Rios (G)
Undecided
SurveyUSA April 24–28, 2014618± 4%50%25%7%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Dennis
Kucinich (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012673± 3.8%45%35%20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Tim
Ryan (D)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac February 21–26, 20131,011± 3.1%44%36%1%19%
Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012673± 3.8%41%33%26%
Public Policy Polling May 3–6, 2012875± 3.3%40%41%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Ted
Strickland (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012673± 3.8%44%42%14%
Public Policy Polling May 3–6, 2012875± 3.3%40%47%12%
Public Policy Polling January 28–29, 2012820± 3.4%36%56%8%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Betty
Sutton (D)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac February 21–26, 20131,011± 3.1%45%38%1%16%

Results

Ohio gubernatorial election, 2014 [59]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican John Kasich (incumbent) 1,944,848 63.64% +14.60%
Democratic Ed FitzGerald 1,009,35933.03%-14.01%
Green Anita Rios101,7063.33%+1.81%
Total votes3,055,913 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Kasich won 14 of 16 congressional districts, including 2 districts that lean strongly Democratic. [60]

DistrictKasichFitzGeraldRepresentative
1st 65%32% Steve Chabot
2nd 69%30% Brad Wenstrup
3rd 47%49% Joyce Beatty
4th 71%26% Jim Jordan
5th 69%28% Bob Latta
6th 63%34% Bill Johnson
7th 70%27% Bob Gibbs
8th 74%24% John Boehner
9th 52%44% Marcy Kaptur
10th 65%32% Mike Turner
11th 35%61% Marcia Fudge
12th 70%27% Pat Tiberi
13th 53%43% Tim Ryan
14th 68%29% David Joyce
15th 66%30% Steve Stivers
16th 70%27% Jim Renacci

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Official campaign websites (Archived)