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All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arkansas |
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The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas was held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Arkansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including the governor of Arkansas and a United States senator.
The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Arkansas.
United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas, 2014 [1] | |||||
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Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
Republican | 509,631 | 61.4% | 4 | - | |
Democratic | 254,774 | 30.7% | 0 | - | |
Libertarian | 66,055 | 8.0% | 0 | - | |
Write-ins | 192 | <0.1% | 0 | - | |
Totals | 830,652 | 100% | 4 | — |
Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas by district: [2]
District | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian | Others | Total | Result | |||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 124,139 | 63.25% | 63,555 | 32.38% | 8,562 | 4.36% | 0 | 0.00% | 196,256 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
District 2 | 123,073 | 51.86% | 103,477 | 43.60% | 10,590 | 4.46% | 190 | 0.08% | 237,330 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
District 3 | 151,630 | 79.41% | 0 | 0.00% | 39,305 | 20.59% | 0 | 0.00% | 190,935 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
District 4 | 110,789 | 53.75% | 87,742 | 42.57% | 7,598 | 3.69% | 2 | 0.00% | 206,131 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
Total | 509,631 | 61.35% | 254,774 | 30.67% | 66,247 | 7.98% | 192 | 0.03% | 830,652 | 100.0% |
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Results by county Crawford: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% McPherson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 56% of the vote in 2012. The district had a PVI of R+14.
Democrats hoped to find a strong challenger to take on Crawford. [5]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rick Crawford (R) | Jackie McPherson (D) | Brian Scott Willhite (L) | Undecided |
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New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [17] | October 16–23, 2014 | 273 | ± 9.0% | 59% | 29% | 0% | 11% |
Talk Business/Hendrix [18] | October 15–16, 2014 | 437 | ± 4.7% | 52% | 30% | 4% | 14% |
Talk Business/Hendrix [19] | July 22–25, 2014 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 47% | 33% | 3% | 17% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Rick Crawford (incumbent) | 124,139 | 63.2 | |
Democratic | Jackie McPherson | 63,555 | 32.4 | |
Libertarian | Brian Scott Willhite | 8,562 | 4.4 | |
Total votes | 196,256 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Hill: 50–60% 60–70% Hays: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Tim Griffin, who had represented the district since 2011, announced in October 2013 that he would not run for re-election in 2014. [20] In January, he announced that he was running for Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas. [21] He was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2012. The district had a PVI of R+8.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ann Clemmer | French Hill | Conrad Reynolds | Undecided |
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Talk Business/Hendrix College [31] | April 29, 2014 | 360 | ± 5.1% | 7% | 59% | 14% | 20% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | French Hill | 29,916 | 55.1 | |
Republican | Ann Clemmer | 12,400 | 22.8 | |
Republican | Conrad Reynolds | 11,994 | 22.1 | |
Total votes | 54,310 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | French Hill (R) | Pat Hays (D) | Debbie Standiford (L) | Undecided |
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New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [17] | October 16–23, 2014 | 475 | ± 7.0% | 41% | 40% | 0% | 19% |
Talk Business/Hendrix [18] | October 15–16, 2014 | 605 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 5% | 8% |
Global Strategy Group (D-Hays) [40] | September 7–9, 2014 | 410 | ± 4.8% | 41% | 44% | — | 15% |
Talk Business/Hendrix [19] | July 22–25, 2014 | 483 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 43% | 3% | 10% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [41] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg [42] | Tossup | October 24, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [43] | Lean R | October 30, 2014 |
RCP | Tossup | November 2, 2014 |
Daily Kos Elections [44] | Tossup | November 4, 2014 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | French Hill | 123,073 | 51.9 | |
Democratic | Pat Hays | 103,477 | 43.6 | |
Libertarian | Debbie Standiford | 10,590 | 4.5 | |
Write-in | 190 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 237,330 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Incumbent Republican Steve Womack, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76% of the vote in 2012. The district had a PVI of R+19. Unlike the other Arkansas congressional districts, the 3rd has long had a Republican representative.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Womack (R) | Grant Brand (L) | Undecided |
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New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [17] | October 16–23, 2014 | 460 | ± 7.0% | 61% | 20% | 19% |
Talk Business/Hendrix [46] | October 15–16, 2014 | 426 | ± 4.7% | 64% | 19% | 17% |
Talk Business/Hendrix [19] | July 22–25, 2014 | 408 | ± 4.9% | 57% | 20% | 23% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Steve Womack (incumbent) | 151,630 | 79.4 | |
Libertarian | Grant Brand | 39,305 | 20.6 | |
Total votes | 190,935 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton, who had represented the district since 2013, announced he will not run for election to a second term in order to challenge Democratic incumbent Mark Pryor for his U.S. Senate seat. He was elected with 59% of the vote in 20. The district had a PVI of R+15.
Organizations
State legislators
Local officials
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tommy Moll | Bruce Westerman | Undecided |
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Talk Business/Hendrix College [31] | April 29, 2014 | 392 | ± 4.9% | 10% | 47% | 43% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Bruce Westerman | 18,719 | 54.4 | |
Republican | Tommy Moll | 15,659 | 45.6 | |
Total votes | 34,378 | 100.0 |
State legislators
Organizations
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bruce Westerman (R) | James Lee Witt (D) | Ken Hamilton (L) | Undecided |
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New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [17] | October 16–23, 2014 | 359 | ± 8.0% | 34% | 33% | 5% | 28% |
Diamond State Consulting (R) [59] | October 21, 2014 | 792 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 39% | 2% | 12% |
Talk Business/Hendrix [46] | October 15–16, 2014 | 607 | ± 4% | 44% | 42% | 4% | 10% |
OnMessage (R-Westerman) [60] | July 29–31, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 29% | 7% | 18% |
Talk Business/Hendrix [19] | July 22–25, 2014 | 439 | ± 4.7% | 48% | 34% | 3% | 15% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [61] | Lean R | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg [62] | Likely R | October 24, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [63] | Lean R | October 30, 2014 |
RCP | Lean R | November 2, 2014 |
Daily Kos Elections [64] | Lean R | November 4, 2014 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Bruce Westerman | 110,789 | 53.7 | |
Democratic | James Lee Witt | 87,742 | 42.6 | |
Libertarian | Ken Hamilton | 7,598 | 3.7 | |
Write-in | 2 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 206,131 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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