2014 United States Senate election in Colorado

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2014 United States Senate election in Colorado
Flag of Colorado.svg
  2008 November 4, 2014 2020  
  Cory Gardner, Official Portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg MarkUdall-Senate Portrait.jpg
Nominee Cory Gardner Mark Udall
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote983,891944,203
Percentage48.21%46.26%

2014 United States Senate election in Colorado results map by county.svg
2014 United States Senate election in Colorado by Congressional District.svg
Gardner:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Udall:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. senator before election

Mark Udall
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Cory Gardner
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in Colorado was held on November 4, 2014 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Colorado, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Colorado, other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Udall ran for re-election to a second term, but narrowly lost to Republican U.S. Representative Cory Gardner by a margin of 1.9 percent.

Contents

As of 2024, this is the last time that a Republican has won a Senate election in the state. This is also the last time as of 2024 that the Republican candidate won Larimer County.

Democratic primary

Mark Udall was the only Democrat to file to run, and thus at the Democratic state assembly on April 12, 2014, he was renominated unopposed. [1]

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mark Udall (incumbent) 213,746 100.00%
Total votes213,746 100.00%

Republican primary

At the Republican state assembly on April 12, 2014, Cory Gardner received 73% of the votes of over 3,900 delegates. Neither Randy Baumgardner nor Tom Janich received the required 30% make the ballot and thus Gardner received the party's nomination. [4]

Candidates

Nominee

Rejected in convention

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Cory Gardner
Individuals
Newspapers

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Aspiri
Randy
Baumgardner
Cory
Gardner
Owen
Hill
Tom
Janich
Floyd
Trujillo
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling March 13–16, 2014255± 6.1%3%15%44%6%4%0%29%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Aspiri
Randy
Baumgardner
Ken
Buck
Owen
Hill
Jaime
McMillan
Amy
Stephens
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling December 3–4, 2013335± 5.2%0%8%45%2%1%7%37%

Results

Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Cory Gardner 338,324 100.00%
Total votes338,324 100.00%

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Nominated

Unity Party of America

Candidates

Nominated

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Raúl Acosta, IT professional [39]
  • Steve Shogan, neurosurgeon [40]

General election

Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on Hand
Mark Udall (D)$14,088,510$15,746,249$536,332
Cory Gardner (R)$9,680,263$9,100,730$1,875,029

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [41] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [42] Lean R (flip)November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [43] Tilt R (flip)November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [44] TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Cory
Gardner (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–2, 2014739± 3.6%45%48%5% [45] 3%
47%50%3%
Quinnipiac University October 28 – November 2, 2014815± 3.4%43%45%7% [46] 4%
45%46%2%6%
YouGov October 25–31, 20141,417± 3.3%42%43%5%11%
Public Policy Polling October 28–29, 2014573± ?48%48%4%
SurveyUSA October 27–29, 2014618± 4%44%46%5% [47] 5%
Vox Populi Polling October 26–27, 2014642± 3.9%43%46%10%
Quinnipiac University October 22–27, 2014844± 3.4%39%46%8% [48] 7%
41%49%2%9%
Strategies 360 October 20–25, 2014604± 4%45%44%4%8%
Rasmussen Reports October 21–23, 2014966± 3%45%51%2%2%
Harstad Strategic Research October 19–23, 20141,004± ?44%43%6%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 20141,611± 4%47%46%1%6%
NBC News/Marist October 18–22, 2014755 LV± 3.6%45%46%3%5%
953 RV± 3.2%45%44%3%8%
Suffolk University October 18–21, 2014500± 4.4%39%46%6% [49] 9%
Quinnipiac University October 15–21, 2014974± 3.1%41%46%6% [50] 6%
44%48%2%7%
Monmouth University October 17–20, 2014431± 4.7%46%47%4%3%
IPSOS October 13–20, 20141,099± 3.4%45%47%8%
Public Policy Polling October 16–19, 2014778± 3.5%43%46%5% [51] 7%
44%47%9%
Gravis Marketing October 16, 2014695± 4%43%48%4% [52] 5%
Benenson Strategy Group October 15–16, 2014600± ?47%44%1%8%
Mellman Group October 13–15, 2014800± 3.5%44%41%15%
CNN/ORC October 9–13, 2014665± 4%46%50%4%
Quinnipiac University October 8–13, 2014988± 3.1%41%47%8% [50] 4%
44%49%1%7%
SurveyUSA October 9–12, 2014591± 4.1%43%45%6% [53] 7%
High Point University October 4–8, 2014800± 3.5%42%46%7%5%
Fox News October 4–7, 2014739± 3.5%37%43%7%12%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [ permanent dead link ]September 25 – October 1, 20141,000± 2.09%45%45%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 20141,634± 3%48%45%1%6%
Rasmussen Reports September 29–30, 2014950± 3%47%48%2%3%
Public Policy Polling September 19–21, 2014652± 3.8%45%47%8%
ccAdvertising September 19–21, 20142,094± ?32%38%30%
Gravis Marketing September 16–17, 2014657± 4%39%46%6%9%
Suffolk University September 9–16, 2014500± 4.4%42%43%6% [51] 10%
Quinnipiac September 10–15, 20141,211± 2.8%40%48%8% [50] 3%
42%52%1%5%
Myers September 7–14, 20141,350± 2.7%48%46%2%3%
SurveyUSA September 8–10, 2014664± 3.9%46%42%5% [47] 7%
Rasmussen Reports September 3–4, 2014800± 4%44%42%4%10%
NBC News/Marist September 2–4, 2014795 LV± 3.5%48%42%1%9%
976 RV± 3.1%48%40%1%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 20141,727± 4%46%43%2%9%
CBS News/New York Times July 5–24, 20142,020± 3%50%46%2%2%
Public Policy Polling July 17–20, 2014653± 3.8%44%43%13%
Quinnipiac July 10–14, 20141,147± 2.9%42%44%1%13%
Gravis Marketing July 7–10, 20141,106± 3%43%47%6% [52] 4%
NBC News/Marist July 7–10, 2014914± 3.2%48%41%2%10%
Rasmussen Reports June 25–26, 2014750± 4%43%42%6%9%
Magellan Strategies June 6–8, 2014747± 3.54%45%47%8%
Public Policy Polling May 7–8, 2014526± ?47%43%10%
Quinnipiac April 15–21, 20141,298± 2.7%45%44%1%9%
Public Policy Polling April 17–20, 2014618± ?47%45%8%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates April 16–17, 2014600± 4%42%44%7% [52] 7%
Magellan Strategies April 14–15, 2014717± 3.7%45%42%5%8%
Harper Polling April 7–9, 2014507± 4.35%45%43%12%
Public Policy Polling March 13–16, 2014568± 4.1%42%40%17%
Harper Polling March 8–9, 2014689± ?45%44%17%
Rasmussen Reports March 5–6, 2014500± 4.5%42%41%5%13%
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%49%39%12%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Mark
Aspiri (R)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac November 15–18, 20131,206± 2.8%45%36%1%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Randy
Baumgardner (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling March 13–16, 2014568± 4.1%44%37%19%
Quinnipiac January 29 – February 2, 20141,139± 2.9%43%41%1%15%
Public Policy Polling December 3–4, 2013928± 3.2%47%40%13%
Quinnipiac November 15–18, 20131,206± 2.8%44%39%1%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Bob
Beauprez (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%48%41%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Ken
Buck (R)
OtherUndecided
Hickman Analytics February 17–20, 2014400± 4.9%46%42%12%
Quinnipiac January 29 – February 2, 20141,139± 2.9%45%42%1%13%
Public Policy Polling December 3–4, 2013928± 3.2%46%42%12%
Quinnipiac November 15–18, 20131,206± 2.8%45%42%1%12%
Public Policy Polling June 14–17, 2012799± 3.5%50%35%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Mike
Coffman (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling June 14–17, 2012799± 3.5%48%39%13%
Public Policy Polling December 1–4, 2011793± 3.5%48%34%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Scott
Gessler (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%50%37%13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Owen
Hill (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling March 13–16, 2014568± 4.1%43%38%19%
Quinnipiac January 29 – February 2, 20141,139± 2.9%44%39%1%16%
Public Policy Polling December 3–4, 2013928± 3.2%44%37%18%
Quinnipiac November 15–18, 20131,206± 2.8%45%39%1%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Doug
Lamborn (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling June 14–17, 2012799± 3.5%49%36%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Jaime
McMillan (R)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac January 29 – February 2, 20141,139± 2.9%45%38%1%16%
Quinnipiac November 15–18, 20131,206± 2.8%43%40%1%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Jane
Norton (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%49%38%13%
Public Policy Polling June 14–17, 2012799± 3.5%48%38%14%
Public Policy Polling December 1–4, 2011793± 3.5%50%33%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Bill
Owens (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling June 14–17, 2012799± 3.5%47%43%10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Walker
Stapleton (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%50%37%13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Amy
Stephens (R)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac January 29 – February 2, 20141,139± 2.9%43%41%1%15%
Public Policy Polling December 3–4, 2013928± 3.2%44%37%19%
Quinnipiac November 15–18, 20131,206± 2.8%45%38%1%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
John
Suthers (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%50%38%12%
Public Policy Polling June 14–17, 2012799± 3.5%48%38%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Tom
Tancredo (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%51%39%11%
Public Policy Polling June 14–17, 2012799± 3.5%49%39%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Udall (D)
Scott
Tipton (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%50%37%13%

Results

United States Senate election in Colorado, 2014 [54]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Cory Gardner 983,891 48.21% +5.72%
Democratic Mark Udall (incumbent)944,20346.26%-6.54%
Libertarian Gaylon Kent52,8762.59%N/A
Independent Steve Shogan29,4721.44%N/A
Independent Raúl Acosta24,1511.18%N/A
Unity Bill Hammons6,4270.32%N/A
Total votes2,041,020 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

[55]

CountyUdall%Udall#Gardner%Gardner#Others%Others#Total
Adams 47.70%62,29644.88%58,6147.42%9,703130,613
Alamosa 47.42%2,44045.67%2,3506.91%3565,146
Arapahoe 48.02%107,34746.48%103,9155.50%12,284223,546
Archuleta 37.23%2,03056.90%3,1035.87%3205,453
Baca 18.99%35373.91%1,3747.10%1321,859
Bent 32.14%50360.64%9497.22%1131,565
Boulder 68.59%97,61227.35%38,9314.06%5,778142,321
Broomfield 48.20%13,30946.48%12,8335.32%1,46927,611
Chaffee 45.21%4,02549.35%4,3935.44%4898,907
Cheyenne 11.75%12281.70%8486.55%681,038
Clear Creek 50.41%2,34442.73%1,9876.86%3194,650
Conejos 46.78%1,62147.88%1,6595.34%1853,465
Costilla 65.10%91228.27%3966.63%931,401
Crowley 25.67%34465.52%8788.81%1181,340
Custer 29.41%74065.94%1,6594.65%1172,516
Delta 26.07%3,50468.44%9,1995.49%73713,440
Denver 70.73%163,78324.53%56,7894.74%10,981231,553
Dolores 25.47%24667.60%6536.93%67966
Douglas 32.77%45,16362.86%86,6264.37%6,020137,809
Eagle 54.41%9,43840.94%7,1024.65%80717,347
El Paso 32.09%73,20862.01%141,4755.90%13,471228,154
Elbert 20.52%2,55673.34%9,1376.14%76612,459
Fremont 27.72%4,77364.37%11,0857.91%1,36317,221
Garfield 43.44%8,38751.24%9,8945.32%1,02819,309
Gilpin 50.43%1,45040.66%1,1698.91%2562,875
Grand 41.11%2,79553.51%3,6385.38%3666,799
Gunnison 55.39%3,84038.53%2,6716.08%4226,933
Hinsdale 36.52%19158.70%3074.78%25523
Huerfano 47.04%1,50445.32%1,4497.64%2443,197
Jackson 22.18%16372.24%5315.58%41735
Jefferson 47.28%121,10946.94%120,2405.78%14,795256,144
Kiowa 14.06%10780.95%6164.99%38761
Kit Carson 15.71%48778.97%2,4485.32%1653,100
La Plata 51.80%11,85244.47%10,1743.73%85322,852
Lake 53.69%1,31137.10%9069.21%2252,442
Larimer 47.13%68,65947.50%69,1985.37%7,815145,672
Las Animas 42.77%2,38050.38%2,8036.85%3815,564
Lincoln 16.07%32177.93%1,5576.00%1201,998
Logan 20.61%1,59173.34%5,6626.05%4677,720
Mesa 26.80%15,41068.38%39,3134.82%2,76857,491
Mineral 42.26%25450.58%3047.16%43601
Moffat 16.95%82676.47%3,7276.58%3214,874
Montezuma 34.58%3,35359.65%5,7845.77%5609,697
Montrose 24.45%4,07171.52%11,9074.03%67116,649
Morgan 24.56%2,16469.44%6,1196.00%5298,812
Otero 35.12%2,33257.43%3,8147.45%4956,641
Ouray 50.39%1,35545.89%1,2343.72%1002,689
Park 35.18%2,82758.16%4,6736.66%5358,035
Phillips 18.06%35776.68%1,5165.26%1041,977
Pitkin 69.80%5,40927.18%2,1063.02%2347,749
Prowers 22.28%88772.19%2,8745.53%2203,981
Pueblo 46.73%27,87746.22%27,5717.05%4,20959,657
Rio Blanco 13.27%36181.37%2,2145.36%1462,721
Rio Grande 35.25%1,56657.05%2,5347.70%3424,442
Routt 53.95%5,63940.93%4,2785.12%53510,452
Saguache 54.99%1,30736.22%8618.79%2092,377
San Juan 55.19%25539.39%1825.42%25462
San Miguel 68.35%2,22626.71%8704.94%1613,257
Sedgwick 21.72%26270.73%8537.55%911,206
Summit 60.33%6,95735.08%4,0464.59%52911,532
Teller 28.03%3,15865.12%7,3376.85%77211,267
Washington 10.05%23787.15%2,0552.80%662,358
Weld 32.80%29,78560.37%54,8236.83%6,20390,811
Yuma 11.92%51285.65%3,6782.43%1044,294

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Gardner won 4 of 7 congressional districts. [56]

DistrictGardnerUdallRepresentative
1st 29.39%65.67% Diana DeGette
2nd 40.07%55.24% Jared Polis
3rd 53.94%40.58% Scott Tipton
4th 61.95%32.13% Ken Buck
5th 61.8%32.14% Doug Lamborn
6th 49.16%45.58% Mike Coffman
7th 43.45%49.9% Ed Perlmutter

See also

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado</span>

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the seven U.S. representatives from the state of Colorado, one from each of the state's seven congressional districts. The Republican and Democratic Party primaries in Colorado were held on June 26, 2018. The elections coincided with the gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado</span> House elections in Colorado

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the seven U.S. representatives from the state of Colorado, one from each of the state's seven congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Colorado, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the Colorado gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.

References

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  45. Raúl Acosta (I) 1%, Bill Hammons (UP) 0%, Gaylon Kent (L) 2%, Steve Shogan (I) 0%
  46. Steve Shogan (I) 6%, Other 1%
  47. 1 2 Gaylon Kent (L) 2%, Steve Shogan (I) 3%
  48. Steve Shogan (I) 7%, Other 1%
  49. Raúl Acosta (I) 1%, Bill Hammons (UP) 1%, Gaylon Kent (L) 3%, Steve Shogan (I) 2%
  50. 1 2 3 Steve Shogan (I)
  51. 1 2 Raúl Acosta (I) 1%, Bill Hammons (UP) 1%, Gaylon Kent (L) 2%, Steve Shogan (I) 1%
  52. 1 2 3 Gaylon Kent (L)
  53. Gaylon Kent (L) 3%, Steve Shogan (I) 2%
  54. "Official Results November 4, 2014 General Election". Colorado Secretary of State. Retrieved December 5, 2014.
  55. "2020 Presidential General Election Results". US Election Atlas.
  56. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".