2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina

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2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina
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  Senator Thom Tillis Official Portrait.jpg Kay Hagan official photo.jpg
Nominee Thom Tillis Kay Hagan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,423,2591,377,651
Percentage48.82%47.26%
2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina results map by county.svg
2014NCSenateByCongressionalDistrict.svg
2014 United States Senate Election in North Carolina results by township.svg
2014 NC Senate.svg
Tillis:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Hagan:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     No Vote:     
U.S. senator before election

Kay Hagan
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Thom Tillis
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Carolina, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary took place on May 6, 2014.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic senator Kay Hagan ran for re-election to a second term in office and lost to Republican Thom Tillis, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives by about 45,000 votes and a margin of 1.6%. [1] This made the election the second-closest race of the 2014 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in Virginia.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Kay Hagan, incumbent U.S. senator [2] [3]
  • Ernest T. Reeves, [4] retired U.S. Army captain [5]
  • Will Stewart, small business owner [6]

Withdrew

Results

Democratic primary election results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Kay Hagan (incumbent) 372,209 77.16%
Democratic Will Stewart66,90313.87%
Democratic Ernest T. Reeves43,2578.97%
Total votes482,369 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

The eight Republican candidates on the 2014 U.S. Senate primary ballot were the most in party history in North Carolina, more than the seven on the ballot in the 2002 Republican primary won by Elizabeth Dole. [10]

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Greg Brannon

Politicians

Political figures

Organisations

Mark Harris
Thom Tillis

Organizations

Politicians

State legislators

Polling

Primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ted
Alexander		Alex
Bradshaw		Greg
Brannon		Heather
Grant		Mark
Harris		Edward
Kryn		Jim
Snyder		Thom
Tillis		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [53] February 6–9, 2014305± 5.6%10%—13%13%8%2%—20%34%
American Insights [54] February 11–15, 2014168± 7.6%——4%4%7%——11%74%
Public Policy Polling [53] March 6–9, 2014392± 5%7%6%14%11%7%1%4%14%36%
SurveyUSA [55] March 17–19, 2014405± 5%7%4%15%11%6%3%4%28%23%
SurveyUSA [56] March 19–23, 2014405± 5%1%2%13%5%9%0%5%27%38%
SurveyUSA [57] March 27–31, 2014433± 4.8%6%1%15%6%11%2%3%23%34%
Public Policy Polling [58] April 3–6, 2014314± 5.5%6%5%15%7%11%1%2%18%34%
SurveyUSA [59] April 16–22, 2014392± 5%1%1%20%2%15%2%2%39%19%
Public Policy Polling [58] April 26–28, 2014694± 3.7%2%1%20%5%11%2%3%46%12%
Public Policy Polling [60] May 3–4, 2014925± 3.2%2%0%28%4%15%1%1%40%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Phil
Berger		Greg
Brannon		Jim
Cain		Renee
Ellmers		Bill
Flynn		Virginia
Foxx		Heather
Grant		Mark
Harris		Thom
Tillis		Lynn
Wheeler		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [61] June 12–14, 2013374± 5.1%11%7%8%9%—23%—4%9%3%27%
Public Policy Polling [62] July 12–14, 2013373± 5.1%11%7%11%11%—16%—1%5%3%35%
22%——18%————21%—39%
———25%————32%—43%
Public Policy Polling [63] August 8–11, 2013344± 5.3%9%7%9%——18%4%4%8%2%40%
22%———————23%—56%
Public Policy Polling [64] September 6–9, 2013311± 5.6%13%6%11%———8%5%12%2%43%
Public Policy Polling [65] November 8–11, 2013498± 4.4%—11%————8%14%20%—47%
Public Policy Polling [66] December 5–8, 2013529± 4.3%—11%——8%—11%12%13%—44%
Public Policy Polling [67] January 9–12, 2014575± 4.1%—11%——7%—11%8%19%—44%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Phil
Berger		Cherie
Berry		Greg
Brannon		Renee
Ellmers		Terry
Embler		Dan
Forest		Virginia
Foxx		George
Holding		Patrick
McHenry		Thom
Tillis		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [68] February 7–10, 2013518± 4.3%7%18%5%10%1%—18%3%10%3%27%
Public Policy Polling [69] March 7–10, 2013530± 4.3%8%12%4%10%1%18%13%—7%2%24%
Public Policy Polling [70] April 11–14, 2013468± 4.5%11%18%6%12%1%—13%——7%32%
Public Policy Polling [71] May 17–20, 2013366± 5.1%10%14%7%10%——15%——6%38%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Phil
Berger		Renee
Ellmers		Virginia
Foxx		George
Holding		Richard
Hudson		Patrick
McHenry		Mark
Meadows		Sue
Myrick		Robert
Pittenger		Thom
Tillis		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [72] December 6–9, 2012462± 4.6%—11%17%9%6%13%4%14%—2%25%
Public Policy Polling [73] January 10–13, 2013449± 4.6%5%11%21%2%5%15%——6%2%33%

Runoff

Hypothetical runoff polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Greg
Brannon		Thom
Tillis		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [58] April 26–28, 2014694± 3.7%32%50%18%
Public Policy Polling [60] May 3–4, 2014925± 3.2%40%46%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Harris		Thom
Tillis		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [58] April 26–28, 2014694± 3.7%27%53%20%
Public Policy Polling [60] May 3–4, 2014925± 3.2%34%49%16%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Tillis 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Brannon 30-40% 40-50% Harris 30-40% North Carolina Senate Republican Primary, 2014.svg
Results by county:
  Tillis
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Brannon
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Harris
  •   30–40%
Republican primary election results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Thom Tillis 223,174 45.68%
Republican Greg Brannon132,63027.15%
Republican Mark Harris85,72717.55%
Republican Heather Grant22,9714.70%
Republican Jim Snyder9,4141.93%
Republican Ted Alexander9,2581.89%
Republican Alex Lee Bradshaw3,5280.72%
Republican Edward Kryn1,8530.38%
Total votes488,555 100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Libertarian primary election results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Sean Haugh 1,226 60.69%
Libertarian Tim D'Annunzio79439.31%
Total votes2,020 100.00%

Other parties

Certified write-in candidates

General election

Candidates

Outside spending

In July 2014, Jim Morrill of The Charlotte Observer calculated that as of the end of June, more than $26 million had been spent by outside advocacy groups on the election, with $17 million of it attacking Hagan or supporting Tillis and less than $9 million supporting Hagan or attacking Tillis. By contrast, outside groups spent $25 million during the entire 2008 election. He reported that only $11.4 million had been reported to the FEC, with the rest of the "dark money" coming from groups that did not have to disclose their donors. 27% of the money spent supporting Tillis came from groups required to disclose their donors whereas 69% of the money supporting Hagan did so. [78]

OpenSecrets placed the final cost of outside spending at $8.5 million for Hagan and $35.5 million attacking Tillis, and $13.7 million for Tillis and $20.9 million attacking Hagan, placing the totals by candidate at $44 million for Hagan, and $34.6 million for Tillis. [79]

Debates

Three televised debates between the candidates were held: the first on September 3 moderated by Norah O'Donnell of CBS, the second on October 7 moderated by George Stephanopoulos of ABC, and the third (the only one to feature Sean Haugh) on October 9 moderated by Jon Evans of WECT-TV. [80]

Video of the first debate is available here, with the second here and the third here.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [81] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [82] Lean DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [83] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [84] TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Thom
Tillis (R)		Sean
Haugh (L)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [72] December 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%48%38%——14%
Public Policy Polling [73] January 10–13, 2013608± 4%47%37%——16%
Public Policy Polling [68] February 7–10, 2013600± 4%46%38%——16%
Public Policy Polling [69] March 7–10, 2013611± 4%50%36%——14%
Public Policy Polling [70] April 11–14, 2013601± 4%49%39%——11%
Public Policy Polling [71] May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%48%41%——11%
Public Policy Polling [61] June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%45%40%——15%
Public Policy Polling [62] July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%38%——12%
Public Policy Polling [63] August 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%39%——14%
Public Policy Polling [64] September 6–9, 2013600± 4%51%36%——14%
Public Policy Polling [85] October 4–6, 2013746± ?%47%40%——13%
Public Policy Polling [65] November 8–11, 2013701± 4%44%42%——14%
Public Policy Polling [66] December 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%44%42%——14%
Public Policy Polling [67] January 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%42%43%——15%
Harper Polling [86] January 20–21, 2014778± 3.51%44%44%——12%
Rasmussen Reports [87] January 22–23, 2014500± 4.5%40%47%—3%10%
Public Policy Polling [53] February 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%40%42%——17%
American Insights [54] February 11–15, 2014611± 4%38%35%——26%
Hickman Analytics [88] February 17–20, 2014400± 4.9%45%41%——13%
Public Policy Polling [89] March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%45%43%——13%
SurveyUSA [57] March 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%45%46%——9%
Public Policy Polling [58] April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%43%41%——16%
New York Times/Kaiser Family [90] April 8–15, 2014900± ?42%40%—5%14%
Magellan Strategies [91] April 14–15, 2014804± 3.46%43%43%—8%6%
Rasmussen Reports [92] May 7–8, 2014750± 4%44%45%—5%7%
Public Policy Polling [93] May 9–11, 2014877± 3.3%38%36%11%—15%
41%41%——18%
Civitas Institute [94] May 20–22, 2014600± 4%36%39%8%—15%
41%46%——12%
Magellan Strategies [95] June 5–8, 2014700± 3.7%47%46%——7%
Public Policy Polling [96] June 12–15, 20141,076± 3%39%34%11%—16%
42%38%——20%
Civitas Institute [97] June 18–19 & 22, 2014600± 4%42%36%9%—12%
47%43%——9%
Public Policy Polling [98] July 17–20, 20141,062± 3%41%34%8%—16%
42%39%——19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [99] July 5–24, 20142,678± 3.5%44%45%—2%7%
Gravis Marketing [100] July 22–27, 20141,380± 3%44%41%——15%
Civitas Institute [101] July 28–29, 2014600± 4%41%39%7%—12%
43%45%——10%
Rasmussen Reports [102] August 5–6, 2014750± 4%40%45%—6%9%
Public Policy Polling [103] August 14–17, 2014856± 3.4%42%38%8%—13%
43%42%——14%
Suffolk University [104] August 16–19, 2014500± 4.4%45.4%43%5.2%—6.4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [105] August 18 – September 2, 20142,059± 3%42%43%5%0%10%
Garin-Hart-Yang [106] September 3–6, 2014802± 3.5%48%45%——7%
Elon University [107] September 5–9, 2014629 LV± 3.91%44.9%40.8%—9.1%5.2%
983 RV± 3.13%42.7%36.8%—10.7%9.8%
American Insights [108] September 5–10, 2014459± 4.6%46%36%6%—13%
Rasmussen Reports [109] September 8–10, 20141,000± 4%45%39%—6%9%
Civitas Institute [110] September 9–10, 2014490± 4.5%46%43%5%—6%
47%46%——7%
Public Policy Polling [111] September 11–14, 20141,266± 2.8%44%40%5%—11%
46%42%——12%
Fox News [112] September 14–16, 2014605± 4%41%36%6%—13%
High Point University [113] September 13–18, 2014410± 5%42%40%6%—12%
Global Strategy Group [114] September 16–18, 2014600± 4.9%45%41%5%—9%
Gravis Marketing [115] September 22–23, 2014860± 3%46%42%——12%
CNN/ORC [116] September 22–25, 2014595 LV± 4%46%43%7%—4%
860± 3.5%46%39%9%—6%
Civitas [117] September 25, 27–28, 2014600± 4%46%41%4%1%8%
860± 3.5%50%43%——8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [118] September 20 – October 1, 20142,002± 3%46%45%2%1%6%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [119] September 25 – October 1, 20141,000± 2.09%45%41%—14%
NBC News/Marist [120] September 27 – October 1, 2014665 LV± 3.8%44%40%7%<1%9%
1,132 RV± 2.9%42%37%8%1%12%
Morey Group [121] October 1–6, 2014956± 3.2%40.1%37.8%—2%20.2%
Suffolk University [122] October 4–7, 2014500± 4.4%46.8%45.4%4.4%—3.4%
Rasmussen Reports [123] October 6–7, 2014970± 3%48%46%—2%4%
High Point University [124] September 30 – October 2 and October 4–9, 2014584± 4.1%39.5%40.4%7%—13%
SurveyUSA [125] October 10–12, 2014554± 4.2%44%41%7%—8%
45%46%——9%
Civitas Institute [126] October 15–18, 2014600± 4%41%42%6%—11%
44%44%——12%
Gravis Marketing [127] October 16–18, 20141,022± 3%43%48%——9%
Public Policy Polling [128] October 16–18, 2014780± 3.5%46%43%5%—7%
47%44%——8%
SurveyUSA [129] October 16–20, 2014568± 4.2%46%43%6%—5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [118] October 16–23, 20141,910± 4%44%41%2%0%13%
NBC News/Marist [130] October 19–23, 2014756 LV± 3.6%43%43%7%<1%6%
1,070 RV± 3%42%40%8%1%9%
SurveyUSA [131] October 21–25, 2014802± 4%44%44%5%3%5%
Elon University [132] October 21–25, 2014687 LV± 3.74%44.7%40.7%—6.3%6.6%
996 RV± 3.11%44.8%37.5%—7.7%8.5%
Monmouth University [133] October 23–26, 2014432± 4.7%48%46%1%—4%
Vox Populi [134] October 26–27, 2014615± 3.95%43%48%——9%
Public Policy Polling [135] October 28–29, 2014657± ?47%46%4%—3%
Rasmussen Reports [123] October 28–29, 2014982± 3%47%46%—3%3%
CNN/ORC [136] October 27–30, 2014559 LV± 4%48%46%4%—2%
896 RV± 3.5%47%41%8%—4%
Fox News [137] October 28–30, 2014909± 3%43%42%4%1%9%
Harper Polling [138] October 28–30, 2014511± 4.34%44%46%6%—4%
45%48%——7%
Civitas Institute [139] October 29–30, 2014600± 4%41%41%6%—10%
45%44%——11%
Gravis Marketing [140] October 29–30, 20141,006± 3%46%47%——8%
YouGov [141] October 25–31, 20141,727± 3%44%41%—3%12%
Public Policy Polling [142] October 30–31, 2014738± ?46%45%4%—5%
Public Policy Polling [143] November 1–3, 20141,333± 2.7%46%44%5%—6%
48%46%——6%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Ted
Alexander (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [53] February 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%38%45%17%
Public Policy Polling [89] March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%45%12%
SurveyUSA [57] March 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%44%46%10%
Public Policy Polling [58] April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%42%43%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Phil
Berger (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [73] January 10–13, 2013608± 4%47%38%15%
Public Policy Polling [68] February 7–10, 2013600± 4%49%38%13%
Public Policy Polling [69] March 7–10, 2013611± 4%51%37%12%
Public Policy Polling [70] April 11–14, 2013601± 4%48%39%13%
Public Policy Polling [71] May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%46%42%12%
Public Policy Polling [61] June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%44%40%17%
Public Policy Polling [62] July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%39%12%
Public Policy Polling [63] August 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%39%14%
Public Policy Polling [64] September 6–9, 2013600± 4%53%36%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Cherie K.
Berry (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [68] February 7–10, 2013600± 4%46%38%16%
Public Policy Polling [69] March 7–10, 2013611± 4%50%38%12%
Public Policy Polling [70] April 11–14, 2013601± 4%46%41%13%
Public Policy Polling [71] May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%45%45%9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Alex
Bradshaw (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [89] March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%43%14%
Public Policy Polling [58] April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%41%42%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Greg
Brannon (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [68] February 7–10, 2013600± 4%48%35%—17%
Public Policy Polling [69] March 7–10, 2013611± 4%51%36%—13%
Public Policy Polling [70] April 11–14, 2013601± 4%49%36%—15%
Public Policy Polling [71] May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%49%40%—11%
Public Policy Polling [61] June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%44%40%—15%
Public Policy Polling [62] July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%39%—12%
Public Policy Polling [63] August 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%38%—15%
Public Policy Polling [64] September 6–9, 2013600± 4%52%36%—12%
Public Policy Polling [85] October 4–6, 2013746± ?%46%40%—14%
Public Policy Polling [65] November 8–11, 2013701± 4%43%44%—14%
Public Policy Polling [66] December 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%43%45%—11%
Public Policy Polling [67] January 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%41%43%—16%
Rasmussen Reports [87] January 22–23, 2014500± 4.5%39%43%4%14%
Public Policy Polling [53] February 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%40%43%—17%
American Insights [54] February 11–15, 2014611± 4%38%36%—26%
Public Policy Polling [89] March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%43%—14%
SurveyUSA [57] March 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%45%47%—9%
Public Policy Polling [58] April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%40%42%—18%
New York Times/Kaiser Family [90] April 8–15, 2014900± ?41%39%4%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		James P.
Cain (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [71] May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%48%41%11%
Public Policy Polling [61] June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%46%38%16%
Public Policy Polling [62] July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%36%15%
Public Policy Polling [63] August 8–11, 2013600± 4%46%39%14%
Public Policy Polling [64] September 6–9, 2013600± 4%50%37%13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Renee
Ellmers (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [72] December 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%45%39%19%
Public Policy Polling [73] January 10–13, 2013608± 4%46%40%14%
Public Policy Polling [68] February 7–10, 2013600± 4%47%38%15%
Public Policy Polling [69] March 7–10, 2013611± 4%49%36%15%
Public Policy Polling [70] April 11–14, 2013601± 4%48%40%12%
Public Policy Polling [71] May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%48%39%12%
Public Policy Polling [61] June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%46%39%15%
Public Policy Polling [62] July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%36%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Terry
Embler (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [68] February 7–10, 2013600± 4%48%33%20%
Public Policy Polling [69] March 7–10, 2013611± 4%52%33%15%
Public Policy Polling [70] April 11–14, 2013601± 4%47%37%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Bill
Flynn (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [66] December 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%43%45%12%
Public Policy Polling [67] January 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%42%44%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Dan
Forest (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [69] March 7–10, 2013611± 4%50%40%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Virginia
Foxx (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [72] December 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%49%39%12%
Public Policy Polling [73] January 10–13, 2013608± 4%47%40%13%
Public Policy Polling [68] February 7–10, 2013600± 4%48%38%15%
Public Policy Polling [69] March 7–10, 2013611± 4%49%37%14%
Public Policy Polling [70] April 11–14, 2013601± 4%48%39%13%
Public Policy Polling [71] May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%49%42%10%
Public Policy Polling [61] June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%46%39%15%
Public Policy Polling [62] July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%37%13%
Public Policy Polling [63] August 8–11, 2013600± 4%48%39%13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Heather
Grant (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [63] August 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%37%16%
Public Policy Polling [64] September 6–9, 2013600± 4%48%36%15%
Public Policy Polling [65] November 8–11, 2013701± 4%43%40%17%
Public Policy Polling [66] December 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%43%43%14%
Public Policy Polling [67] January 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%41%42%17%
Public Policy Polling [53] February 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%39%41%20%
Public Policy Polling [89] March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%42%15%
SurveyUSA [57] March 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%44%46%10%
Public Policy Polling [58] April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%39%43%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Mark
Harris (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [71] May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%46%40%13%
Public Policy Polling [61] June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%46%37%17%
Public Policy Polling [62] July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%35%15%
Public Policy Polling [63] August 8–11, 2013600± 4%46%37%16%
Public Policy Polling [64] September 6–9, 2013600± 4%50%36%14%
Public Policy Polling [85] October 4–6, 2013746± ?%46%38%16%
Public Policy Polling [65] November 8–11, 2013701± 4%43%41%16%
Public Policy Polling [66] December 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%43%43%14%
Public Policy Polling [67] January 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%41%43%16%
Harper Polling [86] January 20–21, 2014778± 3.51%44%40%15%
Public Policy Polling [53] February 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%40%42%18%
American Insights [54] February 11–15, 2014611± 4%39%35%26%
Public Policy Polling [89] March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%43%14%
SurveyUSA [57] March 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%43%47%10%
Public Policy Polling [58] April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%40%44%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		George
Holding (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [72] December 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%48%39%13%
Public Policy Polling [73] January 10–13, 2013608± 4%45%37%18%
Public Policy Polling [68] February 7–10, 2013600± 4%46%36%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Edward
Kryn (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [53] February 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%40%40%20%
Public Policy Polling [89] March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%41%16%
Public Policy Polling [58] April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%40%41%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Patrick
McHenry (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [72] December 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%48%40%12%
Public Policy Polling [73] January 10–13, 2013608± 4%45%39%16%
Public Policy Polling [68] February 7–10, 2013600± 4%45%40%15%
Public Policy Polling [69] March 7–10, 2013611± 4%49%39%12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Sue
Myrick (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [72] December 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%45%44%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Robert
Pittenger (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [73] January 10–13, 2013608± 4%46%38%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Jim
Snyder (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [89] March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%42%43%15%
Public Policy Polling [58] April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%41%41%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Lynn
Wheeler (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [61] June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%45%36%19%
Public Policy Polling [62] July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%34%17%
Public Policy Polling [63] August 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%36%17%
Public Policy Polling [64] September 6–9, 2013600± 4%48%35%17%

Results

2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina [144]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Thom Tillis 1,423,259 48.82% +4.64%
Democratic Kay Hagan (incumbent)1,377,65147.26%−5.39%
Libertarian Sean Haugh 109,1003.74%+0.57%
Write-in 5,2710.18%+0.14%
Total votes2,915,281 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Related Research Articles

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References

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