2014 United States Senate special election in South Carolina

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2014 United States Senate special election in South Carolina
Flag of South Carolina.svg
  2010 November 4, 2014 2016  
  Tim Scott, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg Joyce Dickerson.jpg
Nominee Tim Scott Joyce Dickerson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote757,215459,583
Percentage61.12%37.09%

2014 United States Senate special election in South Carolina results map by county.svg
County results
Scott:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Dickerson:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. senator before election

Tim Scott [a]
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Tim Scott
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate special election in South Carolina took place on November 4, 2014, concurrently with the regular election for the other South Carolina Senate seat. The special-election Senate seat was formerly held by Republican Jim DeMint, who resigned on January 2, 2013, to become president of The Heritage Foundation.

Contents

Nikki Haley, the Republican Governor of South Carolina, announced the appointment of U.S. Representative Tim Scott to fill the seat. Scott ran in the special election and won by beating Democratic candidate and Richland County councilwoman Joyce Dickerson in the November election. Scott became the first black Senator in the state's history and the first in a former Confederate state since 1881.

The election was noted for being the second U.S. Senate election since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment and the first in a former Confederate state where both major party nominees were black. [b] This was also the first of three consecutive elections to this seat where both major party nominees were black.

Background

On December 6, 2012, Senator Jim DeMint announced his intention to resign effective January 1, 2013, to become the president of The Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank. [1]

Nikki Haley, the Governor of South Carolina, appointed a replacement to fill the seat until the special election. [2] Haley indicated that she would not appoint a "placeholder" to the seat, but would appoint someone who would stand in a 2014 special election to serve the remaining two years of DeMint's term. [3] On December 17, 2012, Haley announced that she would appoint Scott to DeMint's seat following his resignation. [4]

Senate replacement process

Congressman Tim Scott was chosen to replace Senator Jim DeMint, following his announced resignation. Tim Scott at Veterans Day tribute.jpg
Congressman Tim Scott was chosen to replace Senator Jim DeMint, following his announced resignation.

According to sources close to Governor Haley, as of December 11, 2012, she had narrowed the list of potential appointees down to five:

Other politicians mentioned as possible replacements for DeMint included U.S. Representatives Mick Mulvaney [6] and Joe Wilson, former U.S. Representative Gresham Barrett, state representative Nathan Ballentine, South Carolina Attorney General Alan Wilson, former Ambassador to Canada David Wilkins, former South Carolina Republican Party chair Katon Dawson, and Haley's deputy chief of staff Tedd Pitts. [7]

Liberal comedian Stephen Colbert, a South Carolina native, expressed interest in being appointed the seat, asking his fans to tweet Haley that she should appoint him. [8] Chad Walldorf, the owner of the Sticky Fingers restaurant chain, had also been mentioned as a potential placeholder. [9]

Polling on DeMint's replacement

A Public Policy Polling poll released on December 10, 2012, which asked respondents who they wanted to replace DeMint, showed Colbert with the highest total. Colbert had support at 20 percent, followed by Scott at 15 percent, Gowdy at 14 percent, and Sanford at 11 percent. [10] Haley said that she would not appoint Colbert to the seat. [11]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Republican primary results [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tim Scott (incumbent) 276,147 89.98%
Republican Randall Young30,74110.02%
Total votes306,888 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joyce
Dickerson
Sidney
Moore
Harry
Pavilack
Undecided
Clemson University [23] May 26 – June 2, 2014400± 6%11%7%3%79%

Results

Democratic primary results [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Joyce Dickerson 72,874 65.39%
Democratic Sidney Moore26,31023.61%
Democratic Harry Pavilack11,88611.06%
Total votes111,437 100.00%

Independent and third parties

Candidates

Declared

Removed from ballot

General election

Debates

Endorsements

Tim Scott

Individuals

Organizations

Jill Bossi

Individuals

  • Brandon Armstrong, businesswoman and former Independent candidate for this seat [26]

Organizations

  • The Centrist Project [35]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [36] Solid RNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [38] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [39] Safe RNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Scott (R)
Joyce
Dickerson (D)
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports [40] July 9–10, 2014750± 4%53%31%6%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [41] July 5–24, 20141,180± 5.4%52%40%2%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [42] August 18 – September 2, 2014833± 5%54%33%0%13%
Winthrop University [43] September 21–28, 20141,082± 3%52.4%31.8%1.9% [44] 13.8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [45] September 20 – October 1, 20142,663± 2%54%31%0%14%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [45] October 16–23, 20141,566± 4%57%28%0%15%

Results

United States Senate special election in South Carolina, 2014 [46]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Tim Scott (incumbent) 757,215 61.12% −0.36%
Democratic Joyce Dickerson459,58337.09%+9.44%
American Jill Bossi21,6521.75%N/A
n/a Write-ins5320.04%−1.62%
Total votes'1,238,982''100.0%'N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

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References

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  2. "All eyes on Nikki Haley to pick Jim DeMint successor". Politico . December 6, 2012. Retrieved December 6, 2012.
  3. "Buzz builds around Jim DeMint successor". Politico . December 10, 2012. Retrieved December 10, 2012.
  4. "Tim Scott to succeed Jim DeMint in Senate". Politico . December 17, 2012. Retrieved December 17, 2012.
  5. "First on CNN: Haley finalizes short list for DeMint seat". December 11, 2012. Archived from the original on July 14, 2014. Retrieved December 11, 2012.
  6. "Mulvaney in touch with Haley about Senate seat". Politico . December 10, 2012. Retrieved December 10, 2012.
  7. Wilson, Reid (December 6, 2012). "Who Will Replace Jim DeMint?". National Journal. Archived from the original on December 9, 2012. Retrieved December 10, 2012.
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  10. Robillard, Kevin (December 10, 2012). "PP: South Carolina voters want Stephen Colbert" . Retrieved December 10, 2012.
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  23. Clemson University
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  32. "SC AFL-CIO Endorses Candidates For the US House and Senate". AFL-CIO. 2014. Archived from the original on October 30, 2014. Retrieved October 29, 2014.
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  38. "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  39. "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  40. Rasmussen Reports
  41. CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  42. CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  43. Winthrop University
  44. Jill Bossi (AP) 1.8%, Other 0.1%
  45. 1 2 CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  46. "2014 South Carolina Special U.S Senate Election Results".

Notes

  1. In January 2013, Scott was appointed by Governor Nikki Haley to fill the vacancy caused by the resignation of Senator Jim DeMint, who had become president of The Heritage Foundation.
  2. After Illinois in 2004

      Official campaign websites (Archived)