2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina

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2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina
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(special) 		November 8, 2016 2022  →
  Tim Scott, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg Sc pastor thomas dixon.jpg
Nominee Tim Scott Thomas Dixon
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,241,609757,022
Percentage60.57%36.93%
2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina results map by county.svg
SC-16-senate-districts.svg
SC Senate 2016.svg
Scott:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Dixon:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%
     No votes
U.S. senator before election

Tim Scott
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Tim Scott
Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Both major parties held their primaries on June 14.

Contents

Incumbent Republican Senator Tim Scott won re-election to a first full term in office. [1]

This was the second U.S. Senate election in South Carolina (and the second of three consecutive elections for this seat) where both major party nominees were black, and the third overall since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment. [lower-alpha 1]

Background

Two-term Republican senator Jim DeMint was re-elected with 61.48% of the vote in 2010. He resigned at the start of 2013 to become President of The Heritage Foundation and U.S. Representative Tim Scott of South Carolina's 1st congressional district was appointed to replace him by Governor Nikki Haley. [2] Scott subsequently won the special election in 2014 for the remaining two years of the term.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Thomas Dixon, pastor and community activist (also running with Green Party nomination) [3]

Declined

General election

Candidates

Debates

DatesLocationScottDixonLink
October 24, 2016 Greenville, South Carolina ParticipantParticipant Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [8] Safe RNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [9] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [10] Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos [11] Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics [12] Safe RNovember 7, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tim
Scott (R)		Thomas
Dixon (D)		OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 20161,698± 4.6%59%38%–3%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 20161,642± 4.6%58%39%–3%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 20161,583± 4.6%58%39%–3%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 20161,501± 4.6%58%39%–3%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 20161,588± 4.6%57%40%–3%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 20161,762± 4.6%56%39%–5%
Starboard Communications (R) Archived September 14, 2016, at the Wayback Machine September 7–9, 2016600± 4.8%58%22%–16%
Public Policy Polling August 9–10, 20161,290± 2.7%45%30% [13] 6% [14] 20%
Hypothetical polling
with Joyce Dickerson
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tim
Scott (R)		Joyce
Dickerson (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 7–8, 20151,290± 2.7%53%25%23%
with Bakari Sellers
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tim
Scott (R)		Bakari
Sellers (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 12–15, 2015868± 3.3%56%28%16%
with Leon Lott
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tim
Scott (R)		Leon
Lott (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 12–15, 2015868± 3.3%54%27%19%
with Jim Hodges
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tim
Scott (R)		Jim
Hodges (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 12–15, 2015868± 3.3%54%32%15%

Results

United States Senate election in South Carolina, 2016 [15] [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Tim Scott (incumbent) 1,241,609 60.57% -0.55%
Democratic Thomas Dixon [17] 757,02236.93%-0.16%
Libertarian Bill Bledsoe [18] 37,4821.83%N/A
American Michael Scarborough11,9230.58%-1.17%
n/a Write-ins1,8570.09%+0.05%
Total votes2,049,893 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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References

  1. 1 2 Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Archived from the original on January 29, 2015. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
  2. ↑ Jeff Zeleny (December 17, 2012). "Rep. Tim Scott Chosen to Replace Jim DeMint as South Carolina Senator". The New York Times.
  3. ↑ Rindge, Brenda (February 22, 2016). "Thomas Dixon to challenge U.S. Sen. Tim Scott". The Post and Courier . Archived from the original on October 13, 2016. Retrieved February 23, 2016.
  4. ↑ "SOUTH CAROLINA: Richland Co Councilwoman & '14 nom Joyce Dickerson (D) back for a second run vs US Sen Tim Scott (R)". Politics1. Twitter. November 2, 2015. Retrieved March 14, 2016.
  5. ↑ "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election". South Carolina Election Commission. Retrieved March 18, 2016.
  6. 1 2 3 4 "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election". South Carolina Election Commission. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
  7. ↑ Crowder, Mike (May 15, 2016). "American Party of SC nominates candidates for a handful of offices". WRHI. Retrieved August 9, 2016.
  8. ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  9. ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  10. ↑ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  11. ↑ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
  12. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  13. ↑ Fusion voting total- 28% as D, 2% as G
  14. ↑ Bill Bledsoe (L) with 4% and Michael Scarborough (A) with 2%
  15. ↑ "2016 Statewide General Election official results". South Carolina State Election Commission. Retrieved December 20, 2016.
  16. ↑ "2016 South Carolina Senatorial Election Turnout Data". Archived from the original on December 20, 2016. Retrieved December 10, 2016.
  17. ↑ Aggregated total includes 37,610 votes Dixon received under the Working Families Party, and 14,872 votes received under the Green Party.
  18. ↑ Aggregated total includes 12,652 votes received under the Constitution Party.

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