2016 Kentucky House of Representatives election

Last updated

2016 Kentucky House of Representatives election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
 2014November 8, 2016 2018  

All 100 seats in the Kentucky House of Representatives
51 seats needed for a majority
 Majority partyMinority party
  Jeff Hoover by Gage Skidmore.jpg Greg Stumbo.jpg
Leader Jeff Hoover Greg Stumbo
(lost reelection)
Party Republican Democratic
Last election4654
Seats before47 [a] 53 [b]
Seats won6436
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 17Decrease2.svg 17

2016 Kentucky House of Representatives election.svg
Results:
     Democratic hold     Democratic gain
     Republican hold     Republican gain

Speaker before election

Greg Stumbo
Democratic

Elected Speaker

Jeff Hoover
Republican

The 2016 Kentucky House of Representatives elections were held on November 8, 2016, as part of the biennial United States elections. All 100 of Kentucky's state representatives were up for reelection. In Kentucky, members of the House of Representatives serve two-year terms. Accordingly, they are up for reelection in both presidential and midterm election years.

Contents

Republicans gained 17 seats in the election, winning the chamber outright. This ended nearly 100 years of Democratic control of the house, as the last time that Republicans won a majority was in 1919. [2] Republicans performed well in rural districts and flipped many seats held by Democrats, including Democratic Speaker Greg Stumbo who lost reelection. [3] Together with Republican governor Matt Bevin, this was the first time in history that Republicans gained a trifecta in the state.

A numbered map of the house districts at the time can be viewed here.

Retiring incumbents

Brad Montell resigned in October 2016. Thomas Kerr resigned in September 2016.

Democratic

  1. 23rd: Johnny Bell: Retired.
  2. 46th: Larry Clark: Retired.
  3. 70th: Mike Denham: Retired.
  4. 94th: Leslie A. Combs: Retired.

Republican

  1. 48th: Bob DeWeese: Retired.
  2. 50th: David Floyd: Retired.

Defeated incumbents

In primary elections

Democratic

  1. 41st: Tom Riner (first elected in 1981) lost renomination to Attica Scott, who won the general election.

Republican

  1. 33rd: Ronald Crimm (first elected in 1996) lost renomination to Jason Nemes, who won the general election.

In general elections

Democratic

  1. 8th: Jeffrey R. Taylor (elected in March 2016) lost to Walker Thomas.
  2. 11th: David Watkins (first elected in 2006) lost to Robby Mills.
  3. 13th: Jim Glenn (first elected in 2006) lost to DJ Johnson.
  4. 14th: Tommy Thompson (first elected in 2002) lost to Matt Castlen.
  5. 15th: Brent Yonts (first elected in 1996) lost to Melinda Gibbons Prunty.
  6. 16th: Martha Jane King (first elected in 2008) lost to Jason Petrie.
  7. 24th: Terry Mills (first elected in 2010) lost to Brandon Reed.
  8. 49th: Linda H. Belcher (first elected in 2008) lost to Dan Johnson.
  9. 62nd: Chuck Tackett (elected in March 2016) lost to Phillip Pratt.
  10. 78th: Tom McKee (first elected in 1996) lost to Mark Hart.
  11. 81st: Rita Smart (first elected in 2010) lost to C. Wesley Morgan.
  12. 84th: Fitz Steele (first elected in 2008) lost to Chris Fugate.
  13. 91st: Cluster Howard (first elected in 2014) lost to Toby Herald.
  14. 92nd: John Short (first elected in 2010) lost to John Blanton.
  15. 95th: Greg Stumbo (first elected in 1979) lost to Larry D. Brown.
  16. 97th: Hubert Collins (first elected in 1990) lost to Scott Wells.
  17. 98th: Lew Nicholls (elected in March 2016) lost to Danny Bentley.

Republican

  1. 38th: Denver Butler (first elected in 2012) lost to McKenzie Cantrell.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Governing [4] TossupOctober 12, 2016

Closest races

Seats where the margin of victory was under 10%:

  1. District 81, 0.42% gain
  2. District 49, 0.84% gain
  3. District 100, 0.88%
  4. District 94, 1.46%
  5. District 13, 1.58% gain
  6. District 38, 1.74% gain
  7. District 93, 2.76%
  8. District 87, 3.00%
  9. District 92, 3.04% gain
  10. District 11, 3.24% gain
  11. District 8, 3.74% gain
  12. District 37, 4.02%
  13. District 6, 4.76%
  14. District 95, 5.90% gain
  15. District 28, 6.54%
  16. District 27, 7.68%
  17. District 24, 8.14% gain
  18. District 98, 8.22% gain
  19. District 72, 8.50%
  20. District 78, 8.88% gain

Results by district

DistrictDemocraticRepublicanTotal
 %Vote %Vote
129.80%5,96370.20%14,04620,009
239.53%7,64760.47%11,69919,346
355.36%9,86944.64%7,95817,827
40.00%0100.00%15,06515,065
530.88%6,15369.12%13,77019,923
652.38%11,39943.16%9,39321,764
737.01%7,75062.99%13,18920,939
848.13%6,10351.87%6,57712,680
90.00%0100.00%11,42511,425
1055.19%10,71244.81%8,69819,410
1148.38%9,11751.62%9,72818,845
1238.80%8,05961.20%12,71120,770
1349.21%8,17050.79%8,43416,604
1436.45%7,77563.55%13,55421,329
1542.93%7,97357.07%10,59718,570
1634.60%5,78865.40%10,93816,726
170.00%0100.00%17,76117,761
180.00%0100.00%14,99614,996
1931.07%5,61468.93%12,45518,069
2058.23%8,56141.77%6,14014,701
210.00%0100.00%13,72813,728
22100.00%12,1150.00%012,115
2338.46%7,15461.54%11,44518,599
2445.93%8,97254.07%10,56319,535
2527.57%5,18772.43%13,62918,816
260.00%0100.00%14,56514,565
2753.84%9,05646.16%7,76316,819
2853.27%8,95346.73%7,85416,807
290.00%0100.00%17,53517,535
3076.79%12,67823.21%3,83316,511
3157.89%12,08542.11%8,79220,877
320.00%0100.00%15,24315,243
3344.39%11,29155.61%14,14625,437
34100.00%19,5960.00%019,596
35100.00%13,9130.00%013,913
360.00%0100.00%21,45821,458
3752.01%7,38747.99%6,81714,204
3850.87%7,60049.13%7,34114,941
3955.84%10,83944.16%8,57219,411
4073.55%11,03826.45%3,97015,008
41100.00%13,2570.00%013,257
4287.26%15,89612.74%2,32018,216
4376.18%13,17323.82%4,12017,293
44100.00%13,5380.00%013,538
4539.39%9,99160.61%15,37525,366
4655.31%9,93944.69%8,03217,971
47100.00%13,0330.00%013,033
4842.81%11,30257.19%15,09726,399
4949.58%9,18650.42%9,34218,528
5036.37%7,45763.63%13,04820,505
510.00%0100.00%16,34416,344
520.00%0100.00%13,37613,376
5327.58%6,12772.42%16,09122,218
5433.13%6,24566.87%12,60718,852
5524.99%5,59775.01%16,79722,394
5659.63%12,59040.37%8,52521,115
57100.00%15,7470.00%015,747
5838.66%7,89461.34%12,52720,421
590.00%0100.00%19,15919,159
600.00%0100.00%19,73719,737
6124.39%4,95875.61%15,37320,331
6242.31%9,28857.69%12,66221,950
630.00%0100.00%18,72818,728
6430.90%6,80769.10%15,22022,027
65100.00%10,0990.00%010,099
660.00%0100.00%18,74318,743
67100.00%9,2320.00%09,232
680.00%0100.00%20,00320,003
690.00%0100.00%13,89213,892
7056.18%10,04943.82%7,83917,888
710.00%0100.00%16,95116,951
7254.25%9,66845.75%8,15417,822
7339.60%7,46460.40%11,38518,849
7442.77%8,14257.23%10,89419,036
7561.61%9,81638.39%6,11615,932
76100.00%15,0280.00%015,028
77100.00%13,2450.00%013,245
7845.56%7,56254.44%9,03516,597
7959.36%11,90940.64%8,15520,064
800.00%0100.00%13,69813,698
8149.79%8,98050.21%9,05618,036
8221.53%3,63978.47%13,26516,904
830.00%0100.00%16,81316,813
8436.91%6,01263.09%10,27816,290
850.00%0100.00%15,85815,858
860.00%0100.00%14,49714,497
8751.50%7,22448.50%6,80414,028
880.00%0100.00%20,24220,242
890.00%0100.00%15,47915,479
900.00%0100.00%12,75812,758
9144.79%7,16155.21%8,82815,989
9248.48%7,28751.52%7,74515,032
9351.38%7,36348.62%6,96814,331
9450.73%8,39349.27%8,15316,546
9547.05%8,46652.95%9,52817,994
9641.95%6,76058.05%9,35316,113
9742.28%6,97857.72%9,52516,503
9845.89%8,33054.11%9,82318,153
9966.00%11,14334.00%5,74116,884
10050.44%9,21549.56%9,05518,270
Totals [5] 39.93%695,70760.01%1,045,5021,742,181

References

  1. 1 2 Gerth, Joseph (March 9, 2016). "Democrats retain control of Kentucky House". Louisville Courier Journal. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
  2. Beam, Adam (January 3, 2017). "After 95 years, GOP takes control of Kentucky legislature". The Associated Press. Retrieved November 11, 2023.
  3. "House Speaker Stumbo loses to Brown in election upset". WKYT. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
  4. Cournoyer, Caroline (October 12, 2016). "November Likely to Lessen GOP's Advantage in Legislatures". Governing. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
  5. "Kentucky State Board of Elections" (PDF).

Notes

  1. Two democratic incumbents switched parties after the 2014 election. [1]
  2. Democrats flipped a seat in a March 2016 special election following the resignation of Ryan Quarles. [1]