2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

Last updated

2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2024 November 3, 20262028 

All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election51

The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election will take place on May 19.

Contents

District 1

The 1st district is based in Western Kentucky and stretches into Central Kentucky, taking in Henderson, Hopkinsville, Madisonville, Paducah, Murray, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 74.7% of the vote in 2024. [1]

Republican primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
James Comer (R)$755,293$731,638$3,232,878
Source: Federal Election Commission [3]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • John "Drew" Williams, event organizer [4]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Drew Williams (D)$12,476$11,153$1,324
Source: Federal Election Commission [3]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Solid RFebruary 6, 2025
Inside Elections [6] Solid RMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe RJune 3, 2025
Race to the WH [8] Safe RSeptember 26, 2025

District 2

The 2nd district is located in west central Kentucky, and includes Bowling Green, Owensboro, Elizabethtown, and a portion of eastern Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 73.1% of the vote in 2024. [1]

Republican primary

Filed paperwork

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Brett Guthrie (R)$2,567,010$1,489,411$1,443,843
Source: Federal Election Commission [10]

Democratic primary

Filed paperwork

  • William Dakota Compton, teacher [11]
  • Hank Linderman, recording engineer and nominee for this district in 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024 [12]
  • Megan Wingfield, mechanic [13]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
William Compton (D)$3,125$2,312$1,199
Hank Linderman (D)$0$5,762$15,800
Source: Federal Election Commission [10]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Solid RFebruary 6, 2025
Inside Elections [6] Solid RMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe RJune 3, 2025
Race to the WH [8] Safe RSeptember 26, 2025

District 3

The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of Louisville Metro, which, since the merger of 2003, is consolidated with Jefferson County, though other incorporated cities, such as Shively and St. Matthews, exist within the county. The incumbent is Democrat Morgan McGarvey, who was re-elected with 61.9% of the vote in 2024. [1]

Democratic primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Morgan McGarvey (D)$759,702$512,442$1,510,677
Source: Federal Election Commission [15]

Independents

Filed paperwork

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Oumou Diallo (I)$1,649$426$1,222
Source: Federal Election Commission [15]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Solid DFebruary 6, 2025
Inside Elections [6] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe DJune 3, 2025
Race to the WH [8] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 4

The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and the eastern suburbs of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024. [1] On March 11, 2025, president Donald Trump condemned Massie for voting against the Full-Year Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act of 2025 and remarked that "the Great People of Kentucky are going to be watching a very interesting Primary in the not too distant future!" [17] In June 2025, Trump openly called for a primary challenge against Massie after he spoke out against the recent United States strikes on Iranian nuclear sites. [18]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Robert Wells, physician [21]

Publicly expressed interest

  • Aaron Reed, state senator from the 7th district (2025–present) [22]

Potential

Withdrawn

  • Niki Lee Ethington, registered nurse [25]

Declined

Endorsements

Ed Gallrein
Executive Branch officials
Thomas Massie
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State Representatives
Individuals

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Thomas Massie vs. Niki Lee Ethington
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Thomas
Massie
Niki Lee
Ethington
Undecided
Kaplan Strategies (R) [33] June 23–24, 2025368 (LV)± 5.1%19%31%50%
Thomas Massie vs. "Trump-endorsed Republican"
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Thomas
Massie
Trump-endorsed
Republican
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [34] [A] June 202523%52%25%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Thomas Massie (R)$1,813,512$706,769$2,013,753
Source: Federal Election Commission [35]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Jesse Brewer, inventory management professional [36]
  • Monica Dean, project manager [37]
  • Elizabeth Mason-Hill, legal assistant [25]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jesse Brewer (D)$2,340$2,137$2,102
Monica Dean (D)$9,190$5,518$3,671
Source: Federal Election Commission [35]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Solid RFebruary 6, 2025
Inside Elections [6] Solid RMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe RJune 3, 2025
Race to the WH [8] Safe RSeptember 26, 2025

District 5

The 5th district is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican House dean Hal Rogers, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024. [1]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Jameson "Kyle" Huff [38]
  • Benjamin Lee Ruvolo-Hurley, realtor [39]
  • Jacob Trimble, healthcare worker [40]

Declined

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Hal Rogers (R)$376,701$272,493$1,075,459
Source: Federal Election Commission [42]

Democratic primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ned Pillersdorf (D)$60,977$19,825$41,152
Source: Federal Election Commission [42]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Solid RFebruary 6, 2025
Inside Elections [6] Solid RMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe RJune 3, 2025
Race to the WH [8] Safe RSeptember 26, 2025

District 6

The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Georgetown. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 62.7% of the vote in 2022. [1]

On April 22, 2025, Barr announced that he would run for U.S. Senate. [44]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Gavin Solomon, businessman from New York [49]

Declined

Endorsements

Ralph Alvarado
State legislators

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ralph Alvarado (R)$376,987$56,233$320,754
Deanna Gordon (R)$358,250$43,892$314,358
Ryan Dotson (R)$324,468$14,773$309,695
Source: Federal Election Commission [53]

Democratic primary

Declared

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Zach Dembo
Organizations
Cherlynn Stevenson
Statewide officials
Local officials

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Zach Dembo (D)$290,050$61,073$228,977
David Kloiber (D)$176,970$33,986$142,984
Erin Petrey (D)$65,224$7,337$57,888
Cherlynn Stevenson (D)$345,205$191,086$154,295
Source: Federal Election Commission [53]

Independents

Filed paperwork

  • Jay Bowman, presidential candidate in 2024 [63]
  • Pete Lynch, political science lecturer [64]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Solid RFebruary 6, 2025
Inside Elections [6] Solid RMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Likely RJune 3, 2025
Race to the WH [8] Lean RSeptember 26, 2025

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by MAGA PAC, which opposes Massie.

See also

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2024 House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report . Retrieved December 2, 2024.
  2. Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (February 12, 2025). "Morning Digest: Mitch McConnell hasn't said he's retiring, but everyone's acting like it". Downballot. Retrieved February 12, 2025. Rep. James Comer recently informed Spectrum News' Mario Anderson that he'll seek reelection to the House in 2026, though he added that he's considering running for governor the following year.
  3. 1 2 "2026 Election United States House - Kentucky 1st". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved October 22, 2025.
  4. Barrett, Alexis (May 27, 2025). "John "Drew" Williams announces bid for U.S. House in Kentucky's 1st District". WPSD-TV . Retrieved May 27, 2025.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2026 CPR House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 6, 2025.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2026 House Ratings". Inside Elections.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2026 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 5, 2025.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "The 2026 House Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved October 8, 2025.
  9. "HON. S. Brett Brett Guthrie". FEC.gov. February 11, 2025. Retrieved June 28, 2025.
  10. 1 2 "2026 Election United States House - Kentucky 2nd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved October 22, 2025.
  11. "William Dakota Compton". FEC.gov. February 4, 2025. Retrieved June 28, 2025.
  12. "HANK LINDERMAN". FEC.gov. April 15, 2025. Retrieved June 28, 2025.
  13. "Megan Wingfield". FEC.gov. April 11, 2025. Retrieved June 28, 2025.
  14. 1 2 Horn, Austin (April 24, 2025). "Thomas Massie, Hal Rogers & more: Where do KY's congressmen stand on reelection?". Lexington Herald-Leader . Retrieved April 24, 2025.
  15. 1 2 "2026 Election United States House - Kentucky 3rd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved October 22, 2025.
  16. "DIALLO, OUMOU FEC FORM 2 STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY FILING FEC-1904138".
  17. 1 2 Walker, Jackson (March 11, 2025). "Thomas Massie announces reelection bid as Trump vows to back primary challenger". The National Desk . Retrieved March 11, 2025.
  18. Horn, Austin (June 22, 2025). "KY Rep. Thomas Massie is at odds again with Trump over Iran. Here's the history". Lexington Herald-Leader . Retrieved June 22, 2025.
  19. Lesniewski, Niels (October 21, 2025). "Massie draws Trump-backed primary challenger in Kentucky". Roll Call . Retrieved October 21, 2025.
  20. James, Josh (October 1, 2025). "Trump put an electoral target on Thomas Massie's back. Now the Kentucky lawmaker has a challenger". WUKY . Retrieved October 3, 2025.
  21. "Statement of Candidacy". Sept 22, 2025
  22. Aulbach, Lucas (July 1, 2025). "As Trump's feud with Massie heats up, state senator weighs entering 2026 primary". Courier Journal . Archived from the original on July 11, 2025. Retrieved August 26, 2025.
  23. 1 2 Booker, Brakkton; Desrochers, Daniel; Kashinsky, Lisa (June 25, 2025). "Massie isn't backing down. Neither is Trump". Politico . Retrieved June 25, 2025.
  24. Isenstadt, Alex (May 22, 2025). "Scoop: Primary challengers circle Thomas Massie after Trump-defying vote". Axios . Retrieved May 22, 2025.
  25. 1 2 Almendarez, Jolene (May 21, 2025). "Trump said Thomas Massie should be voted out of office. Who's running against him?" . The Cincinnati Enquirer . Retrieved May 21, 2025.
  26. Martin, Jonathan (September 13, 2025). "Trump Wants to Boot Out Massie. Could This Senate Candidate Be the Answer?". Politico . Retrieved September 13, 2025.
  27. Kashinsky, Lisa; Hill, Meredith Lee (October 17, 2025). "Trump endorses Massie challenger not yet in the primary race". Politico . Retrieved October 18, 2025.
  28. Pinski, Hannah (July 14, 2025). "Rand Paul says he'll endorse Thomas Massie in 2026 despite feud with Donald Trump". Courier Journal . Retrieved July 14, 2025.
  29. Kinnard, Meg (July 1, 2025). "Musk backs Rep. Thomas Massie, proposes a new political party amid Trump feud". WCPO-TV . Retrieved July 7, 2025.
  30. 1 2 Sonka, Joe (September 28, 2025). "Targeted by Trump, Rep. Thomas Massie teams up with Rand Paul for district tour". Louisville Public Media.
  31. 1 2 3 Aulbach, Lucas (July 1, 2025). "As Trump's feud with Massie heats up, state senator weighs entering 2026 primary". Courier Journal . Retrieved July 9, 2025.
  32. Vakil, Caroline (July 1, 2025). "Musk says he will donate to Massie amid reignited Trump feud". The Hill . Retrieved July 1, 2025.
  33. Kaplan, Doug (June 26, 2025). "Massie in trouble among Republican Primary voters as he seeks reelection" (PDF). Kaplan Strategies. Retrieved June 30, 2025.
  34. Isenstadt, Alex (June 22, 2025). "Scoop: Trump launches MAGA PAC in effort to oust Rep. Massie from Congress". Axios . Retrieved June 22, 2025.
  35. 1 2 "2026 Election United States House - Kentucky 4th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved October 18, 2025.
  36. Goth, Meghan (May 15, 2025). "Jesse Brewer (no, not that one) shares intent to challenge Thomas Massie". LINK nky. Retrieved May 15, 2025.
  37. "New challenger, Monica Dean, steps up in race for Massie's seat". LINK nky. May 20, 2025. Retrieved May 20, 2025.
  38. "FEC FORM 2 STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY FILING FEC-1848341".
  39. "FEC FORM 2 STATEMENT OF CANDIDACYFILING FEC-1917463".
  40. "FEC FORM 2 STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY FILING FEC-1910751".
  41. Horn, Austin (September 4, 2025). "Sen. Andy Beshear? Thanks, but no thanks, he says to prominent Dem supporters". Lexington Herald-Leader . Retrieved September 8, 2025.
  42. 1 2 "2026 Election United States House - Kentucky 5th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved April 15, 2025.
  43. Pinski, Hannah (June 24, 2025). "Eastern Kentucky attorney announces campaign for Hal Rogers' seat in Congress". Courier Journal . Retrieved June 24, 2025.
  44. 1 2 Horn, Austin (April 22, 2025). "Kentucky Rep. Andy Barr launches bid for U.S. Senate, gets Rogers' support". Lexington Herald-Leader . Retrieved April 22, 2025.
  45. 1 2 Horsley, McKenna (July 17, 2025). "2 new candidates — a physician politician and former federal prosecutor — enter US House race". Kentucky Lantern. Retrieved July 17, 2025.
  46. Horn, Austin (April 22, 2025). "With Barr running for Senate, KY House Republican declares for 6th District". Lexington Herald-Leader . Retrieved April 22, 2025.
  47. Horn, Austin (July 9, 2025). "Richmond state rep says she'll be 'true Trump MAGA voice' in U.S. Congress race". Lexington Herald-Leader . Retrieved July 9, 2025.
  48. Horn, Austin (October 14, 2025). "Political newcomer Greg Plucinski announces GOP run for Rep. Barr's open seat". Lexington Herald-Leader . Retrieved October 14, 2025.
  49. "Statement of Candidacy". August 22, 2025
  50. Horn, Austin (July 7, 2025). "Lexington state senator ends speculation, says she won't run for Congress". Lexington Herald-Leader . Retrieved July 7, 2025.
  51. Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (July 9, 2025). "Morning Digest: Nebraska independent who spooked GOP launches another Senate bid". The Downballot. Retrieved July 9, 2025.
  52. 1 2 Pinski, Hannah (July 21, 2025). "Who's in, who's out: Meet the candidates running for Kentucky's 6th Congressional District". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved July 21, 2025.
  53. 1 2 "2026 Election United States House - Kentucky 6th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved April 15, 2025.
  54. Hansen, Piper (June 4, 2025). "Former Lexington councilman latest Kentucky Dem to launch campaign for Congress". Lexington Herald-Leader .
  55. Horn, Austin (September 3, 2025). "New Democrat running in KY's 6th District has background in sustainability, bourbon". Lexington Herald-Leader . Retrieved September 3, 2025.
  56. Horsley, McKenna (May 13, 2025). "Former Democratic legislative leader seeks U.S. House seat". Kentucky Lantern . Retrieved May 13, 2025.
  57. Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (April 30, 2025). "Morning Digest: Doug Jones, famous for his historic upset, teases a comeback". The Downballot. Retrieved May 1, 2025.
  58. 1 2 Horn, Austin (February 11, 2025). "If Rep. Andy Barr vies for Senate, who runs for Kentucky's 6th Congressional District?". Lexington Herald-Leader . Retrieved February 11, 2025.
  59. Horn, Austin (April 8, 2025). "Democrats plan to target Kentucky's 6th Congressional District as Republicans scoff". Lexington Herald-Leader . Retrieved April 8, 2025.
  60. 1 2 "Lt. Gov. Coleman endorses Cherlynn Stevenson in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District race". WTVQ-DT . June 17, 2025. Retrieved June 17, 2025.
  61. "VoteVets PAC Endorses In Three Key House Races Where Veteran Candidates Can Provide Crucial Flips". October 14, 2025. Retrieved October 15, 2025.
  62. "Stevenson endorsed by Fayette County Attorney". Forward Kentucky. June 30, 2025. Retrieved July 5, 2025.
  63. "Statement of Candidacy". October 21, 2025
  64. "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1923215". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved October 21, 2025.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates