2026 Iowa elections

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2026 Iowa elections
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 2024
2028 

The general election for the U.S. state of Iowa on November 3, 2026. Every one of Iowa's executive offices are up for election, as well as Joni Ernst's open United States Senate seat, all four of Iowa's seats in the United States House of Representatives, 25 (half) of the seats in the Iowa Senate, and all 100 seats in the Iowa House of Representatives. Primary elections were held on June 2, 2026. [1]

Contents

In the last midterm elections in Iowa, Republicans performed very well, recapturing all of Iowa's U.S. house delegation and winning supermajorities in both state chambers. The Republicans also knocked off two of the three state executive office holders, leaving the state auditor, (Rob Sand), as the lone Democrat in state office. [2]

However, Democrats have a history of doing pretty well in Iowa during Republican presidents midterms, like in 2006, and 2018. [3] On top of that, Democrats have been overperforming in special elections across America, but massively overperforming in Iowa. Every Democratic candidate has overperformed Kamala Harris's 2024 margin by more than 20 points in every race. [4] By comparison, Trump only won this state by about 13.2 points in 2024 so Iowa might have a chance of being competitive in 2026.

Governor and Lieutenant Governor

Incumbent Republican governor Kim Reynolds has declined to run for re-election and seek a third term, which the Iowa state constitution would allow her to do if she had wanted. [5] Reynolds won in 2022 with 58.04% of the vote. Due to the governorship being open, this race has received a fair bit of attention.

The lone Democrat currently holding office in Iowa. state Auditor Rob Sand, has entered the Democratic Primary. Rob Sand is the clear favorite for the Democratic nomination and is popular within the state. [6] On the Republican side, U.S. Representative from Iowa's 4th Congressional district Randy Feenstra is the most prominent candidate running for his parties nomination [7] , but he faces two prominent candidates in Brad Sherman and Eddie Andrews (former and current state Representatives).

In Iowa, nominees for Lieutenant Governor are chosen at party conventions. They then run on a ticket with the gubernatorial nominee. The eventual nominees will have to pick who they would want to run on the ticket with them. [8]

Attorney general

Incumbent Republican Brenna Bird won in 2022, after defeating then-incumbent Democratic attorney general Tom Miller, who had served in the position since off and on since 1979 and was running for this 11th term. [9] Bird defeated Miller with 50.8% in 2022.

Bird is running for re-election in 2022 and only has one Democratic challenger in former Iowa house representative Nathan Willems. [10] [11]

Secretary of state

Incumbent Republican secretary of state Paul Pate has announced his intention to run for a 5th term in 2026. [12] He won in 2022 with 60.0% of the vote. He has one Democratic challenger in former Navy veteran Ryan Peterman. [13]

Treasurer

Incumbent Republican state treasurer, Roby Smith, won in 2022 after defeating longtime Democratic incumbent Michael Fitzgerald, who had served in the position consecutively since 1983. [14] and was running for his eleventh term in office. Smith defeated Fitzgerald with 51.3% of the vote.

Rody Smith has not declared his intention to run for re-election and he currently has no challengers.

Auditor

Incumbent Democratic state auditor, Rob Sand, was the sole Democrat to win statewide in 2022, defeating state representative Todd Halbur. Sand won in 2022 with 50.09% of the vote.

Sand is not running for a third term, but running for governor instead. No Democrats have declared their candidacy for this race, but incumbent Lt. Governor Chris Cournoyer is running in the Republican primary. [15]

Secretary of Agriculture

Incumbent Republican Secretary of Agriculture, Mike Naig, won in 2022 with 61.1% of the vote, being the best performing Republican nominee that year. [16]

Naig is running for re-election and currently has no Democrat challengers. [17]

United States Senate

Incumbent Republican senator Joni Ernst has declined to run for re-election for a third term. [18]

Ernst won in 2020 by 6 points in what was widely considered to be a toss-up race, with 50.88% of the vote. [19]

This race has been getting heavy media attention after Ernst made a comment when addressing a constituents concerns about Medicaid, stating "We are all going to die", and making a sarcastic apology for the comment at a cemetery. [20] This comment spearheaded the race into the spotlight, with 4 prominent Democratic candidates entering the race, including state Sen. Zach Wahls and state Rep. Josh Turek. [21]

Shortly after Ernst's announcement not to seek re-election, U.S. House Rep. Ashely Hinson of Iowa's 2nd Congressional district announced her intention to run, instantly becoming the frontrunner for the nomination and earning Donald Trump's endorsement. [22]

This race is widely expected to be competitive and Democrats are targeting it as one of the 4 seats they need to get to 51 in the Senate. [23]

United States House of Representatives

All of Iowa's four seats in the United States House of Representatives are up for election in 2026. Two of the seats are extremely competitive, Iowa's 1st and 3rd Congressional districts. [24] Iowa's 2nd Congressional district, represented by the aforementioned Hinson, is also slightly competitive, and could be competitive in 2026 due to Hinson's retirement. [25] Iowa's 4th Congressional district is a safe Republican seat, even with the aforementioned Feenstra retiring to run for Governor.

In 2018, the last Republican president midterm year, Democrats won 3 of these 4 seats, and almost came close to taking them all. So these seats have the potential to flip in 2026. [26]

Iowa General Assembly

Republicans have a supermajority in the state house, and a majority in the state senate. All 100 of the state house seats are up for election in 2026, while 25 (half) of the state senate seats are. Democrats might be able to gain seats if Iowa swings to the left in the midterms, like it has before.

References

  1. "Wayback Machine" (PDF). sos.iowa.gov. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 20, 2024. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  2. "Iowa Election Results". The New York Times. November 8, 2022. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  3. Holder, Josh; Levitt, Daniel; Levett, Cath; Andringa, Peter (November 7, 2018). "Blue wave or blue ripple? A visual guide to the Democrats' gains in the midterms". the Guardian. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  4. "The Downballot's special elections Big Board for the 2025-26 cycle". Google Docs. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  5. "Iowa Republican Gov. Reynolds says she won't seek reelection in surprise announcement". PBS News. April 11, 2025. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  6. WSJ, John McCormick | Photographs by KC McGinnis for. "Meet the Democrat Who Republicans Fear in Red-State America". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  7. "U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra files paperwork for 2026 gubernatorial run • Iowa Capital Dispatch". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  8. nlga.us https://nlga.us/research/methods-of-election/ . Retrieved September 6, 2025.{{cite web}}: Missing or empty |title= (help)
  9. Greenblatt, Alan (January 3, 2023). "Tom Miller's Career Helped Reshape the Nation's Legal Landscape". Governing. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  10. Opsahl, Robin (July 2, 2025). "Iowa AG Brenna Bird rules out 2026 gubernatorial bid, plans to run for reelection • Iowa Capital Dispatch". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  11. "Democrat Nate Willems announces campaign for Iowa attorney general • Iowa Capital Dispatch". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  12. Judson, Norah. "Iowa Secretary of State Paul Pate says he'll seek a fifth term in office in 2026 election". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  13. "Democrat Ryan Peterman launches bid for Iowa secretary of state • Iowa Capital Dispatch". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  14. McNally, Finn. "Democrat Michael Fitzgerald aims for an 11th term as state treasurer". Iowa State Daily. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  15. Opsahl, Robin (May 6, 2025). "Lt. Gov. Chris Cournoyer launches campaign for state auditor • Iowa Capital Dispatch". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  16. Eller, Donnelle. "Mike Naig wins second term as Iowa's agriculture secretary". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  17. "Iowa Secretary of Agriculture Mike Naig rules out gubernatorial bid, seeks reelection in 2026 • Iowa Capital Dispatch". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  18. Opsahl, Robin (September 2, 2025). "U.S. Sen. Joni Ernst announces she will not seek reelection • Iowa Capital Dispatch". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  19. Pfannenstiel, Brianne. "'Six more years!': Republican U.S. Sen. Joni Ernst wins reelection, beating Democrat Theresa Greenfield". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  20. "'We are all going to die' - Senator Joni Ernst's healthcare comment sparks row". www.bbc.com. June 3, 2025. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  21. Fingerhut, Hannah (August 18, 2025). "Iowa US Senate candidate ends bid to run against Republican incumbent Joni Ernst". AP News. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  22. Steinhauser, Paul (September 4, 2025). "Trump endorses Hinson in 2026 race to keep key Senate seat red". Fox News. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  23. "Ernst won't seek reelection, giving Democrats opening in battle for Senate". The Washington Post. August 29, 2025. ISSN   0190-8286 . Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  24. "2026 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  25. Washington, Inside Elections 810 7th Street NE; Developers, DC 20002 Phone:546-2822 Email · Subscriptions API for. "Iowa Senate: Ernst Out, Republicans Still Favored". www.insideelections.com. Retrieved September 6, 2025.{{cite web}}: |first2= has generic name (help)CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  26. "Iowa | Full House results". www.cnn.com. Retrieved September 6, 2025.