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Elections in Florida |
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The 2026 Florida gubernatorial election will take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of Florida, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Ron DeSantis is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third consecutive term.
A heavily populated South Atlantic state with a large and increasingly conservative Latino American population and the northern parts lying in the Bible Belt, Florida is considered to be a moderately to strongly red state, having not elected a Democratic governor since 1994 nor a Democrat for president since 2012 and having moved significantly rightward in the last decade. In 2022, incumbent Governor Ron DeSantis was re-elected by a 19.4% margin, a considerable improvement from his 0.4-point victory four years earlier in the gubernatorial election during the 2018 blue wave. This was followed two years later by Republican Donald Trump winning his adoptive home state by a 13% margin as he won a second non-consecutive presidential term, improving his 3.4% margin of victory in 2020 and seemingly diminishing Florida's longtime swing-state status.[ citation needed ] Republicans also control all statewide offices, a large majority of the state's U.S. House delegation, both U.S. Senate seats, and supermajorities in both houses of the Florida Legislature.
Article IV, Section 5(b) of the Florida Constitution states that, for a person to serve as governor, they must: [1]
U.S. Presidents
Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State executive officials
State legislators
Individuals
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Casey DeSantis | Byron Donalds | Matt Gaetz | Ashley Moody | Jeanette Nuñez | Jimmy Patronis | Wilton Simpson | Francis Suarez | Michael Waltz | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of North Florida [32] | July 14–22, 2025 | 797 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 32% | 29% | 8% | – | – | – | 1% | 2% | – | 10% [c] | 18% |
St. Pete Polls [33] [34] [A] | July 8–10, 2025 | 831 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 27.4% | 34.9% | – | – | – | – | 3.1% | – | – | 2.2% [d] | 32.4% |
Targoz Market Research [35] [36] [B] | May 5–7, 2025 | 516 (RV) | – | 29% | 28% | 10% | – | 7% | – | 4% | 5% | – | 4% [e] | 13% |
Targoz Market Research [35] [37] [B] | April 15–22, 2025 | 619 (RV) | – | 28% | 22% | 8% | – | 9% | – | 4% | 7% | – | 4% [e] | 18% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [38] | February 26–27, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 30% | 34% | – | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | 33% |
Victory Insights (R) [39] | January 26–27, 2025 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | 34% | – | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | 61% |
– | 31% | – | – | 4% | – | 3% | 1% | – | – | 60% | ||||
Florida Atlantic University/ Mainstreet Research [40] | June 8–9, 2024 | 366 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 19% | 13% | 14% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 7% [f] | – |
Victory Insights (R) [41] | April 3–6, 2024 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | 21% | 13% | – | – | 3% | 2% | – | 5% | 14% [g] | 43% |
University of North Florida [42] | October 23 – November 4, 2023 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 22% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 6% [h] | 40% |
Casey DeSantis vs. Matt Gaetz
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Casey DeSantis | Matt Gaetz | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida Atlantic University/ Mainstreet Research [43] | April 15–17, 2024 | 372 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 38% | 16% | 20% [i] | 26% |
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Jason Pizzo | Daniella Levine Cava | Gwen Graham | David Jolly | Lauren Book | Angie Nixon | Shevrin Jones | Fentrice Driskell | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [35] [36] [B] | May 5–7, 2025 | 396 (RV) | – | – | 32% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | – | 21% |
Targoz Market Research [35] [37] [B] | April 15–22, 2025 | 464 (RV) | – | 41% | 15% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | – | 21% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [58] | Solid R | January 23, 2025 |
Inside Elections [59] | Solid R | February 6, 2025 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [60] | Safe R | May 1, 2025 |
Race to the WH [61] | Tilt R | June 30, 2025 |
Byron Donalds vs. David Jolly
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Byron Donalds (R) | David Jolly (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Insights [62] | June 7–10, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 31% | 32% |
Byron Donalds vs. Daniella Levine Cava vs. Jason Pizzo
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Byron Donalds (R) | Daniella Levine Cava (D) | Jason Pizzo (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [35] [36] [B] | May 5–7, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 38% | 34% | 5% | 23% |
Casey DeSantis vs. Daniella Levine Cava vs. Jason Pizzo
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Casey DeSantis (R) | Daniella Levine Cava (D) | Jason Pizzo (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [35] [36] [B] | May 5–7, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 35% | 8% | 18% |
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) [63] | October 26–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
Partisan clients
'I am staying in Congress and running for re-election,' Moskowitz (D-Fla.) said
Official campaign websites