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| Elections in Florida |
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The 2026 Florida gubernatorial election will take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of Florida, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Ron DeSantis is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third consecutive term.
A heavily populated South Atlantic state with a large and increasingly conservative Latino American population and the northern parts lying in the Bible Belt, Florida is considered to be a moderately to strongly red state, having not elected a Democratic governor since 1994 nor a Democrat for president since 2012 and having moved significantly rightward in the last decade. In 2022, incumbent Governor Ron DeSantis was re-elected by a 19.4% margin, a considerable improvement from his 0.4-point victory four years earlier in the gubernatorial election during the 2018 blue wave. This was followed two years later by Republican Donald Trump winning his adoptive home state by a 13% margin as he won a second non-consecutive presidential term, improving his 3.4% margin of victory in 2020 and seemingly diminishing Florida's longtime swing-state status.[ citation needed ] Republicans also control all statewide offices, a large majority of the state's U.S. House delegation, both U.S. Senate seats, and supermajorities in both houses of the Florida Legislature.
Article IV, Section 5(b) of the Florida Constitution states that, for a person to serve as governor, they must: [1]
U.S. Presidents
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State executive officials
State Senators
State Representatives
Party officials
local officials
Sheriffs
Individuals
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Byron Donalds | Paul Renner | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research [36] [A] | September 16–18, 2025 | 506 (RV) | – | 29% | 9% | 62% |
Jay Collins vs. Byron Donalds vs. Paul Renner
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jay Collins | Byron Donalds | Paul Renner | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls [37] [B] | October 13–15, 2025 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 4% | 39% | 3% | 54% |
| 12% | 52% | – | 36% | ||||
| The American Promise [38] | September 4–5, 2025 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 2% | 40% | 2% | 54% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Casey DeSantis | Byron Donalds | Matt Gaetz | Ashley Moody | Jeanette Nuñez | Jimmy Patronis | Wilton Simpson | Francis Suarez | Michael Waltz | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls [37] [B] | October 13–15, 2025 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 21% | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 36% |
| Targoz Market Research [36] [A] | September 16–18, 2025 | 510 (RV) | – | 26% | 23% | – | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | 9% [b] | 39% |
| University of North Florida [39] | July 14–22, 2025 | 797 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 32% | 29% | 8% | – | – | – | 1% | 2% | – | 10% [c] | 18% |
| St. Pete Polls [40] [41] [B] | July 8–10, 2025 | 831 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 27% | 35% | – | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | 2% [d] | 32% |
| Targoz Market Research [42] [43] [A] | May 5–7, 2025 | 516 (RV) | – | 29% | 28% | 10% | – | 7% | – | 4% | 5% | – | 4% [e] | 13% |
| Targoz Market Research [42] [44] [A] | April 15–22, 2025 | 619 (RV) | – | 28% | 22% | 8% | – | 9% | – | 4% | 7% | – | 4% [e] | 18% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [45] | February 26–27, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 30% | 34% | – | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | 33% |
| Victory Insights (R) [46] | January 26–27, 2025 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | 34% | – | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | 61% |
| – | 31% | – | – | 4% | – | 3% | 1% | – | – | 60% | ||||
| Florida Atlantic University/ Mainstreet Research [47] | June 8–9, 2024 | 366 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 19% | 13% | 14% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 7% [f] | – |
| Florida Atlantic University/ Mainstreet Research [48] | April 15–17, 2024 | 372 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 38% | – | 16% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20% [g] | 26% |
| Victory Insights (R) [49] | April 3–6, 2024 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | 21% | 13% | – | – | 3% | 2% | – | 5% | 14% [h] | 43% |
| University of North Florida [50] | October 23 – November 4, 2023 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 22% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 6% [i] | 40% |
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jason Pizzo | Daniella Levine Cava | Gwen Graham | David Jolly | Lauren Book | Angie Nixon | Shevrin Jones | Fentrice Driskell | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research [42] [43] [A] | May 5–7, 2025 | 396 (RV) | – | – | 32% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | – | 21% |
| Targoz Market Research [42] [44] [A] | April 15–22, 2025 | 464 (RV) | – | 41% | 15% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | – | 21% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [66] | Solid R | September 11, 2025 |
| Inside Elections [67] | Solid R | August 28, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [68] | Safe R | September 4, 2025 |
| Race to the WH [69] | Lean R | October 28, 2025 |
Byron Donalds vs. David Jolly
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Byron Donalds (R) | David Jolly (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of North Florida [70] | October 15–25, 2025 | 728 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 34% | 3% [k] | 18% |
| Targoz Market Research [36] [A] | September 16–18, 2025 | 1,118 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 36% | 32% | 4% [l] | 28% |
| Bendixen & Amandi International (D) [71] [C] | September 7–9, 2025 | 631 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 41% | – | 19% |
| AIF Center (R) [72] | August 25–27, 2025 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 41% | – | 11% |
| Victory Insights (R) [73] | June 7–10, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 31% | – | 32% |
Paul Renner vs. David Jolly
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Paul Renner (R) | David Jolly (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research [36] [A] | September 16–18, 2025 | 1,123 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 34% | 33% | 5% [m] | 28% |
| Bendixen & Amandi International (D) [71] [C] | September 7–9, 2025 | 631 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | – | 18% |
Byron Donalds vs. Jerry Demings
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Byron Donalds (R) | Jerry Demings (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of North Florida [70] | October 15–25, 2025 | 728 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 33% | 5% [n] | 17% |
Byron Donalds vs. Daniella Levine Cava vs. Jason Pizzo
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Byron Donalds (R) | Daniella Levine Cava (D) | Jason Pizzo (I) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research [42] [43] [A] | May 5–7, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 38% | 34% | 5% | 23% |
Casey DeSantis vs. David Jolly
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Casey DeSantis (R) | David Jolly (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of North Florida [70] | October 15–25, 2025 | 728 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 34% | 5% [n] | 14% |
Casey DeSantis vs. Jerry Demings
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Casey DeSantis (R) | Jerry Demings (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of North Florida [70] | October 15–25, 2025 | 728 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 36% | 6% [o] | 11% |
Casey DeSantis vs. Daniella Levine Cava vs. Jason Pizzo
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Casey DeSantis (R) | Daniella Levine Cava (D) | Jason Pizzo (I) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research [42] [43] [A] | May 5–7, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 35% | 8% | 18% |
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R) [74] [D] | August 25–27, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
| Cygnal (R) [75] | October 26–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
Partisan clients
'I am staying in Congress and running for re-election,' Moskowitz (D-Fla.) said
Official campaign websites