2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election

Last updated

2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election
Flag of Wisconsin.svg
  2022 November 3, 20262030 
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent Governor

Tony Evers
Democratic



The 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Wisconsin. Incumbent Democratic Governor Tony Evers declined to seek reelection to a third term in office. [1] This will be one of five Democratic-held governorships up for election in 2026 in a state won by President Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election and the state with the closest presidential margin of victory, just under one percentage point. [2]

Contents

This is the first Wisconsin gubernatorial election since 2010 in which the incumbent was not seeking re-election.

Background

Wisconsin is considered to be a purple state at the federal and state levels with a uniquely competitive track record (presidential races decided by less than a point in 2016, 2020, 2024, Senate races decided by roughly a point in 2022 and 2024, a governor’s race decided by a point in 2018). [2] The past two Wisconsin elections featured split outcomes, with Democrats winning for governor and Republicans for Senate in 2022, and Democrats winning for Senate and Republicans for president in 2024. Wisconsin has voted with the winner of the last five presidential elections, and in 2024 had the second highest voter turnout levels in the country behind Minnesota and one of the biggest turnout increases in the country. [2] Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years. Republicans narrowly control both chambers of the Wisconsin Legislature and hold a supermajority in Wisconsin's U.S. House delegation. However, Democrats control most statewide executive offices and have won the last two gubernatorial races. [3]

The incumbent Governor of Wisconsin, Democrat Tony Evers, was first elected in 2018 when he narrowly defeated incumbent Republican Scott Walker. [4] He was re-elected by a slightly larger margin in 2022, defeating conservative businessman Tim Michels. [5] With no incumbent and an even partisan lean, the race is widely seen as a tossup.

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
Filed paperwork
Publicly expressed interest
Potential
Declined

Endorsements

David Crowley
State legislators
Municipal officials
Labor unions
Sara Rodriguez
Statewide officials
State legislators
Municipal officials
Organizations
Declined to endorse
U.S. representatives

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
David
Crowley
Francesca
Hong
Kelda
Roys
Missy
Hughes
Sara
Rodriguez
OtherUndecided
Marquette University [29] October 15–22, 2025378 (RV)± 6.9%3%6%3%2%4%0% [b] 81%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Ben
Wikler
David
Crowley
Francesca
Hong
Josh
Kaul
Kelda
Roys
Mandela
Barnes
Missy
Hughes
Sara
Rodriguez
OtherUndecided
Platform Communications [30] September 28–30, 2025– (LV)1%7%4%7%4%16%2%8%12% [c] 39%

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared
Publicly expressed interest
Declined
  • Sara Rodriguez, incumbent lieutenant governor (2023–present) (running for governor) [10]

Endorsements

Sarah Godlewski
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
Publicly expressed interest
Potential
Withdrawn
  • Bill Berrien, manufacturing executive [38]
Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Bill
Berrien
Josh
Schoemann
Tom
Tiffany
OtherUndecided
Marquette University [29] October 15–22, 2025406 (RV)± 6.9%6%23%0% [d] 70%
September 26, 2025Berrien withdraws from the race
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [57] July 28–31, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%10%13%40%37%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Eric
Hovde
Josh
Schoemann
Mary
Felzkowski
Tim
Michels
Tom
Tiffany
OtherUndecided
Platform Communications [30] September 28–30, 2025– (LV)14%4%1%9%30%9% [e] 33%

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared
Potential
  • Cindy Werner, businesswoman and perennial candidate [61]

Minor parties and independents

Green Party

Declared

  • Jill Ferguson, retiree [62]

Independents

Declared

  • David King, pastor and perennial candidate [63]
  • Carlos Dixon, musician [64]

Filed paperwork

  • Oliver Carranza, college student [65]
  • Alexander Kent, electoral reform activist [66]
  • Mike Kohn [67]
  • Zachariah David Russell [68]
  • Korey Streich [69]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [70] TossupSeptember 11, 2025
Inside Elections [71] TossupAugust 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [72] TossupSeptember 4, 2025
Race to the WH [73] TossupSeptember 11, 2025

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Mandela Barnes vs. Tim Michels

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Mandela
Barnes (D)
Tim
Michels (R)
Undecided
Impact Research (D) [74] [A] October 2–8, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%51%44%5%

Mandela Barnes vs. Tom Tiffany

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Mandela
Barnes (D)
Tom
Tiffany (R)
Undecided
Impact Research (D) [74] [A] October 2–8, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%50%44%7%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Platform Communications [30] September 28–30, 2025500 (LV)40%43%17%

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Brett Hulsey and Ryan Strnad with 0%
  3. "None of the candidates" with 12%
  4. Manske with 0%
  5. "None of the candidates" with 9%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by The Long Run PAC, an organization founded by Barnes

References

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  2. 1 2 3 Gilbert, Craig (November 25, 2024). "Gilbert: How small voting shifts made Wisconsin the closest state in the nation". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel . Archived from the original on November 26, 2024. Retrieved November 26, 2024.
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  5. Bosman, Julie (November 9, 2022). "Tony Evers and Ron Johnson Keep Their Seats in Wisconsin". The New York Times . ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved May 28, 2025.
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  20. 1 2 3 4 Beck, Molly (September 10, 2025). "Milwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson endorses David Crowley for governor, ending speculation about his own run". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel . Archived from the original on September 10, 2025. Retrieved September 10, 2025.
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  25. 1 2 Davis, Austin (July 25, 2025). "RELEASE: DLGA Endorses Wisconsin Lt. Governor Sara Rodriguez for Governor". Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association . Retrieved September 11, 2025.
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  40. Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (September 4, 2025). "Morning Digest: Suddenly, Maine has a three-way Senate primary". The Downballot. Retrieved September 4, 2025.
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  43. Bird, LuAnn (August 1, 2025). Rep Bryan Steil expresses his support for Trump's agenda at Town Hall July 31, 2025 . Retrieved August 2, 2025 via YouTube. I'm gonna be running for reelection to the House
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  45. 4, 2025 "Tiffany campaign: House Majority Whip Tom Emmer Endorses Tom Tiffany's Gubernatorial Run". X. November 4, 2025.{{cite web}}: Check |url= value (help)
  46. "Tiffany campaign: Congressman Scott Fitzgerald endorses Tom Tiffany's campaign for governor". WisPolitics. September 30, 2025. Retrieved September 30, 2025.
  47. "Tiffany campaign: Congressman Glenn Grothman officially endorses Tiffany's run for governor". WisPolitics. October 3, 2025. Retrieved October 3, 2025.
  48. "Tiffany campaign: Congresswoman Harriet Hageman endorses Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial run". WisPolitics. October 30, 2025. Retrieved October 31, 2025.
  49. "Tiffany campaign: Chairman Jim Jordan officially endorses Tiffany's run for governor". WisPolitics. October 13, 2025. Retrieved October 13, 2025.
  50. "Tiffany campaign: Congressman Troy Nehls and family endorse Tiffany's run for governor". WisPolitics. October 8, 2025. Retrieved October 9, 2025.
  51. "Tiffany campaign: Tiffany campaign: Congressman Derrick Van Orden endorses Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial run". WisPolitics. October 16, 2025. Retrieved October 18, 2025.
  52. "Tiffany campaign: Congressman Tony Wied formally endorses Tom Tiffany for governor". WisPolitics. September 25, 2025. Retrieved September 25, 2025.
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  59. 1 2 3 "Polce joins GOP field for lieutenant governor". WisPolitics . November 7, 2025. Retrieved November 17, 2025.
  60. Strzalka, Konrad (September 26, 2025). "Former Lancaster mayor enters Wisconsin lieutenant governor's race". Telegraph Herald. Retrieved September 26, 2025.
  61. "Former Lancaster Mayor David Varnam is again running for lieutenant governor after finishing seventh in the eight-way GOP primary for the office in 2022". State Affairs. September 25, 2025. Retrieved September 25, 2025.
  62. "Green Party: Announcing candidate for WI Governor '26". Wisconsin Green Party (Press release). July 26, 2024. Retrieved July 26, 2024 via WisPolitics.
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  65. "Olive Committee". Wisconsin Ethics Commission - Sunshine: Wisconsin Campaign Finance. July 29, 2025. Retrieved August 21, 2025.
  66. "Washington County Exec Schoemann registers '26 guv bid". WisPolitics . May 2, 2025. Retrieved May 2, 2025. Schoemann is one of two people to register for the race this week. Independent Alexander Kent, of La Crosse, filed on Tuesday.
  67. "Mike Kohn for Governor". Wisconsin Ethics Commission - Sunshine: Wisconsin Campaign Finance. September 5, 2025. Retrieved September 15, 2025.
  68. "Russell for Governor". Wisconsin Ethics Commission - Sunshine: Wisconsin Campaign Finance. October 31, 2025. Retrieved November 17, 2025.
  69. "Korey Streich Campaign Committee". Wisconsin Ethics Commission - Sunshine: Wisconsin Campaign Finance. November 1, 2025. Retrieved November 17, 2025.
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  73. "Governor Forecast - 2026-2026". Race to the WH. Retrieved June 30, 2025.
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Official gubernatorial campaign websites
Official lieutenant gubernatorial campaign websites