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Elections in Michigan |
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The 2026 United States Senate election in Michigan will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Michigan. Incumbent Democratic Senator Gary Peters declined to seek re-election to a third term. [1] Peters was first elected with 54.6% of the vote in 2014 and re-elected with 49.9% of the vote in 2020.
Along with Georgia, this is one of two Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2024 presidential election, winning 49.73% of the vote to Kamala Harris's 48.31%.
Republicans have not won a Senate election in Michigan since 1994. [2]
Michigan is considered to be a battleground state. Most recently in the 2020 and 2024 presidential elections, the state backed Joe Biden by 2.8% and Donald Trump by 1.4%, respectively. [3]
Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years, although Democrats have had more success outside of presidential races. Democrats control both of Michigan's U.S. Senate seats, all statewide executive offices, and the state senate. Republicans control the Michigan House of Representatives and hold a majority in Michigan's U.S. House delegation. [4] Republicans have not won a Michigan U.S. Senate race since 1994 and have not won this seat since 1972. [5]
As one of only two seats up held by a Democrat in a state that voted for Trump in 2024, Michigan is considered a key Senate battleground in 2026. [6] [7]
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Abdul El-Sayed (D) | $1,797,545 | $697,347 | $1,100,198 |
Mallory McMorrow (D) | $2,145,452 | $1,318,539 | $826,913 |
Haley Stevens (D) | $2,816,630 | $860,152 | $1,956,478 |
Joe Tate (D) | $192,822 | $122,609 | $70,213 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [39] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Abdul El-Sayed | Mallory McMorrow | Haley Stevens | Joe Tate | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tate withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
NRSC (R) [40] | July 4–7, 2025 | 582 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 22% | 11% | 24% | 1% | 42% | ||||||
Global Strategy Group (D) [41] [A] | May 28 − June 2, 2025 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 15% | 20% | 24% | 4% | 37% | ||||||
Glengariff Group [42] [B] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 22% | 14% | 34% | – | 30% | ||||||
24% [b] | 12% | 34% | – | 30% |
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Fred Heurtebise (R) | $10,059 | $10,059 | $0 |
Mike Rogers (R) | $1,176,572 | $309,502 | $1,121,802 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [39] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Tudor Dixon | Bill Huizenga | Mike Rogers | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [58] [59] [D] | June 17–19, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 20% | 48% | – | 32% |
Glengariff Group [42] [B] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | 17% | 61% | – | 22% |
Mitchell Research [43] [C] | March 13, 2025 | 281 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 28% | 9% | 25% | 14% [d] | 24% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [60] | February 17–19, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | – | 36% | – | 24% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [61] | Tossup | August 18, 2025 |
Inside Elections [62] | Tossup | August 12, 2025 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [63] | Tossup | August 12, 2025 |
Race To The WH [64] | Tossup | September 4, 2025 |
Haley Stevens vs. Mike Rogers
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Haley Stevens (D) | Mike Rogers (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Normington Petts (D) [65] [66] [E] | June 12–16, 2025 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Glengariff Group [42] [B] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
49% [b] | 43% | 8% | ||||
Target Insyght [67] [C] | March 3–6, 2025 | 600 (V) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 41% | 24% |
Abdul El-Sayed vs. Mike Rogers
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | Mike Rogers (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Glengariff Group [42] [B] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
45% [b] | 47% | 8% |
Mallory McMorrow vs. Mike Rogers
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Mallory McMorrow (D) | Mike Rogers (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Normington Petts (D) [65] [66] [E] | June 12–16, 2025 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Glengariff Group [42] [B] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
46% [b] | 44% | 10% |
Haley Stevens vs. Bill Huizenga
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Haley Stevens (D) | Bill Huizenga (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Glengariff Group [42] [B] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 39% | 16% |
48% [b] | 39% | 13% |
Abdul El-Sayed vs. Bill Huizenga
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | Bill Huizenga (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Glengariff Group [42] [B] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
44% [b] | 41% | 15% |
Mallory McMorrow vs. Bill Huizenga
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Mallory McMorrow (D) | Bill Huizenga (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Glengariff Group [42] [B] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
45% [b] | 40% | 15% |
Dana Nessel vs. Mike Rogers
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Dana Nessel (D) | Mike Rogers (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research [43] [C] | March 13, 2025 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Dana Nessel vs. Tudor Dixon
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Dana Nessel (D) | Tudor Dixon (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research [43] [C] | March 13, 2025 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Mike Rogers
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Pete Buttigieg (D) | Mike Rogers (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght [67] [C] | March 3–6, 2025 | 600 (V) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
EPIC-MRA [68] | February 3–8, 2025 | 600 (V) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Brian Posthumus
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Brian Posthumus (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research [43] [C] | March 13, 2025 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Mike Rogers
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Mike Rogers (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research [43] [C] | March 13, 2025 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
Target Insyght [67] [C] | March 3–6, 2025 | 600 (V) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Peter Meijer
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Peter Meijer (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research [43] [C] | March 13, 2025 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Tudor Dixon
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Tudor Dixon (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research [43] [C] | March 13, 2025 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Partisan clients
Dr. Kent Benham, a dentist in the Deerfield area, has also filed to run as a Republican, as has Fred Heurtebise, of Luther, whose website describes him as a welder and engineer.