2026 United States Senate election in Alaska

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2026 United States Senate election in Alaska
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Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Dan Sullivan
Republican



The 2026 United States Senate election in Alaska will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Alaska. A jungle primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting. Incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan, having been re-elected in 2020 with 53.9% of the vote, [1] has declared his re-election bid. Former U.S. Representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district Mary Peltola has also expressed interest in running for this seat. [2] Alaska has been represented in the U.S. Senate exclusively by Republicans since 2015.

Contents

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Christopher Miklos [4]

Democratic Party

Declared

Potential

Endorsements

Dan Sullivan
U.S. presidents

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Dan Sullivan (R)$4,801,794$1,625,914$3,907,623
Source: Federal Election Commission [8]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [9] Solid RAugust 12, 2025
The Cook Political Report [10] Solid RAugust 18, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Solid RAugust 12, 2025
Race To The WH [12] Lean RSeptember 4, 2025

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Dan Sullivan vs. Mary Peltola

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Dan
Sullivan (R)		Mary
Peltola (D)		OtherUndecided
Alaska Survey Research [13] July 29 – August 1, 20251,623 (LV)± 2.5%47%42%–11%
Data for Progress (D) [14] July 21–27, 2025678 (LV)± 4.0%46%45%5% [b] 4%
Alaska Survey Research [15] April 21–25, 20231,261 (LV)–41%44%–15%

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "I would rank neither" with 5%

References

  1. ↑ Axelrod, Tal; Budryk, Zack (November 11, 2020). "Sullivan wins reelection in Alaska, giving Republicans 50 seats in Senate". The Hill – via MSN.
  2. ↑ "Peltola ties congressional loss to 'timing and luck,' and eyes future plans with a laugh". Yahoo News. December 5, 2024. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  3. ↑ Downing, Suzanne (March 22, 2025). "Breaking: Sen. Dan Sullivan formally announces his campaign for reelection". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  4. ↑ "MIKLOS, CHRISTOPHER - Candidate overview". Federal Election Commission . January 1, 2019. Retrieved May 18, 2025.
  5. ↑ Downing, Suzanne (July 21, 2025). "Democrats have their challenger for Sen. Dan Sullivan - and she works for an Alaska newspaper". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved September 19, 2025.
  6. ↑ Journal, Nathaniel Herz, Northern (July 15, 2025). "Dems are 'salivating' over a Peltola bid for Senate, but Alaska governor race could be 'wide open'". Alaska Beacon . Retrieved July 16, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  7. ↑ "- Trump endorses Alaska US Senator Dan Sullivan".
  8. ↑ "2026 Election United States Senate - Alaska". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved July 17, 2025.
  9. ↑ Gonzales, Nathan L. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  10. ↑ "2026 CPR Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  11. ↑ "2026 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  12. ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  13. ↑ "2025 Summer Alaska Survey Report". Alaska Survey Research. August 22, 2025. Retrieved August 25, 2025.
  14. ↑ "Mary Peltola Would Be Front-Runner for Alaska Governor". Data for Progress . August 8, 2025. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
  15. ↑ Downing, Suzanne (May 2, 2023). "New poll says Rep. Mary Peltola could take Sen. Dan Sullivan in 2026". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved May 8, 2025.
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