2026 United States Senate election in Alaska

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2026 United States Senate election in Alaska
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Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Dan Sullivan
Republican



The 2026 United States Senate election in Alaska will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Alaska. A jungle primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.

Contents

Incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan, having been re-elected in 2020 with 53.9% of the vote, [1] has declared his re-election bid. Former U.S. Representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district Mary Peltola has also expressed interest in running for this seat. [2] Alaska has been represented in the U.S. Senate exclusively by Republicans since 2015.

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Christopher Miklos [4]

Democratic Party

Declared

Potential

Green Party

Declared

Independents

Filed paperwork

Primary election

Endorsements

Dan Sullivan (R)
U.S. presidents

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Dan Sullivan (R)$5,984,000$1,955,654$4,760,089
Source: Federal Election Commission [10]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [11] Solid RAugust 12, 2025
The Cook Political Report [12] Solid ROctober 14, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Safe RAugust 12, 2025
Race To The WH [14] Tilt ROctober 21, 2025

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Dan Sullivan vs. Mary Peltola

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Dan
Sullivan (R)		Mary
Peltola (D)		OtherUndecided
Data for Progress (D) [15] October 17–23, 2025823 (LV)± 3.0%45%46%5% [b] 4%
Alaska Survey Research [16] October 10–15, 20251,708 (LV)–46%48%–6%
Alaska Survey Research [17] July 29 – August 1, 20251,623 (LV)± 2.5%47%42%–11%
Data for Progress (D) [18] July 21–27, 2025678 (LV)± 4.0%46%45%5% [c] 4%
Alaska Survey Research [19] April 21–25, 20231,261 (LV)–41%44%–15%

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "I would rank neither" with 5%
  3. ↑ "I would rank neither" with 5%

References

  1. ↑ Axelrod, Tal; Budryk, Zack (November 11, 2020). "Sullivan wins reelection in Alaska, giving Republicans 50 seats in Senate". The Hill – via MSN.
  2. ↑ "Peltola ties congressional loss to 'timing and luck,' and eyes future plans with a laugh". Yahoo News. December 5, 2024. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  3. ↑ Downing, Suzanne (March 22, 2025). "Breaking: Sen. Dan Sullivan formally announces his campaign for reelection". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  4. ↑ "MIKLOS, CHRISTOPHER - Candidate overview". Federal Election Commission . January 1, 2019. Retrieved May 18, 2025.
  5. ↑ Downing, Suzanne (July 21, 2025). "Democrats have their challenger for Sen. Dan Sullivan - and she works for an Alaska newspaper". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved September 19, 2025.
  6. ↑ Journal, Nathaniel Herz, Northern (July 15, 2025). "Dems are 'salivating' over a Peltola bid for Senate, but Alaska governor race could be 'wide open'". Alaska Beacon . Retrieved July 16, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  7. ↑ Samuels, Iris (October 16, 2025). "Begich and Sullivan maintain fundraising efforts ahead of 2026 elections". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved October 25, 2025.
  8. ↑ "Alaska Division of Elections, Candidates". October 14, 2025. Retrieved October 25, 2025.
  9. ↑ "- Trump endorses Alaska US Senator Dan Sullivan".
  10. ↑ "2026 Election United States Senate - Alaska". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved July 17, 2025.
  11. ↑ Gonzales, Nathan L. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  12. ↑ "2026 CPR Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  13. ↑ "2026 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  14. ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  15. ↑ Ruskin, Liz (October 31, 2025). "New poll shows Peltola neck-and-neck with Sullivan, if she were to run for U.S. Senate". Alaska Public Media . Retrieved November 1, 2025.
  16. ↑ Sabbatini, Mark (October 22, 2025). "Poll: Peltola ahead of Sullivan in race that could decide control of US Senate". Juneau Independent. Retrieved October 23, 2025.
  17. ↑ "2025 Summer Alaska Survey Report". Alaska Survey Research. August 22, 2025. Retrieved August 25, 2025.
  18. ↑ "Mary Peltola Would Be Front-Runner for Alaska Governor". Data for Progress . August 8, 2025. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
  19. ↑ Downing, Suzanne (May 2, 2023). "New poll says Rep. Mary Peltola could take Sen. Dan Sullivan in 2026". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved May 8, 2025.
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