2026 United States Senate election in Alaska

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2026 United States Senate election in Alaska
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November 3, 2026
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Incumbent U.S. senator

Dan Sullivan
Republican



The 2026 United States Senate election in Alaska will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Alaska. A jungle primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.

Contents

Incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan, having been re-elected in 2020 with 53.9% of the vote, [1] has declared his re-election bid. Former U.S. Representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district Mary Peltola is also running for this seat. [2]

Alaska has been represented in the U.S. Senate exclusively by Republicans since 2015, and has not voted for a Democrat for president since 1964. Peltola is the only Democrat to have won a statewide election in Alaska since Mark Begich was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2008.

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Christopher Miklos [4]

Democratic Party

Declared

Green Party

Declared

Independents

Filed paperwork

Primary election

Endorsements

Mary Peltola (D)
Executive branch officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Dan Sullivan (R)
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Dan Sullivan (R)$5,984,000$1,955,654$4,760,089
Source: Federal Election Commission [15]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [16] Lean RJanuary 12, 2026
The Cook Political Report [17] Lean RJanuary 12, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball [18] Lean RJanuary 12, 2026
Race To The WH [19] Tilt RJanuary 12, 2026

Polling

Dan Sullivan vs. Mary Peltola

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Dan
Sullivan (R)		Mary
Peltola (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [20] [A] January 16–17, 2026611 (V)–47%49%–4%
Alaska Survey Research [22] January 8–11, 20261,988 (LV)± 2.2%46%48%–6%
Data for Progress (D) [23] October 17–23, 2025823 (LV)± 3.0%45%46%5% [b] 4%
Alaska Survey Research [24] October 10–15, 20251,708 (LV)–46%48%–6%
Alaska Survey Research [25] July 29 – August 1, 20251,623 (LV)± 2.5%47%42%–11%
Data for Progress (D) [26] July 21–27, 2025678 (LV)± 4.0%46%45%5% [c] 4%
Alaska Survey Research [27] April 21–25, 20231,261 (LV)–41%44%–15%

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "I would rank neither" with 5%
  3. ↑ "I would rank neither" with 5%

Partisan clients

References

  1. ↑ Axelrod, Tal; Budryk, Zack (November 11, 2020). "Sullivan wins reelection in Alaska, giving Republicans 50 seats in Senate". The Hill . Archived from the original on December 24, 2020. Retrieved May 23, 2024– via MSN.
  2. 1 2 Nichols, Hans (January 12, 2026). "Mary Peltola plunges into Alaska Senate race". Axios. Archived from the original on January 13, 2026. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  3. ↑ Downing, Suzanne (March 22, 2025). "Breaking: Sen. Dan Sullivan formally announces his campaign for reelection". Must Read Alaska. Archived from the original on April 18, 2025. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  4. ↑ "MIKLOS, CHRISTOPHER - Candidate overview". Federal Election Commission . January 1, 2019. Retrieved May 18, 2025.
  5. ↑ Downing, Suzanne (July 21, 2025). "Democrats have their challenger for Sen. Dan Sullivan - and she works for an Alaska newspaper". Must Read Alaska. Archived from the original on October 7, 2025. Retrieved September 19, 2025.
  6. ↑ Samuels, Iris (October 16, 2025). "Begich and Sullivan maintain fundraising efforts ahead of 2026 elections". Anchorage Daily News. Archived from the original on October 26, 2025. Retrieved October 25, 2025.
  7. ↑ "Alaska Division of Elections, Candidates". October 14, 2025. Archived from the original on November 19, 2024. Retrieved October 25, 2025.
  8. ↑ Courtney, Wil (January 12, 2026). "Peltola Senate challenge draws national battle lines as Murkowski backs Sullivan". www.alaskasnewssource.com. Archived from the original on January 12, 2026. Retrieved January 13, 2026.
  9. ↑ Altimari, Daniela (January 12, 2026). "Former Rep. Mary Peltola enters Alaska Senate race in boost to Democrats". Roll Call . Archived from the original on January 12, 2026. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  10. ↑ @ProgressiveVic (January 18, 2026). "ENDORSEMENT ALERT! Here is our first 18 endorsements for this year's 2026 midterms" (Tweet). Retrieved January 18, 2026– via Twitter.
  11. 1 2 Brooks, James; Smith, Corinne (January 12, 2026). "Mary Peltola announces run for Alaska U.S. Senate, challenging incumbent Dan Sullivan". Alaska Beacon. Archived from the original on January 13, 2026. Retrieved January 13, 2026.
  12. ↑ "Trump endorses Alaska US Senator Dan Sullivan". Archived from the original on October 2, 2025. Retrieved September 13, 2025.
  13. ↑ Ruskin, Liz (January 12, 2026). "Mary Peltola enters Alaska U.S. Senate race". Alaska Public Media. Archived from the original on January 12, 2026. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  14. ↑ "Begich exchanges endorsements with Sullivan who faces a familiar foe". Alaska Watchman. January 15, 2026. Retrieved January 16, 2026.
  15. ↑ "2026 Election United States Senate - Alaska". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Archived from the original on May 15, 2025. Retrieved July 17, 2025.
  16. ↑ Gonzales, Nathan L. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Archived from the original on January 20, 2021. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  17. ↑ "2026 CPR Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on November 30, 2018. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  18. ↑ "2026 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on February 15, 2025. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  19. ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Archived from the original on March 15, 2025. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  20. ↑ "Alaska DSCC Jan 26 1 - Questionnaire". Public Policy Polling. January 21, 2026. Retrieved January 22, 2026– via Politico .
  21. ↑ Stanton, Andrew (January 21, 2026). "Mary Peltola chances of beating Dan Sullivan to flip Alaska from GOP—Polls". Newsweek. Retrieved January 21, 2026. The poll surveyed 611 Alaska voters from January 16-17, 2026. Politico reported it was commissioned by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), an organization that supports Democratic Senate candidates across the country.
  22. ↑ Moore, Ivan. "2025/26 Winter Alaska Survey Report" (PDF). Alaska Survey Research. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 14, 2026. Retrieved January 14, 2026.
  23. ↑ Ruskin, Liz (October 31, 2025). "New poll shows Peltola neck-and-neck with Sullivan, if she were to run for U.S. Senate". Alaska Public Media . Archived from the original on November 1, 2025. Retrieved November 1, 2025.
  24. ↑ Sabbatini, Mark (October 22, 2025). "Poll: Peltola ahead of Sullivan in race that could decide control of US Senate". Juneau Independent. Archived from the original on November 13, 2025. Retrieved October 23, 2025.
  25. ↑ "2025 Summer Alaska Survey Report". Alaska Survey Research. August 22, 2025. Archived from the original on December 9, 2025. Retrieved August 25, 2025.
  26. ↑ "Mary Peltola Would Be Front-Runner for Alaska Governor". Data for Progress . August 8, 2025. Archived from the original on August 8, 2025. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
  27. ↑ Downing, Suzanne (May 2, 2023). "New poll says Rep. Mary Peltola could take Sen. Dan Sullivan in 2026". Must Read Alaska. Archived from the original on June 28, 2025. Retrieved May 8, 2025.
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